Bitcoin Forum
November 16, 2024, 04:29:41 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 28.0 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Pages: « 1 2 [3] 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 ... 252 »
  Print  
Author Topic: Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game  (Read 435357 times)
superbit
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 763
Merit: 500



View Profile
June 26, 2013, 05:58:22 PM
 #41

What about making the house edge a tiny bit better.  Satoshidice has losing months over millions of bets with nearly double the advantage.

https://bitfinex.com/?refcode=UInJLQ5KpA <-- leveraged trading of BTCUSD, LTCUSD and LTCBTC (long and short) - 10% discount on fees for the first 30 days with the refcode
My feedback thread: Forum thread
gaba
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 249
Merit: 250


View Profile
June 26, 2013, 06:19:16 PM
 #42

Yesterday I invested 3.35 BTC. Right now I have 3.32925858 BTC  and declining really fast. Be careful. Never again.

!!My ID is 2336

That looks like a less than 1% loss.  The site risks up to 1% of your investment on every dice roll.  You realise that, right?

The house edge is 1%, so lots of variance is to be expected.  It's possible you'll make a quick profit, or a quick loss.  The edge means that the longer you stay in, the more likely you are to make a profit.

I hope it's clear that we are using your investment to back bets that players make, and that sometimes we will lose...

No  that loss is 1,79%. Right now is more then 6%. All that in less than 24 hours! Great job. I choose to invest not to gamble, but obviously I was wrong. Investors stay away from these site.

LWWE6dtTUXuaq36KTCne5XqMQHfhfwpadC
01BTC10
VIP
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 756
Merit: 503



View Profile
June 26, 2013, 06:25:55 PM
 #43

Yesterday I invested 3.35 BTC. Right now I have 3.32925858 BTC  and declining really fast. Be careful. Never again.

!!My ID is 2336

That looks like a less than 1% loss.  The site risks up to 1% of your investment on every dice roll.  You realise that, right?

The house edge is 1%, so lots of variance is to be expected.  It's possible you'll make a quick profit, or a quick loss.  The edge means that the longer you stay in, the more likely you are to make a profit.

I hope it's clear that we are using your investment to back bets that players make, and that sometimes we will lose...

No  that loss is 1,79%. Right now is more then 6%. All that in less than 24 hours! Great job. I choose to invest not to gamble, but obviously I was wrong. Investors stay away from these site.
Maybe learn some math.

Hint:
Standard deviation: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_deviation
Variance: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variance
Expected value: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value

Right now players won a little bit over expected value, site is unlucky but luck don't exist over a large sample.
Korbman
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1064
Merit: 1001



View Profile
June 26, 2013, 06:36:00 PM
 #44

Great job. I choose to invest not to gamble, but obviously I was wrong. Investors stay away from these site.

Are you kidding? Casinos are great investments...sure there will be ups and downs, but statistics are on your side. Given enough time and bets, the house will always gain an advantage. It's called a 'house edge' for a reason.

statdude
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000


View Profile
June 26, 2013, 07:13:35 PM
 #45

Guys, dont bother. I know a lot of gamblers as a successful sports bettor myself, and they just dont get math.

Nice site. I for one will be following Smiley

▄█▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀█▄
█ ███████████████████████ █
█ █████     █ ▀██████████ █
█ █████     █   ▀████████ █
█ █████  ██ █     ▀██████ █

█ █████  ▀▀ █▄▄▄▄▄▄▄█████ █
█ █████  ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄  █████ █
█ █████  ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄  █████ █
█ █████  ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄  █████ █
█ █████  ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄  █████ █
█ █████             █████ █
█ ███████████████████████ █
▀█▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄█▀
  Website
    Twitter
      Gitlab
      Reddit
    Telegram
Whitepaper
  ▄█▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀█▄
█ ███████████████████████ █
█ ███████████████████████ █
█ ███▄    ███████▀   ▄███ █
█ ████▌    █████▀    ████ █
█ ████▌     ███▀     ████ █
█ ████▌▐█    █▀ █    ████ █
█ ████▌▐██     ██    ████ █
█ ████▌▐███   ███    ████ █
█ ███▀  ▀███ ███▀    ▀███ █
█ ███████████████████████ █
█ ███████████████████████ █
▀█▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄█▀
chriswilmer
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1008
Merit: 1000


View Profile WWW
June 26, 2013, 07:15:40 PM
 #46

Guys... 11,000 BTC? I realize this is a great, low-risk, business model... but are we really that certain about the security of the server? Apologies in advance if the answer to this is obvious and I missed it.
btc_lurker
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 78
Merit: 10



View Profile
June 26, 2013, 08:09:58 PM
 #47

Is there some form of API for the operations regarding investment ?
gaba
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 249
Merit: 250


View Profile
June 26, 2013, 08:13:23 PM
 #48


Maybe learn some math.

Hint:
Standard deviation: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_deviation
Variance: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variance
Expected value: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value

Right now players won a little bit over expected value, site is unlucky but luck don't exist over a large sample.

Percentage change = (V2 - V1) / V1 × 100%
http://www.miniwebtool.com/percentage-change-calculator/?num1=3.35&num2=3.29

Percentage change: 1.791% decrease

LWWE6dtTUXuaq36KTCne5XqMQHfhfwpadC
01BTC10
VIP
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 756
Merit: 503



View Profile
June 26, 2013, 08:46:57 PM
 #49


Maybe learn some math.

Hint:
Standard deviation: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_deviation
Variance: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variance
Expected value: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value

Right now players won a little bit over expected value, site is unlucky but luck don't exist over a large sample.

Percentage change = (V2 - V1) / V1 × 100%
http://www.miniwebtool.com/percentage-change-calculator/?num1=3.35&num2=3.29

Percentage change: 1.791% decrease
I was referencing to this quote:

Quote
I choose to invest not to gamble, but obviously I was wrong. Investors stay away from these site.

It's not a gamble if you understand variance and standard deviation. It's a gamble only if you invest for a short period of time.


Right now:

11 138BTC wagered at 1% edge.
11 138BTC(0.01) = 111.38BTC
Site is up: 104BTC

So almost right on expected value.
shawshankinmate37927
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 854
Merit: 1000


Bitcoin: The People's Bailout


View Profile
June 26, 2013, 09:43:48 PM
 #50

Yesterday I invested 3.35 BTC. Right now I have 3.32925858 BTC  and declining really fast. Be careful. Never again.

!!My ID is 2336


Percentage change = (V2 - V1) / V1 × 100%
http://www.miniwebtool.com/percentage-change-calculator/?num1=3.35&num2=3.29

Percentage change: 1.791% decrease

You entered 3.29 as the second number, but 3.32925858 rounded to the nearest hundredth is 3.33.


"It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning."   - Henry Ford
shawshankinmate37927
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 854
Merit: 1000


Bitcoin: The People's Bailout


View Profile
June 26, 2013, 09:49:37 PM
 #51

Guys... 11,000 BTC? I realize this is a great, low-risk, business model... but are we really that certain about the security of the server? Apologies in advance if the answer to this is obvious and I missed it.

I believe dooglus stated somewhere that most of the coins are stored in an offline wallet.

"It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning."   - Henry Ford
greatscott
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 45
Merit: 0



View Profile
June 26, 2013, 09:51:44 PM
 #52

Any chance you might be able to add yubikey support for 2fa?
pikeadz
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 238
Merit: 100


View Profile
June 27, 2013, 01:01:47 AM
 #53

Someone lost a huge bet somewhere lol... "site is up" went from 115 to 204 in the hour I last checked it.  nice.
01BTC10
VIP
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 756
Merit: 503



View Profile
June 27, 2013, 01:14:28 AM
 #54

Someone lost a huge bet somewhere lol... "site is up" went from 115 to 204 in the hour I last checked it.  nice.
frott lost a 42BTC bet trying his hand at martingale strategy.
Vink
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 116
Merit: 10



View Profile
June 27, 2013, 01:26:46 AM
 #55

moneymoneymoneymoney

BlueCombWindow
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 33
Merit: 0


View Profile
June 27, 2013, 01:57:40 AM
 #56

This excites me greatly.  I have noticed dooglus as one of the best posters since visiting this site. I would almost say that I have more confidence in his integrity than anyone else on the internet. It's taking quite some willpower to not dump my entire BTC into investing in just-dice. Wow. I must think about this.
radiumsoup
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 356
Merit: 255


View Profile
June 27, 2013, 03:12:40 AM
 #57

Is there some form of API for the operations regarding investment ?
This, this - a thousand times, this.

PGP fingerprint:   0x85beeabd110803b93d408b502d39b8875b282f86
Trance104
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 206
Merit: 100


View Profile
June 27, 2013, 04:37:24 AM
 #58

I'm addicted already. Well done!
frott
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 38
Merit: 0


View Profile
June 27, 2013, 05:41:13 AM
 #59

Someone lost a huge bet somewhere lol... "site is up" went from 115 to 204 in the hour I last checked it.  nice.
frott lost a 42BTC bet trying his hand at martingale strategy.

no that wasn't me, it was someone else! I lost over a long series of bets. kturner did a martingale of 10 losses at 66% chance to win which ended at 43, (.08333 .15675 .3125 .625 1.25 2.5 5.25 10.5 21 42). crazy!

but yes the site is now above edge at 1.3%

FloatesMcgoates
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 238
Merit: 100


View Profile
June 27, 2013, 05:48:40 AM
 #60

Someone lost a huge bet somewhere lol... "site is up" went from 115 to 204 in the hour I last checked it.  nice.
frott lost a 42BTC bet trying his hand at martingale strategy.

no that wasn't me, it was someone else! I lost over a long series of bets. kturner did a martingale of 10 losses at 66% chance to win which ended at 43, (.08333 .15675 .3125 .625 1.25 2.5 5.25 10.5 21 42). crazy!

but yes the site is now above edge at 1.3%



That must suck, losing over 8000 dollars in less than a minute
Pages: « 1 2 [3] 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 ... 252 »
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!