I wrote a bot to fetch the information for a thread by going through every page. One thing I learned is that spreadsheets get slow when there is too much data, but it still suffices nonetheless. In theory, the bot gathers enough data to be able to plot how many letter "e"s are posted, but I doubt this is very useful. Here's a couple plots for this thread: Posts over timePosts over the UTC dayPosts over the UTC week (Mon-Sun)Posts by authorIf this bot would benefit you for any topic, I can run it for any specific topic or limited sets of topics. For anything more advanced (e.g., entire boards), I would be glad to send you the source code. Yeah, I looked and it seems that they are highly correlated, but the forum activity definitely lags the price changes. Still, it shows that the price is going to be mostly affected by hype and the number of people involved.
but is the lag cause mtgox host the forums, so when they get hit with alot of traffic the forums slow up as well it hard to tell Mt. Gox only relatively recently begun hosting the forums, so I doubt this is the case.
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I've been thinking of creating a CPI index for Bitcoin, which would measure inflation without tying it to the dollar. Effectively, bitcoin merchant sites are scanned by bots every period of time, and categorized into categories. As the prices change, the CPI index is calculated. Many merchants will tie their price to the US dollar/Euro/CAD or whatever, while some would use round numbers (1 BTC). This CPI would then be an aggregate of price changes across many currencies proportional to importance while not using any outside currencies directly. (in this way, the CPI would directly be noticed by the "consumer").
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The database is complete up to 1760, and should be >95% accurate.
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This has happened with Mt. Gox last year (Gox was blamed) as well. The issue is not so much blaming the victim, as blaming the only identificable source of error (try tracking down these hackers...).
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(My take on this; note that I don't support ancap.)
When confronted with an issue that is presented in the form "What would ancap do if...", I tend to apply a simple strategy. First, answer the question "What would an American (could be replaced with any) society do if...". In this case, if an oil spill occurs, the cost is shared among many parties:
BP Oil Spill BP: $37.2 B (some mandated, others willingly for image) EPA (federal): ~$10 M Pepsi, Dawn, etc. (commercial donations for image): $5.3 M WWF, environmental organizations: $4.0 M
Next, simply replace federal funding with "protection agency" or "state" funding. I believe that paints an accurate picture of how the oil spill is funded.
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The point of mixing is so you can't tell who owns what coins afterwards. If you have a tx like this: 47 BTC -> 50 BTC 50 BTC -> 47 BTC
you don't have to be a genius to assume that the 47 BTC input maps to the 47 BTC output. The mix has failed. There isn't an easy way to fix this if the disparities between parties are huge. But if they aren't, as above, we can do: 47 BTC -> 10 BTC 50 BTC -> 10 BTC -> 10 BTC -> 10 BTC -> 1 BTC -> 1 BTC -> 5 BTC -> 5 BTC -> 5 BTC -> 20 BTC -> 20 BTC
and now it's not really clear which output is owned by whom. There are several combinations that work. Let a represent the minimum of the inputs, Let b represent the GCD of the inputs. For each input, the output is to be as many blocks of a as possible, followed by enough b to complete it. This method works decently: IN OUT 8 BTC -> 8 BTC 10 BTC -> 8 BTC -> 2 BTC
IN OUT 3.5 BTC -> 3.5 BTC 6.5 BTC -> 3.5 BTC 9.0 BTC -> 3.5 BTC -> 3.5 BTC -> 0.5 BTC -> 0.5 BTC -> 0.5 BTC -> 0.5 BTC -> 0.5 BTC -> 0.5 BTC -> 0.5 BTC -> 0.5 BTC -> 0.5 BTC -> 0.5 BTC
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WTF! Do we live under some communist regime?
Yes. Imagine, the nerve of the government, trying to tell Verizon what it can and cannot serve over it's pipes... Sheesh. Seriously, though, If Verizon wants to edit what they show, I say let 'em. I'll be using another network, though. Boy, this issue will have the general political direction of this forum split .
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1797 / 21000000 = 0.00856%.
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