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581  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 12, 2020, 01:35:32 PM
That's why I am not going to buy a lambo. Although theoretically I already can buy one almost new 8K km 2019 huracan right now.  Grin I prefer a beach villa for this price.



Yeah in all seriousness I won’t be buying Lambo’s. Imagine how much a car like that depreciates in value over 2-3 years. Yes I know our bitcoin’s will be worth more (presumably) as time goes on but money is money. I don’t like losing money!

I’ll just take a standard Range Rover or something & a huge house Smiley

I think some of the luxury cars do not depreciate that much and even (I have heard) you can make an insta-winning deal buying second hand (almost new, used for only one season) from places like Dubai, etc.

Anyway, I would not consider buying a $200.000+ car unless my net worth would be a solid over 10-100+ times that amount. And even then... I probably would have much better things to do with my "surplus" money. I will never buy a boat/yatch ever either... I wouldn't like one even if "free"... Maybe I would buy a good Jet Ski though, but that's very cheap in comparison... and way more fun.

When I think about it, the main thing I want money for (beyond basic expenses, of course) is RE. There's no limit on how much "luxury" I would allow myself to "spend" on that if the money were not a restriction.

Anyway, first priority would be to be set for life on basic expenses and sleep well at night. Then we can start talking about luxury spending/purchases/investments.

582  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 11, 2020, 12:05:28 AM
FRESH FROM WANGA/MASTERLUC TELEGRAM:

Quote
Bce вoт кpичaт: xaлвинг,xaлвинг (halvening). И в кoммeнтax пoд мoими идeями бpeдят им. Taк вoт, cвeжий взгляд. Имeю нaглocть зaявить, чтo xaлвинг, кaк cкaляpнoe coбытиe, нe влияeт нa гpaфик цeны вooбщe никaк. Двa пpeдыдyщиx xaлвингa я пepeживaл и нaблюдaл. Booбщe нoль нa мaccy. Toчки xaлвингa пoпaдaют в coвepшeннo cлyчaйныe мecтa paзныx тpeндoв. И ничeгo нe вызывaют, дaжe мaлeйшeй peaкции pынкa, нecмoтpя нa вceoбщий aжиoтaж и фyндaмeнтaльнocть coбытия.

Знaeтe, нaвepнoe этo фeнoмeн дaжe. Ho oбъяcнeниe ecть. Xaлвинг этo пpиpoдa биткoинa, тaкoe мeтaфизичecкoe явлeниe, кoтopoe coздaёт eгo cyть и пpoявлeниe кoтopoгo нeльзя oтыcкaть нa пoвepxнocти.  Xaлвинг пpoявляeтcя в тoм, чтo биткoин дoлгocpoчнo pacтeт. A вecнoй ничeгo ocoбeннoгo вы нe yвидитe.

GOOGLE TRANSLATE:

Everyone is shouting: halving, halving. And in the comments under my ideas rave about them. So, a fresh look. I have the audacity to say that halving, as a scalar event, does not affect the price chart at all. Two previous halving I experienced and observed. Generally zero to ground. Halving points fall into completely random places of different trends. And they do not cause anything, not even the slightest reaction of the market, despite the general excitement and fundamental nature of the event.

You know, this is probably a phenomenon even. But there is an explanation. Halving is the nature of Bitcoin, a metaphysical phenomenon that creates its essence and the manifestation of which cannot be found on the surface. Halving is manifested in the fact that bitcoin is growing for a long time. And in the spring you will not see anything special.


P.S.: Never seen him write so much. Weird. I am not going to opine on it. Bleh.
583  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 10, 2020, 12:34:52 PM
Talk about WO mutating, every so often.

I wonder if there is anything else like the WO out there.

It's beauty is in the ordered chaos it is made of. I am recalling when we had the "lockgate" issue and Theymos was shaking his head trying to understand why we cared so much about our "crazy" thread... And how he decided to just leave it out of the direct control (and even some rules) of the moderation staff here and call it a day. (Thanks again Theymos!).

Fun times. Great thread. Awesome people.
584  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 10, 2020, 10:52:45 AM
GOOD morning guys.

This is fine. In fact it is more than fine... this is being one of the most beautiful and smooth "pumpenings" ever. Wouldn't even mind if it were to retest $9K or even high $8K to scare the shit out of any remaining weak hands before going on.

So far, so good.
585  Local / Mercado y Economía / Re: Testimonio de Joaquín Fenoy desde sus inicios a lo sufrido en los ultimos años. on: February 10, 2020, 01:33:10 AM
Enhorabuena Kimet!

Muy interesantes los enlaces y el documental.

Suerte con el resto de procesos y estaremos atentos a futuras novedades a medida que puedas/quieras compartirlas.

Un saludo!
586  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 09, 2020, 10:23:29 PM
Never sell all your BTC. Even if life requires you to raise cash please try to keep some you can afford to lose for that next parabolic rise in price.

I have always considered you a somewhat conservative (and many times correct) TA analyst. So, let me ask you this question, do you assign a good probability of BTC reaching or even exceeding $100K during the next couple of years? Really would like to know you opinion.

Thank you for the kind words. I have found Fibonacci extensions to be very valuable in projecting price action. Times have changed since the last parabolic rise and history does not have to repeat itself. Bitcoin still reigns with highest market cap and first mover advantage. I give odds about 60% that we will see a new ATH within the next two years and the first Fibonacci extension projection is at $24166.



There are some hurdles to overcome first. Ten grand is a significant first psychological barrier then when that falls and holds on volume we can start thinking about a new ATH. Times have changed and futures on bitcoin may tend to dampen a new parabolic rise. I don't see prices higher than $25000 impossible though, just lower probability over the next year or two.

The next higher Fibonacci extension past 1.27 is the 1.618 at $29,890. I don't think $100,000 is impossible within the next two years, just low probability. I would be happy with steady growth and adoption with real use of the Lightning network. Thirty thousand in three years but I could be too conservative: would be glad to be proven wrong.

Thanks for the info. Yeah, it makes sense and also is in line with your usual conservativeness. Good enough for me even if I do also hope for maybe even higher prices. We will see... "soon"... years pass a lot faster during a bull market
587  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - eddie13 Wins Edition on: February 09, 2020, 05:15:30 PM

Confirmed!
Thank you!

All them long days of manual trading paid off in them quick clicking skills I guess Smiley

Indeed. Managing to beat a previous Vegeta winner (Icygreen) by a full 8 seconds is certainly impressive!

Well done. Very well done.
588  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 09, 2020, 04:53:23 PM
Just looking at this from a strictly numbers view, putting all emotions aside about death and doom, etc.

Coronavirus mostly kills older people. Older people mostly don't own Bitcoin and have little interest to buy it compared to younger people. When they die they leave money and assets to younger people. Younger people use money and sell assets to buy Bitcoin. Moon.

except this old person. i plan to die with zero btc (or most any assets actually) left. the timing is iffy; im still working on a workable timeline for the various events planned.

How do you plan to do that? I mean, it is difficult to really calculate the ratio of spending when there are many uncertainties like how many years you have left, what emergency spendings you might incur into, etc...

The only financial products that may help some here are: Reverse mortgage and some private pension funds. But it is still insufficient to really achieve the perfect optimisation of reaching ZERO just as the time is over.
589  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - eddie13 Wins Edition on: February 09, 2020, 04:14:29 PM
WOOT GO BTC!!!!!!


Fuck, I am too drunk to determine who won. At first instance it looks like it was eddie13. Is that right?

P.S.: On other news... WE ALL WON Tongue
I believe so. I'm 8 seconds slower. Congratz eddie13

If, after sobriety has been reclaimed, and/or rigorous examination of the photo finish determines me the winner, the address in my profile is good Smiley
-redacted-

https://youtu.be/qR7U1HIhxfA <needs a BTC remix..

I suggest addresses be communicated via PM. It makes it all too easy to link user to address (receiver and sender).

Yeah... But in fact the receiver address is indeed eddie13 profile bitcoin address and the sending address is in fact a virgin (no previous history) address I publicly used here to receive the Vegeta prize from LFC and also an address I have "staked" here in the forum.

So both are already completely username linked addresses and should be treated as such with no real need to hide it.

@LFC I hope you don't mind I funded my silly game (and maybe some others in the future) indirectly from your pocket lol
Hey that makes you a sponsor I guess!  Grin
590  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 09, 2020, 03:39:41 PM
- Price crossed $10K as if it were a nothingburger

- $10K+ still holding

- No significant selloffs

- Still no signs of FOMO, no meme trains/rockets, just a few honey badgers

So far so good.  Grin
591  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 09, 2020, 04:04:27 AM
Surprisingly enough, $10K seems to be holding...... At least for now... Life is good.
592  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - eddie13 Wins Edition on: February 09, 2020, 03:59:24 AM
WOOT GO BTC!!!!!!


Fuck, I am too drunk to determine who won. At first instance it looks like it was eddie13. Is that right?

P.S.: On other news... WE ALL WON Tongue
I believe so. I'm 8 seconds slower. Congratz eddie13

If, after sobriety has been reclaimed, and/or rigorous examination of the photo finish determines me the winner, the address in my profile is good Smiley
1vvSrTFiQY7akwbsv3iYPPe9mR3DsEbff

https://youtu.be/qR7U1HIhxfA <needs a BTC remix..


Sent, I think:

https://blockstream.info/tx/b77a07e67b9cbebc0deaf8b1bcadc27312a71d5bc991933be4ee98635a1c904e

And congrts again!!
593  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 09, 2020, 03:34:03 AM




Congrats eddie13!! Please tell me an address to send you the little TEN bucks (0.001BTC) reward for your superhuman badger-like reflexes!
594  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 09, 2020, 03:18:33 AM
Fuck, I am too drunk to determine who won. At first instance it looks like it was eddie13. Is that right?

P.S.: On other news... WE ALL WON Tongue
595  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 09, 2020, 03:09:43 AM
596  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 09, 2020, 02:59:36 AM
I think and hope this is the last time I need to reming my little tribute to the honey badger:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg53642996#msg53642996

I have just arrived home and a little (healthily) drunk, so I may or may not be here again until tomororrow.

Gp BAdger, go!!!!


($10K+) TENacious Badger Challenge


Inspired by LFC's Vegeta Challenge, I present you my little "TENacious Badger Challenge":

As I am a little poor and stingy this is not about the money, there will be a symbolic prize of *TEN* US DOLLARS (lol) in Bitcoin (exactly 0.001BTC at $10K) for whomever is first in posting a badger after Bitcoin price crosses $10K. In addition to that you will surely earn the admiration and awe of the entire WO community for your superhuman badger-like reflexes! ... And maybe even some additional merits depending on the awesomeness factor of your very own badger post!

Rules:
====

1) Bitstamp price needs to be *OVER* $10K. Nothing can stop the TENacious badger... the fight is not over until the enemy completely bites the dust.

2) There will be only ONE winner that (in case of doubt) will be decided at my sole discretion based on whatever evidence I and other fellow WO members see.

3) I can change (only slightly for improvement) the rules at any point BEFORE the $10K goal is reached.  I will welcome suggestions too.

4) As I don't like to have standing "liabilities" FOREVER, this challenge is valid only FROM RIGHT NOW and during January and February 2020. I may later extend the period at my discretion if $10K has not yet been reached. I hope this won't be needed.

5) I have just realised that "Tenacious Badger Hops" is an already existing brand. This little challenge is in no way related to that brand in any way so, to avoid ANY possible confusion, their very own logo (nor any derived work) WON'T be accepted as a valid badger.

6) I am unsure if I should enforce the rule of posting a screen capture of Bitstamp chart to make sure the price has already just been been crossed. I accept suggestions about this but, in the meantime (if price were to cross $10K sooner than I expect) it IS REQUIRED and should be posted at the same time along with the badger. The edit button can't be used after you send your initial post. I don't (currently) know how I could 100% verify this but please don't do it: This is just for FUN.

Again, if someone thinks I should change anything or I am forgetting anything/making any mistake, please tell me! This is my first time doing this.

Also, Even if you are late to win or can't be arsed to include the Bitstamp chart, please post your badger. You won't qualify for the "prize" (lol), but I am sure we will all love to see many badgers in that "special" moment.

Go badger, go!
597  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 08, 2020, 05:04:29 PM
Never sell all your BTC. Even if life requires you to raise cash please try to keep some you can afford to lose for that next parabolic rise in price.

I have always considered you a somewhat conservative (and many times correct) TA analyst. So, let me ask you this question, do you assign a good probability of BTC reaching or even exceeding $100K during the next couple of years? Really would like to know you opinion.
598  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 08, 2020, 04:51:14 PM

And Welcome Back bones261!

Just to let everyone know. I am doing great. Sorry to worry some people. I'm just for all intensive purposes a nocoiner now. I'll try to check in more often. We shall see.

Good to know you are doing great, that's the most important thing above everything else.

Not so good you did sell all your BTC (the other day we were talking about your last post some time ago, which basically said so), but I assume that was a case of "a man's gotta do what a man's gotta do" and you used it for something important for you. And, who knows, maybe you decide to accumulate again when you do see the chance.
599  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 08, 2020, 04:39:35 PM
I am trying to understand who is that guy I never heard before and why it is at all relevant. Nothing I have googled so far has sufficiently enlighted me.

I would appreciate a little ELI5 TL;DR introduction to the topic or the guy. Considering the huge interest, I think I am missing something here.  Roll Eyes

And Welcome Back bones261!
He's a literal freedom fighter. One of the greatest figures in the fight against communism.

That doesn't make any sense with veggies, something, meat, something, climate change, something, psychology, something, drugs, something, books, something, bible, something, blah blah, something...
600  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 08, 2020, 04:23:57 PM
I am trying to understand who is that guy I never heard before and why it is at all relevant. Nothing I have googled so far has sufficiently enlighted me.

I would appreciate a little ELI5 TL;DR introduction to the topic or the guy. Considering the huge interest, I think I am missing something here.  Roll Eyes

And Welcome Back bones261!
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