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Author Topic: Test Cricket Prediction and Discussion Thread [self - mod]  (Read 124961 times)
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Vishnu.Reang
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August 17, 2019, 01:33:14 PM
 #401

Another wicket down. Still the good thing is that Smith is there. Australia is still trailing by 94 runs and only 4 wickets in hand. In test cricket losing tailenders in only few runs is very possible. This test still has not died despite having only one and half day left.

Imagine Australia lost the 4 wickets in the next few overs only adding few runs. Say England find themselves having a lead of 60 runs. They will bat today and will score very quickly and if they can add 200 runs and if they ask Australia to bat again in the morning giving a target of 260 runs, then in the fifth day it's not very easy to chase or even bat for the whole day.

Let's just hope that there will be no rain anymore.

Probably no one cares when some Australian wicket goes down. As long as Smith is there, he can get Australia to a good total. Last time, he made good partnerships with the no.10 and no.11 batsmen.  Grin

BTW, have the Brits forgot the fact that today is the 4th day? Pacers are doing most of the work and the only spinner (Jack Leach) has just 7 overs to his name out of the total of 75.

Nothing else really matter right now. Is Smith going to get a century today?
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August 17, 2019, 01:52:43 PM
 #402

~snip~

Nothing else really matter right now. Is Smith going to get a century today?


Quote
Archer to Smith, no run, oh dear! He's been clattered here by the short ball. He's down. This is nasty. Took him on the unprotected part of the neck. The medics are out there straightaway, from both sides, and the England players have immediately gone to Smith. These are not scenes you want to see. Smith is lying on his back in the crease as he gets seen to by medical staff. Everyone will take the utmost care here with Smith. He's standing up again. He looks dazed. Talking to the doctor now. Will be going through concussion tests. Looks as though he's retiring hurt. Smith walks off Lord's to warm applause
https://www.espncricinfo.com/series/19430/game/1152847/england-vs-australia-2nd-test-icc-world-test-championship-2019-2021

Not looking good. I suspect Australian can not go much from here. This is the best chance England can have in this test.

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August 17, 2019, 02:16:11 PM
 #403

Damn! Smith got injured but no clue if the injury is serious. Now chances of Australia getting a score of 300 is more probable.

Hope England take these 4 wickets soon and end Aussie's innings with less than 50 runs to chase. Then having two more innings would look more possible in a 1.5 days period.

Quote
Steven Smith is coming back out to bat! Unbowed, unbroken, and still unbeaten. Lively reception, some boos audible this time...

That's fast :-P

England must be sad now but they got the 7th wicket. They should have been quick taking 3 more wickets but they did not get time and now with Smith back, it's going to be tough  Sad

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August 17, 2019, 02:33:27 PM
 #404

Yeah good thing is that Smith is back. Now if he can bat as he does then may be Australia has some chances however I think the fate of this Test has already written. It must be a draw match.

Let's wait for end of tomorrow.

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August 17, 2019, 02:40:37 PM
 #405

~Snip~   

Srilanka should win this match at Galle and i think it will be another upset. Consider the fact that NewZealand was the runner up in the worldcup and srilanka was a not a strong team. Although this is another format of cricket, but still Newzealnad was favorable to win this one before the start of this test.

With all due respect Bhai.

We shouldn't use WC "runner up" example here at all. As you already know very well that its different format. But if we are using "upset" in term of Test Ranking, then it makes sense because SL and NZ ranks 6th and 2nd respectively.

As of now SL looking secure with 60+ runs partnership for 1st wicket. We are yet to see how SL face Ajaz Patel because Satner not doing much right now.


Yes i agree that ODI and test matches should not be compared but still Srilanka win will be an upset.


~snip~

As of now SL looking secure with 60+ runs partnership for 1st wicket. We are yet to see how SL face Ajaz Patel because Satner not doing much right now.
133 without losing any wicket. Sri Lanka is at the top. Their failure of wrapping up the Nz's tailenders did not create any problem at all. From here Sri Lanka can hope for a big win against ranking #2 Test nation. NZ did not play up to the mark in this Test.

In the other match which I am following of course, Australia is not in a good position. The hope is that Smith is in the pitch still.

It does not matter now how Australia end up this innings. This match is going towards the draw. If it had not been rain on the first day, we might have had the result but now draw is what i can see from here.
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August 17, 2019, 02:41:31 PM
 #406

Smith's gone lol That too 8 runs short for a century.

Now they dropped the 9th wicket so 2 more wickets still left for 235 and 23 more runs to chase. England are playing well now.

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August 17, 2019, 03:16:51 PM
 #407

-skip-

I don't see a chance for Aus to win this match with two days left and are down to 80/4 and trailing by 178 runs. Aus will most probably try to bat out the day and will look for a draw while the Eng will be try to bundle out Aus early and put some quick scores on board and will hope to bundle out Aus once again. So either it's going to be a draw and Aus leading the series or the English winning this match and leveling the series. But the probability of a draw is higher so I'll bet on it.

Don't bet for a draw now because Australia are 4 out for 80 only and if England are able to take wickets quickly, they might end up with 80 runs lead. And they could make another 200 in today's day which will give them around 280 lead. England will have full 5th day to take 10 wickets to win this match. Although this seems a little difficult but that how the winning teams thinks to win. Wink

Allout!  There is no big difference in the scores now. England managed to get a lead of just 8 runs. If the English plan to go for quick runs, things might change and Australia might turn the game around. So if they were clever enough, they'll try to play till lunch tomorrow. So yeah the odds are mostly a draw.
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August 17, 2019, 03:27:09 PM
 #408

Allout!  There is no big difference in the scores now. England managed to get a lead of just 8 runs. If the English plan to go for quick runs, things might change and Australia might turn the game around. So if they were clever enough, they'll try to play till lunch tomorrow. So yeah the odds are mostly a draw.
Around 40 overs left for today. May be England will manage 120+ runs and then tomorrow they will try to add more 100 runs. All together before launch if they manage to get 330 to 350 runs lead and then ask Australia to bat for the 2nd innings then may be we will see some excitements.

But I highly doubt any excitement from this Test.

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August 17, 2019, 03:53:42 PM
 #409

1st wicket gone and it's again Roy whose gone. They should replace him now as he's not able to perform since 4 innings now and getting out early which puts pressure on Burns to perform well.

Edit: Root gone too. England needs to desperately win this match as they are in a better position than last time.

The umpires are taking better decisions this time.

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August 17, 2019, 04:16:27 PM
 #410

Around 40 overs left for today. May be England will manage 120+ runs and then tomorrow they will try to add more 100 runs. All together before launch if they manage to get 330 to 350 runs lead and then ask Australia to bat for the 2nd innings then may be we will see some excitements.

But I highly doubt any excitement from this Test.

Highly unlikely, they already lost 2 wickets Roy and Root for 20 runs. Unless they give a stand and play the right balls,  Aussies are getting a chance here.
Maybe, my predictions will go wrong and Aussies will win, but England is nowhere near winning this game. Tongue
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August 17, 2019, 04:30:19 PM
 #411

~snip~

Highly unlikely, they already lost 2 wickets Roy and Root for 20 runs. Unless they give a stand and play the right balls,  Aussies are getting a chance here.
Maybe, my predictions will go wrong and Aussies will win, but England is nowhere near winning this game. Tongue
Only 30 overs left of today.

Since England lost two early wickets, we will see defensive batting from England which means England will try to stay in the pitch as long as they can. This will be a draw match.

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August 17, 2019, 05:48:02 PM
 #412

~snip~

Highly unlikely, they already lost 2 wickets Roy and Root for 20 runs. Unless they give a stand and play the right balls,  Aussies are getting a chance here.
Maybe, my predictions will go wrong and Aussies will win, but England is nowhere near winning this game. Tongue
Only 30 overs left of today.

Since England lost two early wickets, we will see defensive batting from England which means England will try to stay in the pitch as long as they can. This will be a draw match.

With two more wickets down, England seems to be in trouble now. Even though they now have a 100 run lead, it's very difficult to say if they're doing fine at this time with only this much lead. Tomorrow is going to be a very interesting day! Let's just hope that rain doesn't ruin that last day.
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August 17, 2019, 05:51:20 PM
 #413

~snip~

With two more wickets down, England seems to be in trouble now. Even though they now have a 100 run lead, it's very difficult to say if they're doing fine at this time with only this much lead. Tomorrow is going to be a very interesting day! Let's just hope that rain doesn't ruin that last day.
I am not expecting much from this Test but if Australia can all out English and can win this match then I will be a happy man. They have possibilities. Took 4 wickets very early. Now Stokes and Battler are the challenge for Australia. Get at least one of them before stumps today and then tomorrow go for the rest of the wickets as early as possible. If Australia get a target of 150 or 180 then they can win this match.

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August 17, 2019, 06:04:13 PM
 #414

~snip~

Highly unlikely, they already lost 2 wickets Roy and Root for 20 runs. Unless they give a stand and play the right balls,  Aussies are getting a chance here.
Maybe, my predictions will go wrong and Aussies will win, but England is nowhere near winning this game. Tongue
Only 30 overs left of today.

Since England lost two early wickets, we will see defensive batting from England which means England will try to stay in the pitch as long as they can. This will be a draw match.

With two more wickets down, England seems to be in trouble now. Even though they now have a 100 run lead, it's very difficult to say if they're doing fine at this time with only this much lead. Tomorrow is going to be a very interesting day! Let's just hope that rain doesn't ruin that last day.

Regardless of the result of the match (which will be draw) i am disappointed with England performance. 96/4 in second innings is not something which you will be looking by England nation. Even though match will be draw, but England need to reconsider how they can rectify their batting issues.
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August 17, 2019, 06:07:48 PM
 #415

I am hating this rain. Around 8+ overs were wasted. If the match were continued then we might see one or two more wickets to down. Good for England.



Regardless of the result of the match (which will be draw) i am disappointed with England performance. 96/4 in second innings is not something which you will be looking by England nation. Even though match will be draw, but England need to reconsider how they can rectify their batting issues.
I will not say that this current Australia has their best squad (I am missing Starc) but the way they are coming back to the match every time, is really exciting. England seems a team who does not have any clue what they are doing. Their top order needs to be sorted.

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August 17, 2019, 06:14:23 PM
 #416

Still couldn't believe that Smith missed his 3rd consecutive century by just 8 runs. I was expecting that he'll score another ton today, but probably the injury he received while facing Jofra Archer disrupted his concentration. At the same time, it was tragic to watch all the other Australian batsmen struggling against the mediocre English attack. Apart from Smith, none of the other batsmen could score a half century.

That said, Cummins and Siddle bowled well during the second innings. If they could get England all out during tomorrow's first session, then there is a very good chance of getting a result. But Nathan Lyon looked very ineffective today. If Australia is going to win this match, the Lyon needs to play a more proactive role in getting the English batsmen out.
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August 17, 2019, 06:17:18 PM
 #417

Still couldn't believe that Smith missed his 3rd consecutive century by just 8 runs.
Yes, it was heart breaking to see Smith missed his 3rd consecutive century. I am worried about him for the 2nd innings. Can he bat the way he do? I hope the injury is not much serious.

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August 17, 2019, 06:21:33 PM
 #418

Can srilankan team going to win the match without any upset tomorrow?, because of they are need only 135 runs with 10 wikets in hand to win in final day, so it will be sefe to bet on srilanka? Please let me share some tips about it I can bet on srilanka team?

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August 17, 2019, 06:34:35 PM
 #419

Can srilankan team going to win the match without any upset tomorrow?, because of they are need only 135 runs with 10 wikets in hand to win in final day, so it will be sefe to bet on srilanka? Please let me share some tips about it I can bet on srilanka team?
Sri Lanka should win this Test very easily. You need to check weather forecast before placing the bet. The only upsetting thing I can think of, is the rain.

By the way, I see the odd for Sri Lanka is only 1.10
Do you think it worth the risk? I have record to lose an odd that was 1.06 against Sri Lanka. And I lost around 0.05BTC on that bet if I can remember it correctly.

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August 17, 2019, 06:57:22 PM
 #420

Can srilankan team going to win the match without any upset tomorrow?, because of they are need only 135 runs with 10 wikets in hand to win in final day, so it will be sefe to bet on srilanka? Please let me share some tips about it I can bet on srilanka team?
Sri Lanka should win this Test very easily. You need to check weather forecast before placing the bet. The only upsetting thing I can think of, is the rain.

High chances for Sri lanka even if there is a half day rain and half day play time since they only needs 145 runs but they have got 10 wickets in their hand,no one would lose a game from this stage.

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