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581  Economy / Securities / Re: [IPVO] [Multiple Exchanges] Neo & Bee - The Bitcoin Bank (Cyprus) - LMB Holdings on: September 10, 2013, 05:57:33 PM
That TAT XBOND (and you assume that everybody knows what are these obscurs bonds) is really fishy.
What's fishy about it? It's a loan, and you can redeem it in various ways - at a small loss for BTC or 1:1 for IPOs. Or it can be traded on the open market.

It pays a dividend too! I make 0.125 BTC a day off of it!
582  Economy / Speculation / Re: When will the price go to $1000/BTC? on: September 09, 2013, 11:17:52 PM
I don't think $1000 is possible until the block reward halves. So no earlier than 2016.

Of course, if fiat currencies collapse before then, the sky will be the limit.

Why would the block reward have anything to do with it?
583  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Are my BTC safe in Mt.Gox? on: September 09, 2013, 08:49:05 PM
Not safe at all. You are putting all your faith in a third party not to run away with your bitcoins.

If Mt.Gox goes bankrupt and sells your coins to pay their debts you will NOT get your coins back. Mt.Gox is not a bank. Your bitcoin deposit is not FDIC insured.

I personally don't leave any coin in Mt.Gox unless I am planning on selling.

I'm not saying that Mt.Gox is going to go out of business or steal your money, but if they do, you have very little legal recourse to use to get your money back.
584  Economy / Speculation / Re: mt gox bitstamp arbitrage on: September 09, 2013, 08:43:53 PM
I used to do this. It was only really worthwhile when the spread was 5% or more. There were a lot of issues:

- International wire transfers take time and with Bitstamp -> Mt.Gox arbitrage you have international transfers on both ends. It can take up to 2 weeks to do a round. Thus, you need a large bankroll. The more money you have the more you can arbitrage. But too much money and you risk moving the market. If you have enough you can send a little more up everyday and have the money pipelined so you are sending transfers, receiving transfers and arbitraging everyday. I did $5k a day at it was barely worth my time. International bank transfers can also take up to 30 min to perform at your bank since they require a lot of paperwork and then a phone call and they typicall can't be done by an ordinary teller. Some banks let you automate this a little bit and let you do it over the phone but it requires even more paperwork up front.

- You get hit with fees everywhere. Exchange fees on Bitstamp and Mt.Gox and wire transfer fees from you bank. And possible currency exchange fees too. They also can be expensive depending on your bank. At one bank I use it was about $40 or $50 but at my other bank it was only $18 but only if I sent the money in Euros (even with the exchange it was cheaper).

- To properly arbitrage you need to buy and sell at the same time. Since it can take an hour or more for the coins you buy on Bitstamp to arrive at Mt.Gox, you need to have an extra stash of coins already up on Mt.Gox ready to sell. This means you actually need twice the bankroll for risk-free aribtrage.

Finally, you can't do this anymore!

Mt.Gox is not processing bank withdrawals in USD anymore. I mean, maybe they are, but it is so slow as to make arbitrage impossible. I had $20k stuck up there for nearly 6 weeks until I gave up and canceled my withdrawals and rebought BTC (thus negating any money I could have made from arbitrage).
585  Other / CPU/GPU Bitcoin mining hardware / Re: I have $40,000 to invest on: September 08, 2013, 08:36:00 AM
Don't mine.


Use it all to buy BTC.

Invest those btc in bonds with a guaranteed yield like Xbond, ukyo.loan, and great.loan all of which pay 18.5% APY. Invest in coinlenders too although I consider that more risky.
586  Economy / Marketplace / Re: Have you purchased a CAR with BTC or LTC? on: September 06, 2013, 05:44:23 PM
http://bitcoinmotor.com/ is selling a delorean for 300btc.

I almost bought it when btc was down at around 60.
587  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Mac Bitcoin-Qt Transaction Bug on: September 06, 2013, 08:10:52 AM
While I am on the issue, what is the preferred way for using a single wallet across multiple machines?

It seems there is no easy way to avoid problems like this were coins end up in limbo unless you are very careful to backup every time you make a transaction and copy your wallet over each time.

At first I believed I was safe as long as my wallet didn't need to generate new addresses, but not I realize thats not good enough unless each machine is completely up to date with the blockchain.

I wish Bitcoin-Qt had a way where you could specify a different location for your wallet. Putting the whole directory on a USB drive isn't possibly because of the huge blockchain data files. There has got to be an easier way.
588  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Mac Bitcoin-Qt Transaction Bug on: September 06, 2013, 07:58:57 AM
In my opinion, this is a very serious bug and I don't understand why it has not been fixed yet. I've had this happen to me three times in the past couple of months and I've written posts here and on the technical discussion forum before.
I do not believe that I've heard of this being reported and there is nothing like it described on the issue tracker.

I completely believe that you may fail to broadcast initially if, for example, you transmit immediately after starting. But if your node is synced up you should be rebroadcasting with a random delay after every block that lacks your transaction. I'm quite sure that this has worked in the past but there is always a possibility of a bug.

Are you sure that you were not ending up with a double spent transaction in your wallet?— say from running the same private keys in another wallet? I ask this because it would have behavior like you described and be cured by doing what you describe, but is currently the expected behavior. In a double-spend case it will also still wedge some of your coins but it will be hopeless: the wallet will rebroadcast the conflicted transaction forever and the only way to recover any non-double-spent inputs will be to blow away the transaction just as you did. (This can be more easily done by backing up the wallet and then starting with salvage wallet).  But outside of a double spend this would be very unexpected.

Do you have a debug.log from a wallet running in this state?

If you get wedged again a debug log from the wallet running with debug=1 and logtimestamps=1 in the bitcoin.conf would be very useful.  If it is merely stuck needing a rebroadcast the transaction can be extracted by typing getrawtransaction <txid> in the debug console and then manually broadcast.



I'll try this. I suppose there is the possibility it is from double spent coins. I very rarely use another machine to send transactions but keep my wallets in sync using a USB drive. If one of the machines was not up to date with the blockchain and didn't have the newest wallet (even though they were essentially the same) I could see how it could try to double spend the same coins if it didn't realize they were already spent. It makes sense that that is the issue I've seen as I think I used a different machine for my last transaction and this one wasn't completely up to date. It would be nice if the client would cancel transactions that contained double spent coins instead of letting them sit there with all of the coins in the transaction unusable. Or at least there should be some way to manually cancel the transaction. Or at the very least, some indication of what is going on.

In the meantime I will look at the debug log and see what I can learn. Thanks.
589  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Mac Bitcoin-Qt Transaction Bug on: September 06, 2013, 07:32:58 AM

Every once in a while I send a transaction on my Mac with Bitcoin-Qt and the transaction just sits there and never gets broadcast out to the network. I'm not sure why this happens but it seems to happen more often if I send the transaction right away without letting the client sit for a little while first.

What happens is the transaction gets stuck in limbo. It never gets broadcast so it never gets confirmed. But my wallet thinks those coins have already been sent so the money is unspendable. It doesn't matter how many times I restart bitcoin-qt or wait (I've waited hours if not days), the transaction will sit there and never get broadcast.

The only solution I've found has been to delete my wallet and restore from a backup of the wallet that was made before the transaction. This is not an acceptable solution though as it is possible the old wallet may not include all the addresses the new wallet has and I could lose coins.

I suppose I could only try using pywallet although I haven't tried that yet.

In my opinion, this is a very serious bug and I don't understand why it has not been fixed yet. I've had this happen to me three times in the past couple of months and I've written posts here and on the technical discussion forum before.

Have others had this bug happen to them? I imagine it must be fairly common. Finally, how can I report this bug more directly to the developers so that it can get fixed.

In my opinion, any bug that causes you to lose coins without resorting to complicated wallet hacks (like pywallet) should be considered a very critical bug.
590  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is there any organization that will state in writing your net worth in bitcoin? on: September 06, 2013, 12:05:20 AM
Put all your bitcoin in a single address.

Sign a document with your name, SS, address, whatever with the private key of that address.

Now you've proven you own that address and thus those bitcoins.
591  Economy / Securities / Re: Looking for investment on: September 05, 2013, 10:18:01 PM
Give us some idea what you will be doing with the money before we spend time PMing you.
592  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BTC will never extend more on: September 05, 2013, 10:10:29 PM
Here are some situations where using bitcoin might be preferable:
1. The merchant won't sell goods under a certain value by credit card.
2. The merchant will add the credit card/debit card fees to the transaction - e.g. low budget airlines - so the consumer pays the fees directly.
3. Buying goods in parts of the world where credit card/debit card fraud is very common.
4. Buying goods from merchants who don't have the ability to take credit or debit cards (street stalls etc)

In most of those cases, Bitcoin might be preferable to credit card, but not to cash, which will always be the simplest and cheapest option for low value face to face transactions.
For 2, are there any that add fees to debit card transactions? Ryanair, known for being cheapskates, don't, only to credit card transactions.
And how many street stalls who can't take debit cards are instead going to have bitcoin processing set up?
(And for 3, I'm going to take a wild guess and say that parts of the world where credit card fraud is common are also parts of the world where fraudulent merchants are common, and you would value the extra protection credit cards offer.)
Again, I've never said there are no uses for Bitcoin, I just think that people who see it taking over the world and being the sole, or even majority, form of transaction, are fooling themselves.
For the majority of boring, mundane, everyday, transactions, especially face-to-face ones, Bitcoin is a solution in search of a problem.
That isn't to say that there are not problems for which it is a solution, but there seem to be far too many evangelists here who see it as the One True Solution to all ills.


Cash is not simpler. In order for me to use cash I have to go to an ATM. I don't like to carry around a lot of cash due to the risk of me losing it or it getting stolen. Therefore I find myself at the ATM at least a couple times a week. In general, it is easier to use a credit or debit card for most transactions. I only use cash at bars and places that don't take credit cards and for very small transactions.

To spend bitcoins I only need my phone. I always have my phone and using blockchains wallet the transaction is faster than using my credit card or debit card. There are a couple of restaurants near me that accept bitcoins and I try to eat their as much as possible.

Street stalls are taking credit cards now if they buy something like this for their phones: https://squareup.com/
It's still much cheaper and easier to take bitcoins, though. Still cash will always be preferred for transactions like those. Maybe bitcoins will never dominate the street vendor market, lol. Oh well, no big loss. It is still better for the other 99% of transactions out there.
593  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Swedish ASIC miner company kncminer.com on: September 05, 2013, 08:38:32 PM
I don't believe they will fail to deliver first gen stuff(which is actually 2nd gen stuff for the ASIC BTC mining community), but they've offered pre-orders for the very same gear at lower prices for November delivery when they could easily have simply said "no more pre-orders", "no more zero interest loans", "no more offloading 100% of the risk to investors/customers" and instead offered hardware for immediate delivery at premium prices in November and beyond. I understand the appeal of the pre-order model when a vendor is green as they don't likely have the VC funding to cover NRE costs, but knc is essentially playing with house money now and has had a chance to differentiate themselves...they passed.

Unlike the past orders, you can wait for November 1st and order with KNC at the new prices which they will deliver on around November 15th.  I don't feel this is a pre-order situation since I don't believe they will run out of stock.  The reason they posted the prices now and the dates is to allow people to plan for the future if they wish to buy an ASIC.   If they didn't release this information, consumers may need to look at Cointerra, HashFast, BF, or another company.  

If you don't like pre-orders, just wait and buy one when they are available.  KNC didn't say you need to pay now or you may miss out on the units scheduled for November.

I don't like pre-orders, particularly pre-orders from companies that have yet to deliver products. I don't have a specific problem with knc, I'm actually considering them for future business, I have a problem with the pre-order model which has brutally punished investors in the past. Even those that paid knc in BTC months ago are very unlikely to recover their investment in BTC. It's a horrible model from the perspective of an investor and the market can and will do better, but apparently knc will not be among the companies leading the way in this regard.

I love the pre-order model. It is the ONLY way to make money unless you are in the business of designing or building ASIC machines yourself.

No company is going to sell hardware for less they can mine with it, unless they have already sold it via pre-order.

It is a risky, but it is only with risk that you will get any reward.

I would never buy a miner UNLESS it was a pre-order. Any miner that is in stock and available and cheap would be sold so quickly that the difficult would rise to the point until the miner was no longer profitable. Or, more likely, the price on the miner would increase to that point (like ASIC Miner did). There is no such thing as a free lunch. No risk, no return.

It's like say, I'm going to wait until that promising startup is successful before I invest. Well if you wait, you are too late. You need to be an early adopter to make money in bitcoin.
594  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Anyone preordered the BFL Monarch PCIe card 600 Gh/s for $4680 on: September 05, 2013, 08:32:39 PM
https://products.butterflylabs.com/homepage-new-products/600-gh-bitcoin-mining-card.html

Seems like a very good deal to me. Plug 2 of these in your PCIe slots and you can mine at 1.2 Th/s

Wondering if I should cancel my order at KNC for the Mercury (100 Gh/s $2000) and get one of these.



In theory it sounds nice except remember this:

BFL has never made a deadline or kept any of their promises ever. EVER.

Don't forget that BFL said they would start shipping late October 2012. And then in November, and December, and January, etc. They were 10 months late.

Don't forget that BFL said they would ship all of their backlog within 90 days. Its been over 90 days and they have only shipped maybe 15% of their orders? They are still in July 2012 for minirigs and singles.

My honest opinion is that you will never receive your Monarch. BFL will go out of business before then due to all the incoming refund requests.

If somehow they survive I predict you'll receive it sometime Dec 2014.
595  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BTC will never extend more on: September 05, 2013, 07:34:10 PM
Here is why you are wrong:
1) Scams. The Internet is full of scams. Most of them existed before bitcoin and will continue to exist if bitcoin went away. Bitcoin puts more risk to the buyer while PayPal transfers the risk (of charge backs) to the seller. sellers love bitcoins while buyers love PayPal. One is not better than the other. They are just different. Right now bitcoin is used mainly for transactions with individuals and small companies. Imagine if amazon.com accepted bitcoin. Would you hesitate to buy merchandise from them with bitcoin? I'm guessing you wouldn't have an issue with because they are large, trusted company. Bitcoin is like cash and cash has existed for a long time without reversible transactions.

In the future there will be online wallets that insured by the companies holding them so that your coins are safe even it their site is hacked. There is nothing to prevent this from happening once banks get in on the bitcoin game. Only libertarians -- the kind that keeps gold bars in a safe and cash under their mattress will bother keeping their savings in a local wallet,

How would it be possible to insure that the wallet will remain safe? Assuming that Amazon uses bitcoins, and some random guy found the private key of the wallet, and send all the bitcoins to a mixing service. How would you retrieve the coins? How would you revert an irreversible transactions? How do you track an untrackable move?

There are two issues here. First, if your bank is hacked and they lose money, do you lose anything? No, you don't. The bank is FDIC insured. You can not lose the deposits in your checking or savings account. Bitcoins can be insured too (though not necessarily FDIC). It will be the banks responsibility to hold on to your coins, likely in offline cold storage. If they get stolen, it is their insurance that will have to cover the theft. What am I saying is that there are secure ways for the common man to store his bitcoins. Most people do not store large amounts of gold or cash or whatever in their homes for fear of theft. They use banks. The same will be true for bitcoin.

Quote
2) Bitcoin is inconvenient. Yes, bitcoin isn't convenient to use now but there is nothing that says it must always be this way. New software will be developed that will make bitcoin easier to use. New exchanges will be started that will make it easier to buy and sell bitcoins (I personally think that coinbase is pretty darn simple). And in the future no one will ever be downloading the whole blockchain. People will use online wallets, or they will use local wallets that don't require the whole blockchain. Bitcoin ATMs will be out there and there will be plenty of easy to use mobile bitcoin apps and wallets. If you can use online banking, you'll be able to use bitcoin. Bitcoin is still new there ans we have a ways to go but there is no reason we can't get there.

I think that it is not a big deal, with safety is the main problem. You can see in the newbie section people complaining about comprised online wallet every day, even with double authentification ON. Sad

Online wallets will be come more secure, especially as they begin to be run by larger and more reputable companies. I wouldn't trust my savings account to some company on the internet I've never heard although people are forced to do just that with their bitcoin online wallets. This won't necessarily be true in the future, though.


Quote
3) Fees are too high. This is not true at all. Fees are very low right now. In fact, you can still send bitcoins for free and have your transaction accepted into the blockchain. Worst case scenario, you have to add 5 or 10 cents to the transaction.

Fees do not need to go up once the block reward goes away!! Why not? Well, the fees can stay low because by then we expect the NUMBER of transactions per block to greatly increase as bitcoin becomes more widespread. Fees can still be 5 cents per transaction. The difference is we will have 1000 times more transactions.

Furthermore, credit cards are NOT free. Credit card companies charge merchants 2-3% to process transactions. Who ends up paying that? Well, you do in the form of higher prices. Merchants would love to charge you less if you use cash (and many gas stations do) but in general the credit card industry imposes strict rules to prevent merchants from doing that if they want to be able to accept credit cards at all.

Exchanges currently are a pain to use and can be expensive. But as Bitcoin gains acceptance and there are more exchanges, increased competition will bring lower fees and easier to use exchanges. In the future, exchanging fiat for bitcoin will be done for such a small fee it will be essentially free.

Current fees: 0,005 btc = 67,25 USD cents.
If you are buying a car it's fine. But if you are buying a 1 USD item, or moving money from wallet to wallet, it can increase quite a lot: almost 7 USD for 10 transactions, that you can do within 12 hours.

The numbers of transactions can go up, or down, and the fees as well. In the future, it might even not be possible to send btc without the fees.

Why would I care if the seller pays fees to VISA? If I am a customer and I don't pay anything, I don't pay more if I pay with a credit card, or by cash, I don't really care... You say that some merchants are selling cheaper if you pay by cash? I have never seen any of these.

Do you think that the blockchain will accept more transactions by blocks?
I have been waiting for 3 days for my last transaction to proceed (no fees). It took 45 minutes to get one confirmation with a 67 cents fee. I am not sure, but it seems that it is taking longer and longer to confirm. Before, transactions with fees were instant, and without took 12 hours max.

You should care because those credit card fees get passed on to you. Every merchant I've known who previously was cash only and then began accepting credit cards raised their prices to compensate. The majority of gas stations (at least in the US) have lower prices for those people who pay cash instead of credit. Regular merchants are not allowed to due to credit card rules. Their is an exception for gas stations.

The blockchain can accept far more transactions than are currently processed.
My no-fee transactions can sometimes take an hour or two. I've never had a transaction with a fee included take more than a single block. I haven't noticed transactions taking longer. The current fee is only 0.0005, not 0.005, and that is only 6 cents. You are off by an order of magnitude.

Quote
4) Confirmations are too slow. No, they are virtually instantaneous. There is no reason for most ,enchants to even wait for a block confirmation. Double spending is almost impossible to perform in practice and I've yet to hear of anyone successfully double spending in the real world ever. And the risk can be reduced if the merchant uses a payment processor that watches the network for double spend attempts. Already merchants such as Foodler will credit your bitcoin deposit immediately without waiting for confirmation. The only time a merchant might want to wait for confirmation would be for an expensive item like a car and those purchases usually take much longer today anyways. Finally, if you are using bitcoins on the Internet instead of POS, confirmation time doesn't really matter.

Merchants love bitcoin because they get their money right away too. Credit card companies take a long time to actually send money to the merchants (as you pointed out).


Yes maybe, but do you think that it will impossible in the future to double spend the bitcoins with new technique / with and without fees? And some tricks?

Double spending will only become harder as difficulty goes up and the size of the bitcoin network inceases. It's near impossible already and is it definitely worth the risk for small merchants like grocery stores that prefer instant transactions.

596  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BTC will never extend more on: September 05, 2013, 05:42:56 PM
Here is why you are wrong:
1) Scams. The Internet is full of scams. Most of them existed before bitcoin and will continue to exist if bitcoin went away. Bitcoin puts more risk to the buyer while PayPal transfers the risk (of charge backs) to the seller. sellers love bitcoins while buyers love PayPal. One is not better than the other. They are just different. Right now bitcoin is used mainly for transactions with individuals and small companies. Imagine if amazon.com accepted bitcoin. Would you hesitate to buy merchandise from them with bitcoin? I'm guessing you wouldn't have an issue with because they are large, trusted company. Bitcoin is like cash and cash has existed for a long time without reversible transactions.

In the future there will be online wallets that insured by the companies holding them so that your coins are safe even it their site is hacked. There is nothing to prevent this from happening once banks get in on the bitcoin game. Only libertarians -- the kind that keeps gold bars in a safe and cash under their mattress will bother keeping their savings in a local wallet,

2) Bitcoin is inconvenient. Yes, bitcoin isn't convenient to use now but there is nothing that says it must always be this way. New software will be developed that will make bitcoin easier to use. New exchanges will be started that will make it easier to buy and sell bitcoins (I personally think that coinbase is pretty darn simple). And in the future no one will ever be downloading the whole blockchain. People will use online wallets, or they will use local wallets that don't require the whole blockchain. Bitcoin ATMs will be out there and there will be plenty of easy to use mobile bitcoin apps and wallets. If you can use online banking, you'll be able to use bitcoin. Bitcoin is still new there ans we have a ways to go but there is no reason we can't get there.

3) Fees are too high. This is not true at all. Fees are very low right now. In fact, you can still send bitcoins for free and have your transaction accepted into the blockchain. Worst case scenario, you have to add 5 or 10 cents to the transaction.

Fees do not need to go up once the block reward goes away!! Why not? Well, the fees can stay low because by then we expect the NUMBER of transactions per block to greatly increase as bitcoin becomes more widespread. Fees can still be 5 cents per transaction. The difference is we will have 1000 times more transactions.

Furthermore, credit cards are NOT free. Credit card companies charge merchants 2-3% to process transactions. Who ends up paying that? Well, you do in the form of higher prices. Merchants would love to charge you less if you use cash (and many gas stations do) but in general the credit card industry imposes strict rules to prevent merchants from doing that if they want to be able to accept credit cards at all.

Exchanges currently are a pain to use and can be expensive. But as Bitcoin gains acceptance and there are more exchanges, increased competition will bring lower fees and easier to use exchanges. In the future, exchanging fiat for bitcoin will be done for such a small fee it will be essentially free.

4) Confirmations are too slow. No, they are virtually instantaneous. There is no reason for most ,enchants to even wait for a block confirmation. Double spending is almost impossible to perform in practice and I've yet to hear of anyone successfully double spending in the real world ever. And the risk can be reduced if the merchant uses a payment processor that watches the network for double spend attempts. Already merchants such as Foodler will credit your bitcoin deposit immediately without waiting for confirmation. The only time a merchant might want to wait for confirmation would be for an expensive item like a car and those purchases usually take much longer today anyways. Finally, if you are using bitcoins on the Internet instead of POS, confirmation time doesn't really matter.

Merchants love bitcoin because they get their money right away too. Credit card companies take a long time to actually send money to the merchants (as you pointed out).
597  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC investment log on: September 04, 2013, 08:34:27 PM
I do this too... "privately"... in evernote.

Anyway, good luck!


I do this in elephantnote too! I just wish it could do real spreadsheets. I hate have to do all the math myself.
598  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin network hashrate is 35 times higher than top 500 supercomputers on: September 04, 2013, 08:07:15 PM
Completely meaningless statistic.

Bitcoin ASIC miners can't even compute a floating point operation so they are not at all comparable to a supercomputer that can be used for many things.

Comparing specialized bitcoin hardware to supercomputers simply can't be done. The bitcoin network is faster at performing SHA256 hashes, but thats it.
599  Economy / Economics / Re: why spend bitcoin when credit card works on: September 04, 2013, 08:05:05 PM
It's all the same for the consumer but the merchants LOVE bitcoins more because they don't have to pay the 2-3% the credit card companies charge them!

That savings should and ultimately will be passed down to the customer in the forms of lower prices.

Rewards programs are always a scam. You never get out of it what you put in.

Most of the credit cards with really useful rewards charge an annual fee.
600  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: LTC coming to Gox? on: September 04, 2013, 08:01:21 PM
I've been saying this for months:

It's never going to happen. Litecoin will never be trading on Mt Gox.

Unfortunately, it is much harder being right when you are predicting something will never happen. But so far, I am right, and I will continue to be right.
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