Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[edwardspitz]

On the EW thread we are expecting a blow out fifth wave, above 580, possibly high 600s. no news required - just natural exhaustion. for this analysis to hold, we cannot pass 450.

Here's hoping this is the within the 50% you guess correctly.

what? I have been specific as the market will allow me. in 2-3 days you should remember that I am expecting for at least 580 to be touched. This is not a guess, this is analysis, and it is at stake.

Just as cleromancy was analysis for the Bronze Age. They got it right @50% as well, just like you.

I have proof you are 100% wrong.
I make new odds for you..... 580 before 480. my analysis at stake.
I heard you lost some coins yesterday, what was your analysis? (I didnt lose any -made lots)

Ok, it sounds like I got wrong... what you said. I will shut up now and watch the events unfold

[chessnut]

Ok, it sounds like I got wrong... what you said. I will shut up now and watch the events unfold

no need for that. They are still odds. dont shut up, but do watch the events unfold.

[edwardspitz]

Ok, it sounds like I got wrong... what you said. I will shut up now and watch the events unfold

no need for that. They are still odds. dont shut up, but do watch the events unfold.

Thanks, I will 

[KeyserSoze]

I have proof you are 100% wrong.
I make new odds for you..... 580 before 480. my analysis at stake.
I heard you lost some coins yesterday, what was your analysis? (I didnt lose any -made lots)

I don't have any analysis because it is superstition and as likely to be correct as guessing. I don't expect you to see beyond your religion.

When I said I lost some coins it was hyperbole as I watched the train leaving. I sold 3 at 475, so it's not yet as dire as I posted. Overall I am about 90% in BTC so I sold a few thinking we might see 300. As I said I hope your guess is correct, although it will cause me to lose more of those 3 coins, because my remaining coins will be worth more.

As for whether you have many or few coins, made many or lost many, it means nothing to me as I don't believe a word you say. You seem on the verge of pathology.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[chessnut]

I have proof you are 100% wrong.
I make new odds for you..... 580 before 480. my analysis at stake.
I heard you lost some coins yesterday, what was your analysis? (I didnt lose any -made lots)

I don't have any analysis because it is superstition and as likely to be correct as guessing. I don't expect you to see beyond your religion.

When I said I lost some coins it was hyperbole as I watched the train leaving. I sold 3 at 475, so it's not yet as dire as I posted. Overall I am about 90% in BTC so I sold a few thinking we might see 300. As I said I hope your guess is correct, although it will cause me to lose more of those 3 coins, because my remaining coins will be worth more.

As for whether you have many or few coins, made many or lost many, it means nothing to me as I don't believe a word you say. You seem on the verge of pathology.

ah, guessing, a gambler.
everyone who has ever criticised my work has absolutely shit risk management skills, absolutely no experience with TA EW and no fundamental decision.
I have a list of illustrations that prove exactly how many %gain I have made in the past month, but you believe what you like, ask nanobrain where the market will probably go next.

[JayJuanGee]

We have a few posts of rpietila; posts were extremely bullish and positive in May 2013, it is different now

i hope they're not so bearish and right that i'll have to blow out my brainz, given that i'm balls-deep invested in btc

What is balls deep?  what is your buy in costs per BTC on average?

[JorgeStolfi]

Chinese Slumber Method prediction for Sunday April 20

Prediction valid for: Sunday 2014-04-20, 19:00--19:59 UTC (not before, not after)
Huobi's predicted price: 2788 CNY
Bitstamp's predicted price: 450 USD





Plot legend

Today's data point was very weak, (S = 0.0114, W = 0.075) and totally off the current trendline.  External reasons would indicate a break and another trendline, but the Method would rather ignore today's point as a freak and persist in the previous straight line trend, fitted by weighted least squares to the points of Apr/16--18; namely, A + B*(d-d0), where d-d0 is the number of days since Apr/16, A = 3187.6 and B = -100.0.

The Bitstamp prediction, as usual, is the Huobi prediction divided by the currency conversion factor R, which was assumed to be 6.19 CNY/USD. It was 6.26 at today's Slumber Point, but 6.18, 6.21, 6.23 at the last three Slumber Times with decent weights.
 
Checking the previous prediction

Prediction was posted on: Saturday 2014-04-19, 02:10 UTC
Prediction was valid for: Saturday 2014-04-19, 19:00--19:59 UTC (~17 hours later)

Foiled again by the devious Chinese:

Huobi's predicted price: 2888 CNY
Huobi's actual price (L+H)/2: 3153 CNY
Error: 265 CNY (~43 USD)

Bitstamp's predicted price: 467 USD
Bitstamp's actual price (L+H)/2: 506 USD
Error: 39 USD
 
NOTE: "Two wrongs don't make a right, but three lefts do." (unknown)

[Post-Cosmic]

I have proof you are 100% wrong.
I make new odds for you..... 580 before 480. my analysis at stake.
I heard you lost some coins yesterday, what was your analysis? (I didnt lose any -made lots)

I don't have any analysis because it is superstition and as likely to be correct as guessing. I don't expect you to see beyond your religion.

When I said I lost some coins it was hyperbole as I watched the train leaving. I sold 3 at 475, so it's not yet as dire as I posted. Overall I am about 90% in BTC so I sold a few thinking we might see 300. As I said I hope your guess is correct, although it will cause me to lose more of those 3 coins, because my remaining coins will be worth more.

As for whether you have many or few coins, made many or lost many, it means nothing to me as I don't believe a word you say. You seem on the verge of pathology.

 While some folks admittedly have a single-minded assurance in TA/waves/line indicators & patterns that indeed verges on the superstitious, that doesn't mean all TA is useless & baseless. There has got to be some evidence from forex & bitcoin forums that at least a few skilled traders have seen TA give them some successful entries & exits on a mostly consistent basis, I guarantee it.

 But more to the point though, why after countless hundreds of posts debating this & that person's predictions accuracy or lack thereof, it hasn't occured to nobody yet to simply bring about the weapon that ends all doubts - SCREENSHOTS or it didn't happen..??

 If I ever got the slightest curious inquiry about one of my bets/calls I immediately, gladly produce some screenshots of exchange accts' trade history logs while MS-Paint-blanking away the sensitive/private details.. o.O?

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[chessnut]

Post-Cosmic, thanks for your reason.
I do have the illustrations, that is what I am referring to as proof. simple and easy.

[tolega]

Too much barking, too little biting. Proof or GTFO.

[chessnut]

Too much barking, too little biting. Proof or GTFO.

You are late to the party, proof has been. you can find it yourself.

[KeyserSoze]

If I ever got the slightest curious inquiry about one of my bets/calls I immediately, gladly produce some screenshots of exchange accts' trade history logs while MS-Paint-blanking away the sensitive/private details.. o.O?

You declare "screenshots or it didn't happen" then go on to talk about Photoshopping screenshots. Did you think that through before typing it?

[derpinheimer]

If I ever got the slightest curious inquiry about one of my bets/calls I immediately, gladly produce some screenshots of exchange accts' trade history logs while MS-Paint-blanking away the sensitive/private details.. o.O?

You declare "screenshots or it didn't happen" then go on to talk about Photoshopping screenshots. Did you think that through before typing it?

Did you? Blanking sensitive data is hardly photo editing. And it's not Photoshop. Couldn't you read? Mspaint.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[Jeezy911]

My in depth technical analysis says: The market really likes the 500 point. There I gave away all my secrets.

[KeyserSoze]

If I ever got the slightest curious inquiry about one of my bets/calls I immediately, gladly produce some screenshots of exchange accts' trade history logs while MS-Paint-blanking away the sensitive/private details.. o.O?

You declare "screenshots or it didn't happen" then go on to talk about Photoshopping screenshots. Did you think that through before typing it?

Did you? Blanking sensitive data is hardly photo editing. And it's not Photoshop. Couldn't you read? Mspaint.

LOL, I've obviously touched a nerve with derpinheimer. Lemme guess - you practice the religion of TA as well?

"Photshopping" is like calling all tissues "Kleenex," or perhaps calling a photocopy a "Xerox" when it may not be that brand. This is common in the U.S.

I don't care what program Cosmic used. The fact one can digitally alter a screenshot immediately renders it anything but proof. The shot may be helpful, but it shouldn't be mistaken as proof of anything. I swear I have no idea how kids clamped onto that idea. You can change ANYTHING on a screenshot.

Goodness, people are beginning to wonder if even video can be proof now because many people have the ability to edit it. Did you know the FSM actually exists and was spotted in Germany, proving our Universe was created by His Noodly Appendage?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vL7FcvEydqg

You don't have to be happy that I call TA superstition but get some perspective and be reasonable. And if you're going to jump me you'd better use your fucking brain first because otherwise I will tear you into more tatters than the Walking Dead wardrobe department.

[chessnut]

TA is not a religion, it reflects the economical and geometrical necessity of buy low sell high. EW has a scientific fundamental explanation, and guages real fundamental factors, most significantly sentiment.

I don't expect you to see beyond your religion

well ignorance is bliss, aye?

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation