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4501  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Which Sport is the easiest to wager/win on: July 03, 2017, 06:53:34 PM
The easiest play from a statistical perspective is probably the draw prop in boxing and mixed martial arts.

Statistically very few fights to go a draw.

Odds aren't good but that reflects the inherent relationship between risk and reward & should be expected.
4502  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin heading to $4,000 on: July 03, 2017, 06:50:09 PM
BTC price has often peaked near the US holiday season, from a historical perspective.

It is possible we'll see it happen this year where we'll reach a new ATH during the holidays.

ETH could be having a negative effect on crypto with its bubble behavior.
4503  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UFC 213: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 Info and Prediction Thread on: July 03, 2017, 06:09:05 PM
The point is does Nunes really have that problem coming in this match, this time around?  Sure one can argue she has a 'weak' gas tank, my argument is fighters adapt and evolve.  Nunes knows where she's weak and what needs to be worked on and work and train hard on that.  She's a champ, there's a reason why she's up there.  She def won't be going in there octagon with a 'weak' gas tank.

Have you seen Amanda Nunes fight with Cat Zingano in 2014? Amanda Nunes had serious cardio issues in that fight.

Two years later in 2016, Nunes showed the same cardio issues when she fought Shevchenko in a 3 round fight.

Sometimes, if they have years to fix a problem & can't fix it. It never gets fixed.

BJJ Scout has some of the breakdowns I've ever seen. Here's one he did of Nunes vs Ronda that is good.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m3WhOryZ_OY

I hope he does one of Shevchenko vs Nunes but looks like he's been busy doing other things.
4504  Economy / Economics / Re: Anti bitcoin/crypto/gift card/redeemable legislature bill proposed in senate on: July 02, 2017, 05:53:52 PM


If nothing else, the search and seizure part of this bill which claims the government has the authority to confiscate crypto without due process has to be anti-constitutional.

I would have to think it won't pass on that basis alone.

The problem is the patriot act and other legislature have eroded the 4th amendment and set a bad legal precedent for laws ignoring it.
4505  Economy / Economics / Re: If USD falls on: July 02, 2017, 05:46:15 PM
If USD falls, americans could buy guns, televisions, gold, silver and anything else they can get their hands on in an effort to maintain the value of the wealth they're holding as the value of the dollar declines.

Basically the same behavior europeans have been engaging in for years now whenever there were fears about the euro dying out. Concerns over greece dragging the EU economy down with it, etc.

The value of crypto/bitcoin could increase during this time on rising demand/volume.
4506  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UFC 213: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 Info and Prediction Thread on: July 02, 2017, 05:35:54 PM
Again, it's an overused argument.

The great thing about MMA is: we're going to find out whether its an overused argument or not.  Wink

It might be fair to say many fighters never fix their weaknesses. Ronda never fixed her boxing. Paul Daley didn't fix his takedown defense as Rory MacDonald showed. Jon Jones is still trying to fix his substance abuse issues. Johny Hendricks is still struggling with his weight cutting issues, etc.

Did Amanda Nunes fix her cardio? I don't think she did. But we will see.
4507  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Pacquiao VS Horn (Boxing) on: July 02, 2017, 05:30:48 PM
Does a relative unknown like Horn having a competitive fight with Manny Pacquiao prove someone like Conor McGregor might be able to hang with Floyd Mayweather?

Judges definitely robbed Pacquiao when he fought Timothy Bradley. I don't agree with them awarding Horn the fight, either.

I remember Manny saying awhile ago he prefers to fight outside the united states due to him losing a lot of money paying US taxes.

Fighting in australia doesn't seem to have worked out well, either.
4508  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tell me how this strategy losses? on: July 01, 2017, 08:26:51 PM
I don't know if martingale qualifies as a strategy.

I'm no pro gambler but would have to think watching the table and looking for trends in red versus black spins would be a better strategy than ante up on loss or double down on win.
4509  Economy / Economics / Re: Anti bitcoin/crypto/gift card/redeemable legislature bill proposed in senate on: July 01, 2017, 07:07:59 PM
I haven't seen any updates on this. Senate Bill 1241, upon which this is based, must be anti-constitutional to some degree. I have to look up what the constitution says on lawful search and seizure.

Hopefully someone is organizing a petition / raising awareness on this.
4510  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What would you do with your winnings? on: July 01, 2017, 07:02:27 PM
Off a big win, I might try to start some type of business.

Nothing fancy or special. Just something to keep me busy and keep me moving so I don't turn into a sloth.
4511  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Why is gambling so addicting? on: July 01, 2017, 06:46:34 PM
If gambling is addictive, I would guess its due to high earnings potential and no real work being necessary for participation.

Especially appealing to the "something for nothing" pop culture movement.

4512  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UFC 213: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 Info and Prediction Thread on: July 01, 2017, 06:37:44 PM
All the talk of a fighter's 'gas tank' not being able to last two or three rounds have been an overused argument.  Don't you think the fighters know this and try to improve on it?  Of course they do.  Sometimes we make the mistake in thinking they don't evolve as martial artists.

Yeah. The gas tank argument is most valid when pinpointing the cause of cardio issues.

Ex: Overeem carried too much muscle mass to have the cardio to last 3 rounds in his previous fights.

In Amanda Nunes case, I'm not certain what the cause of her cardio issues are.

Nunes has had cardio issues since 2014 when she fought Cat Zingano.

Nunes fighting Valentina in 2016 showed she still had not fixed her cardio troubles.

If Nunes couldn't fix her cardio in the 2 years from 2014-2016 its possible she still hasn't fixed it.
4513  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Mayweather Vs McGregor: Info and prediction thread on: June 30, 2017, 05:53:15 PM
Conor is also sparring with boxer Paulie Malignaggi.

There isn't video of them sparring, only audio unfortunately:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B0u8kbIsgvU

4514  Economy / Economics / Qatar Begins Turning Its Back On The US Dollar on: June 30, 2017, 05:25:34 PM
Quote
Late last week, Saudi Arabia and other members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) that are involved in attempting to isolate Qatar sent the tiny Gulf nation a list of 13 demands. They are insisting that Qatar meet these demands within ten days or face unspecified further action.

The list of demands includes Qatar shutting down Al-Jazeera and its affiliate stations; shutting down other news outlets that Qatar funds, including Middle East Eye; curbing diplomatic ties with Iran and expelling members of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard; terminating the Turkish military presence in Qatar; consenting to monthly audits for the first year following acceptance of the demands, and aligning itself entirely with the other Gulf and Arab countries militarily, politically, socially, and economically – to name but a few.

The most ludicrous of the demands is that Qatar must end its interference in sovereign countries’ internal affairs. Qatar does interfere in a number of countries, including Libya and Syria, but as the German Foreign Minister explained, this list of demands directly challenges Qatar’s sovereignty. Who is interfering with whose sovereignty, exactly?

Unsurprisingly, Qatar has dismissed the list of demands as neither reasonable nor actionable. Surely, the Saudi-led anti-Qatar alliance is aware of this. It would be tantamount to asking Great Britain to shut down the BBC and expel American troops – it just wouldn’t happen. All of the world’s major newspapers are complicit in running state-sanctioned propaganda, and singling Al-Jazeera out is hardly fair or practical.
 
In that context, Saudi Arabia and its friends have given Qatar a list of demands they cannot conceivably meet and imposed a ten-day deadline to concede or face unspecified further action. Qatar was essentially doomed from the start of this rift, and it’s only just beginning. As Newsweek lamented, “the demands are designed to be impossible to comply with.”

The UAE has warned that Qatar is now facing indefinite isolation and that the economic and political sanctions are likely to become permanent. Taken together with the recent promotion of the Saudi King’s son, Mohammed bin Salman, now first in line to the throne, things are indeed heating up against Qatar. Prince Salman is widely regarded as one of the main proponents behind the Saudi-Qatar rift.

The ultimate agenda of the Saudi-led alliance is to deter Qatar from continuing its relationship with Iran, Saudi Arabia’s regional arch rival. But even the Guardian notes that “cutting ties to Iran would prove incredibly difficult,” as Iran and Qatar share a massive offshore natural gas field that supplies Qatar with much of its wealth. In fact, Iran immediately came to Qatar’s aid and began supplying the country with food after the Saudi-led sanctions created a shortage within the country. Shaking off Iran and Turkey —the two countries that have stood by Qatar’s side during this feud — is almost unthinkable. Qatar would be left without a single ally on either side of the Middle East region.

Qatar was initially among a handful of countries, including Turkey and Saudi Arabia, that wanted to install a natural gas pipeline through Syria and into Europe. Instead, the Syrian government turned to Iran and Iraq to run a pipeline eastward and cut out the formerly mentioned countries completely. This is precisely why Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey have been among some of the heaviest backers of the Syrian opposition fighters. This pipeline dispute pitted the Sunni Gulf States against the Shia-dominated bloc of Iran, Iraq, and Syria (Syria’s president is from a minority denomination of the Shia sect of Islam). Although Iran and Qatar shared this lucrative gas field, they were directly at odds in regard to how the field should have been utilized.

Not long after Bashar al-Assad’s proposed deal with Iran and Iraq was announced, foreign fighters began to flood the country. Syria was demonized at the outset, even though then-Secretary of State John Kerry dined with Assad two years before the conflict erupted. It should be clear that Washington’s issues with Assad are not rooted in human rights concerns considering the dictator had been in power for 11 years and was notorious for human rights abuses in the period before the so-called revolution began.

Though Qatar has been heavily involved in arming the Syrian opposition and calling for Assad’s departure (Assad being an integral Iranian ally), Qatar actually maintains an independent foreign policy agenda of its own. Over the past two years, Qatar has conducted over $86 billion worth of transactions in Chinese Yuan and has signed other agreements with China that encourage further economic cooperation.

This is incredibly important because Qatar shares its major natural gas reserve with Iran, and Iran also conducts its oil-related business deals with China in Yuan. Shortly after the nuclear accord reached in 2015, the Islamic Republic sought to capitalize on these economic opportunities by ramping up production on their share of the Iran-Qatari gas reserve. In November 2016, Iran signed a deal with France’s Total, a multinational integrated oil and gas company, to develop this project. Iran is expected to surpass Qatar’s gas production by next year, and Qatar was left with little choice but to join the venture. It lifted a self-imposed ban on developing the gas field in April of this year.

If Iran and Qatar continue down this path, the U.S.’ self-asserted hegemony over the world’s financial markets will directly come under attack, and rising economic and military powers like Russia and China will continue to reap the benefits.

Remember that Hillary Clinton’s leaked emails confirmed that the U.S. and France were so concerned with attacking Muammar Gaddafi in Libya not out of humanitarian concern, but rather, out of fear of his plan to unite Africa under a single gold-backed currency that would be used to buy and sell oil on the global markets.

Remember that in 2000, Saddam Hussein announced he would sell Iraqi oil in euros, and the Guardian reported in 2003 that Iraq had actually netted a handsome profit in doing so — at least until the U.S. invaded not long after and immediately switched the sale of oil back to U.S. dollars.

Perhaps it sounds like a conspiracy theory (even with Clinton’s leaked emails as evidence), but it’s important to ask why Saudi Arabia is so concerned with Qatar, if not for economic reasons? Because of Qatar’s support for terrorism? Hillary Clinton’s leaked emails also revealed that both Saudi Arabia and Qatar financially sponsored ISIS – making such a rationale hypocritical beyond belief.

Pot. Kettle. Black.

The push to oust Assad in Syria has almost all but failed, and Qatar, learning from its mistakes, is not relying on Assad’s departure to maintain its vast supply of wealth (though it would probably still welcome such a move). As Counterpunch explains:

“The failure of this insurgency, however, has spelled the death of this proposal, leaving Qatar bound to look East to Asia – already their biggest customers – for their LNG markets. But most of the existing Eastbound LNG pipeline infrastructure is controlled by Iran. For Qatar, then, cutting its Iran links would be cutting off its nose to spite its face. This is why the Saudis aim to demonstrate that the alternative is having their entire face cut off.”

How far in Saudi Arabia’s face-cutting agenda against Qatar these Gulf State adversaries will go is unclear, but Qatar has already seen some heavy-handed treatment in the early stages of this conflict. Further complicating the issue is the fact that Qatar hosts the largest U.S. military base in the region, with 11,000 troops currently stationed there.

Further, the U.S. just recently implemented a policy to target Iran for regime change. President Trump met with Saudi Arabia and the GCC nations earlier this year and sword-danced and sabre-rattled his way down a warpath with Iran. Trump’s military has been striking down Iranian drones and Iranian-backed troops in Syria, and the White House has just launched fresh accusations against the Syrian government regarding an attack that hasn’t even happened yet.

Clearly, Qatar cannot meet Saudi Arabia’s demands, and Saudi Arabia must be completely aware of this. As we have seen in Yemen and Syria, Saudi Arabia almost always resorts to outright brutality in order to bully non-compliant states into submission. As we have also seen in America’s treatment of Iraq and Libya, countries that depart from the U.S. dollar are not met kindly by the American military, either.

In this context, expect this rift to heat up on multiple fronts. We may very well be witnessing Qatar’s denigration into a Syrian or Yemeni-style battlefield in the months to come.

Let’s hope this is not the case.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-06-29/qatar-begins-turning-its-back-us-dollar

As an american, reading this made me realize how little I actually know about politics in the middle east.

With russia, china and other nations positioning themselves to drop the dollar. Have to wonder if any action taken to prevent Qatar from doing the same is wasted effort.
4515  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What if Governments Shutdown the Internet? on: June 30, 2017, 01:31:52 PM
That could kill amazon, online banking and cause trillions in lost revenue.

A complete shutdown may not be a likely scenario, instead some type of filtering or censorship policy would be preferred.

Censorship/internet filtering is terrible for online gaming btw.

Everyone's ping will be much higher if such a thing ever goes into effect.
4516  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UFC 213: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 Info and Prediction Thread on: June 30, 2017, 01:18:10 PM
Shevchenko is a multi talented fighter and one of the well rounded fighters in women's division and if she could get Nunes to the third round then she will take the belt from her.

Nunes gas tank doesn't last more than 2 rounds.

I think you have a valid point there.

Seeing Yoel Romero dominate Chris Weidman in wrestling/grappling aspects of their fight was almost magical. Will be cool to see what he can do with Whittaker although Yoel's gas tank, like Nunes, is also in question.

Really looking forward to this card.   Smiley
4517  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Incredible odds. Need your opinion about new game! on: June 30, 2017, 01:05:09 PM
.........

I would never do this.

The people who own the site could make alt accounts & use inside knowledge on how the algorithm functions to consistently win against other players.

I have seen rigged crypto sites that did similar things in the past.

Years ago there was a website similar to jeopardy where a person could compete with others to win crypto. The guy who owned the website would actively participate and win, because he knew all the answers to the questions.

PvP (player versus player) may not be a good format unless there's real fairness and quality assurance.

PvE (player versus environment) tends to be more fair and I would guess most would prefer it.
4518  Economy / Economics / Re: Recession fears as bankers warn next global crash could arrive with a vengeance on: June 29, 2017, 09:41:07 PM
If you look at most people in western countries everyone owns the same like a TV,Cellphone,Computer etc .....its a standard and has nothing to do with wealth since you need to "update" it every few years.Its funny that most people work just to keep them updated

Reminds me of something Lewis Mumford said.

Quote
The dogma of ‘increasing wants’ as an indispensible basis for further industrial progress. Instead of the duty to work, we now have the duty to consume. To ensure rapid absorbtion of its immense productivity, megatechnics resorts to a score of different devices: consumer credit, installment buying, multiple packaging, non-functional designs, meretricious novelties, shoddy materials, defective workmanship, built-in fragility.

The aim of industry is not primarily to satisfy essential human needs with a minimal productive effort, but to multiply the number of needs, factitious and fictitious, and accommodate them to the maximum mechanical capacity to produce profits. These are the sacred principle of the power complex. Not the least effort of this system is that of replacing selectivity and quantitative restriction by indiscriminate and incontinent consumption.

--Lewis Mumford

Milton Friedman and Karl Marx are more famous than Lewis Mumford.

I can't remember either of them ever putting things into perspective the way Mumford did though.
4519  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Proof that Crime isn't Why they Hate Bitcoin. on: June 29, 2017, 09:26:35 PM
PROOF:
Tools like VPNs and Proxies almost have thesame capability as Bitcoin but you hardly hear the complain about them.

To be fair, LE (law enforcement) and intelligence agencies (like CIA, NSA, FBI) own & run a lot of proxies and VPN's.

TOR could be moreso what you're looking for.

Although it could be said that intelligence has been trying to find ways to monitor TOR as well if they haven't already.
4520  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin under attack with USA Senate Bill 1241 on: June 29, 2017, 09:11:37 PM
There is already a thread on this.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1972056.msg19623419

I don't understand why good threads on forums are ignored while the generic and pointless threads reach 50+ pages.

It seems like an industry standard.
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