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2081  Other / Off-topic / Re: What Song are you Listening To? on: February 22, 2015, 05:16:20 PM

Owow. My wife just asked me the other day if i had any idea what mike judge was up to these days. I forgot to look. Excited to take a look at this show. Thanks.
2082  Other / Off-topic / Re: What Song are you Listening To? on: February 21, 2015, 02:51:18 PM

2083  Other / Off-topic / Re: Piratebay taken down on: February 20, 2015, 04:11:33 AM
Alternatively tribler doesn't rely on torrent aggregation sights like pirate bay and kickass. It just asks all of the peers that you are connected to if they have the torrent you are looking for and they will forward your request to all the peers they know ect... ect... It's pretty amazing. I wish more people used it. As it is now enough people use it that i can find SOME of the things im looking for some times that way. Certainly no where near all. If more people used it though it would have more of a network effect and everyone could find w/e file they were looking for without any need for services like piratebay.
2084  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Vaccines vs Bitcoin on: February 18, 2015, 04:02:30 PM
Quote
Seneff, it turns out, is an MIT scientist, but she is not a scientist with any expertise in autism, epidemiology, or, for that matter, any relevant scientific discipline that would give her the background knowledge and skill set to take on analyzing the epidemiological literature regarding autism.

Really? So what medical doctor is supposed to be the relevant scientific discipline for performing statistical analysis on a computer database? No. That would be a job for a computer scientist.
2085  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Reddit’s science forum banned climate deniers. on: February 18, 2015, 06:21:57 AM

No It's not like that. As I think all of us can agree that the earth is multiple billions of years old and we believe in evolution. It's not a religious thing and its not a political thing either, and its not about anecdotes. The anecdotes are just here for comedic relief because when you come at it from our perspective they can be funny. We understand that if global warming was real global warming protestors could still be snowed out of their protests. It's just funny to read about it.

The reason we hold the position that we do is scientists spent a great deal of government money in order to create predictive climate models and every single one of the models that has been around long enough to test its predictive capabilities as completely failed to accurately predict the climate. Further this is a fact that no one seems to care about.

In science, you generate a theory and a relevant test and if the theory accurately predicts the outcome of the test than you consider it to be valid. Generally. You need multiple different sorts of ways to test the same hypothesis because you need to coax out the possibility of a false cause fallacy and you need peer review and multiple sources performing the same test with the same results. But basically this is the idea. A theory is considered valid if it is able to make accurate predictions. In climatology for some reason this gets magically turned on its head. The theories are considered a priori valid and the fact that they are unable to make accurate predictions doesn't seem to bother anyone. Except us. We are some sort of super minority that actually gets bothered by this. That's pretty much all it is.

I just want to quote that because I find it especially cogent.  (edit: I'd be inclined to use the words 'theory' and 'hypothesis' slightly differently, but the idea is clear enough and is spot on.)

While I'm here, I would point out that it is a valid argument (to me) that the possibility that 'catastrophic' or at least significantly troubling global climate change still exists even if the models have been proven wrong and even if the various tales of alarm are legitimate concerns that we will feel the effects of at some time in the future.  I personally find this unlikely at this point in my explorations, but it is admittedly somewhat subjective because different things are 'catastrophic' to different people.


Thanks for the kind words. If you don't mind me asking, how might you have phrased it differently?
2086  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Vaccines vs Bitcoin on: February 18, 2015, 05:11:58 AM
Don't get me wrong, as an Anarchist the thought has definitely crossed my mind that the government could be responsible for putting extra hidden things in the vaccinations without our knowledge and we all know how zombie apocolypses usually get started ( The government working on some biological weapon or highly illegal you know the usual stuff Tongue ) but I guess it all goes down to how much you trust the doctors you see. Problem is that Doctors are generally pretty nice people that don't necessarily give a shit about working for the government etc. and just want to help people so it could be either put in their without their knowledge and so on, just so many factors.

I'll tell you one thing that definitely fucking concerns me is the mental health industry and their casual use of 'psychiatric' ( I use the term loosely there ) drugs but that's been heavily scrutinised and we just need to take the same approach with vaccinations, no bullshit hysteria, no "zomg dem guvernment spies put weird stuff in arr vaccinations!" just smuggle a fucking syringe full out to an independent clinic and have it properly tested, that's how you do this sort of thing properly.

It reminds me of Niel De'grasse Tyson and what he said about aliens, all this stuff is so easy to fake but if you can get the real physical thing then bring it over to a lab and let them take a look at it, exact same situation here, I'm not saying that it couldn't be, I'm just not convinced, I can tell you however that flu vaccinations for cats seem to be a load of shit, they may not necesarily harm them but they don't seem to do anything either, that's probably why they try to sell them.

Doctors don't have to be evil to be ignorant or indoctrinated. Ask your doctor what the ingredients in your vaccine are. Watch the puzzled looks.

Ask for relevant papers on disease  prevention efficacy and also question security of injection materials en route to the office.  Then offer a generous payoff for the required paperwork up front. 

Better yet ask the doctor to sign paperwork to the effect that they will take personal liability if you or your children are harmed by vaccination. Watch their buttholes pucker. If they are worried about losing their wealth by injuring you with a vaccination, what makes you think it is a chance you want to take with yourself or your children?

My wife works at a high class private school and she says the only kids who dont have vaccines are some doctors kids Cheesy. Anecdotal i know but i found it funny.
2087  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Vaccines vs Bitcoin on: February 18, 2015, 05:10:35 AM

Thanks for the link.
2088  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Reddit’s science forum banned climate deniers. on: February 17, 2015, 11:22:19 PM
Quote from: coric
words

No It's not like that. As I think all of us can agree that the earth is multiple billions of years old and we believe in evolution. It's not a religious thing and its not a political thing either, and its not about anecdotes. The anecdotes are just here for comedic relief because when you come at it from our perspective they can be funny. We understand that if global warming was real global warming protestors could still be snowed out of their protests. It's just funny to read about it.

The reason we hold the position that we do is scientists spent a great deal of government money in order to create predictive climate models and every single one of the models that has been around long enough to test its predictive capabilities as completely failed to accurately predict the climate. Further this is a fact that no one seems to care about.

In science, you generate a theory and a relevant test and if the theory accurately predicts the outcome of the test than you consider it to be valid. Generally. You need multiple different sorts of ways to test the same theory because you need to coax out the possibility of a false cause and you need peer review and multiple sources performing the same tests with the same results. But basically this is the idea. A theory is considered valid if it is able to make accurate predictions. In climatology for some reason this gets magically turned on its head. The theories are considered a priori valid and the fact that they are unable to make accurate predictions doesn't seem to bother anyone. Except us. We are some sort of super minority that actually gets bothered by this. That's pretty much all it is.
2089  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin 20MB Fork on: February 16, 2015, 12:04:59 AM
Keeping the block size at 1 mb would greatly limit the number of transactions that could be processed and so greatly limit the utility of bitcoin.

You fail to recognize that unlimited transactions equals no security.

No i most certainly do not.
2090  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin 20MB Fork on: February 15, 2015, 11:04:54 PM
Of course this would put a cap on the value of bitcoin.

GTFO. You have no idea what you're talking about.


Pretty sure i do. Ive been here a while and ive been studying bitcoin for a while. Keeping the block size at 1 mb would greatly limit the number of transactions that could be processed and so greatly limit the utility of bitcoin. A bitcoin with less utility is worth less than a bitcoin with more utility.
2091  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin 20MB Fork on: February 15, 2015, 09:18:35 PM
Atleast with a static block size we will always have something that works and delivers on some promises. Of course this would put a cap on the value of bitcoin. All the people hoping to get rich would never see that happen, but then that never was one of the promises of bitcoin. It is true that if we dont massively raise the block size than bitcoin will never scale very well, but atleast we would be sure that we are not killing the golden goose outright. It would still be useful to us in all of the ways that it has always been useful to us. If we go massively raising the block size we may completely destroy bitcoin, it may become so centralized as to be totally unrecognizable. It would scale to world wide adoption but only at the cost of not fundamentally being any different than legacy banking.

I do agree that it should be raised though. 1mb is too small. If my math is right 20mb works out to about a terabyte a year. Thats pretty reasonable. At some point in the future it will make sense to raise it again similarly. I just surely hope that cooler heads prevail and no one gets carried away. There is no way this thing can scale to on chain transactions for everyone in the world for quite a long time yet, and if we pursue that as a goal it will destroy the bitcoin we know and love.
2092  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Reddit’s science forum banned climate deniers. on: February 15, 2015, 06:57:35 PM
.....
If man were to abandon coal we would have a definite crisis on our hands. No question about it. Millions maybe even billions would die. Ill take a potential crisis in the future that will probably be averted naturally based on predictable trends over a guaranteed crisis today. Though this isn't really addressing things like emission scrubbing. I don't know too much about that, perhaps if all of the externalities were priced into the cost of production than technologies like this would make emissions much lower.

Well, abandoning coal would certainly leave a great number of African villages and towns without power into the foreseeable future, so a great part of the third world would remain third world.

Of course a lot of greenies really want that.

Its not just that. It would make everything in the world significantly more expensive including clothing, food and other basic necessities of all kind. Everyone on the margins of survival would die up until the point where we reach a new equilibrium and a new class of marginal survivor is established. These new marginal survivors would be people who are surviving quite well right now. For example people who work in a sweat shop that pays enough for them to eat and afford a modest roof and send their kids to low cost private schools. They would lose all those luxuries and become the new desperately poor barely surviving class.
2093  Other / Off-topic / Re: Piratebay taken down on: February 14, 2015, 06:45:13 AM
Just a few from the first 2 pages. torrentfreak has never had so much news that is so uniformly abysmal and depressing. never has it ever been this bad. i guess the only silver lining is that it will finally put a fire under programmers to figure out how decentralize the internet once and for all. it would be terrifying if i didnt already know how it will end (i.e the same thing that happened when they shut down napster)

The copyright industry will go after the programmers, they've already start doing so.

Good luck. People have become accustomed to freedom of information. The moment anyone tries to stop that the resistance will be overwhelming. The moment some skilled programmer finds himself in the situation where he is trying to send some information to someone but he is unable, he is going to start working immediately to resolve that problem.

Sure, eventuality we will find a away, but they won't go down without a lot of fighting.

POPCORN TIME DEVS DROP LIKE FLIES, BUT NO ONE WILL TALK

MPAA PULLS “POPCORN TIME” REPOSITORIES OFF GITHUB

LEAK EXPOSES HOLLYWOOD’S GLOBAL ANTI-PIRACY STRATEGY

How did the hollywood gangsters find out who the developer was? Didn't he use tor and vpn's when communicating with the outside world? Very strange.
2094  Other / Off-topic / Re: What Song are you Listening To? on: February 14, 2015, 05:17:05 AM
安靜
no u
2095  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin 20MB Fork on: February 14, 2015, 04:51:15 AM
I'm all for "letting the market decide" unfortunately we have no means for pricing the cost of transactions. Sure the transaction author can negotiate with a miner but he has no way of negotiating with every node operator in the world and every single one of them bears a cost for his transaction. Even if a node opperator has sizable bitcoin holdings it is unlikely that the befit of the increased value of his bitcoin as a result of his running a full node will outweigh the cost, so this cost is effectively "socialized" and he is expected to bear it for the sake of altruism.

The point is, we all would love to avoid central planing, but without the ability to make a market we have no alternative. This article presents a false choice, that of central planning vs allowing the market to decide, but there is no market here. The best we can hope for in terms of creating a market to address this problem is competition among crypto currency central planners, then the market can decide which central planners are producing the best monetary policy.

Dont think that im some sort of socialist. I'm as pro market as they come. This is just the unfortunate reality of the situation. I wish it weren't so.
It would be great if you could read the actual proposal and show where the problem is specifically, rather than just list your a priori assumptions.

Fair enough. I perhaps did not give the author the credit that was due. He is quite aware of the problem. I need some time to read and digest this https://bitcoinj.github.io/working-with-micropayments and also some time to figure out if, even if we had unlimited free micro payments, there is a means of dealing with hold out problems.

*edit* Wow this is huge if he is right. If he is and the hold out problem can be sufficiently mitigated than we dont just have a model for solving the max block size problem, this will by default also solve the problem of how to decentralize the entire internet.

*edit2* wow wait thats you. you wrote it. lets talk. pm me. better yet can we skype some time?
2096  Other / Off-topic / Re: Piratebay taken down on: February 14, 2015, 04:31:21 AM
Just a few from the first 2 pages. torrentfreak has never had so much news that is so uniformly abysmal and depressing. never has it ever been this bad. i guess the only silver lining is that it will finally put a fire under programmers to figure out how decentralize the internet once and for all. it would be terrifying if i didnt already know how it will end (i.e the same thing that happened when they shut down napster)

The copyright industry will go after the programmers, they've already start doing so.

Good luck. People have become accustomed to freedom of information. The moment anyone tries to stop that the resistance will be overwhelming. The moment some skilled programmer finds himself in the situation where he is trying to send some information to someone but he is unable, he is going to start working immediately to resolve that problem.
2097  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin 20MB Fork on: February 14, 2015, 04:19:28 AM
isn't the new bitcoin core all about the headers first/parallel downloads thing - getting the blockchain in about the same time as the torrent (3 or some hours ) now ?

also, reading Justus Ranvier's  'Economic Fallacies and the Block Size Limit, part 1 and 2' makes a compelling case for thinking about all this stuff differently to the gavin approach -

https://bitcoinism.liberty.me/2015/01/21/economic-fallacies-and-the-block-size-limit-part-1-scarcity/

https://bitcoinism.liberty.me/2015/02/09/economic-fallacies-and-the-block-size-limit-part-2-price-discovery/




I'm all for "letting the market decide" unfortunately we have no means for pricing the cost of transactions. Sure the transaction author can negotiate with a miner but he has no way of negotiating with every node operator in the world and every single one of them bears a cost for his transaction. Even if a node opperator has sizable bitcoin holdings it is unlikely that the befit of the increased value of his bitcoin as a result of his running a full node will outweigh the cost, so this cost is effectively "socialized" and he is expected to bear it for the sake of altruism.

The point is, we all would love to avoid central planing, but without the ability to make a market we have no alternative. This article presents a false choice, that of central planning vs allowing the market to decide, but there is no market here. The best we can hope for in terms of creating a market to address this problem is competition among crypto currency central planners, then the market can decide which central planners are producing the best monetary policy.

Dont think that im some sort of socialist. I'm as pro market as they come. This is just the unfortunate reality of the situation. I wish it weren't so.
2098  Other / Off-topic / Re: Piratebay taken down on: February 14, 2015, 03:56:05 AM
Wow. Looking at the stories on torrentfreak it appears freedom of speech us under some sort of massive coordinated attack from powers the world over. Some headlines:

  • Pirate Bay Goes Down Again
  • EURid Suspends TorrentShack Domain Name After Complaint
  • Torrent Sites Shut Down After Swedish Police Arrest Five
  • BTDigg and BIllionUploads Disappear Without Trace
  • VPN and TOR Ban Looming on the Horizon for Russia
  • YouTube Flags Cat Purring as Copyright Infringing Music
  • File-Sharing Icon RapidShare Shuts Down
  • The Pirate Bay Domains Targeted in Legal Action
  • Megaupload Programmer Arrested in The U.S.
  • KickassTorrents Taken Down By Domain Name Seizure

Just a few from the first 2 pages. torrentfreak has never had so much news that is so uniformly abysmal and depressing. never has it ever been this bad. i guess the only silver lining is that it will finally put a fire under programmers to figure out how decentralize the internet once and for all. it would be terrifying if i didnt already know how it will end (i.e the same thing that happened when they shut down napster)
2099  Other / Off-topic / Re: Piratebay taken down on: February 14, 2015, 03:45:06 AM
Piratebay went down again. Were they seized again?  Huh

Quote
The Pirate Bay is down at the moment, causing a mild panic among many BitTorrent users. With the raid of last December fresh in mind some fear the worst, but as of yet there is no indication that the site has been hit again.

It’s currently not clear what’s causing the problems. There might be a hardware issue, routing problem or a software glitch, issues that have occurred many times in the site’s history.

However, after the prolonged downtime earlier this year many people are now fearing the worst.

The site’s domain name is working properly and the nameservers appear to be setup correctly too, so those variables can be ruled out.

The Pirate Bay currently displays a CloudFlare error message suggesting that TPB’s servers are unresponsive.

TorrentFreak reached out to The Pirate Bay’s admin and we will update this article if we hear back.

While the main site is down, many of the Pirate Bay’s clones and copies that became popular during TPB’s recent seven week outage are still accessible.

Update: Pirate Bay’s .onion address still works (http://uj3wazyk5u4hnvtk.onion/). This means that the site is accessible over the Tor network, including the Pirate Browser.

https://torrentfreak.com/pirate-bay-down-again-150213/
2100  Other / Off-topic / Re: TV Series Recommendations... on: February 13, 2015, 04:45:14 PM
I watched the first two episodes of 'Better Call Saul' last night. Absolutely fantastic! It's possible it may turn out to be even better than 'Breaking Bad'.  Cool


I was so excited when i learned about this show. The interactions with saul was one of the best parts of breaking bad. Watching that first episode, it felt sort of like breaking bad didnt really end. Like the story isnt really over. Of course the production value is not on the level of breaking bad, but it was still really good none the less.
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