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Author Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation  (Read 3312390 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (2 posts by 1+ user deleted.)
aminorex
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August 30, 2016, 04:55:29 AM
 #20781

Gosh, what happened?

When I went to bed the resident monkey botherer was predicting an ATH within "6 to 8 hours" - no doubt those numbers were used in a semantically objective way  Cheesy Cheesy Tongue

I was objectively wrong.

I was just running with the theory that if it happens 4 times, it's liable to happen  5.  6, 8, 18, 48, whatever, as long as it happens eventually (by 2017) I'll be content.

Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
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aminorex
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August 30, 2016, 04:59:44 AM
Last edit: August 30, 2016, 05:13:48 AM by aminorex
 #20782

Since polo is so bot-infested, it's hard to compete for maker rate.

Who would move to a new exchange that did not offer an API - humans only?

Maybe I should make a poll...

Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
aminorex
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August 30, 2016, 05:13:27 AM
 #20783



Now I can: http://about.bitwa.la/bitwala-is-now-accepting-monero/

Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
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August 30, 2016, 05:58:55 AM
 #20784

Is XMR's rise too much, too soon? It would have been better if the rise was slow and real where majority the people from the community could participated and gotten in to have their fill. This rise looks like the traders took advantage of the people's fear of being left behind by pumping it and then sell at high prices. Sooner or later some people will get burned playing in the current state of the XMR market.

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sammy007
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August 30, 2016, 06:05:00 AM
 #20785

majority the people from the community could participated and gotten in to have their fill.

"Community" had 2 years to fill. There is no such word as "community" in crypto, all "community" forgot about coin for a year, devs worked hard on it, then "community" back for a day to dump, throw jokes about lambos and boats and ran again. Only market adoption makes sense for now and XMR has real sector. The most real one in crypto.
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August 30, 2016, 06:06:38 AM
 #20786

yah try  to buy XMR and hold, hope price like ETH soon.
aminorex
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August 30, 2016, 06:19:55 AM
 #20787

Is XMR's rise too much, too soon? It would have been better if the rise was slow  ...

That's the nature of the animal.  Wishing won't change that.  Price was too low, so it had to go up.  There were 2.5 years to bid it up, but no one could be bothered.  

It will happen again and again.  As with bitcoin, so with Monero, only faster.  Much faster.


Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
explorer
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August 30, 2016, 06:28:09 AM
 #20788

254 active nodes  Shocked Cool
aminorex
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August 30, 2016, 06:32:07 AM
 #20789

throw jokes about lambos and boats and ran again. Only market adoption makes sense for now and XMR has real sector. The most real one in crypto.

You may not have clicked the link, given your interpretation of the boat meme.  It's worth a look.  BTC lusted after easier integration with the legacy financial system for years.  You can fund a visa card with Monero, make SEPA payments from Monero. I find that very empowering.  Why save in a depreciating currency at negative interest rates when you can save in the most rapidly appreciating asset on the planet, with convenient liquidity?!

More on-ramps will be required. 

Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
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August 30, 2016, 07:02:46 AM
 #20790

throw jokes about lambos and boats and ran again. Only market adoption makes sense for now and XMR has real sector. The most real one in crypto.

You may not have clicked the link, given your interpretation of the boat meme.

Not about you btw.
magico
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August 30, 2016, 07:08:37 AM
 #20791

You can fund a visa card with Monero, make SEPA payments from Monero.

Via XMR-BTC-USD(or somesthing)? Or there are the ways that I and others don't know about?
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August 30, 2016, 07:15:39 AM
 #20792

You can fund a visa card with Monero, make SEPA payments from Monero.

Via XMR-BTC-USD(or somesthing)? Or there are the ways that I and others don't know about?

https://www.bitwa.la/
magico
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August 30, 2016, 07:22:21 AM
 #20793

You can fund a visa card with Monero, make SEPA payments from Monero.

Via XMR-BTC-USD(or somesthing)? Or there are the ways that I and others don't know about?

https://www.bitwa.la/

thanks, I didn't checked what Bitwala is before...
Febo
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August 30, 2016, 07:58:06 AM
 #20794

Roger Ver makes a good point here
https://forum.bitcoin.com/monero/monero-price-speculation-thread-t10274.html#p29049

"Monero... hasn't been heavily tested with actual users yet.
It would only take one thing to go wrong technically for most, or all of the market cap to disappear."

The thoughts of those more technically minded....?



That is just the usual thing with investment advices in crypto. Buy as much as you can afford to lose. Any crypo can be worth really little if there is some mathematical fault in it that make it work insecure.
Bitcoin had more years to find such flaws. Monero only 2. So from this angle Monero is riskier.
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August 30, 2016, 08:34:00 AM
 #20795

Is XMR's rise too much, too soon? It would have been better if the rise was slow and real where majority the people from the community could participated and gotten in to have their fill. This rise looks like the traders took advantage of the people's fear of being left behind by pumping it and then sell at high prices. Sooner or later some people will get burned playing in the current state of the XMR market.

It is just looking like the natural progression of price. An exponential rise is always followed by a bust, and many speculators get washed out at a loss. That ensures that only the committed strong hands are left holding. BTC price chart followed a similar pattern.

If the long term trend is to be higher (and that is not always a given), then the next parabolic rise will be greater : However, the decline (trough) has to be large both in terms of price decline and time.
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August 30, 2016, 08:51:09 AM
 #20796



Expecting to see 0.0175-0.0185 in the near future. If 0.02 is breached decisively I could see 0.035 developing within the next 2 weeks. I think a crash below 0.012 in the next few days is very unlikely.

OK let's see if I can go for three out of three correct predictions.

I'm currently expecting a violent upward breakout within the next 12 hours which will see 0.2 blown past and a high of 0.025-0.028 being hit before price stabilizes at approx 0.021. I think this will be the final upward push before Sept 1st. Events become incredibly hard to predict after that date as a single piece of good or bad news in relation to XMR usage on AlphaBay could see huge swings in either direction.
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August 30, 2016, 08:51:29 AM
 #20797

254 active nodes  Shocked Cool

That was ages ago.  Now it's 425!  wild times  Cool
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August 30, 2016, 09:10:59 AM
 #20798

Gave myself a few haircuts, including one embarrassing one where I thought I cancelled the order and in the morning it was up to 12 and I was like glad I cancelled that sell at 8. Then WTF it somehow went through. Doh!


Still alive.



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August 30, 2016, 09:27:09 AM
 #20799

I will probably sign up for the Bitwala BTC credit card - I am not sure you can directly load it with XMR, but hey - the site will take XMR and convert.

I need a good dig into costs and how rates / charges work, but it looks good.

If you haven't looked, Fluffy Pony is in a short video being interviewed in front of what looks like a very swish wine collection by Amanda B Johnson.

It's a little out of date "Monero is about 25c" (those were the days, eh?) but ahem - made me smile...

http://about.bitwa.la/bitwala-is-now-accepting-monero/

我想要火箭和火车
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August 30, 2016, 09:34:05 AM
 #20800

Well, this has definitely been a fun week or so  Grin I don't have any insightful predictions to offer, but the following post did bring to mind some anecdotal info for whatever that's worth...

Yesterday morning I was on a break at work, yes Sunday, when I received a call from my gf who is out of town.  During our conversation she commented that I sounded "exceedingly calm".  You guys might be excited but this is what this upswing has done for my mood. Smiley  She knows of btc and Monero and my involvement but is limited in her understanding of them or my personal holdings.  She has had opportunity to invest but has declined.  When she hears of the recent rise she will inevitably ask why I didn't get her some Tongue  So yesterday I bought her some @0.0143 that she as yet doesn't know.  Of course any profits will be hers and any loses will be mine Grin Grin

Buying @0.0143 Shocked I must be crazy Undecided

I have been bleating on about bitcoin to any of my friends that would listen since before the 32 dollar spike. After that crash, all my friends just said "told you so" and would no longer put up with my crap.

Fast forward several years and in the past week I've had two friends call to ask how they can "get in on this Monero thing".

 I think there is a substantial number of people that had heard about bitcoin and they feel as though they missed that train. Now they see another train preparing to leave and they are frantic to reserve a seat... Full on FOMO.

Choo Choo My Friends!

"You have no moral right to rule us, nor do you possess any methods of enforcement that we have reason to fear." - John Perry Barlow, 1996
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