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June 14, 2025, 01:36:59 AM *
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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 6 (7.2%)
$120K - 14 (16.9%)
$130K - 11 (13.3%)
$140K - 9 (10.8%)
$150K - 14 (16.9%)
$160K - 1 (1.2%)
$170K+ - 28 (33.7%)
Total Voters: 83

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26793023 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
GoMaD
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February 25, 2025, 04:12:42 PM

Lately I am really thinking about mindrusting 20% of my holdings and give a..
Gachapin
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February 25, 2025, 04:17:54 PM

adjusted for inflation the last cycle's ATH is at around 80k$

If you think this cycle is over (lol), we only got 35% higher compared to the ATH in 2021...  I have a hard time believing that...
philipma1957
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February 25, 2025, 04:25:39 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (6)

set new buy ladders .  I am racking up cheap corn baby.

So glad I sold some for powder in the 105-108k range.
BobLawblaw
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February 25, 2025, 04:48:42 PM
Merited by Gachapin (1)

better wait, we probably go lower...

Roger. Will wait for lower levels before absolute capitulation. 🫡

Maximizing for pain.
JayJuanGee
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February 25, 2025, 04:50:12 PM

Even with heavy oversold RSI the dumping continues, it has entered bear market territory.
Bitcoin is dead.

Thinking of Mindrusting around this level.
/s
See you all in 2029 when it breaks $100,000 again.

I suppose that we are defining bear market differently.

From my perspective, we would have to go much lower in order to bounce out of the bullmarket, which has been going on since late 2022, even though we might not have had realized it until either mid-2023 or even as late as October 2023. 

So in order to fall out of it, we would have to meaningfully go either within 25% of the 200-WMA, which would put us at about $56k and then stay below that, or we would have to go below the 100-WMA.. and meaningfully stay below that, and the 100-WMA is right around $53k.. so similar thresholds.

You are way premature to be proclaiming that our current $86k price dip (a mere 22% from the $109.3k top) is anything other than a correction within a bull market.

$90,000USD Breched on BitStamp

WatChe You have lost the bet, please PM JJG to settle the wager!
Ohh shit!.. just had a flash crash down to $87,629!!!
quoted for ref.
WatChe has lost. price below 90k @ stamp

however this also means (aside from lost bet) its BUY THE DIP time
that's what JJG will be doing.

I buy the dip, but I am not really happy to be doing it.

I would prefer the BTC price to be going up.

Even with heavy oversold RSI the dumping continues, it has entered bear market territory.
Bitcoin is dead.

Thinking of Mindrusting around this level.

/s
See you all in 2029 when it breaks $100,000 again.
Have been setting myself in a pretty safe spot over 100K... but still far from believing we are done already... then again I'm just another moonboy.

Moonboy.. hahahahahaaha

Hopefully, this is merely a pause in the action.. ..  but I always tend to say that, even when we actually get into some kind of a bear situation.. and then realizing that we are kind of stuck for a few years...  but yeah, it would be kind of crazy (and surprising) if $109,356 would end up being the top for this particular cycle.  I am still willing to bet Philip on a October/November timeline that the ATH will be breached prior to what he had been saying, even though we would have to clarify our bet terms if we were to do  it and to figure out if Philip is actually willing to stand behind his prior assertions.

Lately I am really thinking about mindrusting 20% of my holdings and give a..

Mindrusting is not a good thing, and I am not sure if you can meaningfully do mindrusting with a mere 20% of your stash.  There seems to be some misusing (or at least loosely using) the concept of mindrusting..  You, GoMaD, and Bawb too.

adjusted for inflation the last cycle's ATH is at around 80k$

If you think this cycle is over (lol), we only got 35% higher compared to the ATH in 2021...  I have a hard time believing that...

You are likely correct, yet measuring from highs to highs seems a bit problematic.  The 200-WMA continues to go up in very healthy ways.  It has doubled since mid-2022.. from $22k to $44k.. So, there is nothing wrong with that kind of overall growth... but, yeah, I am with your overall sentiment, that $109k hardly seems like the top for this cycle, even though we cannot really know with confidence beyond my wanting to make a bet with Phillip regarding his seeming presumption of our more likely than not getting a higher ATH (in nominal terms) prior to his loose October/November timeline.  Seems bettable for any of us with at least greater than 50/50 confidence that the top for pre-October/November 2025 is not yet in.

set new buy ladders .  I am racking up cheap corn baby.

So glad I sold some for powder in the 105-108k range.

Your talking your book seems to be working out for you... hahahaha 

Even though you are not a very good role model in terms of trading dee cornz and/or expressing  the belief that it is good to sell coin on the way up with an intention of buying more back on the way down.  That has not really worked for you on a long term basis, even though you seem to be currently getting some short term rewards from such inferior BTC portfolio management practices.
aesma
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February 25, 2025, 04:52:36 PM

Even with heavy oversold RSI the dumping continues, it has entered bear market territory.

Bitcoin is dead.

Thinking of Mindrusting around this level.

/s


See you all in 2029 when it breaks $100,000 again.

Too bad we can't downmerit !
d_eddie
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February 25, 2025, 04:57:25 PM
Merited by Hueristic (1)

Good thing I picked up the hot dogs for the ramen last week!

Hot dogs, nonetheless
Fake meat extravaganza
Looks just like Christmas




#haiku
philipma1957
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February 25, 2025, 05:00:55 PM

Even with heavy oversold RSI the dumping continues, it has entered bear market territory.
Bitcoin is dead.

Thinking of Mindrusting around this level.
/s
See you all in 2029 when it breaks $100,000 again.

I suppose that we are defining bear market differently.

From my perspective, we would have to go much lower in order to bounce out of the bullmarket, which has been going on since late 2022, even though we might not have had realized it until either mid-2023 or even as late as October 2023. 

So in order to fall out of it, we would have to meaningfully go either within 25% of the 200-WMA, which would put us at about $56k and then stay below that, or we would have to go below the 100-WMA.. and meaningfully stay below that, and the 100-WMA is right around $53k.. so similar thresholds.

You are way premature to be proclaiming that our current $86k price dip (a mere 22% from the $109.3k top) is anything other than a correction within a bull market.

$90,000USD Breched on BitStamp

WatChe You have lost the bet, please PM JJG to settle the wager!
Ohh shit!.. just had a flash crash down to $87,629!!!
quoted for ref.
WatChe has lost. price below 90k @ stamp

however this also means (aside from lost bet) its BUY THE DIP time
that's what JJG will be doing.

I buy the dip, but I am not really happy to be doing it.

I would prefer the BTC price to be going up.

Even with heavy oversold RSI the dumping continues, it has entered bear market territory.
Bitcoin is dead.

Thinking of Mindrusting around this level.

/s
See you all in 2029 when it breaks $100,000 again.
Have been setting myself in a pretty safe spot over 100K... but still far from believing we are done already... then again I'm just another moonboy.

Moonboy.. hahahahahaaha

Hopefully, this is merely a pause in the action.. ..  but I always tend to say that, even when we actually get into some kind of a bear situation.. and then realizing that we are kind of stuck for a few years...  but yeah, it would be kind of crazy (and surprising) if $109,356 would end up being the top for this particular cycle.  I am still willing to bet Philip on a October/November timeline that the ATH will be breached prior to what he had been saying, even though we would have to clarify our bet terms if we were to do  it and to figure out if Philip is actually willing to stand behind his prior assertions.

Lately I am really thinking about mindrusting 20% of my holdings and give a..

Mindrusting is not a good thing, and I am not sure if you can meaningfully do mindrusting with a mere 20% of your stash.  There seems to be some misusing (or at least loosely using) the concept of mindrusting..  You, GoMaD, and Bawb too.

adjusted for inflation the last cycle's ATH is at around 80k$

If you think this cycle is over (lol), we only got 35% higher compared to the ATH in 2021...  I have a hard time believing that...

You are likely correct, yet measuring from highs to highs seems a bit problematic.  The 200-WMA continues to go up in very healthy ways.  It has doubled since mid-2022.. from $22k to $44k.. So, there is nothing wrong with that kind of overall growth... but, yeah, I am with your overall sentiment, that $109k hardly seems like the top for this cycle, even though we cannot really know with confidence beyond my wanting to make a bet with Phillip regarding his seeming presumption of our more likely than not getting a higher ATH (in nominal terms) prior to his loose October/November timeline.  Seems bettable for any of us with at least greater than 50/50 confidence that the top for pre-October/November 2025 is not yet in.

set new buy ladders .  I am racking up cheap corn baby.

So glad I sold some for powder in the 105-108k range.

Your talking your book seems to be working out for you... hahahaha 

Even though you are not a very good role model in terms of trading dee cornz and/or expressing  the belief that it is good to sell coin on the way up with an intention of buying more back on the way down.  That has not really worked for you on a long term basis, even though you seem to be currently getting some short term rewards from such inferior BTC portfolio management practices.

you don't realize that from 2018 til 2024 I was partners on a mine.
 that ended last year.

and I began selling high and buying low because I have a large carryover loss I built with the mine sales of corn.

So Since April of 2024 this has work very well for me.


And I rebuilt a new 100% ownership mine .  Along with some decent corn and plenty of powder for drops.

My down ladder goes to 77k in small segments

I then skip to 66k 48k and 42k in large amounts.

If we go under 42 k I would get somewhat nervous but my 100% owned mine is all really new efficient gear.

So a flat crash out can be withstood.

and yeah uppiry would be more fun.
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February 25, 2025, 05:01:15 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
Biodom
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February 25, 2025, 05:18:30 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Even with heavy oversold RSI the dumping continues, it has entered bear market territory.

Bitcoin is dead.

Thinking of Mindrusting around this level.

/s


See you all in 2029 when it breaks $100,000 again.

Well, this suggests that for some reason, only the bear part of the cycle continues, but bull phase is truncated.
I see no cause for this so far.

Alternatively, it might suggest that there are no more cycles and it's just pure chaos-I don't believe that either.

In summary...the scenario above is unlikely to highly unlikely, but not impossible, of course.

Leahized
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February 25, 2025, 05:21:51 PM


Gachapin
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February 25, 2025, 05:43:41 PM

better wait, we probably go lower...

Roger. Will wait for lower levels before absolute capitulation. 🫡

Maximizing for pain.

that's the spirit!
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February 25, 2025, 06:01:16 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
OutOfMemory
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February 25, 2025, 06:15:24 PM
Last edit: February 25, 2025, 06:47:42 PM by OutOfMemory
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)



Usually it's a good time to buy when mindrust is mentioned two times on a WO page or once on two consecutive WO pages (EDIT: at least) Wink
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February 25, 2025, 06:18:47 PM

Bitch ass bullshit.
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February 25, 2025, 06:36:07 PM



If you get upset and actively sell during the dumping, you will only defeat yourself.

Hold Bitcoin for Long.
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February 25, 2025, 07:01:17 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
LFC_Bitcoin
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February 25, 2025, 07:07:27 PM
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This is a good point actually.



@HenrikZeberg
Markets do not top when sentiments is: “FEAR”

They top when Euphoria is everywhere
https://x.com/henrikzeberg/status/1894432230652379576
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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February 25, 2025, 07:22:46 PM
Last edit: February 25, 2025, 07:36:59 PM by vapourminer
Merited by BobLawblaw (10), El duderino_ (5), LFC_Bitcoin (3), JimboToronto (2), hisslyness (2), Hueristic (1), Biodom (1), JayJuanGee (1), cAPSLOCK (1), jojo69 (1), psycodad (1)

Lately I am really thinking about mindrusting 20% of my holdings and give a..

one does not mindrust with only 20% of your stack. its all or nothing.

look, you are not a true mindrust, youre just a poser wannabe mindrust.

we accept no cheap substitutes here in WO.
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February 25, 2025, 07:24:41 PM
Last edit: February 25, 2025, 07:41:24 PM by cAPSLOCK
Merited by BobLawblaw (3), vapourminer (1)

I feel alive again.

I hope it never stops.


Lol.


(PS... it never stops as far as I can tell...)
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