I do not agree. Ukraine is now fighting at the maximum of its military potential, for Ukraine it is a matter of life and death. Russia has used its military potential, I think by 15%, for Russia this is a military special operation.
Here's what they were saying 2 months ago: Russia’s army is estimated to have lost nearly 40% of its prewar fleet of tanks after nine months of fighting in Ukraine, according to a count by the specialist thinktank the International Institute of Strategic Studies (IISS).
That rises to as much as 50% for some of the key tanks used in combat, forcing Russia to reach into its still sizeable cold war-era stocks. Ukraine’s tank numbers are estimated to have increased because of the number it has captured and supplies of Soviet-era tanks from its western allies.
Its headline count is that Russia’s number of tanks in its army have reduced by 38% from 2,927 to 1,800, while there have been particularly heavy losses of its workhorse T-72B3, an upgrade first delivered to its army in 2013.
Heavy losses on the battlefield have meant that Russia had lost “around 50% of its pre invasion fleet” of the tank and a related variant
Ukraine could fight better with more NATO military support, but firstly, NATO military support for Ukraine already has unprecedented volumes, and secondly, it is not profitable for NATO to inflate the conflict too much so that it does not get out of control.https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/feb/15/russian-army-has-lost-up-to-half-of-key-battle-tanks-analysts-estimate-ukraineAt the beginning of its full-scale invasion in Feb., Russia had around 3,330 operational tanks (2,840 with the ground forces, 330 with its naval infantry, and 160 with its airborne forces), according to the Military Balance 2021 database.
The database includes all tank types currently employed by Russia’s military, notably T-72s, T-80s, and T-90s, and their modifications.
According to Oryx, an online investigative project documenting equipment losses in Russia’s war, Russia has lost at least 994 tanks as of Sept. 1.
The estimated total Russian loss of 1,300 machines in Ukraine roughly corresponds to 14 full-fledged armored brigades or 42 battalion tactical groups (BTGs). This amounts to more tank fleets than the U.K., France, Germany, and Italy combined.
https://kyivindependent.com/how-many-tanks-does-russia-really-have/Saying that Russia has used 15% of its potential is an understatement, unless you count all the scrap tanks from the 50s and 60s, like Russian propagandists do, but most of these tanks will never be restored. Russia is a strange country where on paper there's 10k tanks in reserves, but in reality half of these have been in storage for over 50 years. They don't run, cannot be restored, and even if they are somehow restored, are useless on the modern battlefield. The reality is, Russia has used maybe 20% of its total tank reserves (on paper), but more than 50% of working, fairly modern tanks. I say fairly modern because t72 has been in use since the 70s and Russians just can't let it go. They're just adding more electronics and reactive armor and calling it a modern tank because it's cheaper than making a new one. So, it's possible a grandfather was using a T72 in the Soviet Union, and now his grandson is using it in Ukraine  It's really easy to prove that they're running out of tanks, since they've started to deploy T-62s. These are tanks that were used by Russia in Afghanistan and were already outdated in the 80s. https://mil.in.ua/en/news/ukrainian-military-captured-first-russian-t-62-tank/ These Russians have a sense of humor. Look at the name of the tank "fury" written on the barrel. Also the state of the tank, as it's a version with no reactive armor. I don’t understand why you drag this rotten shit from Ukrainian propaganda here? This is not a tank conflict. The superiority in tanks could have been decisive, but it was not - thanks in large part to the large number of hand-held anti-tank grenade launchers in early NATO deliveries to Ukraine. A couple of hundred Western tanks from late NATO deliveries will not help Ukraine much either. Russia's superiority in artillery, aviation and missiles plays a much larger role at the current stage of the operation. In the autumn of last year, a temporary superiority in numbers played well into the hands of Ukraine, due to this, it was possible to achieve success near Izyum. Now Ukraine has no significant advantage in any aspect. |
|
|
|
Тут ключевое слово - "прогнозирует".
А также - Уганда.
Африка - она разная. Вот тот же Египет, например, он РЕАЛЬНО делает спутники. И запускает их с помощью сторонних ракет. Хоть что-то.
А что вы можете рассказать про спутники Уганды? Хоть как-то кем-то запущенные? Хотя бы один?
Первый спутник Уганды называется PearlAfricaSat-1 и он был успешно запущен на орбиту в декабре прошлого года. Занятно, что на этом эпизоде история космической программы Уганды не исчерпывается.  |
|
|
|
Да хрен с ним, с этим говнокомандувачем, тут повеселее новости подкатывают: Радиоактивное облако после детонации боеприпасов НАТО движется в Европу из Украины радиоактивное облако, образовавшееся в результате детонации снарядов с обедненным ураном, движется в сторону Западной Европы.
До этого британский замминистра обороны Джеймс Хиппи заявлял, что Королевство не обязано участвовать в решении проблем, связанных с применением переданных Украине боеприпасов Чё там, злые русские опять по климатическому оружию подкрутили розу ветров? Негодяи, мерзавцы, подлецы! Вот онлайн-монитор радиоактивности в воздухе в Люблине, виден небольшой всплеск висмута, это я так понял как раз характерный продукт полураспада обеднённого урана из британских снарядов, в принципе ничего страшного. Всего через 4.5 миллиарда лет всё окончательно рассосётся будто ничего и не было, так что переживать решительно не о чем. |
|
|
|
Насколько я в курске, это была хорошо спланированная атака на киевских Патриотов в рамках масштабной "охоты на ведьм" по уничтожению украинских систем ПВО. В стиле сначала массовый налёт ложными целями, чтобы заставить Патриоты среагировать, затем удар Кинжалами по выявленным целям. МО РФ отчиталось об успешном поражении пяти пусковых установок Патриот и одной РЛС. Судя по слитым в сеть видосам минимум одну пусковую установку точно накрыло. Тратить гиперзвуковую ракету за мильярд денег на такую распиаренную хуету конечно жалко, но нанести серьёзный имиджевый ущерб США - бесценно.
Все так. От себя добавлю что это каксается всех видов вооружений поставляемых натой. Репутационный урон в перспективе колоссальный. Меня даже наверно больше радует, что такую операцию вообще смогли провернуть без слива данных из Генштаба. Репутационный урон Патриоту с ракетами предыдущего поколения нанесли ещё саудиты со своими самодельными пепелацами из обрезков водопроводных труб. А здесь судя по фоткам из Киева ракеты новейшей модификации и тоже отстрелялись в молоко. Неудивительно что на ближнем востоке все дружно в очереди стоят за с-400, а на Патриоты по миллиарду баксов за комплекс смотрят как на говно. Ещё интересный вопрос, изначально целились по пусковой установке на основе оперативных разведданных или по ходу операции запеленговали характерное излучение РЛС? Если первое то ну молодцы хуле, если второе то вообще пиздец котёнку. Уж месяц назад или более слышал, что кинжалы стали делать массово ,то есть в серийное производство в 3 смены Так что ракет много ,а калибры так вообще штампуют давно на полную мощь каждый день божий Да неужели, на Украине завалили ебало по поводу что у России вот-вот все ракеты закончатся? Это что-то новенькое. |
|
|
|
Говорят Залужного ракетным ударом ёбнули, прямо в штабе ВСУ вместе со свитой - вот и откладывается опять контрнаступ. Врут поди.
Однозначно - врут. Ждём подтверждения или опровержения, уже наверно с месяц его на публике не видно, даже по видеосвязи. Сырского впрочем тоже. Сырский кстати вроде шевелится ещё, а Залужного то так и нету. Что интересно - тема с его исчезновением никак не педалируется ни в России, ни на Украине, ни на Западе, просто был человек и нету. Никакого уважения к верному почитателю академических трудов Герасимова по военной науке. Были вроде сообщения о том что головнокомандувач кому то там интервью давал. В общем в этой информационной каше хер разберешься порой. Ага, видел одно сообщение про якобы свежее интервью Залужного, но не смог найти никаких подробностей - кому где как и в каком виде. И присутствовал ли при этом интервью собственно сам Залужный, лично или по видеосвязи. |
|
|
|
Говорят Залужного ракетным ударом ёбнули, прямо в штабе ВСУ вместе со свитой - вот и откладывается опять контрнаступ. Врут поди.
Однозначно - врут. Ждём подтверждения или опровержения, уже наверно с месяц его на публике не видно, даже по видеосвязи. Сырского впрочем тоже. Сырский кстати вроде шевелится ещё, а Залужного то так и нету. Что интересно - тема с его исчезновением никак не педалируется ни в России, ни на Украине, ни на Западе, просто был человек и нету. Никакого уважения к верному почитателю академических трудов Герасимова по военной науке. |
|
|
|
Насколько я в курске, это была хорошо спланированная атака на киевских Патриотов в рамках масштабной "охоты на ведьм" по уничтожению украинских систем ПВО. В стиле сначала массовый налёт ложными целями, чтобы заставить Патриоты среагировать, затем удар Кинжалами по выявленным целям.
Да, так и было, судя по всему. Снова "развели" рукожопых захисников Дурдоины, как котят В итоге они сначала дали "салют" за 150 мультов баксов по бесполезным целям, а потом эпично слили свою "салютную установку" от мурикосов, и теперь пытаются сделать для своих настоящих хозяев вид, что "всё заебись!" и это вовсе не очередная какашка от них (=они снова обосрались), а "хорошо замаскированная пироженное-картошка". Но их пиндоские хозяева им сейчас не особо верят почему-то Тратить гиперзвуковую ракету за мильярд денег на такую распиаренную хуету конечно жалко, но нанести серьёзный имиджевый ущерб США - бесценно.
Верно. Пусть весь мир сейчас увидит истинную "ценность" распиаренных муриканских миллиардных Пэтриотов, которые можно легко отпиздить одним-другим Кинжалами! Прикол в том, что в случае хорошо организованной атаки на "переполнение стека", гиперзвук в завершающей фазе особо и не нужен. Просто запускаются десятки ложных целей (какая-нибудь ржавая х-55 с чугуниевой болванкой вместо боеголовки), Патриот в завидном темпе расстреливает весь боекомплект, а затем получает по кумполу хоть Кинжалом, хоть Калибром, хоть обычным Искандером. Наверное могли бы в знак особого цинизма и Геранью зарядить. Так что вопрос "а был ли мальчик?" в принципе конечно интересный. |
|
|
|
The US debt ceiling is $31.4 trillion, and the US external debt is already over $31.7 trillion. The debt ceiling was exceeded on January 19 of this year and, strictly speaking, a technical default has already happened.
In sounds like you are saying that the U.S. is in default because it has exceeded its debt limit. That is not true. The debt limit itself is not a condition of default. The reason it is a factor is that the U.S. spends more than it takes in, so it must go deeper into debt in order to pay its current debts, and it cannot because of the self-imposed debt limit. Exceeding the debt ceiling is in itself a technical default, to call a spade a spade. It's just that the word is too scary and the US government prefers to call its actions after exceeding the debt ceiling extraordinary measures. The suspension of contributions to state pension funds looks like a default. |
|
|
|
А как поведёт себя биток при дефолте (техническом) мы можем увидеть в самое ближайшее время - в начале июня.
Я все еще сомневаюсь, что мы увидим дефолт. Все таки, это не выгодно никаким крупным игрокам, это ломает устоявшуюся систему. Думаю, все будет делаться для того, чтобы по-маскимуму избежать этого и минимизировать негативные последствия. Потому что вряд ли мир готов к ним, учитывая что экономическую, что геополитическую ситуацию на данный момент. (а не реальный). И в истории Америки это несколько раз было. Страшного ничего нет, но психологический эффект огромный. Ну и под это всё могут напустить дымовую завесу и немного пришпилить биток к низам. Вот ведь Трамп недавно говорил или писал, что стоит позволить произвести дефолт. чтобы отбить у демократов тягу к излишним тратам бюджета, которые провоцируют дефицит и заставляют залезать в долги. Республиканцы, во всяком случае, настроены решительно. Технический дефолт уже произошёл 19 января сего года, когда внешний долг США преодолел установленный потолок в 31.4 триллиона долларов. Щас внешний долг около 31.8 триллионов и продолжает увеличиваться, перебор уже почти на четыреста милльярдов американских зелёных денег. |
|
|
|
I was going to make a replication to your last comment, but i learn you are TROLLING a high level. Its doesnt worth to waste energy in a answer to that last claim.
I hope nobody keep feeding this troll. DONT FEED THE TROLL.
You have nothing to say in essence and you decided to get personal? Cute. I have more Merits in 120 days than you. I don't hide my face and don't try to lick ass on a price watch thread. So shut up and go fuck yourself. |
|
|
|
I think this is just the media exaggerating and sensationalizing events for dramatic effect on viewers and readers. As you know, the United States has led the economy for the past few decades. So it is very unlikely that the United States will break me. Even if the USA is about to reach the ceiling, those things haven't happened yet, have they? Therefore, we should still remain calm rather than panic, because panic will make it very easy to be manipulated by people. In general, it is still necessary to continue to follow the news every day, and in addition, it is also necessary to have a reasonable approach.
It seems you are not well informed about the current state of affairs. The US debt ceiling is $31.4 trillion, and the US external debt is already over $31.7 trillion. The debt ceiling was exceeded on January 19 of this year and, strictly speaking, a technical default has already happened. So the answer to the question in the thread title is yes. It's up to you to panic or not. |
|
|
|
Permissionless freedom or bust. I'm never budging on that, so either get used to sharing a blockchain with me or fork off. Your call.  So Bitcoin belongs to you to do whatever you want with it and its the end of discussion. Bitcoin belongs to anyone who is willing to pay the market price for a transaction. But for some reason you demand special preferences for yourself, and it seems your best argument is that transactions used to be cheaper than they are now. That's funny. |
|
|
|
You did it again. If one unfulfilled forecast put an end to the career of every analyst, there would not be a single analyst left in the world. So, Mr. Analyst, what went wrong? What led you to be so confident in your prediction that you stated it as a matter of fact and considered all who didn't come to the same conclusion naive and foolish? Did you underestimate the capabilities of Ukraine? Overestimate Russias? Are you capable of saying either of these things out loud? This unfulfilled prediction was made at an early stage of the conflict, when my immersion in it was too superficial. I am still not too immersed in it because of the geographical distance, but after 15 months of tracking, I think I began to better understand what was happening. Therefore, now I am not making any forecasts on the timing, it turned out that there are many forces (both in Russia and in the West) that benefit from further prolongation of the conflict. Welcome to the light! The second step is to figure out who is benefiting more, regardless of what "winning" means for you. However, my general message has not changed for a second - Ukraine did not have and does not have the slightest chance of winning this confrontation. Too different weight categories for rivals. Even with NATO military assistance. Even taking into account the difference in levels of motivation, when one side is waging a domestic war against an aggressor-invader, and the other side is just conducting a military special operation. For Ukraine, the best thing was to conclude a peace treaty in April last year, when there was such an opportunity - now it would be able to do a lot of work on the road to recovery. This conflict is beneficial to many, but certainly not to Ukraine itself.
Ukraine is fighting with one arm tied behind the back. They are barely hitting targets in the RF, they are not attacking your allies and NATO is not providing jets, long rage NAMSAMs and sent just a couple of Patriots for marketing purposes. Pretty much the remaining RF advantage is numbers in arty platforms and munitions and that can be disrupted by attacking the logistics. I do not agree. Ukraine is now fighting at the maximum of its military potential, for Ukraine it is a matter of life and death. Russia has used its military potential, I think by 15%, for Russia this is a military special operation. Ukraine could fight better with more NATO military support, but firstly, NATO military support for Ukraine already has unprecedented volumes, and secondly, it is not profitable for NATO to inflate the conflict too much so that it does not get out of control. Russia cannot afford to leave its longest borders in the world unguarded, and it can, but does not want to, allow conscripts to be involved in a special operation. Therefore, if NATO ignites the conflict in Ukraine above a certain limit, the question will arise of the use of nuclear weapons, which, I think, constitute more than 50% of the total military potential of Russia. And this is fraught with a full-scale third world war, which NATO is trying to avoid. |
|
|
|
Было шесть кинжалов, и все шесть сбиты укро-ПВО  . Насколько я в курске, это была хорошо спланированная атака на киевских Патриотов в рамках масштабной "охоты на ведьм" по уничтожению украинских систем ПВО. В стиле сначала массовый налёт ложными целями, чтобы заставить Патриоты среагировать, затем удар Кинжалами по выявленным целям. МО РФ отчиталось об успешном поражении пяти пусковых установок Патриот и одной РЛС. Судя по слитым в сеть видосам минимум одну пусковую установку точно накрыло. Тратить гиперзвуковую ракету за мильярд денег на такую распиаренную хуету конечно жалко, но нанести серьёзный имиджевый ущерб США - бесценно. В целом если ни одна сторона не начнёт активных наступательных действий и продолжится взаимный обмен ударами по тылам ракетами и дронами, России это в принципе выгодно. |
|
|
|
A country that prints its own currency can't default on its debt, they would simply print more currency units if required. That's been the general practice since the gold standard was done away with, except debt's been exponentially rising over the last few decades because the U.S. created a hole that they can't escape. The interest on the debt alone will consume them, requiring even more borrowing.
In general, you are right. The problem with US debts has become much worse not so much because of another excess of the debt ceiling, but because, against the backdrop of an increase in the key rate, even simply servicing debts has become too expensive. Plus, the debt problem can be compared to an iceberg, only a small part of which is on the surface. According to economists at AB Bernstein, in 2019 the total US debt burden was 1832% of nominal GDP. Since then, the situation has deteriorated markedly. |
|
|
|
You did it again. If one unfulfilled forecast put an end to the career of every analyst, there would not be a single analyst left in the world. So, Mr. Analyst, what went wrong? What led you to be so confident in your prediction that you stated it as a matter of fact and considered all who didn't come to the same conclusion naive and foolish? Did you underestimate the capabilities of Ukraine? Overestimate Russias? Are you capable of saying either of these things out loud? This unfulfilled prediction was made at an early stage of the conflict, when my immersion in it was too superficial. I am still not too immersed in it because of the geographical distance, but after 15 months of tracking, I think I began to better understand what was happening. Therefore, now I am not making any forecasts on the timing, it turned out that there are many forces (both in Russia and in the West) that benefit from further prolongation of the conflict. However, my general message has not changed for a second - Ukraine did not have and does not have the slightest chance of winning this confrontation. Too different weight categories for rivals. Even with NATO military assistance. Even taking into account the difference in levels of motivation, when one side is waging a domestic war against an aggressor-invader, and the other side is just conducting a military special operation. For Ukraine, the best thing was to conclude a peace treaty in April last year, when there was such an opportunity - now it would be able to do a lot of work on the road to recovery. This conflict is beneficial to many, but certainly not to Ukraine itself. |
|
|
|
Вот по графикам видно что уровень загрязнений сильно снизился в промышленных регионах России. Вряд ли это потому что кто-то беспокоился об экологии.
Зима очень тёплая была, вот и чище стало. Когда живёшь среди толерантных демократических ценностей, но без центрального отопления, о таких вещах как-то даже и не задумываешься наверно. |
|
|
|
And the counter offensive hasn't even started yet.
In fact of the matter. Ukraine planned to enter the Crimea in May, May is running out, and Ukraine is bogged down in positional battles near Bakhmut, and with each lost ammunition depot, its offensive potential is reduced. Even if Zelensky’s current trip around Europe can be considered successful (although in France he was caustically called the Circus Chapiteau), Europe is not able to supply as many weapons without damaging its arsenals as Russia destroys with missiles and drones. And the US is now in temporary difficulties due to the debt ceiling and reputational losses due to damage to the Patriot. You said once that every Taxi driver knows how to govern the country. I seems that every troll out here is also a general. What a marvellous country! Most of the information provided is, as usual, 10% true, rest invented.Could you also clarify what exactly of the information you quoted seems to be true so that I can better deal with my illusions and limiting stereotypes. Or at least reasonably refute the part that seems false to you. Without solid arguments, your statements seem unfounded to me. You just repeat the official propaganda, so I think that whoever choose to believe it will probably not come this forum to seek information. For example, all those TV commentators and propagandists speaking about nuking here and nuking there, without any mention about the fact that there is both a defence, a first strike capability and a second strike capability that would immediately take place (if needed, I got the feeling that US can pretty much get revenge in full without even using nuclear capabilities). It reminds me when the Iron Curtain was lifted and all the people living under communism discovered the extent of the lies and the deceit they were suffering for decades. Does anyone in the RF TV dare to mention that the UK and France, not to mention the US, have nuclear capabilities, including those in mobile platforms such as sub and planes? Nah... that would be too scary for the sods in the RF. It is good that you like fireworks. There is going to be a lot of fireworks. Well, I will take note that your accusations of lying to me are unfounded and you cannot support them with any good arguments. I willingly share links to the source when I report this or that news on the topic. As for Ukraine's inability to organize some kind of coherent spring counter-offensive, this is not news, the lack of success speaks for itself. ps According to my information According to your information Russia was going to have a parade in Kyiev on May 9th, 2022. (It would be naive and foolish to doubt it!) You did it again. If one unfulfilled forecast put an end to the career of every analyst, there would not be a single analyst left in the world. |
|
|
|
It's all "pro-poor" talk. Bitcoin performs much better when it is used less. With an increase in the activity of use, a transport collapse occurs. You can accept this as a given or try to fix it somehow. The developers tried, but it led to unexpected side effects in the form of an unplanned blockchain use case. Now we must accept the consequences of our decisions and move on, or accept that the weakening of consensus as a result of the update of the taproot was a strategic mistake and try to fix it so as not to damage the reputation of bitcoin. Because the holders of the brc-20 tokens uploaded their stupid pictures to the blockchain according to the current consensus rules and paid for it with real bitcoins at the market price, one cannot deceive their expectations about the preservation of the value that they entrusted to the most reliable network, and about the possibility in the future to freely spend their exits.
Do you know what happens when a rock star or a famous pop singer dies? People start to listen to their songs more. When an artist dies, his paintings' price increases. So if ordinals will be banned, the existing ones will cost much more (in case devs don't delete the metadata tag completely of course). It's a win-win situation. Bitcoiners will get rid of spam and ordinalists keep their precious NFTs and even earn some hefty sum perhaps.  In your opinion, is it technically possible to eliminate the vulnerability so that previously created records in the blockchain with its help do not lose the ability to change the owner using a valid transaction? Or will they become a dead monument to the name of the successful exploitation of a vulnerability, losing all value along with the ability to change ownership? In the second case, it will be a strong (perhaps even fatal) blow to Bitcoin's reputation as a reliable, censor-resistant network for storing value. |
|
|
|
Well, can you refute this article, because it is also based on facts? It seems not, and you are not even going to do it, it is easier for you to reject the article in its entirety and say that it is custom-made. This is a reliable sign that you are politically engaged and are in a bubble of pro-Western propaganda. You can list "facts" as much as you like that there are some difficulties in Russia. Of course they are. Such a huge and complex economy cannot simply be turned from west to south and east at the snap of a finger without some difficulties and overlaps. But the main thing has already happened - instead of falling apart and begging the West for mercy, the Russian economy has withstood the sanctions strike and is even showing growth. Try to disprove this fact. Russia, at least initially thought that they will be able to conquer all of Ukraine with just 120,000 to 160,000 soldiers (when Ukraine have close to 2 million soldiers including reserves). Western nations also thought that the Russian economy will collapse in a few months and all the world nations would join them in embargoing Russia. Both cases didn't happened. Even within Europe, Turkey refused to join the sanctions against Russia and has emerged as one of the top importers of Russian hydrocarbons. Perhaps you are right. In my opinion, the US and UK economies are doing worse than expected, while the economies of Europe and Russia are doing better than expected. In the sense that a year ago the economic outlook for the US and the UK looked brighter, while the economic outlook for the EU and Russia looked bleaker. |
|
|
|
|
Show Posts
