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1241  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: September 12, 2022, 06:04:44 PM
Do you recognize yourself? Grin
I see that you are not indifferent to me and I even inspire you to create art that corresponds to the level of your mental development. I have to disappoint you, I'm straight. Grin
1242  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: September 12, 2022, 04:47:16 PM

Ukraine's 2nd Largest City Plunged Into Total Darkness As Russia Strikes Key Infrastructure[/b]


"The center of Ukraine's second city Kharkiv was plunged into darkness on Sunday evening by an electricity blackout," Reuters has confirmed of the large-scale outage. It's further being reported that some city districts are also without water, creating a severe crisis for residents.

"The cause and extent of the blackout in the northeastern city were not immediately clear. There were also unconfirmed social media reports of blackouts in other places and regions," the report said initially.

However, Ukrainian officials are pointing to stepped up and deliberate Russian attacks on civilian electrical facilities crucial to the city's operations. They are viewing it as punishment for the at this point largely successful Ukrainian military counteroffensive which has regained at least 40 towns and villages to the north and east of Kharkiv.

President Volodymyr Zelensky posted a brief statement to social media along with footage of destroyed infrastructure, denouncing "Deliberate and cynical missile strikes on civilian, critical infrastructure." He stressed they were not "military facilities" that were attacked. "Kharkiv and Donetsk regions were cut off. In Zaporizhia, Dnipropetrovsk, Sumy there are partial problems with power supply."

...


Cool
Nope, this is a punishment for Ukraine's incessant shelling of the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, as a result of which the last reactor was shut down today. Russia was unable to protect the operation of the nuclear power plant and the visit of the IAEA mission did not help either. Now Ukrainians should stock up on patience and gasoline generators, rocket attacks on Ukrainian thermal power plants will be regular.
1243  Economy / Economics / Re: Germans are looking to firewood for energy as natural gas prices soar on: September 12, 2022, 12:11:19 PM
~
In general, the economic situation is stable ~

This made me laugh. Grin I read somewhere that Russians, almost the same as North Koreans, are living in their imaginary world that has little to do with reality, but this post of yours showed the extent of that illusion that even I didn't expect.

Just look at these graphs showing the impact of sanctions on the Russian economy:

Yeah, "the economic situation is stable", sure.
Glad you're having fun. That you are slipping me some kind of charts, I am telling you about my personal feelings from my own life and the lives of my friends. The 2014 sanctions following the annexation of Crimea were far more painful than the current ones. At that time, the ruble more than doubled against the dollar and almost all goods and services more than doubled in price, including the necessary ones, which cannot simply be abandoned. Now goods and services from the category of essential ones have risen in price by 5-10%, and some have even fallen in price, which is why the sanctions are easily tolerated.

People in Russia don't have to worry that they won't be able to buy food or pay their electricity and heating bills. Do you really think that I should suffer a lot because I can't go to the IMAX cinema or buy a can of Coca-Cola? This made me laugh too. Grin
1244  Economy / Economics / Re: Germans are looking to firewood for energy as natural gas prices soar on: September 12, 2022, 07:41:20 AM
Can someone please explain, why Germans are so worried about gas and are looking for alternative ways to keep warm this winter, but the rest of Europe, lets say Italy, France, Switzerland for example, are rather silent about similar problem. As if Germany is the only one who is dependable from Russian gas? Why other countries are so silent? They dont care or scared to talk? They have alternative to gas heating (doubt that)? If yes, could Germany take their experience ?
To answer your question, you just need to look at the map of Russian gas pipelines to Europe. The gas pipe from Russia does not pass through France and Switzerland - that's why they are silent. The North and South of Italy end at the South Stream fork, which is now operating normally, so the industrial north of Italy is suffering from rising gas prices, but in general, Italy also does not protest very loudly (perhaps because Italy has a traditionally mild winter, or perhaps they are afraid that the South Stream will also be blocked if they start to resent). Four (!) gas main pipelines come to Germany from Russia, three of which are now not working (Yamal, Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2). The problem is focused on Germany, because Germany has the largest dependence on gas in general and on Russian pipeline gas in particular in Europe.

Scholz's statements that Germany is ready to turn off Russian gas is pure populism. Without Russian gas, the entire German industry will die as a genre (although of course the Germans will not freeze this winter). The complete abandonment of industry is the price of anti-Russian sanctions for Germany.
1245  Economy / Economics / Re: Germans are looking to firewood for energy as natural gas prices soar on: September 12, 2022, 06:32:24 AM
Plus who in Bitcointalk is actually living in Russia right now? Is there support for Putin, or are the people becoming discontented by the economic situation?
I live in Russia, in the Urals (about 2000 km from Moscow). As for the economic situation, I can say the following:
1. Utilities (electricity, gas, heating, etc.) have risen in price by about 5% over the past six months. Gasoline at gas stations has not risen in price. Basic foodstuffs have not risen in price, there was a surge in prices in early spring, then prices rolled back after the strengthening of the ruble.
2. Significantly more expensive cars, a significant drop in sales, friends who wanted to change the car abandoned this idea.
3. Recently, the price of food for Royal Canin cats, which ate my cat and cat (British and Scottish breed), has noticeably increased (by about 50%). Many types of new pet food made in Russia have appeared on the market. I consulted with a familiar veterinarian, she advised a good domestic food, my pets approved of it. In terms of money, food is slightly cheaper than Royal Canin before its sharp rise in price, that is, my budget for keeping animals has not changed.
4. I smoke cigarettes from farm tobacco, I used to buy French paper and filters for cigarettes from Mascotte. Recently, they have also risen sharply in price (by about 50%), I switched to Polish filters and Chinese super-thin paper, at a price they are about three times cheaper than French ones. The quality of the paper is the same, Polish filters are slightly worse than French ones, but not fundamentally.
5. Apple equipment, which is now imported into Russia under the parallel gray import scheme, has risen in price very much. But there are options, for example, a macbook pro on an m1 max chip with a 1TB ssd costs about 800 thousand rubles (about 12 thousand dollars) in Russia, a friend recently bought a new unpacked macbook pro for 250 thousand rubles, which was made for the UK market and imported into Russia through the United Arab Emirates. Laser engraving of a Russian keyboard costs 1,000 rubles.

In general, the economic situation is stable, if some European goods rise in price sharply due to sanctions, there is a quite adequate and budgetary replacement. It looks as if Western manufacturers are losing the Russian market due to their own sanctions, and their place is being taken by domestic or Chinese goods. My opinion is that the Europeans believed too much in the power of the brand.

There are no protest moods in Russia, Putin has a very large credit of trust among the population. There is no systemic opposition in Russia.
1246  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: September 12, 2022, 03:37:10 AM
Desperate Russian Terrorist Forces are bombing power plants now. As if there are no more military objectives for them, just destroy everything they can on the way out.
Russia has long run out of missiles, probably Ukraine itself is bombing its power plants for some reason. Grin
1247  Economy / Economics / Re: India as a developed country by 2047 on: September 10, 2022, 08:35:39 PM
All economies of the world are divided into developed, developing, Japan and Argentina. The transition from one category to another within the framework of the existing economic paradigm is impossible or extremely difficult.
1248  Economy / Economics / Re: EU countries agree deal to cut use of gas this winter on: September 10, 2022, 05:57:14 PM
Meanwhile, European ministers have backed down on divisive proposals to cap Russian gas prices. The EU plan calls for governments to strip excess revenues from wind, nuclear and coal-fired power plants, which can currently sell their energy at record gas-driven prices, and use the money to rein in consumer bills. This is the funniest thing I've read this week.
The weird thing is how the electricity market in EU works: suppliers make their offers based on consumption predictions (for the next day). The cheapest are used first, but they all receive the same price as the highest offer that's needed for that day. And the most flexible (natural gas) is also the most expensive one. So coal, nuclear, wind and solar receive up to 10 or 20 times more for their energy than they used to, while their cost didn't go up.
It doesn't makes sense to pay a coal power plant for instance €800 per MWh, if they say they can provide it for €40 (numbers made up by me, but I believe this is what's happening now).

So it's market failure caused by market thinking combined with government involvement. Even after giving a permit to build a power plant, government decided to cancel it during it's construction. It feels like we have the worst of both world: market thinking doesn't lead to better prices if government restrictions don't allow new market entrants.

The fact that they're now trying to mitigate this fundamental problem by stripping revenues is indeed laughable.
As I understand it, this is a response to an letter from the Eurometaux industry association (which brings together the 40 largest industrial enterprises in the European Union) asking for help from European industry in the face of a sharp increase in energy prices.
1249  Economy / Economics / Re: EU countries agree deal to cut use of gas this winter on: September 10, 2022, 06:45:12 AM
Meanwhile, European ministers have backed down on divisive proposals to cap Russian gas prices. The EU plan calls for governments to strip excess revenues from wind, nuclear and coal-fired power plants, which can currently sell their energy at record gas-driven prices, and use the money to rein in consumer bills. This is the funniest thing I've read this week.
1250  Economy / Economics / Re: Russian Gas ban - A problem for Europe or suicide for Russia? on: September 10, 2022, 06:29:20 AM
Russians have survived the whole world sanctions - they have won the war against Ukraine and they have survived the sanctions - emerged as a strong nation - what else you want to listen about Russia?
Is that harsh Pakistani sarcasm? Smiley
1251  Economy / Economics / Re: Wheat War I is going to be World War III on: September 10, 2022, 05:56:25 AM
What I've found with my little research is that the problem is about yield.

With these fertilizers (rich with nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium) they can keep reusing the same soil and harvest a lot and multiple times a year. With no fertilizer or with traditional ones the yield significantly decreases and you can't harvest as many times. The soil simply doesn't have what the crop needs to grow.
Not to mention that you can't produce nearly as much traditional fertilizers like guano!

So for example if a wheat farmer was producing 1 ton of wheat before, without these fertilizers they can produce only 20-30% of that.

Not sure about the figure of 20%-30%, but I agree that the yields will be down by a lot without chemical fertilizers. In Sri Lanka they banned chemical fertilizer and the agricultural sector got completely destroyed as a result. Here in India, there is a shortage of fertilizer (both Ammonia based and Potash based), because of the war in Ukraine. Here the government procures the supply and then gives them to farmers free of charge. But they are unable to secure enough supplies at reasonable rates and as a result we are having an acute shortage.
Meanwhile, in Russia there is simply nowhere to store grain, fertilizers and ammonia (judging by Putin's statements yesterday on the food problem).
1. Russia will supply 30 million tons of grain to needy countries by the end of the year.
2. Russia is ready to donate potash fertilizers to developing countries.
3. Russia is ready to supply ammonia in the amount of two million tons to countries in need.
1252  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Can We Derive Hope From Progress And People Becoming Smarter Over Time on: September 09, 2022, 06:37:59 PM
I think that the level of access to education is growing on the planet, and the level of critical thinking, on the contrary, is falling. People in general are becoming more infantile, more suggestible. I am not too hopeful for positive quantitative progress in this regard, but I am sure that evolution has many interesting qualitative leaps up its sleeve for humanity. And perhaps our today's species disadvantages will tomorrow become our evolutionary advantages.
1253  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: September 09, 2022, 03:57:33 PM
Ukrainian pensioner 'shoots down £74million Russian Su-34 jet with a RIFLE and is awarded a medal for his heroism'

It's time for fucking stories lol. Grin
1254  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: September 09, 2022, 12:35:49 PM
If "lost counteroffensive" is to return 600 km2 in 3 days, then i don't know what to call "succesfull counteroffensive"
I spoke about the offensive in the Kherson direction, which, due to the open terrain, was doomed to turn into a senseless meat grinder, which actually happened. In the Izyum direction, the prospects for the Armed Forces of Ukraine are more interesting - there is a wooded terrain, a shallow and easy to cross even ford river, and the same dramatic shortage of personnel in the Russian army, as in general for this special operation. Congratulations, now it really looks like a counteroffensive. Dispelled my boredom, otherwise it turned into beating children.
1255  Economy / Economics / Re: Germans are looking to firewood for energy as natural gas prices soar on: September 09, 2022, 11:10:44 AM
Why is this bad? Let Europeans take to the squares more actively, rallies, protest and storm city halls. Isn't that what European politicians wanted with sanctions, so that the Russians went to rallies and overthrew the Putin regime? If you don't like double standards, you need to be consistent about it.
Well, it's a conundrum.

On one hand we have western regimes that propaganda and attempts at regime change is among their smallest crimes. They have been on a murdering spree for decades around the world and have supported terrorism like US or have even become a sanctuary for terrorist cults like Albania and Sweden.
(We also haven't forgotten the chemical WMDs Germany made to be dropped on our cities in 1980's.)

On the other hand we have regular people who have no idea what is going on in the world or in their own country for that matter. They can't even point to Russia on the map! All their information comes from the propaganda machine that is brainwashing them every day in the name of democracy, while they work 8-10 hours a day until they are 65-70 years old.

The regular people are paying the cost as they are caught up in 3 wars (economy, food and energy) their governments started. Nobody can be happy about that.
Perhaps you are right, ordinary people are not responsible for the decisions of their elected politicians. Even in the best democracy there is a gulf between the layman and the ruling elite.
1256  Economy / Economics / Re: Germans are looking to firewood for energy as natural gas prices soar on: September 09, 2022, 05:39:53 AM
When the Russian economy goes down, and the Ruble gets devalued, I can see a lot of celebrations in the Western media.
That's one of many double standards that exists in the "West" and I'm afraid with the new world order we are going to see a lot more of it until the transition completes.

Now it is the turn of the Russians to celebrate.
That's just as bad though. It's the regular people in Europe who suffer and they don't give a shit about Ukraine, Russia or their own government and their policies. All they care about is stability in their lives. Which is why we are seeing increasing protests all around Europe for the past 6 months against their own government, European Union and even NATO.
Why is this bad? Let Europeans take to the squares more actively, rallies, protest and storm city halls. Isn't that what European politicians wanted with sanctions, so that the Russians went to rallies and overthrew the Putin regime? If you don't like double standards, you need to be consistent about it.
1257  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Queen Dies at the age of 96 on: September 08, 2022, 07:33:46 PM
As a human being, I liked the Queen, peace be upon her.

And as a Russian, I am glad that the sun has set on the British Empire, because Britain is in the top 3 most Russophobic countries in the world and not in last place. Hoping for internal squabbling between the lobby of William and Charles, weakening ties between Britain, Canada and Australia, and the British taking a big spoonful of shit with the new prime minister. You deserve it, I don't feel sorry for you.
1258  Economy / Economics / Re: Russian Gas ban - A problem for Europe or suicide for Russia? on: September 08, 2022, 07:16:35 PM
Nothing will work out between Pakistan and India - the so called terrorist or the freedom fighter would not let that happen.
Pakistan and India are never a peace with each other.
and the history will stay the same for every!

Never is too long by historical standards. Practice shows that it is possible to both make friends and quarrel any two countries within 30 years (in a generation and a half).
1259  Economy / Economics / Re: EU countries agree deal to cut use of gas this winter on: September 08, 2022, 06:53:43 PM
It's so strange, Europe bought 2 world wars for themselves and rest of the world, yet after 70  years. Once saviour in world war Russia and rest of the world is again seem to be standing up in arms against each other.. ah!  humanity never learn...Had not not really knocked Russian doors, there would not had be any reason of fight between Russia and Ukraine. Now we have set in a chain reaction and we need to stop it somewhere
The problem is not "knocking on the doors of Russia", that is the problem. Propaganda by the Russians is that "they came all the way into our borders, we had no choice left!!" and the reality is that Ukraine is an independent nation that has the right to make decisions independently.

If Ukraine as a nation wants to join EU, they have the right to do that, saying that "they came to our borders!!!" means that Ukraine does not have the right to join EU just because Russia doesn't want them to, is that independence? Of course not. This is why there was absolutely no legit reason for Russia to attack, and they are just pure bad people for doing it, not Russians of course, all the Russians I met are lovely people, it is only Putin that is evil.
The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has torn off many masks. The European Union has turned out to be a colossus with feet of clay, whose power is based on cheap resources and energy from Russia and cheap labor from Eastern Europe. NATO turned out to be an incompetent impotent and a pale shadow of AUKUS. Great Britain found itself without a Queen and with an unscrupulous opportunist prime minister. If Russia seriously turns to the east, Europe is fucked.

And if Russia does not turn its back on Europe and extends a helping hand to it, it will take control over Ukraine, Poland, the Baltic states and the Balkans in return. Therefore, the European Union is fucked up anyway. Grin

Europe will have to learn to live with this in the next few years.
1260  Economy / Economics / Re: Wheat War I is going to be World War III on: September 08, 2022, 05:04:38 PM
I started this topic 4 months ago and warned about the food crisis that is going to be caused by fertilizer crisis. The "European Fertilizer Producers" just figure it out recently! Their representative announced that the fertilizer industry is already in a full-fledged crisis!
"As a result, over 70% of European production capacity has been curtailed. If the situation prevails, we fear that remaining producers could also be affected."

Interestingly enough they blame the over 1000% increase in gas price, but that is only part of the reason. The major imports of components they used to produce the fertilizers are no longer being sold to them as I said earlier which is why they can not produce enough fertilizers anymore.
Lithuanian fertilizer company, Achema AB has already said as much when they announced they will shut down soon.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-26/europe-s-fertilizer-crisis-deepens-with-70-of-capacity-hit
https://www.newsweek.com/europes-energy-crisis-turning-food-crisis-opinion-1740228
In the chemical fertilizer industry, natural gas is both a source of energy and a raw material. Fertilizers are made from gas using gas. Therefore, next year, European farmers will be forced to switch to organic farming.

The Lithuanian fertilizer plant that you are talking about consumed 50% of the gas in Lithuania before its shutdown.
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