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1461  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC always Decouple on: November 03, 2022, 12:54:24 PM
New fed rates announced , Share market shaked very red colour. over 500Billion wiped. But when we come to BTC. BTC not react aggressively.  BTC on his own way.

Most people put short positions on exchanges but liquidated because BTC pumped at that moment. its a hunt.

my conclusion is BTC decouple most of the equity markets. BTC has own way. So lets trust the timeline

Both are correlated but that doesn't mean they will always move the same in all cases, we all know the market is unpredictable so don't look at the market that way. And as you said it's a hunt, the market still has certain manipulations at some point, so the best way to avoid losing money is to limit trading while waiting for the big news to be announced.
1462  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bull or bear November? on: November 03, 2022, 12:42:55 PM
The price of Bitcoins won’t depend on months. Rather it will affect depending on the demand of the coins. If this month we witness great events regarding Bitcoins, or any bit nation adopting Bitcoins, then only the price will rise. These all events will eventually grow the interest among the people to buy more Bitcoins and hence the demand for the coin will increase and due to the limited supply of the coin, it will lead to the price boost. As we have witnessed November isn’t a bear time, so definitely we gonna see a bull run this time.

If according to your prediction, we will take into account the economic situation as well as the ongoing war situation. Yesterday the Fed continued to raise interest rates at a high level which means that the crisis is not over anytime and the war is still raging, all of this will cause the demand to invest in risky assets will continue to decline. Therefore, we are yet to see any bullish signal in November.

My prediction there will be no growth this month and bitcoin will continue to move sideways from 18k-22k like previous months, maybe we have bottomed in this bearish season and we are entering the accumulation zone
1463  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: T20 and T20I cricket prediction and discussion on: November 02, 2022, 05:56:35 AM
Today's match between Zimbabwe and Netherlands is extremely crucial for the former. If they manage to win, then there is a chance that they will finish within the top-4 in Group 2. And that will enable them to secure automatic qualification to the next T20 world cup. Even if either Bangladesh or Pakistan fails to finish in top-4, there is no threat for these teams. Because they are in top-10 of the ICC T20 rankings, they will also get the automatic qualification slot. If this happens, then Ireland will be the team failing to secure automatic slot.
Zimbabwe is not batting well. But Sikandar's king is still at the crease. They still have the opportunity to give big targets. Zimbabwe lost 5 wickets after collecting only 77 runs in 12.4 overs. However, Sikandar Raja, the most important player in the Zimbabwe squad, is still unbeaten. If he can play big innings then Zimbabwe will be able to collect 140-150. And 140 will be a big enough target to win against a team like the Netherlands. We got good performances from the Zimbabwean bowlers in the last matches. So it can be assumed that if Zimbabwe is able to give a target like 140 in today's match then the match will be controlled by the Zimbabwean bowlers.

Sikandar Raja's batting was decent. After collecting 40 runs off 24 balls, he returned to the dressing room. Apart from Sikandar Raja and Sean Williams, none of the players played well. No player could even score 10 runs. Zimbabwe's innings ended with 117 runs. They lost all their wickets in 19.2 overs. I think there is no possibility of winning with such a low target. The Netherlands need less than 6 runs per over to win.

Every bowler of the Netherlands performed well today. Zimbabwe bowlers had a lot of trouble facing Netherlands bowlers today. Is the pitch bowling friendly? Although I don't think the pitch is bowling friendly. So I expect the victory of the Netherlands in this match.
1464  Other / Meta / Re: post deletion issue on: November 02, 2022, 12:25:54 AM
<...>
This is the last post that was deleted today, I can't see any single reason for deleting it.

According to his post history, @len01 is a clear case of a signature spammer. Your post history looks much different, so you shouldn't be comparing your posts to his.
You'd better open your own topic and ask the moderators for their opinion, because I don't see any particular reason for deleting your posts. It's possible that the moderators made a mistake in their assessment. They're only human, after all.

Kudos to you for daring to speak against the tide. Likewise, thanks to Lucius and UmerIdrees for talking about something constructive instead of making baseless arguments.

To be honest, I have no intention of spamming the forum. I post 24 to 25 a week and don't go above 3 to 4 daily as I try to maintain overall quality. While it is not rare to find many campaigners making 50 to 80+ posts a week.

I will refrain from opening a new thread while there is already one. Hopefully, this thread will be noticed by the moderators and everything will be normal.
1465  Other / Meta / Re: post deletion issue on: November 01, 2022, 05:24:30 PM
Now coming to our particular case, do you mean to say that (for example) you did 20 posts from 10th October to 17th October and none of those posts gets deleted? However, did your old 20 posts prior to 10th October get deleted? If this is the case, then there is something wrong i guess.

Yes, you got it now, last two weeks I've made 25+25 posts, and none of those have been deleted.

However, I cannot agree with all of len01's statements.

He acknowledged that his posts might be unproductive. However, I cannot see anything unproductive or spammy in my case.



This is the last post that was deleted today, I can't see any single reason for deleting it.

If it wasn't bot behavior, if they checked manually, then none of my posts would have been deleted, if they deleted my post for spam/off-topic reasons then they should also have deleted others' posts who replied to me.

I'm not sure if moderators use bots or any automated software these days. But it should not be, this is not the right approach to stop spam. Their activity seems spammy to me.
1466  Other / Meta / Re: post deletion issue on: November 01, 2022, 01:48:23 PM
There's nothing is unfair, if you think it's unfair you can show the post that shouldn't deserve to get deleted.
i'm not saying that i feel unfair that my post has been deleted. but i said i feel unfair with the way of deletion

I do believe it is not moderators activity, it could be Bot behavior.

I have made a total of 27 new posts from October 24 to October 27 - and exactly 27 old posts were deleted in the same time frame.

Every day the number of posts I make and the number of old posts getting deleted are the same.

Moderators cannot monitor my activities for 24H/7 days to find me online and delete old posts within an hour or half hour after posting a new discussion.
1467  Other / Meta / Re: post deletion issue on: October 31, 2022, 05:36:05 PM
Not a bug, your posts are reported, seen as spams by moderator and got deleted.

If so, then if I do not make a new post, why is the old post not being deleted?

Also, I don't make more than 4/5 posts daily, so how can it count as spam!

It seems the posts are being deleted by an automated bot
1468  Other / Meta / Re: post deletion issue on: October 31, 2022, 05:24:54 PM
The same thing is happening to me since last week.

If I make 5 new posts today then the old 5 posts are getting deleted.

If I don't make any new posts then the old post is not getting deleted. I don't understand if it's a bug or something. Huh
1469  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: October 31, 2022, 04:45:51 PM
Yes Real Madrid failed to win the game, although not a defeat but a draw is an unexpected result when meeting an opponent like Girona. But that's the game of football that always surprises every game. Of course this result is the result expected by their rivals, Barcelona. Because with this result the distance between their points is getting closer. Vinicius goals they could not defend until the last seconds of the game.
I didn't expect Madrid to draw. It was an interesting match, Girona played well. Girona piled up a lot of players at the back. They made a tight lineup that made Madrid a little frustrated. It's the reason why Kroos got a red card, he was frustrated that it was difficult to break through Girona's defense. In addition, the problem of Benzema's absence also makes Madrid's attacking line weak.
They need Benzema's figure when opponents stack players at the back to increase attacking creativity. Tchouameni's absence in midfield also left Madrid without a hardworking figure.

The outcome of this match was completely unexpected for everyone. Everyone expected Real Madrid to win this match. Because Girona is a team in the relegation zone. And their performance is very poor. However, Madrid did not earn full points in this match. Madrid's attack and midfield players attacked a lot, but they could not win. I really missed Karim Benzema in this match. Had he been with the squad, the result of the match might have been in Madrid's favor. Because, Vinicius and Rodrygo are very talented, they are not yet experienced enough. And they make a lot of mistakes. Having an experienced striker like Benzema in the squad would have made their overall gameplay more organized. Benzema is injured. So now Madrid has to perform very carefully every match, otherwise, Madrid will lose more points.
1470  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: October 31, 2022, 04:24:57 PM
For Newcastle, actually, since being owned by Mohammed Bin Salman, my expectation is that they will buy a lot of new star players. They certainly have a lot of money. But my thoughts are wrong, they only bought a few players and last season managed to get out of the Relegation zone. Today Newcastle had better they were able to make the top five.
I think Newcastle would still buy alot of stars; the situation can be likened to a phrase that says good things take a while to happen. Which means Newcastle need to climb up the ladder gradually before they are able to attract top notch footballers. If Newcastle can get europa league football ahead of next season; then they would go atleast 3 leap forward in the calibre of players the clubside can attract, knowing fully well money is never a proble, Newcastle will be a top team in few years

Premier League qualification was challenging for Newcastle even a few seasons ago. Such a team is now fourth in the Premier League points table. This is truly commendable. Although they are performing well. But they do not have star players in their squad. If they had tried to sign star players in previous seasons, no player would have been interested in joining Newcastle, because they had not any future. Newcastle has solidified their place in the Premier League this season. Now they can offer to bring in star players. They have a lot of money, their performance is now stable. If they can get the players they need in the squad now, they will strengthen themselves and compete for titles in the next few seasons.
1471  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: October 31, 2022, 04:05:08 PM
Poor performance has displayed by Lorient yesterday that they were continue their poor results from Nice that playing at home Lorient cannot break the defense of Nice although on the first half Lorient was able to scoring goal but during second half Nice was playing more better than them and the result is really unexpected me because before the match i thought Lorient can beat Nice however during the match Kasper Schmeichel has succesfully to managed his performance with very well even he has blocked several attempts from Lorient players and i think he has deserved as man of the match and next week will be hard match for Lorient because they have to fight against PSG
I must say that Nice played very well in this match. Playing for the visitors did not frighten them in the slightest and continued to provide fierce resistance against Lorient. The result they can turn things around by creating 2 goals to ensure victory.
This gives the impression that the teams that are in the top 4 and trying to put pressure on Paris Saint Gemain are not too strong to do that.

It was not easy for Nice to win against Lorient. Lorient was a strong team. And their performance this season is quite good. And Lorient was expected to fight PSG for the title this season. But they lost 2-1 against Nice. While Lorient's performance was not bad, Nice's players performed well. The match was competitive and enjoyable. The players of both teams performed well. And Nice's players took advantage of the weakness of Lorient's defenders to score two goals. Nice's performance at the start of the season was not good. But their performance in the last four matches is quite good and stable. Perhaps they will continue to try to move higher up the points table.
1472  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2022/23 Season on: October 31, 2022, 03:28:15 PM
The Europa League is getting competitive. Renowned teams like Barcelona, Manchester United, Arsenal and Ajax will play in the Europa League this season. This will increase the quality of the Europa League and make the league more competitive. So the Europa League cannot be neglected this season. It is impossible to predict which team will win the Europa League title.
We can add Juventus to those teams.  This year, the European league has become a more challenging league as a result of the teams coming from the Champions league.  At this stage, it is more important to finish the group leader in order to stay in the last 16 rounds.  No team in the European league wants to be matched with teams from the champions league.
I am feeling Juventus position is not compatible for having any positive performance in Europa Cup as they are badly struggling in Champions League because right now there around 10 to 12 players are in injury list, so they are bringing few new players which are not having experience of playing into big matches with yesterday they have hardly won against relegation zone team but good thing now they are having 3 wins streak in Italian league with most chances they could be knocked out from this Europa Cup quickly for having better results in their domestic league and for the chance of Champions League spot.
The same can happen with Barcelona and Atlético Madrid because they are feeling better results in Spanish league instead of having good results in Europa Cup as we watch in last year.
Inevitably it has to be done by Juventus coach Massimiliano Allegri, playing young players from their academy, even though it is risky at least it gives the coach confidence in Juventus youth players, because Juventus' young players had a good game in yesterday's match against Lecce  , even though it was just a point win at least it gave an opportunity and confidence to the easy players from Juventus, it really helped to strengthen the void in the Juventus first team..

I agree with you. Juventus' entire team situation is now fragile and unstable. They lack enough talented players in defence, midfield and attack. And their match strategy also needs a change. Since they need a lot of players, Juventus management will not be interested in spending such a huge amount of money. So coach Allegri should use young players. Juventus have a lot of talented young players. If coach Allegri can make these players experienced and guide them properly then he will be successful. And Juventus' performance will stabilize. But I doubt Allegri will take such a risk.
1473  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Turkish Super League 2022/23 Season on: October 31, 2022, 03:21:29 PM
Fenerbahce team is on a roll recently with four consecutive wins the last one was yesterday when they managed a big win with a 5 2 score against istanbulspor, they secured the first position with three points lead and they seem in the best shape compared to the other title contenders.

Fenerbahçe will continue to push for the title this season. And so far the strongest team in the Super Lig seems to be Fenerbahçe. They are performing very well. And in every match, they are dominating and winning. They scored 34 goals in just 11 matches. They scored an average of 3 goals per match. They are very stable and consistently performing well. Not only that, Fenerbahçe conceded only 12 goals in 11 matches. They have a strong enough defense. If Fenerbahçe's attacking players are able to continue their excellent performances then I'd say we'll see Fenerbahçe as champions at the end of the season.
1474  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: T20 and T20I cricket prediction and discussion on: October 31, 2022, 03:16:35 PM
The Indian Squad for the upcoming Newzealand series has been announced

Virat Kholi, Rohit Sharma and KL Rahul have been rested. Hardik Pandya is the Captain and Rishab Panth is the Vice captain. Interesting to see Hardik being selected as a Captain of the Indian side.
Again those who need to play more and regain their form are being rested primarily, KL Rahul. Many emerging talents are in this team, and I was happy to see Rishab Panth given an opportunity to lead in case Hardik is unavailable in this T20I series. I am still not happy with the Indian team management for not selecting him in the T20WC.

India's management has plenty of talented players. Even every player in the current Indian squad is talented. And every player has the ability to bring victory to the team. But they failed in the last match. The top order did not play well. I expect good performances from Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli and Pandya. But they are not performing well regularly. No player is in good form. I think India will become unstoppable only if the players of the current Indian squad return to form. But Rishab Pant should be given a chance. I think he will not disappoint the Indian fans. The performance of Indian bowlers is not weak. Now they should focus more on their batting.
1475  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC Sentiment Poll for October on: October 30, 2022, 10:58:38 PM


Yes, the whole crypto space have been in the upside in the last 7 days, not sure what causes it, but if the United States has indicating some positive news then maybe some of the markets as well will have a good rally. However, there is the war still in the background for the Biden administration that can really affect their economic outlook in the future. The war has been dragging us for almost a year now and entering another critical path in the last 2 months.

According to my research, the reason the market has prospered in recent days is because PMI and GDP both increased more than expected, which means that the economy is recovering gradually, not as bad as before and the possibility of getting out of the recession is very high. But that won't send the market waxing strong, because the Fed will see the economy as fine, they will be more aggressive in raising interest rates to find a way to bring down inflation faster. November is coming and how the market behaves depends on the Fed's decision with this rate hike.
1476  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Major Dumps in Bitcoin History and What to learn from there? on: October 30, 2022, 10:46:32 PM
i don't think btc market can be manipulated these days.
Why not, it's always possible if you have good financial strength or maybe when you have thousands of bitcoins in your wallet that you send to exchanges. At least these two steps can change the market conditions to go up or down because people will always monitor the big movement all the time.


Cryptocurrency market capitalization is still very small compared to other financial markets, even the total market capitalization is lower than the total capitalization of a corporation like apple which is more than 2 trillion while the capitalization of crypto is 1 trillion. Although the market operates according to supply and demand, manipulation is inevitable. Do you remember Elon? he can easily manipulate the market with just a few tweets. Fuds are also considered to be the most frequent and visible manipulation tools available today.
1477  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin and Crypto Winter on: October 30, 2022, 10:29:34 PM
snip

With all the inflation going on globally, I don't think increased demand is going to be a problem as people will research for an inflationary, anti-fiat solution and will be pointed into the direction of Bitcoin and choose on their own accord.

If what you say is true then bitcoin should have been up for a long time, not bitcoin that is falling and is likely to fall even more if inflation continues to rise. Yes, while inflation occurs, everyone wants to find something to fight inflation, but not everyone can do it when the prices of food, consumer goods...everything goes up 20-30% and people won't have enough to spend on a daily basis let alone invest to fight inflation. Maybe in the next crisis bitcoin will be the option but for now it is not the best option, when it also cannot avoid the effects of inflation.
1478  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bear market likely over? on: October 30, 2022, 02:53:09 AM
Seems the bear market is likely going soonest. Congratulations in advance to those who bought low and those hodling for a long time. There is likely going to be a new all time high to be achieved before this year comes to an end. If you can, fill up your bag but do your own research.

What do you all think about the sudden bounce back and price increase on Bitcoin of lately?

We have been in bear season for 1 year and this is not the first time we see bitcoin rally during this bear season, it has happened many times and many people misunderstand like you and believe that bear season is about to end and give way to the coming bulls. I can tell you that with this increase is not enough to say that the bull season is coming, it is too early for the bear season to end.
We are still in a sick economy so can't expect to see more money flowing into the market for the bulls to return, the market will recover when the economy is better.
1479  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: MY FIRST BITCOIN PURCHASE. on: October 30, 2022, 02:40:04 AM
You remind me of the feeling of buying my first bitcoin, both the joy and the thrill that came with owning bitcoin for the first time.
Welcome on board, this is going to be a long road and you need to learn a lot in this market to become a real investor.
I consider you lucky to have come at the right time when we are in a bear market, with the bear market, you will have the opportunity to buy cheap bitcoin and you will see the harshness of the market and learn how to survive this severe bear season. Many people enter a bull market they quickly give up and lose money when bear season comes, for them bear season is really a bad thing that they don't know in advance.
1480  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin and Crypto Winter on: October 30, 2022, 02:06:47 AM
Those who have been involved in Bitcoin for a long time will certainly believe in the four-year cycle, especially if they have experienced two cycles with different price levels for eight years, obviously they will not consider this a myth. But for those who don't believe in Bitcoin or who only know Bitcoin from other people's talk, then they will consider this a myth and will even laugh at those who believe in the four year cycle.

That's certainly true, mate. Newcomers into crypto or even haters don't think Bitcoin will go up after every halving since they truly don't understand how it works. But crypto veterans like myself know that BTC's price usually goes up after each halving cycle (especially one year after the halving takes place). If history repeats itself, it's possible Bitcoin will reach a new All-time-high in price by 2025. That is if the global economy isn't in a bad state like it is right now.

The crypto winter is usually painful if you sell crypto to make a living within the short-term. But if you're in it for the long haul, it shouldn't be a problem. I'm pretty sure BTC will hit $100k in the future due to the way it was designed (deflationary mechanism). Just be patient and you'll be able to see great results in the future. Just my opinion Smiley

The deflationary mechanism is only part of the bitcoin price going up, in order for bitcoin to continue to soar in the future, we also need increased demand for bitcoin. Without demand for bitcoin, deflation will not help bitcoin reach new ATHs.

Those who don't believe in bitcoin or newbies don't believe in 4-year cycle, but as long as bitcoin continues to rise after the halving then those people will start to believe and will invest more and more in bitcoin. Thereby driving bitcoin bigger and bigger, increased demand plus deflation will definitely make bitcoin price increase in the future, not just stopping at 100k USD.
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