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281  Economy / Services / Re: [OPEN] Blackjack.fun Signature Campaign | Up to $80/wk | Rate Increase on: February 20, 2022, 12:28:26 AM
Your bitcointalk profile link: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=299894;sa=showPosts
Your current posts count (including this one): 4916
Amounts of merits that you earned in the last 120 days: 48
Your blackjack.fun username: magneto

Very keen to rejoin this campaign!
282  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: 2022,which the next trend?next the fortune code? on: February 13, 2022, 06:55:47 AM
Yeah, bridging traditional assets onto the blockchain is going to be the next big thing.

Mirror protocol on Terra is already doing this to a significant extent. The only problem is that their peg is completely synthetic which is good in the fact that you can make sure of its decentralization and security, but bad in the sense that securities/assets are chronically overvalued despite the existence of an oracle.

Only when these oracle technologies and synthetic pegs can be able to be upheld over extended amounts of time will mainstream adoption of blockchain securities work. But SEC will probably come knocking on the door too.
283  Economy / Economics / Re: US inflation reached 7% in December as prices rise at rates unseen in decades on: February 13, 2022, 05:28:44 AM
I feel like that bitcoin is one of the few assets that will outperform during the impending market correction in stocks and real estate.

Stocks and real estate will absolutely get crushed by interest rate hikes in response to increasing inflation, simply because of the fact that their value is derived from discounted values of future cash flows.

Bitcoin is totally different in the sense that its value comes from its intrinsic and programmed scarcity and not future cash flows. I think that if inflows into BTC due to inflation fears outweigh the money pulled out due to higher interest rates, which is probable, then we will see another rally.
284  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Do you regret when you miss selling at ATH followed by a correction on: February 13, 2022, 05:16:39 AM
It often become a good opportunity when you sell at a peak and after that the correction come and you buy again with low price but many people miss that opportunity who then regret but I do not regret when I miss that opportunity because I do not do greed and remain satisfied with my current amount of coins and I know in the future the price will grow again to another ATH and my current coins are enough to give me enough profit. With this thought I keep myself tension free.

What is your views and conditions at that time?

Not really.

If you have that attitude, then you are essentially going to be always selling too early. You could have said the same thing about selling at the 2017 ATH, but if you just held for another 4 years you would have been handsomely rewarded by a 3x from that ATH which is way above traditional money market returns.

It takes balls of steel for sure, but you should zoom out and look for long term trends as opposed to worrying about short term fluctuations and selling the top. Time in the market > timing the market.
285  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: What's the secret sauce for a good memecoin? on: February 13, 2022, 05:07:15 AM
Perhaps you shouldn't chase the memecoin hype train.

It's very difficult to get one properly going and for good reason - there is simply a lack of demand for this stuff. Thousands of these new tokens launch every day now due to the ease of doing so on the BSC, but only a handful ever make it into the top 200 coins by market cap.

I would suggest adding some more utility to your token rather than purely chasing hype. Perhaps you will get better results from that.
286  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Blockchain gaming is the way of the future. on: February 13, 2022, 04:44:20 AM
Even in a bear market, blockchain gaming is the way of the future. I believe that games like Axie Infinity and others will continue to thrive because many people are already making a living from blockchain games, and the adoption rate will never slow down.

Personally, I don't think that this is the case.

There are obviously usage cases for NFTs and blockchains in the gaming industry, in particular in the P2E space.

However, it is simply not going to stop growing. Even the traditional gaming industry has experienced declines in growth given that people have essentially topped out all of their gaming activities during the COVID lockdown and it is very unlikely that there will be a further upsurge in the people playing these games.
287  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🔮 Futuur - Predict the Future! 🔮 on: February 13, 2022, 04:28:45 AM
Yes, this fee is charged by our payment provider and we are looking for alternatives.  For the time being, we recommend using a lower-fee option like Litecoin or Tron.
For now, we will not launch signature campaigns.

Strongly suggest that you switch payment providers as a matter of urgency.

You are essentially getting ripped off 0.0004 BTC every single time someone does a withdrawal. The actual on chain costs are 1k sats or less for the average withdrawal transaction.

A lot of bitcoin adopters don't have/want to use altcoin wallets, so that is not a viable long term solution.
288  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Blackjack Discussion * Different Types of Live Blackjack(Evolution Gaming) on: February 13, 2022, 04:18:10 AM
Don't try there free bet because your chance of winning is very slim because they make the 22 for dealer as draw. So all odds is against the player. Only few chances you can win with free bet compared when the dealer hit 22 for your win.

Oops, I forgot to indicate about additional rules per game. Thank you for bringing it up here however, statistically wise, the chance of dealer get a 22 count is very minimal versus the additional price you can get when you win your freebet hand. I don't want to argue furthermore because the answer obviously base on perspective so we can't finish the discussion.


Fair point no complain about it, I'm just trying to warn everyone that it's not really an easy free bet as it looks like. I've been playing that game before and it really frustrating that your won got cancel multiple times because the dealer got bust at 22. They remove some card on the deck (10 card I guess) so that the result of 22 will increase because only few cards can increase the count greater than 22.

This is a serious issue if you have solid evidence to prove that evolution gaming is removing some cards on the deck, do they admit it themselves?
Otherwise it is just a baseless accusation and many people may think that you are spreading FUD.
I'm not familiar with live blackjack games as well as evolution gaming so I have no ideas whether what you say is true or not.
No as you can check on their website they don't admit it, unlike for Power Black Jack where they assume to remove 9 and 10 cards. So it's a bold accusation if it's not just some fud from Beparanf.
Many players are counting cards, so I think they would have noticed it if some cards were less frequent than others.

Quote
The game is played with 8 decks, where the 9s and 10s have been removed from each deck but picture cards remain in the deck. This means 64 cards less in the shoe and the opportunity for Blackjack players to try new strategies.
https://www.evolution.com/our-games/live-blackjack

I think that card counting is probably not even on Evolution's minds at this point.

Their deck penetration is ridiculously low on all variants of their game, regardless of what you play. Some of the variants are essentially automatically shuffled continuously so there is absolutely no way you could keep track of the cards.

Plus, the rules that they offer are not particularly favourable to card counters.
289  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Is USDT a trustable? on: February 12, 2022, 10:10:07 PM
If notice usdt market volume nowadays, you can see it is heavily using by public. Actually those negative news aren’t new, i already aware about such news since years ago but nothing is changed & nothing bad is happened yet. You can say there still possibilities but usdt is still tustable to me. thats why im still holding usdt on exchange account for trade. so shouldn't believe in such rumors, you can use usdt without having any hesitation. But on the other hand dai, tusd, usdc, busd are also trustable stable coins

Having a large trading volume is barely a sign of trustworthiness.

People use USDT out of necessity instead of an inherent trust for the token. Virtually every single person I know are concerned about the centralised nature of USDT as well as the fact that it is one of the few stablecoins that run with fractional reserve rather than a fully backed 1:1 system like TUSD or USDC.

Id rather get and use DAI or USDC. Or even UST for that matter - it is much more important to me to have a trustless stablecoin than liquidity per se.
290  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022 NBA Season on: February 12, 2022, 09:41:34 PM
There was a visible problem when Harden was at Nets. There was more than one player who got a leader character. And this was causing some conflicts in the team. Now he can play freely and lead his new team. And I'm expecting him to make a good duo with Embiid there. Harden would play as a point guard and Embiid would score like always. This would bring an extra power to Sixers. They are already doing very nice in the regular season and they can perform better than this in the playoffs like this.

I think I read one report stating that Harden had wanted a role similar to what he was in Houston.

This was simply not possible. In Houston he was a one man show that could do whatever he wanted whenever he wanted. The Nets had a Big 3 which will obviously not work out with an individualistic approach like this.

The Nets will be remembered as one of the biggest whatifs in NBA history.

That rumor should be fake, Harden cannot expect that as he knows in the first place that he is playing with Irving and Durant who are also great scorers, he can contribute but he cannot do everything he wants like his role when he was still with the Houston Rockets, Harden was traded but Nets are not happy, so they trade him again, hopefully, he'll find a place to stay longer at Philly.

Hopefully it is. I root for the 76ers so obviously want them to succeed.

But actions speak louder than words. We saw exactly what Harden did with the Brooklyn Nets by essentially pretending to have an injury to sit out games. It was clear that he wanted out as he was fed up with Kyrie being unavailable for half the games and Durant injured.

I don't think that either the Nets or the 76ers will be competing for the championship or be in the finals this year anyway, so this trade may be less important than we imagine as fans.
291  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Is it just luck on: February 12, 2022, 09:07:04 PM
Is it just luck that I made most of my money from shitcoins and meme coins? While people are hating I always make sure I got in early and I ended up smiling, if you bought shiba at few weeks of release you know what I'm talking about, I do get some big altcoins too but this so called shitcoins gives me the best profits.


Yes.

If you are buying memecoins and expecting a return on these things other than straight up entertainment, then you are essentially gambling.

What you've done is luckily select a few of the outperforming memecoins - whereas most of the new ones that pop up actually don't generate a positive return for their investors at all.

Certainly time to rethink your investment strategy while you're still ahead.
292  Economy / Gambling / Re: Vulnerabilities in gambling websites in past on: February 12, 2022, 08:57:39 PM
Yep, Hufflepuff is the largest exploit that I know.

Though right now, it is increasingly unlikely that casinos have any significant structural risk associated with them given that they have been around for years now and have great security. Stake and Roobet has even entered the mainstream market which means that they've been battle tested millions of times.

This brings up an interesting point - if you are a retail gambler and have hit a win streak, don't expect that it's an actual exploit. A lot of people out there trying to sell martingale esque strategies off as exploits.
293  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022 NBA Season on: February 12, 2022, 08:24:33 PM
There was a visible problem when Harden was at Nets. There was more than one player who got a leader character. And this was causing some conflicts in the team. Now he can play freely and lead his new team. And I'm expecting him to make a good duo with Embiid there. Harden would play as a point guard and Embiid would score like always. This would bring an extra power to Sixers. They are already doing very nice in the regular season and they can perform better than this in the playoffs like this.

I think I read one report stating that Harden had wanted a role similar to what he was in Houston.

This was simply not possible. In Houston he was a one man show that could do whatever he wanted whenever he wanted. The Nets had a Big 3 which will obviously not work out with an individualistic approach like this.

The Nets will be remembered as one of the biggest whatifs in NBA history.
294  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Marketplace (Altcoins) / Re: Join the Lottery Draw: Win ETH, BNB, AVAX on: February 12, 2022, 09:01:12 AM
The project is new, actually, I'm thinking of doing a daily live broadcast. to be more reliable.

Agree with the other sentiment on this thread.

I would probably get a provably fair system up asap as you are not going to find a lot of people willing to play on your site without it. The casino crowd is much more educated these days and averse to scams as they have happened in the past.

Otherwise, I'm going to assume that you have no ill intentions and perhaps this was just something that you neglected. Best of luck for your project!
295  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022 NBA Season on: February 12, 2022, 08:42:06 AM
If both stars are willing to learn from one another,

Remember how Drexler and Olajuwon build a good foundation for the Houston before, if MJ didn't comeback they might have a grand-slam during those years.

If Embiid is more on the title chase, he might learn more from Harden. Sixers will surely benefit with this trade if they will maximize
Harden's talent.

The thing is, Embiid has a better work ethic and is more clutch than Harden ever will be.

So I'm not exactly sure what he will learn from him from that perspective. And I certainly don't think that the locker room is necessarily going to be very healthy and vibrant as a result of Harden's arrival.

Probably the opposite in fact. His temperament is quite strange.
296  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Why a single bet is better than a multi bet. on: February 12, 2022, 07:30:57 AM
Tell this man that single is better than multi! Just look at the killer shots, the man totally broke this multi ... it's a good bet, it's not a small amount to put this amount on this multi, but he did it!
I have never seen anyone to put so much money in a long list of a bet. Putting so much money even in a single bet needs a lot of confidence. The guy must know his game. Question is, did he win it? My highest in an 8 fold is £20 and it was a win. If I remember then it think I won somewhere around £800 to £900 LOL

Edit: My goodness! It was a win!!

Yeah, it does tend to pay out once in a while. That's what gets people hooked.

But mathematically speaking your EV is much lower when you do multibets as you are layering on further house advantages over and over. It's an illusion that you feel like you are getting better odds on your bet.

A lot of my friends do swear by parlays though. But when they pull up their P&Ls on their account they will inevitably in the deep red. It is a lot of entertainment, I'll give you that.
297  Economy / Economics / Re: Worried about inflation? In Argentina, it’s a way of life. on: February 12, 2022, 05:04:20 AM
This is the thing about inflation.

You can forget about it for decades because it is low, but once it starts to ramp up and the central bank acts suboptimally, you can see the serious, dire consequences within weeks/months.

Inflation and inflationary expectations go hand in hand. A large part of why Argentina is unable to keep inflation down is simply because people have come to expect high inflation from their nation, which inevitably leads to a self-fulfilling prophecy.
298  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Why a single bet is better than a multi bet. on: February 12, 2022, 12:20:54 AM
Great summary.

Multis are super favoured by bookmakers because it means that they have much more of an edge given the same amount of funds being gambled - and also they are more favoured to win every single time.

It's merely an illusion that you're more likely to win big. Your expected value is actually lower.
299  Economy / Gambling / Re: SandboxCasino.io サンドボックス It's Simple: Fun and Fair. on: February 11, 2022, 10:04:57 AM
I've always liked casinos that can connect directly to the web3. Besides not being complicated, we just need to connect it easily. well like the simply written title. It already describes your casino.

I welcome you, and the signature campaign is already underway so personally, I'll give it a go first to test the use of web3.
Unfortunately in the list of cryptos that can be bet, there is no Polygon Network, because to avoid the more expensive Ethereum network, Web3 casinos usually support the Polygon Network.

I'm pretty sure they do support Polygon?

They actually support a good range of L1s and L2s which is very refreshing to see - 13 in total right now. I can't think of any other chains that I would implement honestly, so the team has done an excellent job.

Thank you all for your feedback! We appreciate all the feedback we get from you guys, we will be looking at all comments and concerns this week and get it all sorted out =). If you have anymore questions please let us know, we are working really hard to get a no deposit bonus up and ready in the next few weeks to get everyone to try out our awesome casino!

Nice one, a few days ago I got a notification that the promotion has ended due to many cheating attempts, you have to find a way to prevent it in the next  promotions
Some of the banners on the main page don't work either when I want to read more details about what is shown. Lastly, adding a new provider will attract attention especially providers that are popularly being played Relax Gaming , HackSaw.

Without KYC it is going to be hard to prevent these attempts, but I do hope that they don't compromise privacy to do bonuses in the future.
300  Economy / Economics / Re: How will Bitcoin behave in the approaching crisis? on: February 11, 2022, 09:43:59 AM
I think that there is no doubt that bitcoin is correlated with stock returns - it is a risky asset.

So in the event that high interest rates come, I think that BTC will perform very similarly to the broader markets on the way down.

However, if the impending economic doom is actually some sort of total collapse of the fiat system, there is no doubt that BTC prices will soar as it is one of the best hedges against fiat collapse out there.
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