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2341  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 18, 2013, 05:31:50 AM
So this is your ROI if you got 600GH/s RIGHT NOW. As in, it is right next to you and turned on humming away creating BTC.

http://s21.postimg.org/ahbpwkjd3/2013_08_18_002223.png

It is safe to say that BFL better stop shipping, as should Avalon, BitFury and lots of others. This may turn out worse than the chart shows.

2342  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 18, 2013, 05:16:42 AM
Lets see,
Previously I posted the prediction for what we would be earning in the future a few months ago. A few laughed it off, many crapped their pants, ASICMiner at the very least responded when people got cold feet, lots of Avalons went unsold at the previously overpriced rates advertised.

So how close was the calculation to the actual truth? (based on an Avalons earnings)

Edited out the useless image

I used 50btc's calculator and typed in the hash rate. So the calc is off by a few days but it is generally spot on for this time frame.

===========================

What will it look like if I plug in a 600GH/s beat from today till it is actually delivered though?

Lets all give up mining BTC then!  This forum is going to be very boring.  Wink
Ah. So you don't care about math or mining.

No wonder you are seemingly very positive.
2343  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 18, 2013, 05:04:51 AM
Lets see,
Previously I posted the prediction for what we would be earning in the future a few months ago. A few laughed it off, many crapped their pants, ASICMiner at the very least responded when people got cold feet, lots of Avalons went unsold at the previously overpriced rates advertised.

So how close was the calculation to the actual truth? (based on an Avalons earnings)



I used 50btc's calculator and typed in the hash rate. So the calc is off by a few days but it is generally spot on for this time frame.

===========================

What will it look like if I plug in a 600GH/s beat from today till it is actually delivered though?
2344  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 18, 2013, 04:56:32 AM
Congrats, you just gave up 10% in fees for no good reason.

You also went and lost your place in line for a product promised/scheduled to ship 4+ months from now...if...it's on time.

Well, you have waited this long and never got anything, so what is another year of your life down the tubes? It's okay, as long as your money never buys anything I guess we should be encouraging everyone to buy into the next gen from BFL.

It will keep folks out of the market and from rising difficulty.


-----------------------

After thinking it over. <puts on Master Shill Cap>

I absolutely encourage everyone to transfer your orders to gen 2 at BFL. I want you to get the best bang for your buck! (watches customers locking themselves in a cage of compromise...not bad)

Sure, I gave up the 10% transfer fee.  But I also had a 25%-off coupon from my October order that I used.  So I still saved around $700 off of the list price.

Btw, I don't feel bad about giving away my place in line for an April order.  By the time that order finally arrives, ROI was never going to happen.
Thats a pretty good deal (if it ships on time).

I am going to start the calculations on what the ROI will be for a 600Gh/s system in January 2014. Wait for it.
2345  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 18, 2013, 03:59:25 AM
By the way, anyone who converts your orders to gen 2 @ BFL.

I want you to do only 1 thing for me.

I want you to harass other ASIC manufactures about being competitive with BFL Gen2. Tell them to lower their prices even further.(LOL)


Do it, DO IT NOW!
2346  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 18, 2013, 03:57:51 AM
Am I the first in this thread to actually admit that I pre-ordered a Monarch?  Well, I did.  And no, I'm not proud of myself.  Lol.

I was sitting on an April order for a Single and a Jalapeno w/2GH upgrade.  When (if?) that order arrives, it would have been virtually worthless because of no ROI.  I had a 25%-off coupon from an earlier October order for a Little Single (still waiting on that one).  So the upgrade cost me about 8.5 BTC.  Strangely I now have a credit on the invoice for $297.50.  Not sure where that came from.

Why did I do such a stupid thing?  In for a penny, in for a pound!  And it's exciting to think I potentially went from a 57GH order to 600GH for very little extra money.

I'm just a BTC hobbyist with more money than sense but I figure that the reward is worth the risk.  I also have pre-orders with Bitfury and KNC.  I missed the Avalon boat and am still kicking myself for that.  So I now have my fingers in as many pies as I can safely afford.

The worst case scenario... I just threw away 5 grand.
Best case scenario... I'm at the front-of-the-line for the Next Gen ASICs.  And it's fun to dream.  Smiley
Congrats, you just gave up 10% in fees for no good reason.

You also went and lost your place in line for a product promised/scheduled to ship 4+ months from now...if...it's on time.

Well, you have waited this long and never got anything, so what is another year of your life down the tubes? It's okay, as long as your money never buys anything I guess we should be encouraging everyone to buy into the next gen from BFL.

It will keep folks out of the market and from rising difficulty.


-----------------------

After thinking it over. <puts on Master Shill Cap>

I absolutely encourage everyone to transfer your orders to gen 2 at BFL. I want you to get the best bang for your buck! (watches customers locking themselves in a cage of compromise...not bad)
2347  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: It's -on-! on: August 18, 2013, 03:21:59 AM
Once again

HashFast & Cypherdoc

Explain to me like Im a 5 year old why if HashFast (Or whoever is the parent company) are a legitimate IRL business

1) Why are you BTC only & NO credit cards
2) Why do u need pre-orders and payment in full
3) Why dont you just take a down payment (non-refundable if you wanted)

4) With a real order book of downpayed orders it is fairly easy to get a CAPEX loan for the production run

Bearing these things in mind how the fruit cake are you guys not a scam and either

1) FastTalked a respected member or
2) (just putting it out their so dont have a fit ) Paid Cypherdoc off

It just does not make ANY SENSE whats soever KNC after an initial start did and do CC

Intrested to hear from both Cypherdoc & Hashfast rep to reply to my vaild questions :/

We *fully* understand miner skepticism towards ASIC companies.  It is rational and justified.

Re: why sales instead of equity, HashFast is not the first technology company Simon &I have founded in Silicon Valley (see www.Devicescape.com).  
There are critical differences between companies that start out by selling pieces of themselves and companies that start out by making products their customers want.  
It defines who your #1 priority is, for one.

Roughly 90% of HashFast is owned by us and the people who work here - and the other 10% is by our families and friends.  
Further, everyone here including ourselves is subject to a 4-year vesting schedule.  
Which means that what comes of this to any of us is dependent on creating long term value.

Re: why BTC - we support BTC and are using it for as much of our business as possible.
We are aware that this is costing us sales. That's OK.

Re: 'how are you different', we feel it's best to let  the miners who have visited our offices in person speak to that.


Eduardo deCastro
Founder and CEO, HashFast

Translated: We understand your fears, We too hope for the best. (our success)

But we will be needing your BTC if we are to succeed. Understand? Good. Then Pay up and get out of my sight. Get busy praying.

Edit: By the way, our offices are really nice. Really great carpeting. Our staff are also great conversationalist. We actually talk to one another every day.



Whats the hand print on the carpet ..was somebody getting it  from the rear...lolz
It's to give you an impression that homo-sapiens use the property. (that and an Trezor Vault dropped from a tray)
2348  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: It's -on-! on: August 18, 2013, 03:08:55 AM
Once again

HashFast & Cypherdoc

Explain to me like Im a 5 year old why if HashFast (Or whoever is the parent company) are a legitimate IRL business

1) Why are you BTC only & NO credit cards
2) Why do u need pre-orders and payment in full
3) Why dont you just take a down payment (non-refundable if you wanted)

4) With a real order book of downpayed orders it is fairly easy to get a CAPEX loan for the production run

Bearing these things in mind how the fruit cake are you guys not a scam and either

1) FastTalked a respected member or
2) (just putting it out their so dont have a fit ) Paid Cypherdoc off

It just does not make ANY SENSE whats soever KNC after an initial start did and do CC

Intrested to hear from both Cypherdoc & Hashfast rep to reply to my vaild questions :/

We *fully* understand miner skepticism towards ASIC companies.  It is rational and justified.

Re: why sales instead of equity, HashFast is not the first technology company Simon &I have founded in Silicon Valley (see www.Devicescape.com).  
There are critical differences between companies that start out by selling pieces of themselves and companies that start out by making products their customers want.  
It defines who your #1 priority is, for one.

Roughly 90% of HashFast is owned by us and the people who work here - and the other 10% is by our families and friends.  
Further, everyone here including ourselves is subject to a 4-year vesting schedule.  
Which means that what comes of this to any of us is dependent on creating long term value.

Re: why BTC - we support BTC and are using it for as much of our business as possible.
We are aware that this is costing us sales. That's OK.

Re: 'how are you different', we feel it's best to let  the miners who have visited our offices in person speak to that.


Eduardo deCastro
Founder and CEO, HashFast

Translated: We understand your fears, We too hope for the best. (our success)

But we will be needing your BTC if we are to succeed. Understand? Good. Then Pay up and get out of my sight. Get busy praying.

Edit: By the way, our offices are really nice. Really great carpeting. Our staff are also great conversationalist. We actually talk to one another every day.

2349  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 18, 2013, 03:03:53 AM
I'm still waiting on a single and little single from a FUCKING YEAR AGO.  And someone is suggesting that people should double down on BFL?  Other than a sock puppet, who would be that stupid?  
Hold on, slock will be with you in a moment. Josh is still zipping his pants.

Int03h will be in, in a moment.
2350  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: It's -on-! on: August 18, 2013, 12:38:38 AM
Will you be slashing you prices now that BFL is planning tapeout of their latest Gen 2 ASIC chips?

Cut deeply!  Grin Cheesy
2351  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 18, 2013, 12:36:27 AM
This could be a good thing or a bad thing depending on whether BFL is actually insolvent right now or not.

They could have run out of money and are trying to fund old pre-orders with new pre-order money. If that's the case I see prison cells in BFL mangers' futures since it's a blatantly ponzi-esque tactic that will collapse in on itself eventually.

However think about the people who ordered after the price of BFL units doubled. They will likely never see a return on investment on their order anyway so switching to the new product queue and being at the head of that line actually makes a ton of sense for them. This only holds true as long as BFL has enough money to stay afloat without dipping into future pre-order money to fund old pre-orders' production though.

With their history though I would certainly never pay for a pre-order in Bitcoin. For a product in hand that other people have recieved from a seller with no problem Bitcoin works great, but for a pre-order the lack of protection for buyers is very worrying.

You know this means that suckers that actually believe this new development are going to want to resell their current BFL hardware to make money to enter the newer queue.

So underbid every single one of them. Lets drive the cost of BFL hardware into the floor so we can get it cheap as chips.
2352  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 18, 2013, 12:24:25 AM
Regarding power consumption, Radeon 5970 and 5870 both consume more power than our card does, the very reason we took this design approach.

Yeah, but what about when the power doubles from your pre-fab estimates, like every other chip you've built?

Due to double node jump, the max power should be 0.77W/GH (3.1W/GH divided by 4). Based on everything we know from any chip industry (FPGA, CPU, GPU, etc), that should be the ceiling in power-consumption.
Regards,
Nasser

HAHAHAHAHAH.  WHAT!? The calculations for transistor gate energy are pretty complicated, and they certainly aren't linear with respect to surface area. and I think at 28nm you have more leakage which leads to more waste energy as well.

I think this shows you have absolutely no idea what you're talking about.
Where is TheFiend when you need him?

I would love to hear his input on this and many other crazy claims by BFL.
2353  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 18, 2013, 12:18:49 AM
This is hilarious... I actually have some BFL hardware and even I think this means they are finished..  They are obviously trying to move payments to a medium that cant be refunded (bitcoin or wire xfer).  They are using a design which alot of us *know* cannot dissipate that much heat, and they are moving at a snail's pace with current orders.

Guys... Ive never said this before, but i believe they are on the virge of folding and taking anyone who preorders money with them..

Regarding power consumption, Radeon 5970 and 5870 both consume more power than our card does, the very reason we took this design approach.

TDP of 5970 is 294W and 5870 is 224W.   The card is reported to be 350W which is significantly higher not lower.

Also this pretends away the challenges of the form factor and ignores it was AMD with three decades of experience delivering their 12th generation graphics card family.

AMD (ATI) first graphics card looked like this and consumed 10W.  Even AMD isn't immune to the challenges of working in a compact unforgiving form factor, the 7990 (375W TDP) was delayed by six months due to power/thermal issues that they found challenging to resolve.


While 350W is possible in that form factor one would have to be willing to bet that unlike every other time the simulations aren't lower than reality AND that the company doesn't run into any cooling or power problems due to the high energy density.   350W is 0.6 w/GH.  BFL current chips are 3.1 w/GH correct?  A die shrink generally cuts power consumption by 40% (you stated upthread or in another thread that it can be up to 60% but that would be rather optimistic don't you think?). 28nm is two die shrinks from current chip.  So 3.1 w/GH * 0.6 * 0.6 = 1.1 w/GH.  If the chips were identical with only a die shrink we would be looking at 1.1w/GH (660W for this card).  Now you did indicate you optimized the chip but that is a rather significant optimization wouldn't you say.  Nearly an 86% (1.1/0.6) improvement in performance per watt outside the die shrink.  Intel is happy for a 5% to 10% improvement in performance per watt (outside of die shrinks).

Given the aggressive improvement in performance per watt necessary, combined with the lack of any headroom (if it misses by even 20% then it can't be cooled in that form factor at that speed), it would need to be a nearly flawless design and execution from start to finish.   It certainly "can" be done but given BFL past promises on power and cooling well one would be betting that "this one will be different".  
LMAO, I had that video card. I didn't even know it was an ATI card. It was....EGA I think. Way back then....
2354  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 18, 2013, 12:05:04 AM
2355  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 18, 2013, 12:02:32 AM
Even their lead engineer thinks that this is possible and talks as if they already had a prototype.... (Tapeout is in August for those who didn't bother to read)

 Assuming this is the same engineer that estimated the prior power requirements for their presently shipping product, I'm not sure how anyone can believe anything being reported prior to having a physical working product.

 Again, I am using well-documented history as an indicator.

Right, last time the estimate was 0.8 to 1.2watts tops.

Turned out to be anywhere from 1.6 watts to 6 watts per GH/s. [in reality]

This underestimation caused the entire platform to have to be redesigned and caused immense delays of nearly a year!
2356  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 17, 2013, 11:55:03 PM
This is hilarious... I actually have some BFL hardware and even I think this means they are finished..  They are obviously trying to move payments to a medium that cant be refunded (bitcoin or wire xfer).  They are using a design which alot of us *know* cannot dissipate that much heat, and they are moving at a snail's pace with current orders.

Guys... Ive never said this before, but i believe they are on the virge of folding and taking anyone who preorders money with them..

Regarding power consumption, Radeon 5970 and 5870 both consume more power than our card does, the very reason we took this design approach.


Regards,
Nasser
Remember when they said this about the Jally while doing simulations and estimating 5 watts only?

Turned out to be closer to 30 watts and the whole thing had to change.

----------------------

Now they are talking about 350 watts on a form factor that large companies like AMD and NVidia have trouble cooling and dissipating 250+watts of TDP.

Is it a step up (in theory) if it actually worked on a PCI-e bus? Yes, but is that realistic....nah.

Right now they are quoting close to the same number they used back when the initial design was 65nm. @0.8~1.2 watt per GH/s

Why do they never learn. Even their lead engineer thinks that this is possible and talks as if they already had a prototype.... (Tapeout is in August for those who didn't bother to read)
2357  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 17, 2013, 11:42:46 PM
This is hilarious... I actually have some BFL hardware and even I think this means they are finished..  They are obviously trying to move payments to a medium that cant be refunded (bitcoin or wire xfer).  They are using a design which alot of us *know* cannot dissipate that much heat, and they are moving at a snail's pace with current orders.

Guys... Ive never said this before, but i believe they are on the virge of folding and taking anyone who preorders money with them..
Someone shut derr777 up until I have my refund from BFL!

Holy crap man! That is so irresponsible to release such truths like that. How dare you!  Cheesy
2358  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 17, 2013, 11:26:40 PM


Looks like we have the inside scoop! hehe
2359  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 17, 2013, 11:19:59 PM
I think BFL jsut wrote their own (coded) obituary. Breathtaking, and simultaneously, hilarious, and not least, very upsetting for their unsatisfied pre-orderers.


I hear some nervous shuffling from pre-orderers for other over-promised ASIC companies, I'm sure of it....
The good thing is that even when (not if) they fold and take all the customers with it...their corpsicle of a company will at least "induce" other ASIC companies to lower their prices. ASSuMing of course, that they believe the bullshit too...

What I found funny is:

They are making the promise using a generic image of a video card. Absolutely Hilarious:



2360  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 17, 2013, 11:08:47 PM
@ DeathandTaxes

Is FastCash4Bitcoins ever coming back?

Not the place to ask.  Inaba will probably accuse me of stealing customers or something.  If you delete and post in another thread I will delete and response there.
I have opened a new thread.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=276776.0

Unlike Inaba, at least your company has quick turn around times and does a spectacular job.
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