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Author Topic: will the bitcoin reach $1000 one day...?  (Read 112610 times)
faiza1990
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February 10, 2014, 04:23:28 PM
 #2001

Bought a bunch at $620. Thank you gox!
good luck I have some at 670$ and thinking to take these for long time

emmanuellefujinn
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February 10, 2014, 04:25:11 PM
 #2002

Laptop died in the heat when I was mining.
It seems to have been reckless for laptops.



Please memorial donation if it is good.
17x9r7mSoEfyoAUXxC7hq9WcAt8SGqyo76
MoneyGod
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February 10, 2014, 04:26:26 PM
 #2003

Laptop died in the heat when I was mining.
It seems to have been reckless for laptops.



Please memorial donation if it is good.
17x9r7mSoEfyoAUXxC7hq9WcAt8SGqyo76
omg its death of laptop if you are doing mining on this may God bless your laptop Rest In Peace  Sad

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February 11, 2014, 08:06:15 AM
 #2004

It is pretty funny how everyone is happy that the price is decreasing because it means they can get their hands on more bitcoins; these corrections allow a lot of people to stack BTC up, when will the next rise in price take place? This summer? Next winter?

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February 11, 2014, 03:12:56 PM
 #2005

It is pretty funny how everyone is happy that the price is decreasing because it means they can get their hands on more bitcoins; these corrections allow a lot of people to stack BTC up, when will the next rise in price take place? This summer? Next winter?
no its not take too much time hope its return in form very quickly currently trying but struggling good thing its around 700$

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February 11, 2014, 09:07:59 PM
 #2006

I suspect once this bug is fixed, it will come back up a bit by the end of the week (or if there's a typical weekend dip, by Monday), and then still expect it to start climbing again around March.
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February 11, 2014, 11:50:14 PM
 #2007

Yah, the price is artificially depressed because of a Mt.Gox bug.  People are mistaking it for a Bitcoin bug, and think the bottom is about to drop out of Bitcoin. 

I call this a buying opportunity.  The bottom is about to drop out of Mt.Gox.  I can deal with that.

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February 12, 2014, 01:08:33 AM
 #2008

It is a bitcoin bug, even bitstamp is stopping bitcoin withdrawal..

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RISE
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February 12, 2014, 01:31:21 AM
 #2009

It is a bitcoin bug, even bitstamp is stopping bitcoin withdrawal..

No it isn't. I assume Bitstamp has a similar bug to MtGox.
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February 12, 2014, 02:12:37 AM
 #2010

There is now a DDOS.  Presumably orchestrated by someone trying to exploit the GOX bug in order to drive the price lower. 

For a long time, Bitcoin protocol allowed transactions to be expressed in multiple different ways, yielding potentially several different Hashes /ID numbers for the same tx.

They fixed this many months ago so that the qt wallet and the command line client only ever issue tx in a standard 'canonical' format that has a single possible hash/ID, and the standard Bitcoin daemon won't forward or mine tx that have one of the noncanonical representations.

But Gox didn't fix their own software, and every so often Gox would issue a tx that didn't have the canonical form.  There were a couple of miners that still allowed these transactions to go into blocks, so the noncanonical transactions would be delayed while all the miners that didn't allow it got blocks, then finally go through when they got "lucky" and hit a miner that hadn't updated software.

A couple weeks ago, after many warnings, the Bitcoin network reached a threshold and the full nodes stopped accepting blocks that contain noncanonical transactions.  Miners that hadn't updated their software yet started getting orphaned blocks every time they included one of them, which happened about as often as Gox emitted them.  The bug at Gox bit their asses as payments made from Gox having a noncanonical representation were refused by the network. 

Keep in mind, at this point this is less than one one thousandth of the payments coming out of Gox.  Essentially it only happened in some small fraction of the tx where Gox was spending its own unconfirmed change txouts. 

But as Gox started spinning on that little dildo, some malefactor went, "Hey, I bet we can give them a much bigger dildo to spin on!  We can make Bitcoins cheap enough to buy a bunch of them if we make this look like a bigger problem!"    And they monkeyed up a little script, which they then pushed out to some botnet somewhere.

Their script takes regular transactions off the Bitcoin network and re-emits them in noncanonical form, in an effort to absolutely melt down anybody who hasn't completely fixed this bug yet.  Gox goes from having an occasional problem where it thinks it's made a payment that it hasn't actually made (because it made it WRONG), to being absolutely helplessly reamed on a giant monster cock.  The few remaining miners that haven't updated their software go from getting one extra orphan every once in a while to getting every last block orphaned.  Meanwhile the rest of the network is spammed with thousands of bogus transactions a minute, all of them copies/alternate expressions of 'real' transactions.  The real transactions (in canonical form) get accepted by the network and the bogus ones don't, but the network is under strain. 

This sudden flood of noncanonical transactions results in exposing an edge case in the qt and cli client software, as well as the software used by *MOST* exchanges.  This edge case is benign, but confusing.  The problem is that the noncanonical transactions can show up as unconfirmed tx for a while in your client.  They will never confirm, and the correct transactions that they are copies of will confirm eventually, so this is essentially harmless.  But it can make it appear such that you've accidentally made a payment twice, or appear that a payment coming to you has been sent twice - one of these payments will eventually confirm, and the other will not, but for a few hours, it will look like there is something wrong.  And the payments have different ID numbers. 

Bitstamp now looks at the situation, going, "hmm, there's a DDOS underway and I bet a bunch of our customers are going to be making transactions to try to "correct" this double payment situation which doesn't really exist, and when they understand what actually happened, and that there were no actual double payments being made, they'll have made transactions they wish they hadn't.  We should head off that situation somehow...."  and so they suspend trading because they figure that's easier than trying to explain everything to their user base.

Other places, like Coinbase, carry right on trading because they figure if their customers make transactions because their customers are confused, then that is their customers' problem not theirs, and besides they're in a more litigous jurisdiction and afraid that if they suspend trading that will open them up for lawsuits, either for failing to execute or for contributing to a panic.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin developers go 'doh!' and get to work fixing it so that noncanonical transactions which won't ever confirm also don't ever show up as unconfirmed. 

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February 12, 2014, 01:37:33 PM
 #2011

There is now a DDOS.  Presumably orchestrated by someone trying to exploit the GOX bug in order to drive the price lower. 

For a long time, Bitcoin protocol allowed transactions to be expressed in multiple different ways, yielding potentially several different Hashes /ID numbers for the same tx.

They fixed this many months ago so that the qt wallet and the command line client only ever issue tx in a standard 'canonical' format that has a single possible hash/ID, and the standard Bitcoin daemon won't forward or mine tx that have one of the noncanonical representations.

But Gox didn't fix their own software, and every so often Gox would issue a tx that didn't have the canonical form.  There were a couple of miners that still allowed these transactions to go into blocks, so the noncanonical transactions would be delayed while all the miners that didn't allow it got blocks, then finally go through when they got "lucky" and hit a miner that hadn't updated software.

A couple weeks ago, after many warnings, the Bitcoin network reached a threshold and the full nodes stopped accepting blocks that contain noncanonical transactions.  Miners that hadn't updated their software yet started getting orphaned blocks every time they included one of them, which happened about as often as Gox emitted them.  The bug at Gox bit their asses as payments made from Gox having a noncanonical representation were refused by the network. 

Keep in mind, at this point this is less than one one thousandth of the payments coming out of Gox.  Essentially it only happened in some small fraction of the tx where Gox was spending its own unconfirmed change txouts. 

But as Gox started spinning on that little dildo, some malefactor went, "Hey, I bet we can give them a much bigger dildo to spin on!  We can make Bitcoins cheap enough to buy a bunch of them if we make this look like a bigger problem!"    And they monkeyed up a little script, which they then pushed out to some botnet somewhere.

Their script takes regular transactions off the Bitcoin network and re-emits them in noncanonical form, in an effort to absolutely melt down anybody who hasn't completely fixed this bug yet.  Gox goes from having an occasional problem where it thinks it's made a payment that it hasn't actually made (because it made it WRONG), to being absolutely helplessly reamed on a giant monster cock.  The few remaining miners that haven't updated their software go from getting one extra orphan every once in a while to getting every last block orphaned.  Meanwhile the rest of the network is spammed with thousands of bogus transactions a minute, all of them copies/alternate expressions of 'real' transactions.  The real transactions (in canonical form) get accepted by the network and the bogus ones don't, but the network is under strain. 

This sudden flood of noncanonical transactions results in exposing an edge case in the qt and cli client software, as well as the software used by *MOST* exchanges.  This edge case is benign, but confusing.  The problem is that the noncanonical transactions can show up as unconfirmed tx for a while in your client.  They will never confirm, and the correct transactions that they are copies of will confirm eventually, so this is essentially harmless.  But it can make it appear such that you've accidentally made a payment twice, or appear that a payment coming to you has been sent twice - one of these payments will eventually confirm, and the other will not, but for a few hours, it will look like there is something wrong.  And the payments have different ID numbers. 

Bitstamp now looks at the situation, going, "hmm, there's a DDOS underway and I bet a bunch of our customers are going to be making transactions to try to "correct" this double payment situation which doesn't really exist, and when they understand what actually happened, and that there were no actual double payments being made, they'll have made transactions they wish they hadn't.  We should head off that situation somehow...."  and so they suspend trading because they figure that's easier than trying to explain everything to their user base.

Other places, like Coinbase, carry right on trading because they figure if their customers make transactions because their customers are confused, then that is their customers' problem not theirs, and besides they're in a more litigous jurisdiction and afraid that if they suspend trading that will open them up for lawsuits, either for failing to execute or for contributing to a panic.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin developers go 'doh!' and get to work fixing it so that noncanonical transactions which won't ever confirm also don't ever show up as unconfirmed. 



That seems very plausible, I can see all the actors involve make the decisions that you are guessing they made, that is still probably not exactly what happens but mtgox is using an customised wallet, there has been a DDos attack

What is your explanation concerning the 102$ sell on btc-e?

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February 12, 2014, 01:47:17 PM
 #2012

It is a bitcoin bug, even bitstamp is stopping bitcoin withdrawal..

No it isn't. I assume Bitstamp has a similar bug to MtGox.

You may refer to the following blog entries made by Gavin.
https://bitcoinfoundation.org/blog/?p=418
https://bitcoinfoundation.org/blog/?p=422
rohnearner
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February 12, 2014, 03:34:15 PM
 #2013

It is a bitcoin bug, even bitstamp is stopping bitcoin withdrawal..

No it isn't. I assume Bitstamp has a similar bug to MtGox.

You may refer to the following blog entries made by Gavin.
https://bitcoinfoundation.org/blog/?p=418
https://bitcoinfoundation.org/blog/?p=422
so is the bitstamp going the same road as Mtgox..? or really a DDOS attack will find out with next few hours..!

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February 12, 2014, 03:36:38 PM
 #2014

It is a bitcoin bug, even bitstamp is stopping bitcoin withdrawal..

No it isn't. I assume Bitstamp has a similar bug to MtGox.

You may refer to the following blog entries made by Gavin.
https://bitcoinfoundation.org/blog/?p=418
https://bitcoinfoundation.org/blog/?p=422
so is the bitstamp going the same road as Mtgox..? or really a DDOS attack will find out with next few hours..!

Anyway, the issue of tx malleability is nothing new and was discovered and discussed in May 2011.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=8392.0
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February 12, 2014, 06:27:07 PM
 #2015


What is your explanation concerning the 102$ sell on btc-e?

Why should I have an explanation for that?  There's a chance it represented a failure of some software somewhere but remember this is also a very thin market in a potentially panic-inducing situation; it might just be a fluke. 

I think it's likely to be a fluke, in fact.  Somebody posted a "sell at any price" order in a thin market. Or possibly, he intended to put a limit of $1020 on the price, but fatfingered the data entry and missed the last zero.   Either way, he happened to hit a one-in-a-million hole where the buy offers higher than $102 had been fulfilled, and some clown who posted what ought to have been a "joke" buy order got ridiculously lucky. The seller is probably still beating his head on the floor. 

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February 13, 2014, 07:50:38 AM
 #2016

In 1 year I expect Bitcoin will reach $1000 again.
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February 13, 2014, 12:04:51 PM
 #2017

In 1 year I expect Bitcoin will reach $1000 again.
but I think in next 2 months its touch this figure coming again as exchange companies set after the massive attack its going up

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February 13, 2014, 01:24:35 PM
 #2018

$1500 this time  Wink
MoneyGod
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February 13, 2014, 01:29:12 PM
 #2019

$1500 this time  Wink
its not bad at all because btc is future currency  Grin

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February 14, 2014, 06:39:17 AM
 #2020

If we look at trend; 1000$ value = 9.4.2014

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