MoneyGod
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March 23, 2014, 09:20:17 PM |
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March 23
Have one system play today
3pm EST
St Marys +7
Good luck everyone!
I have last 2 days very horrible now going with your this pick hope its bring some luck for me my bad luck on even lost this bet now going for some long break from this betting ![Sad](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/sad.gif)
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brian123321 (OP)
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 24, 2014, 12:18:53 AM |
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Finished 0-1 today.
Brings totals to
74-34-2
68%
+36.6 Units
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Tips: 1PyqHAuUU54Bk53XFwGoYAGciovHtL7CEL
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brian123321 (OP)
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 24, 2014, 10:14:21 PM |
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March 24
9pm EST
Texas A&M +3
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Tips: 1PyqHAuUU54Bk53XFwGoYAGciovHtL7CEL
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brian123321 (OP)
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March 25, 2014, 03:20:33 AM |
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Finished 0-1
Starting a little slide.
74-35-2
67%
+35.5 Units
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Tips: 1PyqHAuUU54Bk53XFwGoYAGciovHtL7CEL
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romang
Member
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Offline
Activity: 112
Merit: 10
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March 25, 2014, 03:23:49 AM |
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March 23
Have one system play today
3pm EST
St Marys +7
Good luck everyone!
I have last 2 days very horrible now going with your this pick hope its bring some luck for me Same here very bad last 2 days.
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MoneyGod
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March 25, 2014, 09:45:54 PM |
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any thing coming from you for tonight because I want to follow you again but have not too much time
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brian123321 (OP)
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March 25, 2014, 10:45:54 PM |
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any thing coming from you for tonight because I want to follow you again but have not too much time
I have a lean but i am not sure if i myself will end up playing it. Its southern miss +5. Again, that is ONLY a lean and i probably will NOT end up playing it.
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Tips: 1PyqHAuUU54Bk53XFwGoYAGciovHtL7CEL
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brian123321 (OP)
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March 26, 2014, 06:18:40 AM |
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So good news on something i have been working on for awhile, College Football!
I finally figured out what it was in my numbers that was causing me issues with the spreads i was calculating. I made an adjustment very late last night and started to notice a change. I started backtracking where i left off last night and i think i may have successfully redeveloped my college basketball system (its pure capping, unlike college basketball where i have state guidelines that will eliminate teams before i get to the capping part).
So far i have only gone through 6 weeks of last year but it has produced a record of 62-32-0 for 66%
The weekly results thus far are:
13-1 11-9 4-6 10-4 9-6 8-3 7-3
I am going to continue backtracking this for the rest of last season and all of the 2012 season. If it returns a win rate of 59% or above for both the 2012 and 2013 seasons i am proud to say that i will finally be done tinkering with my college football system and will be ready for the 2014 season. After this i will begin working with the NBA which is, in my opinion, the hardest sport to cap.
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Tips: 1PyqHAuUU54Bk53XFwGoYAGciovHtL7CEL
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brian123321 (OP)
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March 26, 2014, 06:24:10 AM |
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More good news, looks like i may have a couple NCAAB plays tomorrow as well. Will know for sure tomorrow morning.
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Tips: 1PyqHAuUU54Bk53XFwGoYAGciovHtL7CEL
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jeremypwr
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 3164
Merit: 5464
🤑 Free Bets have been credited 🤑
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March 26, 2014, 08:06:52 AM |
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My bad I got you confused with RyanK (who called me a deusch).
Not sure why you appeared in my thread to begin with but you definitely created the tone.
Good Luck with your picks..
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brian123321 (OP)
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March 26, 2014, 03:33:12 PM |
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Welp. Turns out i will not actually have any plays today. There is one game that is currently off by half a point. If that line ends up moving in the right direction ill update.
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Tips: 1PyqHAuUU54Bk53XFwGoYAGciovHtL7CEL
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alabamafan1
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March 26, 2014, 03:56:44 PM |
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Welp. Turns out i will not actually have any plays today. There is one game that is currently off by half a point. If that line ends up moving in the right direction ill update.
Curious Brian, could you share which lines were originally plays at first glance last night?
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brian123321 (OP)
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March 26, 2014, 07:53:50 PM |
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There were 3 games that got to the capping phase. When i calculate the spreads for these 3 games all of them become no plays
Old Dominion is the closest to become a play. It needs to be at +8 but i dont think it will get there.
The other two were VMI and Yale.
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Tips: 1PyqHAuUU54Bk53XFwGoYAGciovHtL7CEL
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brian123321 (OP)
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March 26, 2014, 07:55:29 PM |
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Also just because old dominion is the closest does not mean that it is stronger than the other two. All of them are weighted equally.
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Tips: 1PyqHAuUU54Bk53XFwGoYAGciovHtL7CEL
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jeremypwr
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 3164
Merit: 5464
🤑 Free Bets have been credited 🤑
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March 26, 2014, 10:32:53 PM |
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Not sure who you're on but Good Luck with the plays!
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alabamafan1
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March 27, 2014, 03:53:11 AM |
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There were 3 games that got to the capping phase. When i calculate the spreads for these 3 games all of them become no plays
Old Dominion is the closest to become a play. It needs to be at +8 but i dont think it will get there.
The other two were VMI and Yale.
Minute to go in the Old dominion game, the other two were winners. Interesting to follow plays that barely didn't make it. Wonder if those games that make the "capping phase" as you call it would still win >52.5% of the time. Edit: I saw that Old Dominion closed at +8 which means it would have been a play, don't know if you got it though. Nice 3-0 if those plays had been official. First two outright dog winners, and the third covered by the hook.
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brian123321 (OP)
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March 27, 2014, 04:46:39 AM |
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There were 3 games that got to the capping phase. When i calculate the spreads for these 3 games all of them become no plays
Old Dominion is the closest to become a play. It needs to be at +8 but i dont think it will get there.
The other two were VMI and Yale.
Minute to go in the Old dominion game, the other two were winners. Interesting to follow plays that barely didn't make it. Wonder if those games that make the "capping phase" as you call it would still win >52.5% of the time. Edit: I saw that Old Dominion closed at +8 which means it would have been a play, don't know if you got it though. Nice 3-0 if those plays had been official. First two outright dog winners, and the third covered by the hook. I did see that old dominion had gotten to 8 however i was not around to lock it in. So i am not going to add it to the official tracking since i did not post in the thread that i was locking it in. If you want i can continue posting the plays that dont quite make it. I never tracked them without the capping so i dont know how well they go.
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Tips: 1PyqHAuUU54Bk53XFwGoYAGciovHtL7CEL
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brian123321 (OP)
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March 27, 2014, 04:59:16 AM |
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I should have one play tomorrow
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Tips: 1PyqHAuUU54Bk53XFwGoYAGciovHtL7CEL
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brian123321 (OP)
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March 27, 2014, 11:47:34 PM |
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Towson +4
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Tips: 1PyqHAuUU54Bk53XFwGoYAGciovHtL7CEL
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brian123321 (OP)
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March 28, 2014, 03:30:18 AM |
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Finished day 0-1. Slide Continues. Looks like i wont be finishing of the season strong.
Good Luck all.
74-36-2
66%
+34.4 Units
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Tips: 1PyqHAuUU54Bk53XFwGoYAGciovHtL7CEL
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