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Author Topic: 📯📍Rollbit | 2025/26 Champions League Pool | ⚽️ Discussion | ~$15,000 prizes!  (Read 40516 times)
LTU_btc
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October 03, 2024, 05:13:00 PM
 #2901

Looks like everyone got destroyed in today's predictions (SuperBru Pot A). I thought I was the most unlucky until I checked Y'all results  Cheesy. Absolutely no one saw that Real Madrid + Bayern Munich losses. Lost in the tourney and lost again in my bets this evening. What a way to end MD2 of the UCL.
Yeah, yesterday's games delivered many unexpected results. Simply until yesterday everything went too much predictable. Together with Bayern and Real upsets I would like to add Benfica win 4:0 against Atletico, nobody didn't saw such big result coming.
Despite yesterday's results I'm 7th in Superbru and 12th in Pot B, so, I can't complain much.

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October 03, 2024, 05:28:35 PM
 #2902

Many were fooled in GW2 this time. Grin Seeing the list in Pot B mostly 0 means we got penalized hahaha.

Maybe the ones who messed up were Real Madrid and Bayern Munich.

At least Liverpool won hey, we are in a great position to potentially qualify for the last 16 without needing to go through the play offs. Much harder tests for Slot’s men lay ahead though.
A well-deserved win for Liverpool. I think Arne Slot will pass this big test maybe Real Madrid is the toughest opponent and when against Leverkusen at home later the Liverpool squad has confidence at Anfield, I think positive for Liverpool. Smiley
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October 03, 2024, 05:47:34 PM
 #2903

Yeah, yesterday's games delivered many unexpected results. Simply until yesterday everything went too much predictable. Together with Bayern and Real upsets I would like to add Benfica win 4:0 against Atletico, nobody didn't saw such big result coming.
Despite yesterday's results I'm 7th in Superbru and 12th in Pot B, so, I can't complain much.

Atletico have lost their image as a team with an impenetrable defense (this has happened for the third year now) but the fact that they lost 4-0 is certainly shocking.
By the way, because of your post I remembered about pot B and to my joy I somehow guessed to put 4 points on Aston Villa's victory. In the end I got 16 points which is quite good.

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October 03, 2024, 07:03:19 PM
 #2904

What a week on PotB for me..... horrible, i dont have any good pick plus i miss most of them by only one goal, to feel it more.

In PotA i have some decent performance but well i prefer to be better on PotB than A you know....  Wink

One of the worst thing of this weeks is it left you with a sensation of, "im gonna put a lot of surprises in the next week, because in the last one it was plenty of it".

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October 03, 2024, 07:20:22 PM
 #2905

Zagreb =( but Strongkored Strong at #1!

Night like this is for buwaytress, the underdog King.

The champions League fell off so bad man!!! Aston Villa dunking on Bayern. Lol.

Sadly, I wasn't able to make bets. Was on different connections, and all of them unable to get into SB, and just too busy to keep trying. Villa was top of my mind. The only bet I did make early was Dinamo Zagreb and... sad.

0 points for me in GW2. Looks like going for semi risky plays might be quite dumb after all. Oh well, I will go again in GW3.

At least Liverpool won hey, we are in a great position to potentially qualify for the last 16 without needing to go through the play offs. Much harder tests for Slot’s men lay ahead though.

Risky plays should have paid out in MD2, but they all had to hit as underdogs rather than 0 goals or overs (which I did and failed haha).

Liverpool did win, great for birthday boy Alisson he made a couple of good saves but I was just a bit frustrated we didn't try as much as we could have. So much passing in the box I was relieved whenever Nunez actually attempted.

A win's still a win, they say, and on a night when the big boys lost, we should be pleased.

Thanks for the heads up. I saw it on time and managed to put in my SuperBru predictions in. For Pot-B, I missed it because I was still figuring out how it works — More than 10 fixtures for MD2 and only saw that I could only allocate a max of 10 points. I will definitely get in the next round.

I've been messaging you about it for 2 MDs now, if you need help figuring it out, just ask Smiley It's actually very simple... put your picks, allocate 10 points, submit =) Really, if you still don't get it, I can send a video demo haha.

.
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October 03, 2024, 09:41:25 PM
 #2906

Not a great night for the big teams, Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid lost Atletico even with a landslide score, Bayern Munich lost and it was a great day for Aston Villa, Unai Emery's touch is still working well in this UCL for Villa and Juventus won even with only 10 players.
Congratulations to Kanapka for getting the most points for MD2, tonight all my picks went badly but luckily I got a point yesterday.

Plot B: I didn't bother checking the stats because I knew I won't be getting any points for MD2. Disaster at the office that's what I'll call this game week. It was just as if the big teams all had a meeting and they decided to spoil all our tickets/picks.

I heard Aston villa displayed their champions league trophy before the game against Bayern, I don't know how true that is but nice one from them. They prove they deserve to be in the competition this season, they aren't as small a team as we consider them to be afterall.

Real Madrid losing wasn't expected but seems the 'too many star syndrome' is getting to them. Endrick shouldn't be a starter, he should be used as sub. He still needs a lot of developing to do. On the positive side, game weeks like this is what keeps the game entertaining.

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October 03, 2024, 09:55:06 PM
 #2907

What a week on PotB for me..... horrible, i dont have any good pick plus i miss most of them by only one goal, to feel it more.

In PotA i have some decent performance but well i prefer to be better on PotB than A you know....  Wink

One of the worst thing of this weeks is it left you with a sensation of, "im gonna put a lot of surprises in the next week, because in the last one it was plenty of it".

I had not the most spectacular week but from looking highly improbable to getting one of the most points for MD2 isn’t what I’d call a bad day in the office for me.

Real Madrid was my insurance pick with 4 allocated points but they failed awfully, while that incredible comeback from Juventus was literally the saving grace for me.

.
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October 03, 2024, 10:25:53 PM
 #2908

Looks like everyone got destroyed in today's predictions (SuperBru Pot A). I thought I was the most unlucky until I checked Y'all results  Cheesy. Absolutely no one saw that Real Madrid + Bayern Munich losses. Lost in the tourney and lost again in my bets this evening. What a way to end MD2 of the UCL.
Yeah, yesterday's games delivered many unexpected results. Simply until yesterday everything went too much predictable. Together with Bayern and Real upsets I would like to add Benfica win 4:0 against Atletico, nobody didn't saw such big result coming.
Despite yesterday's results I'm 7th in Superbru and 12th in Pot B, so, I can't complain much.

Athletico Madrid? They're a very shitty team. I wasn't surprised to see Benfica demolish them yesterday. Well worth it. The biggest sting yesterday was that Both Bayern abd Real Madrid lost to new faces in the UCL (I know Villa has won it at least once) but still, Villa and Lille are not familiar faces. The fact that it happened in the same gameweek makes it more humbling.

For what it's worth, Liverpool have been trying to beat Madrid for years and Lille got it on a silver platter.

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October 03, 2024, 10:33:59 PM
 #2909

Athletico Madrid? They're a very shitty team. I wasn't surprised to see Benfica demolish them yesterday. Well worth it. The biggest sting yesterday was that Both Bayern abd Real Madrid lost to new faces in the UCL (I know Villa has won it at least once) but still, Villa and Lille are not familiar faces. The fact that it happened in the same gameweek makes it more humbling.

For what it's worth, Liverpool have been trying to beat Madrid for years and Lille got it on a silver platter.

Bad enough to lose 4-0? You're exaggerating. As for the results, it's all because of the new format and the low value of the games. Otherwise, why would the bookmakers be so greedy and give Aston Villa a win of just over 4? I can imagine the face of the person who guessed Bayern's defeat (which no one has seen in the group stage for years) and got only +300%.

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October 03, 2024, 11:12:20 PM
 #2910

Bad enough to lose 4-0? You're exaggerating. As for the results, it's all because of the new format and the low value of the games. Otherwise, why would the bookmakers be so greedy and give Aston Villa a win of just over 4? I can imagine the face of the person who guessed Bayern's defeat (which no one has seen in the group stage for years) and got only +300%.

So far the opposite has been proven. When all clubs are given the same level of opportunities, the weakest ones perform well.

Before, you could even see Villa beat Bayern in the first round. But, you knew that Bayern would win in the second round, and easily win one or two more games. Now everything changes, because Bayern will not play Villa again and cannot take revenge. He will play with other clubs, which may even be more difficult than Villa.

I see this UCL format giving all clubs many more opportunities than before. I believe that next year will be different, because everyone is prepared differently, but at least everyone is being placed on the same level.

Regarding Benfica, I think many have been underestimating the club, because of the bad start to the season. But the coach is different, and things are very different. Benfica has a great squad, and Atletico's problem was thinking that Benfica was an "easy" team. It cannot be forgotten that Benfica - apart from last season - is a club that normally always passed the group stage.

 
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October 04, 2024, 11:57:43 AM
 #2911

<>
Everything is magical in life now, except for my betting RIP everything.
As long as it is a nightmare for the big teams, they are humiliated, it is unimaginable to lose to the underdogs who now rule the table.

Some of the favorites are below the top 10 - MD2

RIP parlay - Pot A failed a lot in the Real Madrid and Bayern Munich match. Sad

Nothing to panic about tho, it's league phase, I think all the big teams knew this, they would lose 1 or 2 games, and still qualify. Even in middle of table you can got to playoff, you will get a weak team and still go through.

Nothing is unimaginable in football, and this is only Day 2.

RIP everything man, Pot A, Pot B, I think retirement is for me.

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October 04, 2024, 12:02:50 PM
 #2912

Bad enough to lose 4-0? You're exaggerating. As for the results, it's all because of the new format and the low value of the games. Otherwise, why would the bookmakers be so greedy and give Aston Villa a win of just over 4? I can imagine the face of the person who guessed Bayern's defeat (which no one has seen in the group stage for years) and got only +300%.

So far the opposite has been proven. When all clubs are given the same level of opportunities, the weakest ones perform well.

Before, you could even see Villa beat Bayern in the first round. But, you knew that Bayern would win in the second round, and easily win one or two more games. Now everything changes, because Bayern will not play Villa again and cannot take revenge. He will play with other clubs, which may even be more difficult than Villa.

I see this UCL format giving all clubs many more opportunities than before. I believe that next year will be different, because everyone is prepared differently, but at least everyone is being placed on the same level.

Regarding Benfica, I think many have been underestimating the club, because of the bad start to the season. But the coach is different, and things are very different. Benfica has a great squad, and Atletico's problem was thinking that Benfica was an "easy" team. It cannot be forgotten that Benfica - apart from last season - is a club that normally always passed the group stage.

Proven by what?
Small clubs perform better because for them the Champions League at any stage is an achievement, and for top clubs it is routine. If you look at the League of Nations games or friendlies in general, you can also think that "all teams are about the same level", but this is not so. I'm sure if we compare the playoffs that will be this year with the previous seasons, we will see almost no differences (the usual small rotation), so what's the point of this circus-like huge group tournament if we end up at the same point?
It would be cruel, but a true Champions League should consist of at least half as many teams. And in that case, I would  watch even round robin tournament with greater interest.

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October 04, 2024, 12:08:43 PM
 #2913

Small clubs perform better because for them the Champions League at any stage is an achievement, and for top clubs it is routine.

This is completely true. It just seems to me that most players from the small clubs are performing way more enthusiastic knowing that this is a good chance for them to get scouted or whatsoever meanwhile the top teams are chiling because they won by huge margin on 1st game so even losing on the 2nd game wont really cost them anything as they know they could win the next one



Anyway I didnt even bother to check my score on Superbru yesterday knowing that I sucks so bad on pot B but hey 14.5 points while the winners are on 16.5 points are pretty decent so I'll take it although I only just got bumped by 2 ranks ahead from the previous

 
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October 04, 2024, 12:45:14 PM
 #2914

Athletico Madrid? They're a very shitty team. I wasn't surprised to see Benfica demolish them yesterday. Well worth it. The biggest sting yesterday was that Both Bayern abd Real Madrid lost to new faces in the UCL (I know Villa has won it at least once) but still, Villa and Lille are not familiar faces. The fact that it happened in the same gameweek makes it more humbling.

For what it's worth, Liverpool have been trying to beat Madrid for years and Lille got it on a silver platter.
Isn't it too early to rejoice at such an event? Madrid may not be in shape this period, but everything has its time. Naturally, many fans are not at all satisfied with this result, but I am confident in their game. The moment will come when we will all be truly amazed by the positive dynamics of the team, which I would suit everyone. Don't rush to bury Madrid. I want to believe in a miracle that we don't see today.

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October 04, 2024, 01:06:13 PM
 #2915

Athletico Madrid? They're a very shitty team. I wasn't surprised to see Benfica demolish them yesterday. Well worth it. The biggest sting yesterday was that Both Bayern abd Real Madrid lost to new faces in the UCL (I know Villa has won it at least once) but still, Villa and Lille are not familiar faces. The fact that it happened in the same gameweek makes it more humbling.

For what it's worth, Liverpool have been trying to beat Madrid for years and Lille got it on a silver platter.

Bad enough to lose 4-0? You're exaggerating. As for the results, it's all because of the new format and the low value of the games. Otherwise, why would the bookmakers be so greedy and give Aston Villa a win of just over 4? I can imagine the face of the person who guessed Bayern's defeat (which no one has seen in the group stage for years) and got only +300%.


I think the odds was rightfully allocated and justified, the 4x seem about the best Odds that could have been handed to Aston Villa, If you actually expected it to be more then I believe you're either undervaluing Aston Villa or overvaluing Bayern Munich, or maybe both.

Aston Villa have only lost one match in all competition this season, and that was a loss against Arsenal. Bayern Munich aren't as scary as they used to be, and were to play away from home, coupled with all other factors, the odds seem just about right to me, and I know of a number of people who had found the it valuable enough to go for.

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October 04, 2024, 05:24:41 PM
 #2916

Bad enough to lose 4-0? You're exaggerating. As for the results, it's all because of the new format and the low value of the games. Otherwise, why would the bookmakers be so greedy and give Aston Villa a win of just over 4? I can imagine the face of the person who guessed Bayern's defeat (which no one has seen in the group stage for years) and got only +300%.


I think the odds was rightfully allocated and justified, the 4x seem about the best Odds that could have been handed to Aston Villa, If you actually expected it to be more then I believe you're either undervaluing Aston Villa or overvaluing Bayern Munich, or maybe both.

Aston Villa have only lost one match in all competition this season, and that was a loss against Arsenal. Bayern Munich aren't as scary as they used to be, and were to play away from home, coupled with all other factors, the odds seem just about right to me, and I know of a number of people who had found the it valuable enough to go for.

But Bayern in turn had 6 wins and one draw before this meeting. And in these 7 games Bayern scored 30 goals. At the very least it looked like Bayern had overcome a slump, and even Bayern in a slump >> any random strong club. Remember their last disastrous season - nevertheless it took the whole Real to stop them.
If this was a playoff game, I wouldn't have bet on Aston Villa even with odds of 6.0, the fact that bookmakers gave such odds is not due to the balance of power, but to the format of the tournament and the status of this game.

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October 04, 2024, 05:37:19 PM
 #2917

But Bayern in turn had 6 wins and one draw before this meeting. And in these 7 games Bayern scored 30 goals. At the very least it looked like Bayern had overcome a slump, and even Bayern in a slump >> any random strong club. Remember their last disastrous season - nevertheless it took the whole Real to stop them.
If this was a playoff game, I wouldn't have bet on Aston Villa even with odds of 6.0, the fact that bookmakers gave such odds is not due to the balance of power, but to the format of the tournament and the status of this game.


I totally get your drift, but there really is more to how the bookies/odds maker arrive at their odds than a team being an household name or scary af to underdogs.

And moreover these odds are often two hedged swords when they seem to have undervalued a team, then they’ll on the other hand have to overvalue the second team. If you Aston Villa at 4+ Odds is way too low in your opinion, then you’ll have to agree that Bayern Munich at 1.68+ Odds, ~70% is highly valuable for that match. If yes, I guess, it’s settled then.

.
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October 05, 2024, 04:51:14 AM
 #2918

I think the odds was rightfully allocated and justified, the 4x seem about the best Odds that could have been handed to Aston Villa, If you actually expected it to be more then I believe you're either undervaluing Aston Villa or overvaluing Bayern Munich, or maybe both.

Aston Villa have only lost one match in all competition this season, and that was a loss against Arsenal. Bayern Munich aren't as scary as they used to be, and were to play away from home, coupled with all other factors, the odds seem just about right to me, and I know of a number of people who had found the it valuable enough to go for.
Aston Villa really amazes me with their game this year. I couldn't even imagine that the team is capable of this. To be honest, to suffer a defeat from Arsenal is nothing but a sign of respect and honor. After all, Arsenal is a very strong opponent, who have proven to us all many times that they are not in vain the title of champion.

Aston Villa will soon show itself in all its glory, I think. If it hasn't already.

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October 05, 2024, 04:58:16 PM
Merited by Harkorede (1)
 #2919

But Bayern in turn had 6 wins and one draw before this meeting. And in these 7 games Bayern scored 30 goals. At the very least it looked like Bayern had overcome a slump, and even Bayern in a slump >> any random strong club. Remember their last disastrous season - nevertheless it took the whole Real to stop them.
If this was a playoff game, I wouldn't have bet on Aston Villa even with odds of 6.0, the fact that bookmakers gave such odds is not due to the balance of power, but to the format of the tournament and the status of this game.


I totally get your drift, but there really is more to how the bookies/odds maker arrive at their odds than a team being an household name or scary af to underdogs.

And moreover these odds are often two hedged swords when they seem to have undervalued a team, then they’ll on the other hand have to overvalue the second team. If you Aston Villa at 4+ Odds is way too low in your opinion, then you’ll have to agree that Bayern Munich at 1.68+ Odds, ~70% is highly valuable for that match. If yes, I guess, it’s settled then.

Yep. It's the same coin, so of course if one side is overvalued, the other is undervalued, straight math.
Group stage is probably good for money bets (as are friendly games), but it's hard to decide what's better - to bet on demotivated favorites with generous odds or underdogs (although bookmakers don't always overvalue underdogs and undervalue favorites in every pair). I still haven't really decided this question and avoid games with increased randomness.

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October 05, 2024, 09:52:20 PM
 #2920

If this was a playoff game, I wouldn't have bet on Aston Villa even with odds of 6.0, the fact that bookmakers gave such odds is not due to the balance of power, but to the format of the tournament and the status of this game.
And moreover these odds are often two hedged swords when they seem to have undervalued a team, then they’ll on the other hand have to overvalue the second team. If you Aston Villa at 4+ Odds is way too low in your opinion, then you’ll have to agree that Bayern Munich at 1.68+ Odds, ~70% is highly valuable for that match. If yes, I guess, it’s settled then.

I can't think too complicated when it comes to odds, but I'm probably on this page, maybe all three of us actually are, just on different paragraphs (I have a feeling I think a lot like KTChampions when it comes to odds).

Which is why I didn't even consider betting on Villa -- 4/1 was undervalued. This is a cool team, but they still struggled against Ipswich, and snatched a win from Everton. Watkins alone is what gives them at least 20% more xG. In this case, I certainly agree 17/10 Bayern was high value. Would have bet on them had I not such a low estimation of how much their manager actually influences them.

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