cryptofrka
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September 26, 2023, 11:07:19 AM |
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@buwaytress - something just occured to me. As things currently stand, you can basically find a game with equal odds and stake 3 4 3 on 3 different outcomes, thus guaranteeing yourself ~10 points per round. I don't think that anybody did it, but it would be good to add to the rules that you can bet on only 1 outcome per game just to be on the safe side.
Would be quite a dick move if somebody was protecting the lead late on in the competition, but would actually be allowed as per current rules.
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buwaytress (OP)
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September 26, 2023, 12:45:17 PM Merited by cryptofrka (1) |
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That week flew by quickly, didn't it? @buwaytress - something just occured to me. As things currently stand, you can basically find a game with equal odds and stake 3 4 3 on 3 different outcomes, thus guaranteeing yourself ~10 points per round. I don't think that anybody did it, but it would be good to add to the rules that you can bet on only 1 outcome per game just to be on the safe side.
Would be quite a dick move if somebody was protecting the lead late on in the competition, but would actually be allowed as per current rules.
The form currently only allows you to select one outcome per match and I think there were no errors in testing, nor in submissions but I'll test it out again for the next matchday, which I'll put up soon for everyone to enter picks early. But good point to just amend the rules anyway to reflect this, so thank you!
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cryptofrka
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September 26, 2023, 04:26:48 PM |
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The form currently only allows you to select one outcome per match
Ah, makes sense as well. Good to know
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KTChampions
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September 26, 2023, 04:51:25 PM |
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@buwaytress - something just occured to me. As things currently stand, you can basically find a game with equal odds and stake 3 4 3 on 3 different outcomes, thus guaranteeing yourself ~10 points per round. I don't think that anybody did it, but it would be good to add to the rules that you can bet on only 1 outcome per game just to be on the safe side.
Would be quite a dick move if somebody was protecting the lead late on in the competition, but would actually be allowed as per current rules.
It seemed to me that the interface does not allow you to place even two bets on one game and not as many as three (I checked the possibility of making a Double Chance bet). In any case, it is hardly wise to “save” 10 points instead of increasing them - after all, it is difficult to lead so much that you will be reliably protected in case someone guesses the outcome with odds of 6 or even higher.
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buwaytress (OP)
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September 27, 2023, 06:28:13 PM |
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Just checked the form again and yes, it's protected from multiple outcome choices. Rules amended anyway for clarity =) Submissions for Matchday 2 are open! Please enter your picks for both events. Both event deadlines are kickoff, 16:45 UTC (forum time) on 3 October. Late match submissions won't be counted. Remember to fill in bitcointalk usernames exactly as it is =) In addition, Rollbit.com has introduced an exclusive UCL insurance offer for multibet/acca/parlay lovers. $50 (for members of this pool) back if your bet loses by one leg. I've asked for more details (I can predict the questions) but head on over to this thread (where eligible bets must be posted) to find out more: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5468233.0. Thank you for managing, Hhampuz! Tagging all participants: jayce CLS63 cryptofrka LTU_btc Trofo Slaman29 mv1986 KTChampions casperBGD Royse777 Little Mouse Igebotz Harkorede leea-1334 Hhampuz bullrun2020bro darxiaomi notblox1 M1cha3lM Ulven ajiz138 Spack17 Strongkored entebah 1miau rdbase goodpunt Mahdirakib jeremypwr LFC_Bitcoin joker_josue icopress ralle14 tokeweed swogerino rohang Woodie NotATether Rruchi Man Pulsar77 Learn Bitcoin vd309 execijutiere morvillz7z Saint-loup arallmuus Omikifuse Patrick6549 seek3r logfiles el che
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execijutiere
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September 27, 2023, 06:53:13 PM |
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I made my choices and frankly I had a bit of a hard time this match week.Because if we look at the matches, they are all close matches.What I mean by close is that most of the matches that can really be favored by all 3 sides.Honestly, I think this week can be a week where whoever predicts well can really make the difference. Especially predicting the scores of the matches will be more difficult this week, so I can say that I can make Superbru Pool predictions with more difficulty than Google form. Good luck to everyone again
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CLS63
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September 27, 2023, 09:19:35 PM |
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I started the first week quite good in the Champions League in terms of Pot A. However I'm in last place in Pot B with 0 points. I wish I didn't trust Galatasaray. I'm feeling myself like I must take a risk. I bet all my money on a risky bet again this week. If it wins it is certain that I will go higher by many places. However I must admit that my chance is very low. By the way the odds in Pot B are being updated. For example if 10 players get injured at Barcelona before the match then will Barcelona's odds increase?
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arallmuus
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September 28, 2023, 12:19:05 AM |
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Just checked the form again and yes, it's protected from multiple outcome choices. Rules amended anyway for clarity =)
Well we can always choose to boot a prick that will try this type of shitty bet to ruin the whole fun isnt it Especially predicting the scores of the matches will be more difficult this week, so I can say that I can make Superbru Pool predictions with more difficulty than Google form.
For me personally it is harder to predict for the pot B. Most of us including myself is pretty familiar with how Superbru works, some players will tend to go for some safe prediction on Superbru to protect their lead or go wild with it if they are behind but this whole prediction on google form with point stake system is completely new for me Unlike your own money balances, its a point that replenish every week so things could be pretty wild as there is no harm to go wild with your option
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slaman29
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September 28, 2023, 09:06:31 AM |
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Man you think Superbru is hard, and to be fair putting stakes can even be faster than 10 seconds but you're thinking of how cryptofrka and vd are gonna play and you want to outdo them, or just play catchup, it's really tough.
I hate myself for what I'm thinking to do, but if news doesn't change much I'm going to just close eyes and throw all my dice on away teams.
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cryptofrka
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September 28, 2023, 10:13:31 AM |
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Man you think Superbru is hard, and to be fair putting stakes can even be faster than 10 seconds but you're thinking of how cryptofrka and vd are gonna play and you want to outdo them, or just play catchup, it's really tough.
I hate myself for what I'm thinking to do, but if news doesn't change much I'm going to just close eyes and throw all my dice on away teams.
I'm going all in on Galata. Easy peasy.
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execijutiere
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September 28, 2023, 04:17:30 PM |
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Especially predicting the scores of the matches will be more difficult this week, so I can say that I can make Superbru Pool predictions with more difficulty than Google form.
For me personally it is harder to predict for the pot B. Most of us including myself is pretty familiar with how Superbru works, some players will tend to go for some safe prediction on Superbru to protect their lead or go wild with it if they are behind but this whole prediction on google form with point stake system is completely new for me Unlike your own money balances, its a point that replenish every week so things could be pretty wild as there is no harm to go wild with your option But as I will mention again, I think that this time the matches will be more difficult to predict than last week, so risk-taking seems to be a must, but I can't say that I'm a risk-taker, but I can't say that I'm a risk-taker. There can be a good scoring for risk-takers, of course, if the result they risked comes out for sure.Unless of course a possible injury or a development before the match spoils things, I don't think my current predictions are too risky. Maybe I was hasty in making the predictions.Because the teams will have a match in 3 days and there is a possibility that some of their players might get injured and miss the match.
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Trofo
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September 28, 2023, 05:37:29 PM |
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For me personally it is harder to predict for the pot B. Most of us including myself is pretty familiar with how Superbru works, some players will tend to go for some safe prediction on Superbru to protect their lead or go wild with it if they are behind but this whole prediction on google form with point stake system is completely new for me
Unlike your own money balances, its a point that replenish every week so things could be pretty wild as there is no harm to go wild with your option
I am quite sure I will be much better in pot B than in pot A. You get to pick your own games and you can find few good ones every game week no problems. In superbru you must predict everything and then it is lottery to get exact scores. Anyway, can't wait for later stages of CL, now there are too many games and it feels like overload.
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buwaytress (OP)
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September 28, 2023, 07:43:22 PM |
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Ordinarily I feel like I'd definitely do better in Pot B but only on a much larger sample of games. 10 rounds, might even be in loss. Tighter odds this time around. I'm going all in on Galata. Easy peasy.
You say what I think. Odds sdould be 10/1 though, this is United! I had to enter picks first, though, and with the absence of impulse, I put half of my bag on another away team
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1miau
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September 28, 2023, 09:24:44 PM |
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Anyway, can't wait for later stages of CL, now there are too many games and it feels like overload.
It might get very funny in our pool B, odds based predictions, when in semi-finals or final, everyone will have to take a risk, because only very balanced matches will be available to place bets. So, I expect everyone will have to put his stake on a prediction of 2.xx odds, where losing the bet will inevitably lead to 0 points rounds for some leading particpants and everyone else will have a chance to catch up. Supebru often tends to be settled way before semi-finals or final, while it's very possible to be different for our pool B here. In addition, we don't have to pick every match in pool B, unlike on Superbru, so semi-finals or final has more weight on pool B. Of course, I might be proven wrong if someone manages to build a huge lead early on in pool B.
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CLS63
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September 28, 2023, 09:24:52 PM |
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Ordinarily I feel like I'd definitely do better in Pot B but only on a much larger sample of games. 10 rounds, might even be in loss. Tighter odds this time around. I'm going all in on Galata. Easy peasy.
You say what I think. Odds sdould be 10/1 though, this is United! I had to enter picks first, though, and with the absence of impulse, I put half of my bag on another away team Galatasaray really have a great squad which is over the Turkish League standards. However the players haven't still been able to get used to each other. Zaha hasn't managed to recover from his injury completely. Still when we consider Manchester United's condition Galatasaray's making a surprise isn't impossible. They managed to qualify from a group with Real Madrid, Juventus and Copenhagen in the past with the contribution of star players such as Drogba, Sneijder.
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Harkorede
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September 29, 2023, 03:52:26 AM |
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Ordinarily I feel like I'd definitely do better in Pot B but only on a much larger sample of games. 10 rounds, might even be in loss. Tighter odds this time around. I'm going all in on Galata. Easy peasy.
You say what I think. Odds sdould be 10/1 though, this is United! I had to enter picks first, though, and with the absence of impulse, I put half of my bag on another away team Galatasaray really have a great squad which is over the Turkish League standards. However the players haven't still been able to get used to each other. Zaha hasn't managed to recover from his injury completely. Still when we consider Manchester United's condition Galatasaray's making a surprise isn't impossible. They managed to qualify from a group with Real Madrid, Juventus and Copenhagen in the past with the contribution of star players such as Drogba, Sneijder. I also have a couple 3-4 Odds, I'm quite thinking of going all in on, but I really just feel the need to add a bit of insurance, especially due to the fact that a lot of these teams are would be playing away from home. Meanwhile, most of the favorites, while looking good to back on paper, it's not as easy as it look. If Only Man City had no injury troubles, I would have no problem going all in @ 1.65, but the team doesn't seem to be in their best rhythm, Feyernood and PSG away from home against Atletico Madrid @ 5.2 and Newcastle @ 2.72 respectively are the most tempting ones for me. I might eventually just go with PSG, for the risk-reward ratio, imo.
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slaman29
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October 02, 2023, 08:07:10 AM |
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Hey is there any possibility to update some of the odds on the questionnaire? I noticed some of them are very different from current odds, would be nice to catch a bit more from the update Strange round in a way as not a single team in this entire round is considered over 10x, in fact 7x isn't even available Lets see how this does for me, took big gamble.
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swogerino
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October 02, 2023, 08:23:39 AM |
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Hey is there any possibility to update some of the odds on the questionnaire? I noticed some of them are very different from current odds, would be nice to catch a bit more from the update Strange round in a way as not a single team in this entire round is considered over 10x, in fact 7x isn't even available Lets see how this does for me, took big gamble. I completely forgot that we have time until tomorrow afternoon for this questionnaire and it is nice additional pot other than the main one.Let me see if the new google sheet is ready to fill,I think I played it right last time when I choose Porto to stake everything for them. Even this time I will find a good odd and that is with a strong team and I will do the same,stake everything on a single team,maybe not the right approach for many but for me this remains the best try to win something from this additional pot too.
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buwaytress (OP)
Legendary
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Activity: 2856
Merit: 3547
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October 02, 2023, 03:41:26 PM |
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Still only around 10 responses so far but I expect people are waiting on some team news (personally, I don't think it's much of a difference in Pot B) but I'll ping out reminders tomorrow. Don't forget, you can also try out Rollbit.com's promo! https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5468233.0Hey is there any possibility to update some of the odds on the questionnaire? I noticed some of them are very different from current odds, would be nice to catch a bit more from the update It's going to be problematic. Odds change all the time, sometimes big swings in a day. And then others who've already entered picks will invariably be upset (or happy). Even some of my picks enjoy better odds now than when I locked in mine, but it could go the other way... everything evens out.
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mv1986
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1193
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October 02, 2023, 03:50:56 PM |
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Still only around 10 responses so far but I expect people are waiting on some team news (personally, I don't think it's much of a difference in Pot B) but I'll ping out reminders tomorrow. Don't forget, you can also try out Rollbit.com's promo! https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5468233.0Hey is there any possibility to update some of the odds on the questionnaire? I noticed some of them are very different from current odds, would be nice to catch a bit more from the update It's going to be problematic. Odds change all the time, sometimes big swings in a day. And then others who've already entered picks will invariably be upset (or happy). Even some of my picks enjoy better odds now than when I locked in mine, but it could go the other way... everything evens out. I will be in for sure. Another very interesting round and I am curious to see how people will adjust their strategy or stick to what they have done last time. There are also a few massive games this week, which means lots of exciting results happening I suppose. It's going to be problematic. Odds change all the time That seems to be impossible and we are not there yet with the form to automatically update through an oracle.
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