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1701  Economy / Economics / Re: A Resource Based Economy on: November 13, 2013, 04:29:54 PM
Except that that story has so many holes it's ridiculous:
a) yes, supply meets demand, but basic high-school economics also teaches us about elastic and inelastic supply and demand. If people want to use an economic theory to justify their political ideas, they can't just pick the bits they like. They must use the whole theory. Basically, anything that's essential for survival has inelastic demand, whereas luxury goods, i.e.: the optional ones, have elastic demand. The most negotiating power always lies on the side that has the most flexibility.

Elasticity can not be manipulated by governments. A government can't make resources out of thin air, and can't reduce people's need for things through force. The only thing that can change elasticity is economic/technological progress. All government can do is force prices down by using everyone else's money, until either everyone runs out of money, or until the resource is depleted. Take oil for example. USA is taking shittons of money from people to keep oil prices down (which they do through taxation and massive military spending). As a result, USA is hugely in debt, oil is quickly running out, and we have barely scratched the surface on alternative energy and transportation. In the long run, goods that are inelastic have the highest incentive for competing alternatives and substitutes. If your competitor, using established technology, is severely affected by changes in supply, causing him to drastically raise prices any time there is even a small shortage (say, he's selling imported water in a desert region), then he is highly succeptible to any competitor that comes up with a more efficient alternative, which will kill his business instantly (for example, with a cheap reverse-osmosis filter that can extract water from any liquid, including human waste, and can be powered by wind). We have already seen this with food - another inelastic good - where farmers who could demand premiums for their produce were supplanted by industreal farming, which turned farm produce into a market taker (i.e. farmers are forced to take whatever is offered for their food, since anyone else can do what they do). University economics trumps your high-school economics Cheesy

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a1) "voluntary" is emotive propaganda used by the likes of Stefan Molyneux to make it sound like free trade is somehow morally superior to alternatives. (And he doesn't even discuss the issues, he diverts attention away from the problems of internal pressures that are built into each trade, and starts talking about about external violence instead, which is an unrelated topic.)

...

In the second case [life-saving surgery], the buyer's negotiating position is extremely weak. It's not voluntary for them at all. Therefore, the service involving a just few hours of work from a few skilled artisans using relatively primitive tools is likely to be priced many times higher than a TV set, even though the TV set almost certainly cost more in terms of total resources. None of this can be blamed on governments interfering. It's just simple economics. Free trade can sometimes be evil and coercive and non-voluntary.

If you know high-school economics, you would know that the thing that is priced many times higher will attract many more people to pursue that business, and as more people enter the market, competition will drive prices down AND create many more choices, and thus negotiating power. The reason surgery is so much more expensive than TVs right now is pretty much government. Plus, again, look at the available options: Let economics decide, or force it to change. The only ways to forcefully resolve the issue of internal pressure, such as need for life-threatening surgery for the person who needs it, is for that person to steal the money or service (such as threaten the doctor's family if he doesn't do it for free), or to have a government steal from everyone else to pay for this surgery. But then you have TWO negative consequences. The first is that the surgeon has no reason to reduce prices, since everyone always gets paid what they ask for, and the second (which I believe is much worse) is that no one who needs this surgery feels the consequences of their lack of responsibility. Why should they bother to work harder (or better yet smarter), earn more, and save up for emergencies, if they will be taken care of every time an emergency comes up? Yes, in a voluntary society we will have people duying because they can't afford life-saving services, but they will be warnings for others about being responsible with your life, and be the people who were so irresponsible that their loss will not be important anyway. Anyone who is respoonsible and important enough will likely be able to raise money by borrowing or through charity.

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b) Competition can be very useful to drive evolution. But in terms of raw efficiency, it's probably far more efficient at any given moment for businesses to merge and gain economies of scale, rather than staying separate. But if there are no competitors, there's no risk of one of those competitors driving you out of business, so why waste so much effort innovating? Therefore the R&D budget gets cut. This has been discussed before: free markets trend toward monopolies. Monopolies get lazy and non-innovative. They also sometimes get weird psychoses from their controllers who are paranoid about losing their steady income stream.

Sounds like high-school economics again. Monopolies are always short-lived, exactly for that reason. They get lazy and non-innovative, and ket killed off by much more flexible and faster newer innovators. For example, Kodak had a digital camera prototype I think in the 70's or 80's, but they scoffed at it because that wasn't their monopoly business (they were in photochemicals and film), and now Kodak is essentially dead. Microsoft, the biggest most powerful monopoly of the 90's and 2000's, is duying as PCs become less relevant. General Motors nearly got wiped out because they couldn't change and switch their business as fast as Toyota and Honda to accomodate changing tastes in cars (continuing to sell SUVs as gas prices went from $1.50 to $3.50). Let them merge and become more efficient. That's good for us, because their products will continue to be cheaper while they sell them, and because it'll be easier for innovators to take them out. And if they gouge prices due to monopoly power, all the more incentive for someone else to step in and kill them.

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c) Non-aggression principle is just crap. Sure it's a nice sentiment and everything, but if mankind could operate on a simplistic golden rule instead of chaotic systems of laws, then it surely would.

Non-aggression does not exclude a chaotic system of laws. It is simply the basis for those laws. It's the same laws that are being used now in civil courts, and in trans-national business law (a new body of law being developed by businesses independently of government, for use by corporations that do not have a specific country they are based out of). All non-aggression principle says, really, is that laws should not allow someone to take someone else's stuff "legally" and without recourse.

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So, in summary, you're complaining about Eric Li's description of Democracy, but you seem to be doing so while standing behind some flavour of Libertarian story which has even more holes. Therefore: pot kettle black, and his advice applies to you too that you should work on improving your own system first.

My system is not perfect, and I am still exploring the possibilities. But it's not as full of holes as you'd like to believe. Plus my overall point was not who's system was full of flaws, but the weird quirk that despite mentioning "individual sovereignty," he still ended up being stuck in the mindset of "someone must control us." Just as ZGM/RBE proponents advocate for total freedom from needs and wants, while still promoting "someone must control us."
1702  Economy / Economics / Re: A Resource Based Economy on: November 13, 2013, 03:49:36 PM
Your continued assertions that I want to do terrible things to people, while hilarious, are ultimately indicative of an intellectually dishonest personality. If you want to see horrors on such a scale, you need only to look at what capitalism, which you admire so much, has done to the people and environment of the world.

All you have to do to refute this is to explain how you plan to convince people to have their resources controlled for them. We had this discussion a year ago, and it never really went past the point at which someone said "won't this system fall apart as soon as a few people decide they want to trade things instead?"

I don't have to convince anyone of anything. It is becoming increasingly apparent that the current methods we use to allocate and utilize resources are destructive to our common interests. If you are truly concerned about the welfare of people, you would investigate how things are done now and how they could be done better. Adhering to the sick mentality that produced our current circumstances is the kind of dangerous and destructive behavior that will harm everyone you say you care about.

So, is your answer, instead of allowing people to be free to do what they want, force them to do what someone else wants, and punish them if they don't obey?
1703  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Has Bitcoin changed your political position on: November 13, 2013, 03:41:26 PM
i really do think the anarchists around here are actually people who want to live in utopian societies, but they use "anarchy" instead because that sounds more achievable.

in terms of decentralizing government, i think that is a utopian idealogy. maybe i'm a little bit cynical, but there's just no fucking way it's happening. there are 7 billion people in the world, of which many are smart and "hungry" for wealth and power. there is no way we are going to get them to play fair. and the thing is, the way to climb to the top, is to manipulate the blind and ignorant... which is what present day republicans are doing with their white conservative base, and what democrats are doing with their "i'm poor, give me free stuff" base.

It won't be "utopian" in the least. There will still be social and economic conflicts, still be poor and hungry people, still be issues with crime, and still many of the same problems we have today. The biggest difference is that everyone will have to be responsible for themselves, and everyone will have a much wider choice of things to be responsible with, since services typically provided by government will likely be different when provided privately, and you'll have more options to choose from. There will also be way less waste of resources, since organizations that are not efficient will be forced to shut down, instead of continued to be supported with tax dollars "for the greater good," and change and new developments will be much more rapid due to fewer restrictions.

As for those people in power, combine the anonymity of bitcoin with assassination markets, where the more someone hurts people, the higher the bounty on their head grows (funded by completely anonymous donors), and you'll see people like that learn to behave very quickly.

Finally, it doesn't have to be a global thing that applies to all 7 billion people. We can still have countries "ruled" by anarchy alongside countries like North Korea. The difference will be that North Korea type countries will be rapidly falling appart, while the anarchy countries will be the richest and best defended (privately, and efficiently) in the world.
1704  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Has Bitcoin changed your political position on: November 13, 2013, 03:33:51 PM
Anarchism is for children and naive people... I don't believe in anarchism but I believe in communities. I believe in people working together towards a common goal.
The Amish society is a good example.

Yes, anarchists believe in communities and working together towards a common goal; what do you not like about it?

in an anarchy, there'd be communities of people working together for the common good. but then there'd be nothing to prevent communities of people working together for personal gain and power. i know someone will say "but what's the difference between that and the society we live in." imo, it's similar but if we are living in an anarchy, there will be nonstop wars and power struggles all over the world.

Don't forget, wars are extremely expensive, completely unprofitable, and require those waging war to be able to steal money to support said war. On the other hand, resistance (such as guerila warfare) is typically voluntary, is cheap, and is driven more by ideology and wish to preserve one's way of life, which has a higher incentive than war does. That's why USA is spending billions in Afghanistan, and getting nowhere.
If we had some sort of a financial system that allowed people to hold their wealth in private and in secret, maybe even having it password protected so that those in power who wage war can't seize it either as a tax or as a spoil of war, then wars likely won't happen often, if at all. Sure, there will be squables over land or territory, but even those are typically way more expensive than diplomacy and business negotiations.
1705  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin at the US Senate on: November 13, 2013, 02:28:46 PM
http://www.banking.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Hearings.Hearing&Hearing_ID=955322cc-d648-4a00-a41f-c23be8ff4cad

The list of people appearing at the Senate banking committee has been published. Tony Gallippi from BitPay will be there, as will Chris Larsen of Ripple and the president of BIPS.

What the hell? Did they move it from Monday the 18th to Tuesday the 19th? Or is this a follow-up meeting? (I'm going to have to change my schedule at work now)
1706  Economy / Services / Re: Typhoon Haiyan Relief Fund (.org, et al. registered to raise $1M USD) on: November 13, 2013, 02:15:29 PM
And I really don't find Rassah to be all that trustworthy in an endeavor such as this.  Atheists typically don't do this sort of work (it's more often Christians who are unselfish), so I have to admit it's a strange choice for me to be sure.

That's a joke, right?


Personally, I'm really skeptical about this (give it a probability of 20%). Also, now that I know what this fund is for and how much it may hold, I'll have to create this vanity address on something other than Windows. Plus, do we really need a vanity address?
1707  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Has Bitcoin changed your political position on: November 13, 2013, 06:22:30 AM
Bitcoin is making political positions irrelevant by dismantling and/or circumventing the power structure that allows for politics (central planning and control).

Isn't AnarchoCapitalism a political position? It's even different from AnarchoCommunism.
1708  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Computer Scientists Prove God Exists on: November 13, 2013, 06:10:28 AM

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Everything happens for a reason. That reason may just be something other than god. For instance, if you took a whole bunch of magnet bars with N and S at opposite ends, tossed them into the air, and let them fall freely over a large space, you'll see them orient themselves into large lines and curves, as the S's attract to the N's. Were the reason they oriented themselves in such a way god's doing? Or was it basic physics?
You are missing my point. God is the creator of everything on earth, so he created
all the physical laws that we are  aware at the present time and that's your reason.


So if god created physical laws, then who created god?

But why would they orient themselves into lines and curves?  Who made the laws of physics?  Did the laws of physics just happen by random chance too?  What you call "basic physics" is not all that basic is it?

Same question. If god always existed, why couldn't physical laws always exist, too?
1709  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Computer Scientists Prove God Exists on: November 13, 2013, 06:09:33 AM
Laws governing physical reality are abstract. Another word for 'abstract' is 'mental' to the extent that you cannot assert something abstract to exist without acknowledging that it exists due to mind.

In fact, the abstract metrics that we use give definition to our conception of physical reality.  For example, if we use a metric that you can divide infinitesimally, then we might say that space is continuous.  But, if we suddenly use a metric that cannot be divided infinitesimally, then space becomes discontinuous.

Sorry, I still have no idea what you are talking about XD

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Because logic reinforces itself, 'infinite regressions' and other paradoxes must be self-resolving, for if they weren't, logic 1) is an incomplete method for forming true statements and therefore can't be trusted, and/or 2) is not self-contained, meaning there is some higher-order law (an illogical one, at that) at play capable of making sense of paradoxes, and therefore it can't be trusted.

A person who gives a logical "I know! It's ..." answer to the question "What's behind that horizon?" will come out rather foolish as soon as the person who said "I don't know" walks over to check it out. You have some strange concepts of logic...
1710  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Obama was the best thing that ever happened to the USA in a long time... on: November 13, 2013, 06:04:46 AM
Conservatives and liberals  are two wings of the same bird.

Only if you use the currently bastardized political terms. By original definition, Soviet commies and modern democrats are conservative too (resistant, or even hostile, to change)
1711  Economy / Economics / Re: Technological unemployment is (almost) here on: November 13, 2013, 06:00:45 AM
Specifically Bitcoin aggregates too much to the early adopters, because the debasement ends and the mining is ASICs only.

Thus you will end up with only 0.01% with the money and the rest of society pissed off and unemployable.

Perhaps. But that 0.01% still needs to live somewhere, eat, protect their wealth, and buy stuff, meaning someone still has to work to make that for them. And Bitcoin doesn't pay interest, so it's not like they'll be able to live off of it alone indefinitely, meaning investments into other people and companies. Plus there's this: "lotto curse".

I don't expect many of the wealthy early adopters to be able to hold on to their money.
1712  Economy / Economics / Re: Technological unemployment is (almost) here on: November 13, 2013, 05:52:09 AM
Why don't cellphones still cost $2,000 and cellphone plans cost $0.35 per minute?
So why a college degree doesn't costs $1000 or health insurance $100 per year?!

Actually, you can have healthcare for $100. Though youll have to be content with 1900's technology, involving barbers, scary saws, and no anesthetic.
1713  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] BTCJam - Peer to Peer Bitcoin Lending on: November 13, 2013, 05:49:12 AM
Thanks! Good to know Celso is still on top of things.
1714  Economy / Economics / Re: A Resource Based Economy on: November 13, 2013, 05:47:40 AM
Your continued assertions that I want to do terrible things to people, while hilarious, are ultimately indicative of an intellectually dishonest personality. If you want to see horrors on such a scale, you need only to look at what capitalism, which you admire so much, has done to the people and environment of the world.

All you have to do to refute this is to explain how you plan to convince people to have their resources controlled for them. We had this discussion a year ago, and it never really went past the point at which someone said "won't this system fall apart as soon as a few people decide they want to trade things instead?"
1715  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin flaw could let group take control of currency on: November 12, 2013, 10:58:19 PM
You didn't read the link, as it answers that question.

30,000 tps == 5.85 MiB/s (30000 tps * 0.2 KiB) == 493 GiB/day (5.85 MiB/s * 86400 s)

If u mean SPV mode... I'm talking about the full mode. Half a terrabyte is the lowest bound assuming transactions r very small. My HDD will be filled completely within 2 days. Maybe it's just my problem.

Yeah, that would be a pain. I only have 8 terrabytes in my main server right now. But chances are that by the time we get to that point, 1 terabyte will cost as much as 100gigs do today. Also, don't forget that pruning will keep things from growing too fast, and many of the transactions in the new block will clear out transactions in the old blocks.
But, yes, in the long run, this will have to be handled by data centers of wealthy hobbyists (such as bitcoin early adopters), while most users will just use SPV.
1716  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Computer Scientists Prove God Exists on: November 12, 2013, 10:52:13 PM
Of course God exists, you don't need scientist to prove it or anyone else,
you just need to look around you and see that nothing happens without
reason and there are no coincidences.

Everything happens for a reason. That reason may just be something other than god. For instance, if you took a whole bunch of magnet bars with N and S at opposite ends, tossed them into the air, and let them fall freely over a large space, you'll see them orient themselves into large lines and curves, as the S's attract to the N's. Were the reason they oriented themselves in such a way god's doing? Or was it basic physics?
1717  Bitcoin / Hardware wallets / Re: [PREORDER] Trezor: Bitcoin hardware wallet on: November 12, 2013, 09:33:04 PM
Besides, you do not know what the final pricing will be when you can order them off the shelve, might be even more expensive. I for sure won't pay todays' prices.
And you do not know if you can order them off the shelve when I already receive my pre-order.

Trezor's main competition is Bitcoin Armory and a cheap used laptop, which can be had for under $100 (and their "substitution" is paper wallets, or just risking it and not bothering with more advanced security systems). So if Trezor continues to sell for $100, they would mostly be making their sales on increased convenience of a single small device, versus a big laptop you have to set up with Armory yourself. They may also end up making more money if they sell it for way less than $100, since more people would be interested in buying it, but obviously not too much less, since the shrinking profit margin (sale price - cost to manufacture) will start cutting into their potential profit. If sales (X) versus price (Y) was graphed, the resulting profit graph would look like a bell curve. It will be up to Trezor to figure out where the top of that graph's hill is, and what price they will get the most revenue from.

So I am pretty sure the final price will be lower than $100, and if it isn't, I'll keep using Armory with the computer I already bought. I would like to buy a Trezor for my parents though, since they're planning on getting a few $K worth of BTC.
1718  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin at the US Senate on: November 12, 2013, 09:21:25 PM
As for Theymos, he gave some kid special privileges, ran his ads, and made him think he was a big shot.  The TF went crazy and did all this stupid stuff.  I blame Theymos for causing this whole thing more than I blame TradeFortress.  I also blame the Foundation and the developers for sitting by and doing nothing while all this happens.

TradeFortress's #1 mistake was not using cold storage. Everyone will get hacked at some point in the future (or should at least assume they will) regardless of how awesome and official their security policies are. As for Theymos, you would have to assume that he knew how old TradeFortress was, or knew whether his service used cold storage or not. Far as I know, Theymos will run adds for everything (legal), since his job is to run the forum, not be the BBB and do security inspections for other businesses.
As for the foundation, Bitcoin Foundation and Bitcoin Police are two different entities. Plus the Foundation is trying hard to put on an image that they are not trying to control bitcoin or anyone in particular, and just want to educate people and promote bitcoin itself. Attacking TradeFortress would have hurt their image within the bitcoin community, even if it may have helped bitcoin itself in the long run.

Did you lose money with TradeFortress?
1719  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Has Bitcoin changed your political position on: November 12, 2013, 09:12:20 PM
I went straight from a democrat to an anarchist in a matter of a few months; honestly, I blame myrkul Cheesy

Me too! Although for me "months" were "years" and although myrkul helped, by that point he was mostly reaffirming my beliefs and helping explain some more finite details for me. Back in 2007 I was proud to pay taxes to support our fine upstanding government, with it's social programs, mininum wages, roads and regulations, and a well managed USD policy. Although I was also really upset at the things Bush was doing with wars and especially Hoomeland Security act, and it may have been a combination of Bush and Bitcoin that finally changed my political view.

this really warms my heart Smiley

Yeah, it has been a rather drastic change. Though, on the other hand, I was always a loner, outsider, and anti-ahtoritarian. Even back then I believed lawss should be treated more like guidelines, especially when actions aren't hurting anyone (mostly applied to traffic laws though  Grin). Point is, though, arguing on the internet DOES change people's mined. Not everyone's but at least anyone's who is willing to consider opposing views and learn from them.
1720  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Has Bitcoin changed your political position on: November 12, 2013, 08:51:40 PM
I went straight from a democrat to an anarchist in a matter of a few months; honestly, I blame myrkul Cheesy

Me too! Although for me "months" were "years" and although myrkul helped, by that point he was mostly reaffirming my beliefs and helping explain some more finite details for me. Back in 2007 I was proud to pay taxes to support our fine upstanding government, with it's social programs, mininum wages, roads and regulations, and a well managed USD policy. Although I was also really upset at the things Bush was doing with wars and especially Hoomeland Security act, and it may have been a combination of Bush and Bitcoin that finally changed my political view.
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