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921  Economy / Economics / Re: Recession: The Government's Obvious Mistake on: August 10, 2022, 05:29:53 PM
Most governments knew what they were doing when they elected to shutdown the entire global supply chain network, their own economies/businesses for the sake of a virus that has a 99.9 percent survival rate. I'm assuming, and this is giving them credit, that the damages as a result of the lockdown strategies were miscalculated and ended up being more severe than they thought it would be.

They knew the end result would be slow economic growth and high inflation, but perhaps they did not expect such a severe degree of stagflation.

I don't think they are dumb, but maybe they followed the wrong principle. Or there's a big agenda to get people into poverty?

They followed "the science," according to them, and not basic economics.
922  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Houston officials ban “ghost guns” from anti-Second Amendment buyback event... on: August 09, 2022, 06:12:30 PM
Gun buyback events are utterly useless and emblematic of the larger dichotomy that the gun control absolutists face. That is -- who are the folks that show up to these gun buyback events? Are criminals incentivized to sell their firearms to authorities or would they rather keep their unmarked/unregistered firearms to themselves for criminal activity? Are the types of law abiding citizens to comply with gun buyback events also the types of folks that you need to worry about committing abhorrent violent crime?
923  Economy / Economics / Re: Henan Bank decides to use citizens money for investment on: August 07, 2022, 04:27:53 AM
This is not uncommon at all. Banks will use the funds deposited by their clients in order to generate profit. Clients receive interest payments. I don't support these matters unless the clients are properly informed of the risks, but it's probably also true that the folks that deposit fiat into a bank are looking for stability, not investment returns.

The main issue I see here is that the banks and government in China are essentially one entity. Using funds for developmental purposes creates a conflict of interest. CCP is looking to expand their their country's reach thus if they were to put funds into projects that fail or get a negative ROI, the citizens are out of luck.
924  Economy / Economics / Re: Hyundai rolls out 27 heavy-duty hydrogen trucks in Germany on: August 06, 2022, 07:06:16 PM
At this point, German officials really deserve all the scorn they can possibly receive: https://theconversation.com/hydrogen-cars-wont-overtake-electric-vehicles-because-theyre-hampered-by-the-laws-of-science-139899


Quote
The reason why hydrogen is inefficient is because the energy must move from wire to gas to wire in order to power a car. This is sometimes called the energy vector transition.

Let’s take 100 watts of electricity produced by a renewable source such as a wind turbine. To power an FCEV, that energy has to be converted into hydrogen, possibly by passing it through water (the electrolysis process). This is around 75% energy-efficient, so around one-quarter of the electricity is automatically lost.

The hydrogen produced has to be compressed, chilled and transported to the hydrogen station, a process that is around 90% efficient. Once inside the vehicle, the hydrogen needs converted into electricity, which is 60% efficient. Finally the electricity used in the motor to move the vehicle is is around 95% efficient. Put together, only 38% of the original electricity – 38 watts out of 100 – are used.

Hydrogen produced vehicles are not the future. They're dangerous and not efficient. Instead of providing reliable energy through oil and gas with existing infrastructure, they continue to invest in unreliable green energy initiatives at a time when Germans might be facing freezing in the winter. I hope Germans are not celebrating these sort of accomplishments.
925  Economy / Economics / Re: TOPIC: Pros and Cons of saving fiat versus saving Bitcoin in this current econom on: August 06, 2022, 02:46:12 PM
I don't consider myself to be a Bitcoin absolutist by any means, but I am more of an absolutist towards crypto than I am of fiat. Saving fiat has no inherent benefit due to built in inflation that is systematically introduced by the central banks to maintain the economy. Had the fiat systems been pegged to a tangible asset, or revert back to the gold standard, I'd feel differently.

Even with any drawbacks of BTC, I'd choose it over fiat where my purchasing power is lost by default year over year.


4 As the current world change has been from the traditional mode of exchange to electronic mode(digital mode). Bitcoin has an upper hand, as it is purely digital.

Slight push back on this point: I agree with you generally, but it's also true that folks living in the first world take digital media for granted. A lot of people don't have this luxury which pushes further from the goal of mainstream adoption.
926  Other / Politics & Society / Re: What exactly do certain conservative group/people gain by "controlling women"? on: August 06, 2022, 02:32:26 PM
If you want to understand the pro life position, it is not about controlling women, it's about protecting the life of the unborn.

The pro-lifers believe life starts at conception and that the human life has the right to live whereas the most extremist pro-choice groups believe in abortion up to birth. Controlling women is just used as a strawman argument.

This wouldn't have to be as contentious of an issue if abortions were made illegal after certain development stages. Aborting a baby after it has a heart beat sounds like murder and much less about controlling women, doesn't it? Maybe not even a heart beat. What about brain activity?

I'd draw the line around 12-15 weeks or so.
927  Economy / Economics / Re: Can the US become EU's oil supplier?? on: August 06, 2022, 12:17:56 PM
Never, not under democratic administrations. It's now explicitly part of their platforms to be anti-energy. If a pro-oil and gas President came into office, they wouldn't produce enough oil to be a sole supplier, but they could increase global supply enough to ease restraints if they were compelled to. Current administration in the U.S. has no intentions on exporting energy. They would rather spend trillions in green climate change initiatives and see Europe beholden to the Russians.

It was said the US halted the companies to drill oil because they wanted to nationalize oil drilling and not about green energy. Sounds like a very conspiracy theory but they risked the economy when they stopped these companies from extracting oil. So how can they provide to EU if they have stopped drilling?  But I think EU had already source to come from Nigeria.

IMO they want to stop drilling all together and force big corporations to switch to green energy. There is no need to create a nationalizing of drilling. Granted, I have no idea of the actual reason Biden chose to halt new drilling leases at a time when Americans are facing record high fuel prices and when there's a global energy shortage, but I suppose that the green energy fanatics were able to sway him into siding with the environmentalist oppose to the working people.

If the U.S. could get away with nationalizing oil production, I suppose they would do so by weaponizing federal leasing permits, but my understanding of their oil drilling situation is that most drilling occurs on private lands. Perhaps could also reduce subsidies for oil and gas too.
928  Economy / Economics / Re: Can the US become EU's oil supplier?? on: August 06, 2022, 05:06:32 AM
Never, not under democratic administrations. It's now explicitly part of their platforms to be anti-energy. If a pro-oil and gas President came into office, they wouldn't produce enough oil to be a sole supplier, but they could increase global supply enough to ease restraints if they were compelled to. Current administration in the U.S. has no intentions on exporting energy. They would rather spend trillions in green climate change initiatives and see Europe beholden to the Russians.
929  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Countries have banned Bitcoin; Do you believe is because of criminal activities on: August 05, 2022, 09:08:25 PM
IMO there's more than one reason why they ban it. Usually it's because they're afraid of people hiding their wealth and being able to transfer money abroad without the government's knowledge.
The second popular reason is they're afraid of bribes. In India the government officials were taking crypto bribes and those who found out about it overreacted and banned crypto, instead of using severe punishments to make it not worth for public servants to take bribes. The third most popular reason for banning is CBDC. Countries who want to launch their own crypto treat bitcoin like competition.

I've been loosely following India's overhaul of crypto currency from high taxes to what will eventually be an outright banning. They'll be one of the largest countries in the world to have done it, which sparks my interest as I believe other countries will attempt to mimic their model.

I'm more convinced India was using bribery as a scapegoat so they could make a palatable excuse to the public as to why they want to ban crypto, not that they would need one, but it helps. Nirmala Sitharaman has said crypto goes against India's fiscal and monetary policy (I'm glad she admits it, unlike other governments). Their intention is fairly clear.

I understand India has more corruption problems than other nations, but I'm not inclined to believe this corruption would be solved by banning crypto.
930  Other / Politics & Society / Re: WHO declares rapidly spreading monkeypox outbreak a global health emergency on: August 05, 2022, 04:26:11 PM
U.S. declares monkeypox a health emergency: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/04/health/monkeypox-emergency-us.html

Over 7k confirmed cases of monkey pox according to the CDC this year: https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/monkeypox/response/2022/us-map.html

Here we go again...Cases primarily among gay and bisexual men engaging in sex with strangers. Given that homosexuals are on the intersectional scale, they'll get special privileges that other folks were not allowed during COVID restrictions. Meaning, sex festivals won't be shut down for monkeypox, but attending a wedding or a funeral for your loved during COVID was unacceptable.
931  Economy / Economics / Re: Nations should impose special taxes on oil firms: UN Secretary General on: August 05, 2022, 02:58:42 PM
It's a blatant lie that the increased energy prices are caused by corporate greed. The energy companies operate on specific margins that are independent of what the raw materials for the goods they produce are sold at. No matter what the cost of the raw materials, the profit margin on relative terms will stay the same. It seems as if the UN doesn't understand supply and demand, nor recognize the tight energy constrains that were artificially placed on countries who decided it was prudent to ditch oil/gas for greener and less efficient forms of energy.

They got what they asked for. I suppose it's easier to demonize the big oil/gas corporations instead of pointing out that the revitalization of energy in Europe away from fossil fuels, and the dependence on foreign sources, got them in the mess they're in.
932  Other / Politics & Society / Re: China-US-Taiwan and the Economy on: August 04, 2022, 07:58:59 PM
I want to present an analysis/prediction of the world focusing on China-US duo (with Taiwan as the victim/battle-ground) and the effects of that on the global economy and possibly make a conclusion about possible effects on bitcoin.

Your analysis is pretty stupid to be kind. Authoritarian and centralised governments have been shown throughout history to fail constantly, some may last longer than others but it seems like China is going backwards right now. The reason that China became so successful in the last couple decades was the fact they were becoming more westernised and embracing capitalism - Xi Jinping is about to recreate the disastrous reign of Mao out of his own vain desires. This is not to say that the Chinese way of government does not have some advantages, but on the whole it cannot compete with the innovation and free thinking of more open societies. Frankly considering the size of the population, very little research, science and technology innovation has actually come out of the country - but they've gotten good at copying things.

China has hardly embraced capitalism. They've been successful in modernizing their economy because they rely on hundreds of millions of their citizens to be subject to absolute poverty while they expanded their manufacturing/export industry. If it only took slave labor to successfully launch an economy, then sure, China could be considered a successful story of communism. Fortunately, developed society has higher standards than that.
933  Other / Politics & Society / Re: How could this be true, do you think is possible for Elon Musk to walk away? on: August 04, 2022, 06:26:10 PM
Twitter hired some mega legal corporation to make sure they get their billion dollar settlement, Elon Musk has also employed a large law firm to fight his battle.

My prediction is a bunch of lawyers making a lot of money, and both parties losing in the end. Twitter would love nothing more than to get Elon Musk to pay 54 bucks a share for a worthless social media platform that has a market value of half that. This won't happen. Musk would like to back out of the deal without paying the billion dollar breakup fee. This probably won't happen.

He's using the bot accounts as an excuse for his arrogance in overpaying for a company that he was out of his mind to purchase. Call it a buyer's remorse, if you will. I don't doubt twitter is riddled with bot accounts, I just don't believe this is the reason he's backing out of the deal, oppose to the fact he's paying 15-20 billion over the market rate for a social media platform.
934  Economy / Economics / Re: Anyone here from Germany? What exactly are your electricity costs? on: August 04, 2022, 11:13:21 AM
The difference between Spain and Germany is because Germany use more gaz than Electricity (IICRC), and since some decades, in Europe, the electricity's network is "connected". We can trade/block/limit between countries. Added to the fact that Spain, as well as Portugual are at the end of this network so the price isn't the same depending on the country.

Roughly half of Germans use gas to heat their homes, so yes, you're correct - https://www.dw.com/en/germany-stockpiling-wood-in-fear-of-gas-shortage/a-62601419

It amazes me that Germany is resorting to stockpiling wood for the upcoming winter because they would rather freeze to death than utilize Russian energy. They're firing up coal and nuclear power plants in response in addition to stockpiling wood. I hope they're prepared.
935  Economy / Economics / Re: Why is crypto going up after the news of being in a recession? on: August 03, 2022, 07:30:31 PM
It's not really going up. Keep in mind, Bitcoin has not yet faced a global economic crisis (I don't consider COVID-19 an economic crisis as it was artificially created and then artificially resolved through re-openings/money printing). Changes in the U.S. economy aren't necessarily indicative of a the global economic status, nor are small changes in Bitcoin's price directly correlated to the state of the U.S. economy. And to be clear, the recession effects usually lag. Once companies begin to stop hiring or lay off workers, that's when the global ramifications happen. Large corporations beginning to slow their economic activity is what creates a snowball effect. Perhaps that's when BTC's price can really be analyzed within the context of a recession.
936  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russia plays the blame game on: August 03, 2022, 02:19:12 PM
Where I can't help being curious is in the manner the US is supposedly helping Ukraine fight the war. Are they scared of Russia's action if they openly suport the war or is there something else they are guarding against? Your thoughts...

It's the same reason why the U.S. was not willing to put a no-fly zone back in March, they don't want to escalate. They're satisfied with a war by proxy. It's what the U.S. has been doing with Russia in the middle east for years as they were dealing with Bashar al-Assad. As long as they don't escalate with a direct declaration of war, war by proxy seems to be a winning strategy.
937  Other / Politics & Society / Re: A direct threat to US: Should Pelosi go Taiwan or not? on: August 02, 2022, 01:21:08 PM
The world is not what it used to be. The US isn’t the only big player now. If China invades Taiwan, the US will ignore them just like how they ignored Russia. I don’t think the US would fight even if Russia invades Poland.

Pelosi is a disgusting old bitch who cheats in the stock market. Nobody will miss her if she don’t come back from Taiwan.


Funny enough, I speculate she's taking this trip because god forbid if she wasn't coming back, she's already at the end of her life anyways. Had a great run, only to be taken out by a Chinaman.

Nancy should call Vinnie's bluff and just go. There's no way China would take any military action against the US, they're not suicidal.
Assholes like you start wars.

It's really Joe Biden who started this. Had he been slightly more lucid, China would not play him for a fool. Pelosi needs to take this trip as to thwart Chinese efforts to take Taiwan within the immediate future. Of course, we all know Taiwan is already gone. This trip just delays the inevitable.
938  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Covid again on: July 31, 2022, 06:31:29 AM
Simple H2O2 injected into the blood can work. Also, Ozone carefully injected into the blood might work better.

I suppose you've killed the cancer if you've also killed yourself. In which case, great solution you got.
939  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why I Disliked Bitcoin on: July 31, 2022, 03:36:41 AM
Stories like yours are pretty common IMO. Disinformation campaign and high regulations create the perception that Bitcoin is tainted or damaged materials, with some nefarious notion attached to its usage. I'm glad you were wise and saw past the propaganda, many aren't.

trafficking, money laundering, terrorism, activities of drug barons, and many more. I forgot to think that as it has its advantages, it also has its disadvantages, no system works perfectly.

And in fact, money laundering and terrorism are some of the most common excuses the government gives when outright banning or regulating Bitcoin. They pick these excuses meticulously. The average citizen doesn't understand complex issues surrounding financial fraud or national security, so the government likes to give a palatable excuse that people can get behind.

Of course, Bitcoin has little to do with money laundering or terrorism. Throw around those buzzwords though, and somehow people rally behind the cause no matter what it is.

"Ban bitcoin, it'll stop the terrorists!" Leaves me pondering.
940  Economy / Economics / Re: Huge bounty is placed on Russians politicians crypto info on: July 31, 2022, 03:28:45 AM
Each state on whose territory a cryptocurrency exchange is registered can instruct  to help Ukraine in this regard, and the exchanges will be forced to do so. Another question is how Ukraine will be able to convince itself and how will it convince others that these wallets belong to Russian politicians?

That's what the bounty's for. Ukraine presumably is not going to offer funds for worthless information that's unverifiable. Russians are already having their assets seized but I have not inquired as to how Ukraine plans to seize crypto wallets unless they're tied to exchanges or other centralized banking platforms. It's not good for crypto exchanges to be attaching themselves as the moral arbiters, but perhaps it's their fault if they choose to keep funds on centralized platforms. Tough luck.
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