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2201  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA 2020-2021 betting on: January 02, 2023, 11:34:54 AM
Everyone was expecting Giannis to play, but he didn't play last night. That's why they lost the game and everyone's bet lost.
If I had known, I wouldn't have played.
Only my Memphis bet won.
Sometimes it's nice to put our bet during game time, this kind of bad news is inevitable, so that will make our bet useless as we will likely lose. On the other hand, it could also be on our favor if the star player of the opposing team will not play, so it's just a gamble, but if you don't wanna gamble like this, better wait until game time.

I don't think there are many teams against which Bucks will be considered as a -4.5 when Giannis, Middleton and even their biggest facilitator in Jrue Holiday are not playing, I think the bookies played us perfectly into this trap, so it's just one of those where the bookies have the edge of bettor because of one information or the other.

Going forward, there are tons of games to pick from today, starting with New York Knicks vs Phoenix Suns in an early tip off.
2202  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA 2020-2021 betting on: January 02, 2023, 04:07:38 AM
My picks for tonight.

Milwaukee Bucks (-4.5) vs Washington Wizards = Milwaukee Bucks Win 1.85 Odds.

Memphis Grizzlies (-4.5) vs Sakramento Kings = Memphis Grizzlies Win 1.92 Odds.

Good luck guys.


I tailed both of your bets, but I wasn't expecting Giannis not to play the game, I really wouldn't have considered Milwaukee Bucks as the favorites, let alone a -4.5 point favorite when they're playing this Washington Wizards team with both Giannis and Khris Middleton out injured, but there weren't many games to pick from to begin with so, there isn't much options I could have had.

Memphis Grizzlies getting me even for the night still makes it very fair imo, thanks.
2203  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🦊 Betnomi.com | FPL Football Pool ⚽ Discussion Thread on: January 01, 2023, 09:43:51 PM
Fantasy is 80% luck and 20% decision making  Grin having three Manchester City players was more profitable than having three Arsenal players before the World Cup, at least for me, because at one point I had two Arsenal attackers and I wasn't getting anything close to what I was getting from the the City players I later had, but now having those City players is worse than having three Chelsea players, can you say we those who had Foden, Cancelo, and Walker made a wong decision ? I would say unlucky because those players are first team players and big part of the team BUT Pep <<<<<

Fantasy for a weekly prize could be 95% luck and 5% decision making but luck would mostly never get you the grand prizes for the 38 weeks runs, so it's more like 70% decision making and 20% risk taken chances, and finally 10% luck as far the entire 38 week is concerned, look at who is 1st placed in our pool currently check his entire history from GW1 - till now, and tell me a single week where you think he only got lucky, I don't remember him being in the top 5 for the first week right, but the slow and steady progress is more of a factor decision strategy and almost zero luck.
2204  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🦊 Betnomi.com | FPL Football Pool ⚽ Discussion Thread on: January 01, 2023, 09:01:31 PM
Nottingham scored, so it was a good choice to leave Pope one more round, real question us can Chelsea get one clean sheet in next round, City is hardly an option, but Fulham is good at scoring too
on the other side, Pope has to fight high scoring Arsenal attack

throwing a dice basically

Tottenham is a let down, and before start I preferred Son over Haaland, what a miss

I wasn't banking on any of Tottenham players and I wouldn't have Perisic in too If I knew he wasn't going to be deployed well upfront where he is very effective, Son seemed to be inhibit his performance on that flank and vice versa, and Conte doesn't seem to have an idea about how he wants his squad to look or play.

I'll be getting rid of Darwin soon and probably Trossard, I just feel bad to have lost some 0.2m for hoarding him for two match day weeks
2205  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🦊 Betnomi.com | FPL Football Pool ⚽ Discussion Thread on: January 01, 2023, 01:01:42 PM
Kevin De Bruyne have been having a not so good return to FPL, especially due to the extreme changes Guardiola have deployed around him, and their next 3-4 fixtures doesn't look any much better either and I don't expect him to be overworked for every of those fixtures, so I'm never going anywhere near him for the time been.
KDB actually looks like the best City player to me, he is still creating so much chances for his players but they are not scoring. I already commented on Pep and his rotations on two other topics so I will not do it here again, but I am blaming him for City loosing 2 points yesterday. If you have such a strong bench with arguably first team players on it, you must give them more than 5 minutes to make an impact.

Is it safe to assume that Pep actually kept these players for their next run of fixtures ? or Need to give more playing time to those that haven't been getting before so as to have them ready for the time when the needs will arise for them ? Because none of their next 7 fixture in the league is going to be by any means be an easy, and it's hard to know how or what Guardiola thinks, which is why I ask if he could be trying to have all his assets on the same page while giving Grealish and the likes more playing time now for the supposedly to be easy fixtures, but he paid a heavy priced, which is duly deserved for being an overthinker.
2206  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA 2020-2021 betting on: January 01, 2023, 06:00:34 AM
I like some of the road favs but i'm staying away after getting burned by the Clippers, I feel like most teams will win but they'll have trouble covering the spread.

That said, I'll ride with the Bulls +4.5 luckily I got this line before the odds shifted, now they're the favs. I also went for the Spurs+9.5, the Mavs will probably win but their winning margins on the road games have been below double digits and the Spurs are decent at home.

Edit: Another 2-0 win with both teams losing by one.  Cheesy

Congratulations, that was very close game and despite the Chicago Bulls losing the game, they were still able to keep the within the point spread and you won your bet.

I had a small bet on the Miami Heat to win, but that was such as a game to see, it was intense as well, and Utah Jazz just weren't going to give up until the final moments, thanks to the Tyler Herro buzz beater, if not the game would have headed to OT, and that could have been anybody's game. I literally enjoyed every game I streamed today, it was worth every kilobytes of the data I spent.
2207  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA 2020-2021 betting on: December 31, 2022, 10:53:28 PM
unfortunately in this round I did not make any bets. I confess that today several interesting and competitive games are happening.

Pacers and Clippers is being a very balanced and competitive game! I may even dare to say, but this game is difficult for us to know who will win the game.
Has anyone bet or is following this Pacers - Clippers game?

I watched the game from the tipoff to the buzzer beater 3 pointer from Paul George, and I must say it was a pretty much an interesting game, honestly. So many guys stepped up from both teams, Haliburton, PG13, Kawhi and even an unexpected Myles Turner put up well over 30 points.

Either team could have won it in the end, but Pacers despite having a 14 point advantage into the 2nd quarter had to stay locked in for the entire game, if not, Clippers could have stolen the W with relative ease. GG!
2208  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🦊 Betnomi.com | FPL Football Pool ⚽ Discussion Thread on: December 31, 2022, 09:14:58 PM
What are your unbiased thoughts on Saka/KDB, guys?

For value per points, I would go with Saka, I've been sleeping on him for too long, and I feel terrible for not having any Arsenal midfielder right now, I've always preferred Martinelli over either Odegaard or Saka, but I will likely be switching to Saka too very soon especially due to the set piece duties too.

Kevin De Bruyne have been having a not so good return to FPL, especially due to the extreme changes Guardiola have deployed around him, and their next 3-4 fixtures doesn't look any much better either and I don't expect him to be overworked for every of those fixtures, so I'm never going anywhere near him for the time been.
2209  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🦊 Betnomi.com | FPL Football Pool ⚽ Discussion Thread on: December 31, 2022, 06:07:51 PM
I praised Rashford but this time he started the match from the subs. But he still managed to make me get points by scoring a goal. When we look at the squad Guardiola has today, we understand again that nobody has a guaranteed place in the team except Haaland and De Bruyne. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised even if we don't see these names also in the starting eleven when the Champions League matches start.
Guardiola is an idiot at this point and he just did his best to make the job easier for Arsenal. You have strongest bench of all clubs in Premier League and you make your first changes in 84th minute? All the while you have players like Alvarez, Foden, Cancelo and Gundogan on the bench. Must admit I was very happy they dropped 2 points today.

Rashford was benched due to breach of some club policies. But Ten Haag was smart enough to see that it isn't going well without him and made the change and he made early enough to have impact on the game.

With no Guardiola only Haaland is worth having for now, and that's what I'll using as my tactical motivation going forward, I'm very glad to have shaw available to replace him, while Shaw is bound to have 9 points, I would have be very angry if Guardiola had brought him in the dying just like he did in the last match, and he's done today again when Foden holders only get to have one points since he brought him in and most of them would have had better option coming in as their auto sub.

Mitrovic panic buyers, how are you all doing ?  Wink
2210  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Spanish La Liga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread 2022/2023 on: December 31, 2022, 12:30:09 AM
If we look at the performances of people who are at the top positions in the pool, winning this pool is absolutely much more difficult than winning the other pools on the forum. The Premier League pool is included in this as well. I'm aiming to finish this season at least at a position that I can get a prize.
I absolutly killed the predictions this GW, never had this good results in my career. 7 games played 3 exact scores and 3 close scores and still it isn't even enough for yellow cap. CasperBGD and MoSala with exactly the same predictions in all those games as far as I could see.

Anybody knows what is happening with tomahawk9? He is missing all the predictions across the pools and he was last active on forum almost a month ago. I would appreciate if somebody has his telegram or personal details to check if everything is ok.
Yeah you are rocking this round, no man i didnt notice that, and i dont have any form to contact him. Its really strange because he is a really active user in the forum and more in this section.

I hope he is safe and its on holidays or something like that.

He's been a very active person, and would have made a post if he was busy or on some sort of holidays, I really do hope he's safe and just taking another needed break, but I've never noticed him to be inactive for this long except for the about a month long break he took before the world began, and seemed to very interested in the world cup, but he left abruptly too.

_____________________


I missed all my predictions for today too except the last one, with the Real Madrid 2-0, and at least I made decent profit on Real Madrid ML and both teams to score in the Celta Vigo vs Sevilla.
2211  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🦊 Betnomi.com | FPL Football Pool ⚽ Discussion Thread on: December 30, 2022, 10:17:10 PM
HAHAHAHAHA

Wout Faes

David Luiz 2.0, and they look very much alike with their hair style.

That was the final straw for Darwin Nunez for me, despite getting an assist point, I have two transfers to use now and It can be used to a better team transformation, I'll likely be going for a medium-priced forward and probably a premium forward, that is not from Liverpool, there is an extreme lack of fluidity in the Liverpool midfield and until that's sorted, I'm done with doubling down on them, it's just Salah for now.
2212  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA 2020-2021 betting on: December 30, 2022, 07:41:36 PM
Same here, been having some unfortunate results on my bet lately. Earlier today I got 0/3 bets and yesterday 1/3 bets, seems I'm playing too much on my bets in chasing the odds. I'll ride with you guys this time, got a good feeling that these favorites will somehow end their day with a win while giving us bettors some good time in covering the handicap.

We share the same fate, the Odds have been extremely tempting and worth chasing imo, and most of them are also traps, you don't know who's fit enough to play and who isn't.

I think the NBA is just set up for this festive season to favor the bookies, over punters, or it's  simply just me having a bad run.
2213  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🦊 Betnomi.com | FPL Football Pool ⚽ Discussion Thread on: December 30, 2022, 03:48:37 PM
-snip

There will be an odd game here and there when he will maybe start instead of Haaland but I am still thinking that Haaland is as nailed as possible in this City side.


agree here, Haaland was maybe planned to get rest here and there, but with this stats and possible records, he will play all matches, IMO

maybe if he blanks 10-in-a-row, and there are no records in sight, he get rest for CL matches, but Arsenal form promise a good and interesting fight in EPL for title as well

jinx, Arsenal will probably shit on me tomorrow

Arsenal looks pretty solid to me, but then I'd have been more confident if were to be Chelsea or Liverpool in that form and position than Arsenal, and that's coming from place them letting us down over and over again after having our hopes up several time.

My team is ready, and I'm not going to be make any drastic changes this game week, I'll just go with the flow.
2214  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA 2020-2021 betting on: December 30, 2022, 04:53:25 AM
Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers - Cavs -4.5 - Also one of the top teams in the East with so many options for offense but what they are best at is their defense with their twin towers Mobley and Allen. They should cover this amount.
We will have some interesting games in this round.
But I'm also following this Cavaliers game (and it was also my "only" bet)
The Pacers are a good team, but I believe they won't be enough to beat the Cavs, who have been doing well in their games lately.

Good luck everyone!

Unfortunately, Pacers' young cores are able to suppress the hot squad of Cavaliers. Both teams do have a good shared scoring execution, but it was the home team who managed to win the game.

It was a close game and Cavs were still on the lead after the first half but the home team manage to create
good executions, then make a good stop to make sure that Cavs won't gain comfort till the last minute
of the game,.

The Indiana Pacers have pulled off some really stunning victories in the last one month, I didn't place any bet on them tonight, however I would have been upset with the lost because the Cavaliers were able take as many as 7 points lead early into the 4th Quarter, It's only natural to expect them to be able to bank on that advantage but they couldn't so the Pacers saw an opportunity with those sloppy possession from the Cavs and consecutive TO's, the 9-0 run in the final 2 minutes was the nail in the coffin.

_________________________________

I had a bit of money on the Memphis Grizzlies -3.5 against Toronto Raptors, although I was skeptical about the bet with Memphis Grizzlies not being very convincing in the last 5 games, where they lost 4 of them, but they were a very different team tonight and Ja Morant doing almost all the damage despite being not among the top 3 scorers, however his career-high 17 assists came in very handy.
2215  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Spanish La Liga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread 2022/2023 on: December 30, 2022, 03:09:31 AM
Only a couple of exact score in the remaining fixtures can save me from dropping beyond imagination in the leaderboard.
C'mon, you're 3rd, even with terrible round you can't drop much.
Don't know why Superbru dashboard on La Liga pool is still stuck like before World Cup break, but I got relief when I saw actual table where I'm slightly above 16th place.


I might have exaggerated the reality with my statement honestly, but that's only because of how close I knew the players below me are, I expected that some of them would have gotten a number of points with those first two results, and Atletico Madrid was seeming to be another wrong pick but they later gave me an exact score with their 2-0 win, and when I check the rankings most users have just 6 points so far, so maybe it's  not been a bad start for me anyways.



Real Madrid facing Valladolid later today along with some other fixtures, with an injury-free squad, I think Real Madrid at 1.5+ Odds is an actual steal, I might just go for Real Madrid to win and BTTS in Sevilla vs Celta Vigo where I expected goals at both ends, on a single betslip.
2216  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Spanish La Liga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread 2022/2023 on: December 29, 2022, 09:14:55 PM
I don't think I'm ready for the resumption of the league yet, I literally just put in picks so as not to leave them empty but It's been of no use whatsoever so far, I'm still yet to get a single point in this round 😒

Only a couple of exact score in the remaining fixtures can save me from dropping beyond imagination in the leaderboard.
2217  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🦊 Betnomi.com | FPL Football Pool ⚽ Discussion Thread on: December 29, 2022, 07:18:08 PM
Wilson missing out because of illness with literally zero information in the days prior, was in for a big haul against Leicester.

Lots of managers left Mitrovic out of their squads because of fitness concerns, plus he's on 4 yellows.

Reece injured (don't he will make my team anytime soon)...again! Everyone getting extra Pepped. Yeah, i think FPL is back... Grin

Already thinking about next week's storylines...it would be peak FPL trolling if Mitrovic (the most transferred in player) blanks and receives a yellow! Lol

My chances of moving out of my comfortable 7-8th position were ruined by a lot of GW17 flashbacks, heartbreaks, and bad decisions on my part. I knew I was making a bigger mistake by picking Darwin over Nketieh and Martial, KDB over Salah, but the voices in my head didn't help either. Mitrovic played the entire game without receiving a fifth yellow card, so I assume all bookings have been revoked. Having more than two City players on the field can be harmful to your health. With only Halaand on Pep FPL team, Pep is currently at the top of FPL standings (don't ask me how I know; just take my word for it.)


Does anyone still have faith in Darwin? Buwaytress you?
Mitrović is still on 4 yellow cards, if he gets 5th before GW20 he misses one match. If he survives until GW 20, limit moves to 10 yellow cards before suspension. Cut off time is when half of the games in the league have been played. You also have to be sure that club has played 19 games. For instance if Fulham had a postponed game, then he needs to get to GW21. Hope that makes it clear.

I have Darwin in my team and I still belive he could get us some big points in near future. He is getting loads of chance, just unable to finish them. Still quite good choice for me as long as he is the only healthy striker in the club. But maybe I am crazy, I am also having faith in Foden & Cancelo Smiley

I'll be keeping Darwin on team without second at least for a few weeks more until I have a suitable substitution that isn't at a risk of a 5th yellow, that's having Kane and Mitrovic in mind, or until I feel Darwin position in Liverpool squad is being threatened. I'm already thinking of getting Mitrovic the band ahead of their double game week, but then It's still a decision to be reconsidered over the next two match days.

I'm also getting bothered as to when Pep will start an heavy-Haaland rotation, when Alvarez returns ?? but I'm sure until he gets rotated the first time most users are going to stick with him, and so would, there is no way I'm letting the entire pool get the Haaland captainship advantage over me again  Cheesy
2218  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🦊 Betnomi.com | FPL Football Pool ⚽ Discussion Thread on: December 29, 2022, 01:44:43 PM
I'm the most stupid fpl player among you. I don't know why but I used freehit while making transfers. I lost not only one joker but also my squad was back to its old version. It's going to be really difficult for me to climb to the upper positions from now on. But I don't think of giving up. Smiley

Okay now, that's funny! I'm not gonna, and I don't want to be in your shoes, but it would have been worse if you hadn't manage to scoop the couple of prizes that was up for grab for this week.

I tried to make my team very flex and kept a lot of cheap options, but I would have been glad if Guardiola had not bothered to bring in Cancelo in yesterday as Shaw would have been his automatic replacement.

Going into the new GW, I'm faced with a couple of multiple tough choices to make, and the toughest of them is to pick just one of the following players;

Trossard vs Arsenal,
Shaw vs Wolverhampton
or
Andreas vs Southampton.

while I'm pretty sure one of these options would yield some valid points of at least 7, I really can't bring myself to settle for just one, and using the bench boost isn't an option yet for me rn.
2219  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: December 29, 2022, 01:26:28 PM
I just changed my prediction from 3-0, to 3-1

Haha!  How about them apples?

I love last minute changes that turn into 3 points!  Of course I cost myself a point yesterday when I decided to give Nottingham the benefit of the doubt and risk predicting a tie.  Originally I had ManU 1-0, and should have stuck with that.

It could have turned out worse, but It didn't so I'm glad to have gotten maximum point from my prediction, but the only trigger was the heavy and perhaps unnecessary rotation from Guardiola, I really don't know why he to keep those players on the bench, and I don't want presume it's already because of a very hectic January schedule for the team, isn't taking a considerable lead and resting your best players early suppose to be the normal routine, but it often gets completely otherwise with Guardiola in-charge.
2220  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: December 28, 2022, 07:57:46 PM
I really don't what to expect of Man City, because we know how Leeds can be full of surprises at full strength but I really think It's going to be a walk in the park for the Citizens,.

I await the lineup before taking a stance, I already have City for 3-0 win but I might change my mind for City to also concede one if Leeds have their best players available.

I'm currently 18.5 points from the first position, however, I'm really not paying much attention into the main leaderboard justt yet, I usually do about 5-6  game weeks to go, I'm just taking it one game day at time and trying to stay in sight.

I'm up in the air about today's match also.  Not only can Leeds be full of surprises but so can City in the opposite direction.  The safe bet is to pick City obviously, but I usually like Leeds for a goal.  I also find myself rooting for Leeds whenever they're aren't playing Arsenal.  I like rooting for my countrymen; Jesse Marsch, Brenden Aaronson, and Tyler Shaan.  It's the closest thing to having a "home team" in the Premier League, lol.

I just changed my prediction from 3-0, to 3-1, I really don't want Guardiola is hoping to achieve with his starting xi, having both explosive fullbacks on the bench, then benching Phil Foden and Bernardo Silva as well, you just never know with this guy.

I'd like Leeds to draw first blood, at least just for the fun of it and to make the match rather more interesting.
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