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701  Bitcoin / Project Development / WVU Robotics team wins NASA Robot Competition, can Bitcoin help it happen again? on: May 25, 2014, 09:12:17 AM
First of all, I would like to thank the Bitcoin community.  Without the support and guidance of many of the members here, I would not have been in the position to be able to return to school and work on my masters in computer science without taking on more debt.  From the pioneering miners and programmers in the early days of GPUs to the economics and speculation subfourms.  As some of you may have noticed, I have not been very active this past semester.  I'm sure there are many more who have never seen me post.  The reason I've been absent is because this semester I joined my school's team for NASA's Robotic Mining Competition.  NASA puts on this competition every year to help promote STEM education as well as to learn from a diverse set of teams.  Before I bore you with the details, you can watch our final run at the competition.  I am the tallest one at the interview afterwards.

http://www.ustream.tv/recorded/47930259

We had some minor communications issues at the beginning which is why it took 45 seconds to start, but we now understand what is wrong.  We simply weren't able to fix it in time for the run, but once we started, autonomy doesn't need communications.  Even manual control saw little lag.

As you can see in the video, our team took first place in mining.  We also took first place in outreach by devoting nearly 850 man hours to reach more than 4000 students throughout the year.  In addition, members of our team also fielded questions from visiting students and students from around the country via skype.  We also won second place for our technical demonstration and slide presentation.  For our technical presentation, we brought in our previous year's robot as well as this years and showed the changes we had made.  In addition we demoed the localization algorithm I focused the majority of my efforts on using real data we had collected from driving manually in the arena.  The top prize money at RMC is awarded based on a combination of mining, presentation, outreach, team spirit, and a technical paper.  We did not place in the top three for our paper or spirit, and this kept us from getting enough points to win that purse.

I'll cut to the chase.  There is a good chance this will not happen again next year.  Our school is involved in several robotic competitions, and our sponsorship money is spread too thin.  The other competitions have larger purses and the prize money is determined purely on technical merit.  As you can see in the video, our robot has several stickers.  Bitcoin stickers could be placed on the Robot and could also possibly be placed on the scoop or dump bin, which are very visible on the video feeds within the arena.  Personally, I like the idea of it being revealed as the dump bin is finally emptied.  We could also put a Bitcoin sticker on our tool chest, which is at the edge of our pit, where school groups, astronauts, judges, and any other guests of NASA's Kennedy Space Center's visitors center browse throughout the day.  I really have no clue what it would take the make the project happen again next year, I would have to speak with my advisor, but he is travelling for the next few weeks.  I do know the total cost this year was $30,000.  So, for $30,000 or potentially less, Bitcoin could be the primary sponsor.  This included all the parts and materials, transportation to and from the competition, as well as the hotel and food.  Additionally, I have been teaching computer science courses and labs for the past four semesters.  While this is rewarding, I would prefer to devote my time to this team.  I would put in 40 hours per week with 10 for outreach, 20 in the lab, and 10 at home working on code.  During the last 4 weeks before competition and during competition I will probably work 60 hours a week.  Would with some extra funding I could have a research assistant position.  Our university, colleges, departments, and any vendors that provide discounts will of course be featured as well but Bitcoin would be prominent.  If you are interested in supporting us, please post how much you would be willing to contribute.  If there is enough pledged, I will talk my advisor into another year.  I personally have a Casacius Series 1 Bitcoin that I will contribute if we can secure enough funding.  I will auction it off in the auction subforum.  If you have any questions, I will try to answer them in the next few days.  I just got home after 12 hours in the van and then unloading and I have had very little sleep this week, plus I am visiting a friend for a couple of days when I wake up.

Here are some photos of the rockets, the shuttle, and our outreach award.

https://plus.google.com/u/0/112701554024958242778/posts/BNB2W3P2D6y

All of the judges are NASA engineers and scientists and they primarily take notes for their own education and to share with their various labs.  For example, one of the judges we talked to explained how our robot helped open his eyes to the fact that digging your wheels in can be an advantage rather than something to avoid.  He will take this knowledge back to his lab where they design the actual rovers that go to the moon, mars, and hopefully one day soon, an asteroid.  I have some ideas on how to  improve our traction even more.  Additionally, I am confident I can get that thing to move much quicker and dig much more autonomously.  We actually have the capability to deposit autonomously as well, but it couldn't mine as well as the human operators and it would only gain us the equivalent of 33.3kg.  We can usually mine that in one run, but as you saw our operator got too aggressive with the scoop and tipped forward, dumping much of the regolith we had collected.  I believe I understand the physics of the problem and we should have that fixed in the next year's design.

If you donate to my signature address, please understand I am under no obligation to use those funds in any particular way, although it will probably go toward living expenses.  This post will be updated later with an official donation address once enough pledges are made and my advisor approves the sponsorship.  I am, however, trying to finish my thesis this summer while I freelance.  Any donations or job offers would be appreciated.  I would prefer something that utilizes my expertise in probabilistic simulation.  This includes particle filters, genetic algorithms, and physics simulation.  I prefer payment in Bitcoin.  Now, I'm going to sleep for a day.
702  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: April 18, 2014, 06:00:55 PM
In that case... Stop whining and sell your shares already.  Or do you just come on here saying a lot of stupid angry things in a lame attempt to drive the price down?
No sorry, I have hundreds thousands of euros investment here, i'll be no quiet here, sorry. I need answers and results, its not fucking church money here and no, i don't want to sell at 0.5 BTC/share ... no comment.  Angry worst "investment" in my life
Seems to me if you are so deeply invested and want the price to go up, you should perhaps not be bashing the company but instead talk it up, or at least keep silent.
Dont ask for reason to fools.
Well, its not hard to have so much money stuck in this company, thanks to Bitcoin EUR/BTC rate appreciation, but I shouldn't write on forums, when I was drunk ... but it doesn't change anything on fact, that we need complex update about company.

So you've made massive EUR profits yet you bitch and moan like you lost something.  If you are investing in mining for btc profits you are doing it wrong.  Mining and mining companies are a hedge against falling bitcoin price.
703  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: "Failure to Understand Bitcoin Could Cost Investors Billions" (Bitcoin's flaws) on: March 13, 2014, 10:35:40 AM
Now, whether or not what we have can rightly be called capitalism is another question entirely.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=495527.msg5656763#msg5656763

Zarathustra is conflating the ill effects of debt and tangible capital (which is actually inertia and liability, not assets) with the gains in prosperity that all arise from technology and human ingenuity.

His assertion (I deleted the nonsense post) that knowledge can't prosper in a decentralized society (a.k.a. anarchy) is unfathomably incorrect. It is so incorrect, that he should not be included in the discussion here, because it is just noise which buries the important discussion in this thread.

Right, he is confusing increasing gains along shrinking measuring stick (fiat money) for prosperity.
704  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: "Failure to Understand Bitcoin Could Cost Investors Billions" (Bitcoin's flaws) on: March 13, 2014, 10:06:02 AM

Malthusian nonsense. I wrote about why Malthusians are always wrong:


No, Tainter; and historic fact. Diminishing return on additional investment in additional complexity until the tipping point (vulgo:the end of the society).

That is socialism debt capital, not knowledge work capital. You conflate the problem with the solution.

You don't understand the role of debt. Debtless humans don't suffer from productivity gains. Debtless humans in the rain forests nearly live still the same life style as 100'000 years ago.
Productivity increase and output increase is the result of tax/tribute and its derivative: the debt/interest.

As Adam Smith wrote, landowners are the only stakeholders in a capitalist economy that don't suffer from productivity gains in the long run.  (Read Smith's Weath of Nations for why.... it is public domain by now.)  Stakeholders outside the economy will obviously not be effected by it (except possibly by pollution), so I don't really see your point there.

Now, whether or not what we have can rightly be called capitalism is another question entirely.
705  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 13, 2014, 06:37:01 AM
So here is a stupid question to kill time: Suppose the Evil Lords decide to use the bitcoins seized from Silk Road and other places to kill bitcoin by spamming it with billions of tiny transactions, as fast as they can.  How would the network defend itself from that attack?

To stop legitimate transactions, they have to be willing to pay more in fees than the legitimate transaction senders.  If they are willing to pay more, there isn't much we can do but wait for them to run out of coins.
706  Economy / Speculation / Re: wow, bitcoin's astro birth chart is full on! on: March 12, 2014, 12:14:12 PM
vokain, it's not so unusual to have total lunar eclipses; we had 3 in one year in the 1991-2000 decade, for example. Typically we get 2 lunar eclipses a year, mostly penumbral rather than total. They serve to heighten the energy of the full Moon, but I wouldn't get doomy just because it's a total lunar eclipse. This particular coming total lunar eclipse in April activates the Uranus-Pluto square that  is going on, which is why I focus on it, especially as Jupiter and Mars are added to the mix, too.

which means it will be "add explanation here" for BTC and LTC ?    

I don't know about Uranus or Pluto since Jyotish (Ayurvedic Astrology) doesn't acknowledge them and that is what I have studied, however little it was.  I can say that eclipes are highly regarded as times of great opportunity for advancement.  Ultimately, Jyotish focuses on liberation of the soul from the wheel of karma so it focuses on potential spiritual advancement, although the opportunity is available on many levels depending on what you seek.  Eclipses also concentrate the two major gravity forces on earth.  With a lunar eclipse, they are opposing.  A solar eclipse has them cooperating.

As for Jupiter, the Sanskrit is name is Guru as in teacher.  Gu: dark, Ru: light.  Guru takes you from darkness to light.  Another name is Bṛhaspati. "This element indicates vastness, growth and expansion in a person's life. Bṛhaspati also represents the balance of past karma, religion, philosophy, knowledge and issues relating to offspring. He is concerned with education, teaching and the dispensation of knowledge." - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/B%E1%B9%9Bhaspati
Mars is Mangala.  "Mangala represents drive and physical energy, self-confidence and ego, strength, anger, impulsiveness, heroism and adventurous nature. Mangala rules over blood, muscles and bone marrow. He is associated with battle, war and soldiers." - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mangala

Edit: Rahu and Ketu are the names for the two intersection points of the lunar and solar paths in sanskrit.  Eclipses occur when the sun and moon are at these points.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rahu
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ketu_(mythology)
707  Economy / Speculation / Re: stable price on: March 11, 2014, 04:03:56 AM
Since Mt Cocks folded price is stable as hell, is this the new deal?

Roll Eyes

Give it a month, we'll be back to highly volatile soon enough.
708  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: March 08, 2014, 06:27:14 PM
Risto, while I hate most of the alts and question their existence, I am a fan and LTC supporter for a while now, so I wanted to ask you if it is possible to take a look at the crypto market out of the box and tell me what you think.

Why I am asking this? I have been watching the crypto market in general, comparing the money flow in/out for all alts, I found that the volume of money invested in Litecoin is way more then you can even imagine, I also found out that the last 3-4 months Litecoin beats bitcoin by volume.

look at this bubbles http://www.cryptocoincharts.info/v2/coins/graphicalComparison

they count the 24H volume of ALTcoin/USD and ALTcoin/BTC and they convert everything back to BTC and compare it to the BTC volume, so it is not 1 LTC compared to 1 BTC but it is the value of 1 BTC invested in that Altcoin instead.

data is recorded from almost all exchanges (I found out about many of exchanges there, I didn't know they existed at all)










So what is your take on this ?

Using your methodology, arbitrage between BTCLTC, BTCUSD, AND LTCUSD will inflate LTC volume.
709  Economy / Speculation / Re: wow, bitcoin's astro birth chart is full on! on: March 08, 2014, 06:21:06 PM
Very interesting last couple of posts, looks like the Bitcoin astro chart should be tweaked to reflect San Bernardino, Los Angeles as the place of birth - maybe he'll set up some Satoshi Foundation or prizes, like the Nobel prizes now that he's been so publicly doxxed.

20 may seems so interesting.... even more interesting for litecoin Wink so much will be happening that day, I guess if all this is somehow related to that day! who knows we will see about that...

and btw Litecoin from 8 to 10 March something is also there Smiley

When (and where, if anyne knows) was the first Litecoin mined? I looked at the blockchain and see 2011-10-08 02:29:19 but I don't know whether that's 8th Oct or 10th August!

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ISO_8601

Dates are formatted like this so that sorting them by their alphanumeric representation will put them in chronological order.  As such, longer time periods precede shorter time periods.
710  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is the world too dumb for Bitcoins? on: March 08, 2014, 04:58:06 AM
They don't have to understand it.  They just need the people who do to make it easy to use.
711  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Would Dogecoin, with it's massive community,benifit from a "Pump" on: March 08, 2014, 12:24:51 AM
Wow, such rally.  Many value.  Woof.
712  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: March 08, 2014, 12:11:03 AM
I think there is going to be 30-40% increases in difficulty in the coming months.  The 3-4% increase right now a nice bonus before the storm.

Which 3-4% increase "right now"?
See the last two plots here http://bitcoin.sipa.be/
The daily growth rate has been steadily falling since November last year. It really looks like the explosion in network difficulty is seriously slowing down.
Not so long ago we were speculating the total network hashrate could quickly reach 1000PH/s. Now we're at 30PH/s and even 100PH/s seem far off.

Friedcat indicated in the "Chinese girl interview" that he would deploy/sell at least a few hundred PH/s.

So: What percentage of total bitcoin hashrate will be using AM's chips within 12 months?
More than 50% does not seem unreasonable.
Assuming selling chip ROI >= mining ROI (else FC should't be selling chips) then 50% of total hashrate = 650,000 coins = more than 1 Btc per share

The problem with that assumption is that mining ROI varies from location to location.  In China, it may be the case that fast, stable internet and large amounts of clean power are expensive.  And by clean, I don't mean environmentally friendly, I mean stable voltage and current.
713  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 06, 2014, 06:30:01 AM
major flashback to the +/- 5 dollar days. <- edit for clarity: referring to the 4 or 5 months where we were stuck at 5 bucks, give or take.

I think about this when people start getting bored after slowness for 2 days in a row. These people would never have survived that period.

It was too painful. I put my coins in cold storage.

hah! well done!

it's painful for me for different reasons; as a miner at that time I still thought I was making 'free money' and I spent more bitcoin then I like to admit during those dark days Sad

When it tripled to $3 in a matter of days, I sold so many BTC...
714  Economy / Speculation / Re: OMG! How the hell can I lay my hands on some of these $110 bitcoins, speculate? on: February 21, 2014, 07:34:13 AM
ooch!  Hold tight man.

I'm not looking for $400 coins, or $500 coins.

In truth, the reason I posted this is just to point out that $100 GoxCoins are pure fantasy.  The only people on the face of the earth that can buy them are within the Goxsphere.  And only MK and his minions can get them out.

No worries, it was a small percentage of my coin.
715  Economy / Speculation / Re: OMG! How the hell can I lay my hands on some of these $110 bitcoins, speculate? on: February 21, 2014, 07:22:35 AM
OK, I agree with you.  I have money, and  I won't post the take my money GIF, but I guess I'm not getting my point across.   If $110 bitcoins are available, then why won't someone agree to sell me several of them right now?

OK, I lied:

http://i57.tinypic.com/2a9vcc1.jpg

If I could trust your fiat payment method to be irreversible (which I couldn't, except for cash in the mail, and I will accept none of the risk for such an attempt), I would sell you up to 1 GoxBTC for $400, deliverable when withdraws resume.  However, the last price on Gox only matters if you have money on Gox so long as withdrawals are down.  As for me, my gox liquidity bot is still running, but the order size is just a couple bucks and I'm down to 2 digits of fiat.  Just waiting for things to straighten out, or fail completely.  Picking up pennies in front of a steam roller, praying for it to stop because there is no other way out of this corner.
716  Economy / Speculation / Re: Time travelers are still speculators. on: February 19, 2014, 09:33:07 PM
Yes I am suggesting that the Bitcoin market is random (within certain parameters).

Perhaps more accurately described as a random walk subject to biases (such as the Gox antics).  The trick is separating the Brownian motion (market noise) from the real market moving biases.  I consider the dip on Mt Gox this morning to 248 to be market noise / Brownian motion.  The fact that the swings are big in % terms is irrelevant - you get that with any volatile market.

And beware of fat tailed probability.

You know the problem with modelling based on brownian motion, yet you still encourage it.

There are much better models that can generate price series data that is indistinguishable from actual trade data developed by Mandelbrot and others.  Using normal distributions/brownian motion is pretty much useless and can easily be picked out as computer generated.  These models are power law based and build off of http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zipf's_law .  If you still think brownian motion based models are useful, you really should read the first chapter of Mandelbrots book, "The (Mis)Behavior of Markets".  He really destroys any case there ever was for assuming normality and independence in the thorough fashion of a research scientist, by going back to the original papers and rigorously disproving their assumptions with data.

Also, what does brownian motion have to do with the butterfly effect?  Dynamical systems that are sensitive to initial conditions will indeed produce large divergences with small changes in initial input.  That is what is being characterized by the butterfly effect analogy.
717  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: February 19, 2014, 09:17:10 PM
At first, a little-less-smart people respect the oldtimers, and fit in well. Afterwards one level less smart people enter in, and soon the oldtimers who actually know about things are outnumbered such that they cannot keep the average level of discussion up, and it reverts to the level of the newcomers. In the next stage the oldtimers are so far above the newcomers that meaningful discussion is not even possible, and at this point they segregate themselves to speak actual matters somewhere else, leaving the education of the forum to middle-knowledgeable people like me.

I'm going to push back on this comment a little. Haven't you mentioned that you quit your career in order that you could educate people full-time about bitcoin?

If so, then it seems you've already tasked yourself with such a responsibility. If it truly is the task of the earlier adopters to spread the word, then segregating yourself off from newcomers seems antithetical to your mission.

I'm sure there are very good reasons for the "high-level of knowledge" posters to congregate. But there are also very good reasons for them to stay and fight the good fight.

Any educating I have done on these forums has been rehashing information that is already publicly available and easily found with a google search.  People are just lazy, and if the want to learn they need to put in some effort themselves.  People who already know the details are busy working on software and platforms to increase usability and flexibility.  Tutoring newbies isn't the best use of our time, and we didn't have anyone do it for us.  We took some initiative to seek out what we desired to know.

Also, having been around since 2010, I can say unequivocally that Bitcoin doesn't need sales and marketing.  Bitcoin needs software and systems.  Without those, it won't even keep pace with natural word of mouth growth.  Any sales and marketing at this point is putting the cart before the horse and only adds to volatility as speculative rent seeking usage outpaces transactional usage.  Bitcoin sells itself, and anything you might want to know about it is already in the public domain.
718  Economy / Speculation / Re: Tutorial: How to use speculation forum in order to become a succesful trader on: February 17, 2014, 11:36:06 PM
Exactly.  Start with the assumption that most traders lose money and build from there.
719  Economy / Speculation / Re: On the 20th, we will see btc plummet on gox to 50 dollars and slow recovery? on: February 17, 2014, 11:24:34 PM
Could I ask where they said 20th. I read their statements and couldn't see that.

They said Thursday.  However, they did not specify which Thursday.
720  Economy / Speculation / Re: Watch how manipulation is done at Mt.GOX on: February 17, 2014, 11:12:26 PM
Or, you know, when my bot's bid gets hit, it immediately places an ask.  There are many such bots.  But conspiracy and manipulation is more intriguing I suppose.
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