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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 6 (7.2%)
$120K - 14 (16.9%)
$130K - 11 (13.3%)
$140K - 9 (10.8%)
$150K - 14 (16.9%)
$160K - 1 (1.2%)
$170K+ - 28 (33.7%)
Total Voters: 83

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26793269 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
ChartBuddy
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February 18, 2025, 08:01:16 PM


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vapourminer
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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February 18, 2025, 08:02:06 PM
Merited by WatChe (1)

looks like that bet between JJG and WatChe may paying out soon..
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February 18, 2025, 08:02:34 PM
Last edit: February 18, 2025, 08:18:20 PM by Biodom

Just... fucking... Goddamnit...

Heading back to $58k soon.

The price is around 94K, yet these two (Bob and paashaas) are talking about 50 or 58K.
What gives?
That said, it is possible, but not a likely scenario
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Check my signature


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February 18, 2025, 08:03:51 PM

BTC sitting at 20.2k, 5m volume around 1.3k, most of the book is to the buy side.
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February 18, 2025, 08:21:33 PM
Merited by OutOfMemory (1)

Just... fucking... Goddamnit...

Heading back to $58k soon.

The price is around 94K, yet these two (Bob and paashaas) are talking about 50 or 58K.
What gives?
That said, it is possible, but not a likely scenario

That always the thing everything is possible and we will see what’s coming

Them who would like profit has a chance to position theirselves at over 100k and still now in + 90k
So do what you want or just see what’s next
It’s just as easy as that actually
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February 18, 2025, 09:01:18 PM


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February 18, 2025, 09:02:26 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (10), LFC_Bitcoin (3), JayJuanGee (1)

Observing 94,228@Stamp.

Today, never a good news:



I want to live enough to observe BTC 1,000,000@Stamp:

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February 18, 2025, 09:10:44 PM
Merited by fillippone (3), Hueristic (1), JayJuanGee (1), bitebits (1)

@nobrainflip
Bitcoin bull-run cycles:

2011:
Duration: 9 months
Bear trap: in month 6

2013:
Duration 9 Month’s
Bear trap in Month 5

2017:
Duration 9 Month’s
Bear trap in Month 6

2021:
Duration 9 Month’s
Bear trap in Month 6

2024:
We’re in month 6 now


https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/1891821430490251692?s=46
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To me, Bitcoin never dips.


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February 18, 2025, 09:44:47 PM

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How much were you paid to sell your soul?

Say No to centralization.

I only see another bought ETF influencer.

Sad that he chose to trade in security for comfort, but ok.

Another future "I-Told-You-So" incoming. He will serve as a lesson for the newbies.
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February 18, 2025, 10:36:18 PM

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How much were you paid to sell your soul?

Say No to centralization.

I only see another bought ETF influencer.

Sad that he chose to trade in security for comfort, but ok.

Another future "I-Told-You-So" incoming. He will serve as a lesson for the newbies.

I think he’ll be fine. He’s giving up like 0.25% of his coins every year, but is suspect he thinks that is worth it to not have to worry about self-custody. As a Bitcoiner who is in it for the love, I like to try out all the Bitcoin products. I believe Bitcoin should be held in self-custody, but I also think it’s OK to own ETFs, MSTR, the NASDAQ, etc. All forms of diversification are good. You don’t need to shoot for the absolute highest return possible. Comfort matters. People make fun of me for not having a mortgage sometimes because I could be earning a few extra percent, but I think it’s worth it to live debt free…
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Self-Custody is a right. Say no to "non-custodial"


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February 18, 2025, 10:53:19 PM
Last edit: February 19, 2025, 12:42:32 AM by JayJuanGee
Merited by Hueristic (1), AlcoHoDL (1)

sorry I t(h)aught calling him mikie was enough to show I was kidding.
When I call Little Donnie "Donnie" I'm not kidding. He's so immature. Spoiled brat rich kid, with a nuclear football.

FTFY

Ore a double top ready to tank all the way to $50k - $70k.


Could be.

what are the odds?

I recall in early 2024, when we were in the $50ks that you were proclaiming that the lower $30ks were "inevitable."

Yet, where did that get you?

Right now the 200-WMA is right around $44.2k,  so unless we are in a bearmarket (which seems that we are not), then i would suggest that $56k would be the absolute bottom of any extreme dip, yet I am still even considering that sub $85k is not very likely - even though, each us us should know better than excluding some possibilities of Down before up.  Sometimes there are just needs to purge some of the extra froth from the system... yet still does not give me a lot of confidence that there is any need to go below $85k in order to accomplish a sufficient/adequate enough purging.

buy ladder is looking for some action just a little more honey badger.

Cheering for DOWNity is "unbecoming."

Perhaps if you were to be hoping that such DOWNity did not happen, then that might help the situation for uie pooie.  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Right now, all you need is 18.11 BTC.. .. That's all. Wink Wink

Just... fucking... Goddamnit...

Heading back to $58k soon.

Speak it into existence.

I am not sure if that will help, but you can try.   Tongue Tongue

looks like that bet between JJG and WatChe may paying out soon..

I don't want it to happen, yet if it were to happen, I would become more publicly richie... , which would be adding 0.0003 BTC to a stash that would end up going up to an admitted greater than 0.6303 cornz... Not that I want such a thing to happen, at the expense of poor widdo WatChe (try saying that quickly)..

BTC sitting at 20.2k, 5m volume around 1.3k, most of the book is to the buy side.

I thought that walls were meant to be eaten.

Observing 94,228@Stamp.
Today, never a good news:

I want to live enough to observe BTC 1,000,000@Stamp:


That looks pretty conservative, yet I cannot really poo poo it, since my own red-line projections (which I consider to be the 200-WMA) has very similar value projections contained therein.

@nobrainflip
Bitcoin bull-run cycles:
2011:
Duration: 9 months
Bear trap: in month 6
2013:
Duration 9 Month’s
Bear trap in Month 5
2017:
Duration 9 Month’s
Bear trap in Month 6
2021:
Duration 9 Month’s
Bear trap in Month 6
2024:
We’re in month 6 now

https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/1891821430490251692?s=46

That means ONLY 3-ish more months of UPpity (after the bulltrap)?

I am going to end up being a lagging indicator again.. since I am thinking that aspects of this bull run last through most (if not all) of 2025..  It's a wee bit too early for me to proclaim that our current bull-ish season will continue into 2026, yet unless we shoot up into the supra $500k price territories, I can foresee myself proclaiming that the BTC price will go higher, and that the bull run is not over.. blah blah.blah.. which tends to get me every transition from bull season to bear season.. I never end up seeing it, until maybe when it becomes abundantly clear around 6-9 months later... ..

For example in 2022, I did not agree that we were out of the then bull market until around early May 2022 when the BTC price dropped from upper $30ks to the lower $30ks upon the TerraLuna crashing side-event.....and in 2018, I did not agree that we were in a bear market until around the 6th or 7th test of $6k support (which was mid-November-ish), when $6k support finally broke and we had a candle down to $3,124 - ish....and it was around the time that Bcash SV had split (did a hardfork) and broken off from BCash (BCH).   Anyhow, if I could stop being a lagging indicator, I would become so proud of my lil selfie.

I am having difficulties seeing scenarios to resolve the lagging indicator phenomena.. even though if we were to end up going through some kind of a period to bounce between $120k and $180k (perhaps in the coming 2-6 months).. and then suddenly have some candles up into the supra $500k or higher, in those kinds of conditions, I might be willing to proclaim a top.. . even though I can still imagine scenarios in which that would not end up being the top.. but I may well still be willing to reluctantly call it as a top (and maybe be wrong?).. even though some kind of a price dynamic scenario like that could end up dragging out into late 2025.

Edited this last section - the last three paragraphs, mostly.
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February 18, 2025, 11:01:15 PM


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JayJuanGee
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Self-Custody is a right. Say no to "non-custodial"


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February 19, 2025, 12:43:16 AM

Quote
How much were you paid to sell your soul?
Say No to centralization.

I only see another bought ETF influencer.
Sad that he chose to trade in security for comfort, but ok.

Another future "I-Told-You-So" incoming. He will serve as a lesson for the newbies.

What is going to happen to him?

Is he going to get rugged?

Sure, he does not get the value of directly holding bitcoin, to the extent that he really does not hold any bitcoin.

Another thing is that I think that he is mostly anonymous, even though surely there are some folks who claim they know who he is, yet many of us, in spaces like this one, respect that guys are able to mostly stay anonymous.

Don't get me wrong, I do consider a certain amount of coins held in private is better, yet even though many of us may have publicly admitted to amounts that seem quite small, but even 0.6303 BTC has become an amount that could be quite life changing for some folks who are desperate - which surely lends credence to a preference that many of us should have that others are able to profit along the way, which makes it more difficult when many normies in real life are so slow to accumulate bitcoin.
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February 19, 2025, 01:06:17 AM

We are Hodling yet we are lossing our bitcoin Marxists.

Bear trap is touching the souls for the weaker hands.
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February 19, 2025, 01:38:41 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1), JimboToronto (1), JayJuanGee (1)

We are Hodling yet we are lossing our bitcoin Marxists.

Bear trap is touching the souls for the weaker hands.

You are mixing up "Maxis" and "Marxists".
It ain't the same thing, lol.

That is...if lossing is 'losing', which it probably is.
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