I think people that like the idea of mining don't really care much about whats on the horizon they just jump in and start doing it.
I personally like all forms of mining and am thinking of getting back into CPU mining with one of the lesser known cryptos.
I know what you mean, but I don't have the financial luxury to buy a mining rig as a hobby... that is why I'm concerned about at least breaking even, even if I don't profit.
Back when Bitfury and KNCMiner ship the first batch of units, many had reservations concerning possible return on investment.
The reality that btc would rise over its previous ATH had been discussed. However no one not even I predicted that BTC would be trading at over $1000 USD a few month's later.
Other ways to secure btc are available.
Mining is a high risk venture. It can be rewarding in many ways.
I have been providing a mining comparison spreadsheet to help new adopters become familiarized with the aspects of what network difficulty can do on projected returns.
Awareness of past hardware performance help people understand how speculative predicting future network speeds can be.
Here is a link. Create a copy and key in your own values if you wish.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AmeuPljmUNHCdEpqX2RmMDFwemJyLURVUWFtZ3J3aGc&usp=docslist_api