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6081  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 14, 2015, 03:07:10 AM
This bull pennant just looks soooo bullish that it couldn't *possibly* break in the down direction, right guys?  

I mean, it wouldn't instead dump over the weekend?

Right?  Guyz??

you're going to sell all your coins at 390 Right?

 Grin

Get it to 390 and I will.  But you and I know it won't.

give it 2 weeks

Nope, complete bullshit.  You wanna put your money where your mouth is, Mr. "it won't drop another $25" when it was at 380?
6082  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 14, 2015, 02:59:06 AM
This bull pennant just looks soooo bullish that it couldn't *possibly* break in the down direction, right guys?  

I mean, it wouldn't instead dump over the weekend?

Right?  Guyz??

you're going to sell all your coins at 390 Right?

 Grin

Get it to 390 and I will.  But you and I know it won't even get there, not even 375.  It's all a farce.
6083  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 14, 2015, 01:10:06 AM
This bull pennant just looks soooo bullish that it couldn't *possibly* break in the down direction, right guys?  

I mean, it wouldn't instead dump over the weekend?

Right?  Guyz??
6084  Economy / Speculation / Re: Ya know why BTC is back in a bull trend? on: November 13, 2015, 03:08:23 PM
Bull market? 

Yeah well let's break up above 375 and then above 400 (all on massively rising volume) before we even start talking about a bull market.  This would have to happen within the next 2 weeks to confirm.

I have a feeling we'll be seeing it head the other way.  Just sayin'.
6085  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 13, 2015, 02:57:44 PM
Longs margin interest has surpassing short interest, which took a nose dive last couple days.

Less short sellers to be squeezed upward.

As a contrarian indicator, this is not good for further upside since the market usually goes opposite of what traders think.


Yup, these margin shifts are exactly what the whale looks for to make big moves.

Also, beware rising price on falling volume.

This whole thing will take 6-8 weeks to play out fully, maybe longer.  Only day traders love all the silly little interim swings, and most end up making very little if anything anyway.
6086  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 13, 2015, 12:41:53 AM
Looking very likely we're headed back to the 370-380 range to stabilize and begin a slow steady ascent again.  Cool

Awesome.  We get anywhere near 400, I'm selling the remainder of my bitcoins.  Because it won't.
6087  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 11, 2015, 08:12:36 PM
I don't think the 315 wall will hold
Damn Adam, now I don't know what to think Cheesy

Sure it will.  It was created by the dumper.  All walls, support or resistance, are created by the same whale.

Edit:

PAGE 14000 BITCHES
6088  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 11, 2015, 03:30:40 PM
This is ridiculous lately, the volatility just shows how far away we are from any type of mainstream adoption, trust or legitimacy.

Imagine if you bought in at 500 thinking 'this is it'.

It's just a good thing many of us have been around long enough to shrug our shoulders & wait for the next crazy price swing. The events of the last week or two will do nothing to encourage 'average joe' to invest in bitcoin though.

Shit, I'm still waiting for a legitimate LARGE online retailer to be able to seamlessly spend BTC on things.  The last major retailer adoption announcement was Expedia, all the way back in mid 2014.  That was a fk'ing lifetime ago.  IT'S BEEN 18 MONTHS PEOPLE. Where are the Amazons, the Targets, the BestBuys, the Walmarts, the Walgreens, the PayPals? (and no, Overstock and Rakuten don't really count to me).  

Hell if PayPal and Starbucks would just seamlessly integrate BTC as a payment option, and I mean *native* integration, the whole fk'ing Bitcoin world would be happier than a pig in shit.

But no, oh no, all major retailer adoption announcements HAD to cease in 2014.  This pisses me off.
6089  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 11, 2015, 03:07:51 PM
If you notice, it coordinated perfectly with U.S. stock market bull run in 2013.  So keep your eye on the U.S. stock market.  Btw, statistics say that during election years, the U.S. stock market has around ~86% of having a bull run instead of a bear run.  And 2016 is an election year.  So maybe next year is the year, who knows.

on the other hand, gold use to bottom within +/- 6 months from a US presidential election. Then we'll see if btc quacks like a stock or sound money.

Totally agree.  Also, we've never seen what happens to btc during a true financial crash, since it was born after one.  It could crash just like a stock, dunno.  People like to rush to fiat during financial crisis.  I hope it would do the opposite.
6090  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 11, 2015, 02:57:10 PM
Doubtful that we'll get any quick run up any time soon.

I'm really afraid that since bitcoin got attention of Real Traders and at the same time there is no Willy anymore, we can't expect jumps like few hundreds % per a month ie. This time has finished.
At the same time market is flooded with many new coins - so, really don't expect epic rises.
Just used to trade with more limited expectations - 2-3% gain/per day is quite enough profit.

Since everyone has seen before that those at the top of these price run ups are the ones that make the money it becomes a race to be the one who sells at the top. Thus making each run up get shorter and shorter until there are none. Which is ok over time for a serious currency.

The other thing is that this small group of whales was hoping that their pumping would attract other, larger whale players to join in.  That's exactly what happened in 2013.  Which is the reason rallies in 2013 went so high, and then high volatility (coordinated trading) during the bear market.  And why the bear market took sooo long to deflate in 2014.

Well for whatever reason, that didn't happen this time.  So this small group of whales failed to attract other bigger whales.  Also, all buying pressure and volume completely ended on Nov 4th, the day before the USM auction.  That was a BIG giveaway that this run up was simply engineered around that event.  They also failed to attract Average Joe, who has become skeptical and completely apathetic to bitcoin price run ups.

I do believe, however, that we will eventually see another Bitcoin event year like 2013.  If you notice, it coordinated perfectly with a U.S. stock market bull run in 2013.  So keep your eye on the U.S. stock market.  Btw, statistics say that during election years, the U.S. stock market has around ~86% chance of having a bull run instead of a bear run.  And 2016 is an election year.  So maybe next year is the year, who knows.
6091  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 11, 2015, 02:11:26 PM
I sold at $390, and still winning.  I will not be re-entering until we're back in the $230-250 range.  I have little doubt it will get there.  I have patience, I can wait.
Have you chosen a building to jump off if we don't get back in the $230-250 range?

Have you chosen a building to jump off of if the price doesn't get back up to your buy-in point?  Lol   Cheesy
6092  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 11, 2015, 01:36:47 PM
Looks like the whale has finally tired of the "keep-selling-into-my-own-walls" game.  Cause no takers, he's not making any money.  So no bounce.  Cry

Will be much more fun to margin call the leveraged longs on the way down.

Easy Money!

Cheers Torque!

Yep, and I also knew it would bounce off the "fake" support at 300.  Btw, hmmm 300, well that's

1. Oddly a perfectly psychological round number, isn't it?  Interesting.

2. Wait 300... it's a perfect U.S. dollar number.  But, but, but...I thought everyone said that the Chinese were in controlz of the market?!?!?  Guyz?Huh

Just wait long enough, here's what the market will do.  It will drift back down and level out dangerously close to 300 (the fake support), finally break through when the fake walls are pulled, then back up to $299.9999999 (head fake) and pegged there for days/week, then of course the selloff will continue down.  Then you will finally see some very odd margin calls.

Happens every time, just like clockwork.

I sold at $390, and still winning.  I will not be re-entering until we're back in the $230-250 range.  I have little doubt it will get there.  I have patience, I can wait.
6093  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 11, 2015, 02:18:59 AM
Why is this such a shock to you guys?  Like I said, this whole pump was the work of probably one or a few whales.  

Party's over, so he dumps.  Not a shock.

he pumps it to 500 and then support price till 355 and then dumps

seems legit.

VERY LEGIT
6094  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 11, 2015, 02:15:55 AM
Why is this such a shock to you guys?  Like I said, this whole pump was the work of probably one or a few whales.  

Party's over, so he dumps.  Not a shock.
6095  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 10, 2015, 10:49:17 PM
So, turns out there goes the $10 bounce I was looking for. $30 dollars below what I bought in at. Today I learned I'm not that good a trader, who would have known!? $330 is holding at the moment, We've making history here. I'm glad to be part of a more active market.


It sucks being the guy in the back.

Not really, that's her X-Men stunt trainer that makes a shit ton of money.  Plus he has a great view.  Grin
6096  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 10, 2015, 10:45:48 PM
Still waiting for

Sub 350


When the market is being controlled by literally one deep pocket whale or a small consortium, it's gonna be a while.  They will take their time, keep short squeezing and selling into strength until all interest in the market is exhausted.  Then they will dump.

Could be weeks before it all plays out.  Check back at the end of the year.

oh come on

1 deep pocket...

what do you think this is, the stock market with the FED as manipulator?

It's obvious by the total lack of volume (like that we saw prior to Nov 5th) and price volatility, as well as for the market to be held perfectly in a tight trading range.  There's only a few deep pocket players in this market right now, the rest are guppies waiting for price swings...

How much you wanna bet that we'll be at least $50 less within 4 weeks?

i'd like to see what happens when price drops 25$, and then make the bet  Tongue

Hey Adam, remember when I said this just yesterday?  Yeah, it hasn't even been 4 weeks.  Try 24 hours.

Good thing you didn't take that bet.
6097  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 10, 2015, 04:12:56 PM
Looks like the whale has finally tired of the "keep-selling-into-my-own-walls" game.  Cause no takers, he's not making any money.  So no bounce.  Cry

Will be much more fun to margin call the leveraged longs on the way down.
6098  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 10, 2015, 02:48:44 PM
That caught me off guard. I wasn't expecting any big moves today and definitely not that China would synchronize it's price with USD markets.

Lol.  You mean that Chinese exchange accounts couldn't possibly be owned by the same whale that own Stamp and Bitfinex accounts?

6099  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 09, 2015, 06:33:17 PM


When the market is being controlled by literally one deep pocket whale or a small consortium, it's gonna be a while.  They will take their time, keep short squeezing and selling into strength until all interest in the market is exhausted.  Then they will dump.

Could be weeks before it all plays out.  Check back at the end of the year.
Pretty much this. After watching bitcoin for only six months , I am amazed how grossly the BTC market is being manipulated by Chinese exchanges working together with a handful of deep pockets/mining cartels. From fake DDOS claims , to shamelessly pumped volume to front running and insider trading.Trading bitcoin looks like a bad joke right now.I might even state that bitcoin won't succeed without either decentralized exchanges or heavily regulated/audited ones. And I don't think China is keen on western regulation. Just my 2 cents.
Disclaimer: I bought all my coins from May through October this year most of them below $250 and overall am more than pleased with my investment but I am also done hodling for now.      
  

The BTC market is unpredictable in the short term, but longer term the obvious patterns form.  If you are a long term bull, then trade on the long term patterns.  Buy/accumulate when the market is bottomed and no one cares, sell near top of rallies.  Then be patient to get back in, because a rally bubble can take a while to unwind. A LONG while.  There may even be several mini bull runs/short squeezes along the way, but ultimately the price ends up bottoming out way lower and all volume/volatility dies.

If the rally just started back up right now (4 days after the top), and buying volume suddenly increased out of the blue like what was seen in the last 6 weeks, and the price kept going beyond $500 to new highs, it would be a FIRST in the history of Bitcoin (and would break all long term patterns).  And it would also mean that some BIG reason/news was on the horizon, something only the insider traders know about 4-6 months in advance.  I kinda doubt we are at that place... at least not yet...
6100  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 09, 2015, 05:34:58 PM
Still waiting for

Sub 350


When the market is being controlled by literally one deep pocket whale or a small consortium, it's gonna be a while.  They will take their time, keep short squeezing and selling into strength until all interest in the market is exhausted.  Then they will dump.

Could be weeks before it all plays out.  Check back at the end of the year.

oh come on

1 deep pocket...

what do you think this is, the stock market with the FED as manipulator?

It's obvious by the total lack of volume (like that we saw prior to Nov 5th) and price volatility, as well as for the market to be held perfectly in a tight trading range.  There's only a few deep pocket players in this market right now, the rest are guppies waiting for price swings...

How much you wanna bet that we'll be at least $50 less within 4 weeks?
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