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Pulling your leg a bit there Jay and admittedly somewhat intentionally goading you into protest. (Go ahead, call me a Troll, I deserve it in this instance) But my bigger point which led me back to the thickening of the next post I made, was "in just about any wager you could name in the realm of reasonable probability, if the wager was my whole bag vs. your whole bag, I'd be hard pressed not to take the chance."
I guess that I have to be a wee bit MOAR careful regarding OPsec, since I have several times admitted to having a BTC bag that exceeds 0.63BTC.. so I may well be getting into trouble with that....
And consider some of my subsequent posts that assert that if BTC gets to $1.5 million in this cycle, for example, or shoots straight up to $1.5 million, my projection is still to have 85% of my stash... which would mean that I would have at least 0.5355 at that $1.5 million price (which would be $803,250)... You are right Copetech, you are getting me winded up... I am thinking that I should reestablish my current BTC accumulation levels in order to make sure that I have at least 0.63 BTC when (or is it "if"?) the BTC price reaches $1.5million.. so then that would be $945k of fiat value... so that would mean that I need to get up to having at least 0.74117647 BTC in these here current times...
great, great, great.. It's nice to be able to establish a new set of somewhat personalized BTC accumulation goals.
I've been buying weekly for 4-5 months leading up to this point where I estimate I likely have 10 times that many months to continue buying.
For sure, cannot hate upon you for planning ahead in terms of ongoing BTC buying. In recent times, I have reset some of the aggressive versus bare-minimum parameters for DCA that I am suggesting for newbie normies who are just getting started with BTC and maybe even planning to accumulate BTC for 4 years or more, and I have stated several times that really conservative DCA (bare-minimum) would be $10 per week, and relatively aggressive would be $250 per week.. So, $100 per week would be relatively medium in terms of those beginner level parameters. Of course, personal budgetary circumstances do need to be taken into account, and of course, if someone has an income that exceeds something like $6k per month, they should be able to figure out ways to even exceed the most aggressive of those newbie normie level parameters.. and I am not really presuming newbie normies to be having income levels that exceed $6k per month.. .. so there is that, also.. .. and of course, some folks with $6k+ monthly incomes might still have various high level expenses in regard to if they have a family or a business or various kinds of pre-existing payments.. but they also could have situations in which they might be able to leverage debt to buy bitcoin too.. depending on their various personal financial and psychological circumstances.
It would almost be rediculous for me not to role the dice on this pittance for any reasonably possible pay-off of more coins than I could ever buy at my current rate.
For sure, I do not believe in rolling dice when it comes to investing techniques and strategies and in bitcoin you do not need to roll any dice in order to have decently high chances of becoming rich as fuck.. however, if you roll the dice, you do have decent chances of removing your previous existing assymetric investing situation that bitcoin provides you currently.. without even putting much if anything at risk.. just patience padawan patience.
But you're right it was unseemly for me to start shifting the terms around right off the bat.
Yep... shifting like the sands of a dessert.
So to start over: Whole Bag Vs. Whole Bag? I call under! Deal? 😜
Still do not know what you are wanting to bet, and I already ruled out whole bag versus whole bag.. and even indicated that if I were real passionate about a bet the most of my bag that I might be willing to bet would be 10%.. so you seem to not even be attempting to work within parameters that could be acceptable in the best of circumstances for me.. which does show a kind of troll-ish trend within your mindset and to show you really do not want to talk about possible reasonable bets that you would end up having to seriously consider rather than just throwing out full-bag versus full-bag nonsense, if I otherwise knew the bet terms and if I were somehow (not likely to be the case) passionate about the parameters of the bet terms.
By the way, you are most-likely never even going to know what 10% of my BTC portfolio is anyhow beyond some possible inferences that are likely stabs in the dark at best
(you are coming off like a disgruntled wife who is trying to figure out how much she is going to be able to get when we go our separate ways... #nohomo), and sooner or later we would need to start talking about actual numbers rather than either full bags or percentages of whole bags.
For example, we might want to start with a bet that is in the category of 210,000 satoshi's which would be 1/3 of 1% of my admitted BTC bagsize
(is that even correct..? do I have the decimal in the right place?... might even be too big of a bet for me to be inspired to even want to bet 1/3 of 1% of my total BTC portfolio on some kind of potential nonsense bet parameters)...
....and then if we were able to establish the amounts, maybe we could go further from there.. in terms of size of the bet.. but then we also might want to consider what that bet actually would be? Are we talking about when a 24-hour UPpity $10k candle would occur or are we talking about when the BTC price might reach a certain price point.. (so that second one would involve both time and price, but the first one might only involve price or price range that such a candle would show up) and then surely if I were to assert some kind of a number that is potentially sufficiently disagreeable between us, then we have something to work with... perhaps?..
Earlier, you had mentioned $100k and some other numbers, but in more recent posts, you had also mentioned your consideration of tops in the $250k or even $300k price arena.. so it seems that I might be assigning higher odds to those supra $250k/$300k numbers being reached... but I have not even worked out my own thinking on the topic exactly except to know that I never sell large portions of my BTC whether we are reaching a $250k to $300k top or if we were to reach a $1.5 million top.... and maybe I am considering that you are presuming too much in terms of $100k being reached, too.... sometimes it can be difficult to work out any kinds of exact parameters of a bet or to consider odds for various terms and how the individual positions might sufficiently differ, and for peeps to feel strongly about it in order to put some satoshis at stake... which I am not opposed to do, especially when peeps put out ridiculous propositions, like ImThor had done around the end of September.. or whenever it was when he seemed to have been putting high odds on $36.5k being reached in the nearterm...
Recently, you have not been asserting as many ridiculous price prediction propositions as some member like ImThor, but you had made some pretty ridiculous assertions in the past.. when you were even more of a newbie.. .. so maybe you have grown out of some of those.. hahahahahaha.. perhaps? perhaps?
#nohomo. Not as easy to find bet propositions without at least one of the two betters making extreme statements and you won't find too many from me, even my $1.5 million by this cycle has pretty low likelihoods of happening.. I have not worked out my numbers recently, but seems like previously I had been assigning quite less than 0.5% odds to such a happening in this cycle.. something like 3rd quarter of 2022 at the latest.