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521  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Don't buy facemasks for the coronavirus! on: June 04, 2020, 07:52:43 PM
It's been you who missed the point. You don't wear the mask to protect yourself, you wear it so that you don't spread the virus with every breath. 

I do not wear or advise anyone to wear masks or respirators if they do not have ffp2-ffp3 protection class, as this is a completely useless exercise which is more likely to cause a negative impact on your health than save others even if you are asymptomatic.

So you'd advice others to wear masks if they have ffp2 or ffp3 ones?! But you just said:

Only you have missed one nuance that when distributed by a drip-and-droplet, small droplets can get to another mucosa - the eyes. And whatever mask protects your respiratory tract coronavirus can easily penetrate into your body. Therefore, the protection should be complex and not consist of just one mask.

You are contradicting yourself, bro.
522  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Did Bill Gates create Corona Virus (Covid-19) ? on: June 04, 2020, 06:15:58 PM

Has anyone seen a living virus under a microscope? If not, how do they know what a virus does?

Personally, I think viruses are cell repair units, repairing damage done by vaccines. They've been lying to us for such a long time that this sounds strange because of what we believe.

So, go out and ask your doctor if he has ever seen a living, moving virus... or if he knows anybody who has. Then get the proof.

Cool

Were you starring in 'Idiocracy'  Huh
523  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Don't buy facemasks for the coronavirus! on: June 04, 2020, 06:06:55 PM
Totally disagree. Wearing as a mask in this kind of situation will surely make a difference especially about when it comes to your health safety. Covid-19 is mainly transmitted by droplets from a person who is positive from the virus to another person. Wearing a mask will prevent you from acquiring those droplets which can infect you. Wear a mask and observe proper social distancing in order to avoid passing the virus from other people.

Only you have missed one nuance that when distributed by a drip-and-droplet, small droplets can get to another mucosa - the eyes. And whatever mask protects your respiratory tract coronavirus can easily penetrate into your body. Therefore, the protection should be complex and not consist of just one mask.

It's been you who missed the point. You don't wear the mask to protect yourself, you wear it so that you don't spread the virus with every breath.  
524  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Don't buy facemasks for the coronavirus! on: June 04, 2020, 01:56:59 PM
It ain't about masks. It's about crippling identification so the Commies/Antifa can take over.


Communist terrorist organization Antifa plans PURGE of American suburbs/family homes starting tonigh




Source: https://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/TinfoilHat
525  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 01, 2020, 09:00:21 PM

Do they pay with BTC?

Always wanted to be part of the Martin Looter King movement and always in desperate need for a new flatscreen.
526  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: June 01, 2020, 08:34:12 PM
Really fun game to watch as a neutral fan. Even though there is this controversy around Leipzig because of their Red Bull money in Germany, I like the way how they plays and mostly enjoy their matches. It never gets boring when they play and I can't wait for their matchup against Dortmund.

I just wish Werner would've scored at least one more time  Undecided Now he has to work the miracle and score 5 goals more than Lewandowski.

Btw. Great game by Angeliño. Is it already decided if he will go back to Man City after the loan?
527  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Statistics that show that the flu shot is twice as deadly as Covid. on: May 29, 2020, 07:21:16 PM
Don't you wanna back-up your thesis with some Facebook-expert posts?
528  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Don't buy facemasks for the coronavirus! on: May 28, 2020, 06:23:47 AM

Viruses are damaged/corrupt cells.


No, they're not!
529  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 27, 2020, 07:31:29 PM

 What do you think could they drop fifth and end the league there? I don't remember the standings but 5th wasn't to far away so they could easily drop there and that would be very sad for them, they lead the league for a while there in front of Bayern, than they dropped to second, now third and could go all the way down to fifth if they do not stop losing points and starting getting some more.

I don't think Leipzig will drop to the 5th place. They have relatively easy remaining matches against Koln, Paderborn, Hoffenheim, Dusseldorf and Augsburg. Their persecutors Bayer and Gladbach both still have to play Bayern Munich. I'd say  their match against Dortmund decides who's gonna be runners-up behind Bayern.
530  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 27, 2020, 12:33:21 PM
This talk about home advantage - we only had three, yes 3, home wins in 18 matches, 10 away wins and 5 draws. This is pretty unusual.

In 2. Bundesliga we had 8 home wins, 7 draws and only 1 away win.

No home wins in yesterdays Bundesliga matches (3-7-12 now) and 2. Bundesliga followed the trend and no team was able to keep the 3 points in their backyard Roll Eyes

I don't really believe in some pattern in Bundesliga, but just variance. So we should start to see some more home wins soon. However for today I don't like anything prematch. Leipzig looks like a banker on paper, also because of H2H, which is horrible for Hertha:


Interesting observation. Maybe these matches played behind closed doors without supporters really take away the home field advantage completely.  

I just looked at the previous seasons. And according to this source the home win percentage was most time around 45 % (± a few percent), with mostly under 30% away wins.



I am not really sure if the stats from the current season are up-to-date, so I checked by myself and calculated the percentages. Before the Corona break (match days 1-25) there were 97 home wins (= 43,30%), 49 draws (=21,88%) and 78 away wins (=34,82%). So even before the break, we had slightly higher winrate of the away team than usual.

Since the restart we have, as you already calculated correctly, seen at this point only 3 home wins (only 11,64%), 7 draws (31,82%) and 12 away wins (54,55%).

We haven't seen that many matches after the restart of the league but even now I'd say it's remarkable. I wouldn't place a bet based on all these (silly) calculations but it really shows nicely the influence and importance of a cheering stadium full of your supporters backing you up.



Hertha for the upset you think guys?

I am not sure about the upset but they have been scoring like crazy after the break so I believe they can at least score a goal today. Hopefully, Leipzig will score one or more so I went with both to score. I managed to find odds of 1.70 for this game which surprised me since I expected something like 1.5.

So guys if you want to earn some money play against my predictions since I can't get anything correct in Bundesliga after the break (2/8). I also think Ausburg should do well today so probably it will end 0:5 for the visitors.

Hertha is pretty unpredictable for me now with their new coach. They had some impressing results lately but, without beeing disrespectful towards Union Berlin and Hoffenheim, Leipzig is on a completly different level. It's these kind of matches I'd usually skip but betting for both to score is quite a good call imho.
531  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 26, 2020, 06:29:58 PM

Nice prediction you have, and it looks fair enough. But from what I have seen in last two seasons of Bundesliga, Lewandowski is more consistent than Werner if it's about scoring.

The amount of goal Lewa scores in the first half-season of 18/19 was 10 goals and the second half was 12, while Werner scored 11 in the first half and only 5 in second half of season. In the season of 17/18, Lewa scored 15 goals in the first half-season and 14 goals in the second one, which Werner scored 9 goals in the first half and only 5 in the second half of season.

From these data in last two seasons, the amount of goal Werner able to score in the second half-season is 45-55% of the total goals he scored in the first half of season. In otherwise, the percentage Lewa has is almost 100%. It means Lewa able to score in second half-season as many as goal he has in the first half. So based on this calculation, since in the first half of current season Lewa scored 19 goals, he would likely add at least 15 goals in the end of season, so probably will be 34 goals in total. In the other side, with 45-55% percentage for Werner, he has scored 18 goals already in the first half-season, so he might be able to score only 9 goals, which the total goal he would has in the end of season is 27 goals.

Since the first match of second half-season, Lewa has already scored 8 goals and Werner 6 goals. With my prediction, Lewa would be able to score another 7 goals in the remaining matches of this season, and for Werner, he might add just 3 goals.

So my conclusion is, the chance for Lewandowski to be a top scorer this season is much higher than Werner. Please don't take it as a main reference, it's just my prediction based on the goal statistic they have in the last two seasons.


Good point. I also thought about taking the last season(s) into account but eventually decided against it. I think you can't really compare the seasons and say because Lewandowski scored x goals last season, he will score y in the remaining matches. The indivual matchups play an important role imo. And this season I'd say that Leipzig and Werner have weaker teams in the remaining matches.

Edit: Wasn't this a handball by Boateng and a penalty for Dortmund? Did the VAR even check it? Looked to me like he blocked the shot on purpose with his arm
532  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 26, 2020, 02:32:30 PM
TL:DR: Tried to explain why I thought Werner could become top goalscorer this season.

Nice post and no need for tldr, because although this is a prediction thread, there are not that many predictions in here. So always good to read some proper analysis.

What odds did you get ? I saw 5.0 at Tipico, but didn't check elsewhere. Catching up 3 goals in 7 matches is certainly not easy when Lewandowski scores basically every game. Bayern has 4 games, where I would expect them to not score a lot: Dortmund, Leverkusen, Gladbach and Wolfsburg. Against Düsseldorf, Freiburg and Bremen they could score quite a few, especially against Bremen imo.

Leipzig has Paderborn and Hoffenheim, where I see them scoring some more goals. Against Dortmund they won't score a lot imo, the rest is to be seen. I would probably want more than the 5.0 from Tipico, more like 8-ish, so curious what you got.  

Odds were 5.0 on bet365, too. I know that it's probably not going to happen but I listened to my gut and I think the possiblity is higher that the odds would suggest.

Same as you, I also think the matches of Bayern against Dortmund, Leverkusen, Gladbach are the ones where Lewandowski will probably have the hardest time to score. Freiburg is also not that easy to play against. They tend to be do much better against stronger teams when they can focus on their defence. Last season they were the only team where Bayern couldn't win at least on of their 2 matches. Bremen is always in danger of getting a real beating from Bayern. In addition to that, Bayern also has another match in the DFB cup in early June (one more match in an already tense and exhausting schedule).

For Leipzig I see the matches against Berlin and Dortmund as the toughest ones. Especially Hertha. They are doing really good since the restart under their new coach and I am really excited for that match tomorrow. The other teams I see at a level of Mainz at best. On a good day the offence of Leipzig can really shine in these matches.
533  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: US Presidential Election 2020 on: May 26, 2020, 02:10:28 PM

There is a real chance that the remaining primary contests may be called off. In that case, Biden with 1566 out of the 2704 (58%) of the delegates declared so far will be confirmed as the Democrat nominee. I don't think that any of the other candidates are going to challenge this decision, especially as Bernie has endorsed Biden a few months back. If there is no unforeseen emergency, such as health issues, then Biden will be the Democrat candidate.

But these health issues is exactly what OP considered when placing his bet on a different candidate. And that's something a lot of us here in this thread agree on: Joe Biden's not really in a condition to run a country. Even now he already makes weird statements sometimes and gets things mixed up. But the thing is not over after the election in November. Quite the contrary. The real work for him will only have started. Beeing president is a hard and stressful job. If Biden really gets elected, I doubt he'll be able to serve the full 4 years term.

534  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 26, 2020, 01:12:13 PM
I'm not sure if anyone would be interested, but I was wondering what the chances are for Werner to outperform Lewandowski and become the top goalgetter this season. Right now, Werner is at 24 goals, Lewandowski already at 27. So I quickly compared the remaining games of Leipzig and Bayern in view of the chance for Werner and Lewandowski to score goals.

Leipzig's remaining matches are (the numbers show Werners goals in the first legs match):
Hertha (2)
Koln (1)
Paderborn (1)
Hoffenheim (2)
Dusseldorf (1)
Dortmund (2)
Augsburg (0)

Bayern's remaining matches are (the numbers show Lewandowskis goals in the first legs match):
Dortmund (2)
Dusseldorf (0)
Bayer Leverkusen (0)
Gladbach (0)
Bremen (2)
Freiburg (1)
Wolfsburg (0)

At first glance, the games for Leipzig look a bit easier. While Lewandowski scored 5 goals in the first half of the season against them, Werner managed to score 9. If history repeats, that would be enough to beat Lewandowski. I know it's not really a good argumentation and Lewandowski is capable to score 5 goals in 9 min (what a legendary game!) but for me it was enough to justify a small bet on Werner with the current odds.

TL:DR: Tried to explain why I thought Werner could become top goalscorer this season.

535  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 24, 2020, 09:00:40 PM
Omfg Schalke , how they can lose at home against Augsburg ? Another bet wrong , was expecting Schalke win that.
And it looks like Leipzig destroys Mainz with 5 scored Goals in there match 5 min to go there .
Hopefully Düsseldorf wins today in Cologne , what a crazy match day and weekend .

Not sure what's wrong with Schalke atm. They haven't won a single game for - idk - like 10 consecutive match days?! I was sure, Augsburg, which were also struggeling lately, can be the perfect sparring partner for them. Well, lesson learnt.

After Werner scored 3 goals today, he's only 3 more goals behind Lewandowski. Do you guys think he has a chance to become top goalscorer this season?
536  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: US Presidential Election 2020 on: May 24, 2020, 08:09:35 PM

The Cuomo bet/trade, which made me open this thread, doesn't look too good now.


Source: https://orbitexch.com/customer/sport/market/1.128151441

I put some more on him @55-60, but his odds keep rising. He is a bit out of the spotlight with things getting better in New York, which doesn't help. Taking a slow approach with reopening the (down-)state is the correct thing to do imo, but not very well liked by a lot of people. It's tough to find the right balance and you never can please everyone.

I did not follow the primaries that closely and I have to admit that I am not an expert in US politics at all but isn't it already (at least inofficially) settled that Joe Biden will be the candidate of the Democrats? Does Cuomo, to have an actual chance, have to run as an independent candidate?
537  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread on: May 21, 2020, 10:57:51 AM
I think it’d be ridiculous to shorten the CL 1/4 & semi finals to only one leg, I know it’s important to finish the competition but come on, surely it’s got to be 2 legged as usual.

Why should it be ridiculous to shorten the remaining CL season? The teams from leagues that plan to restart or already restarted (Bundesliga), will have to play many matches in a short period of time. They players, even though they get paid massive money, are humans in the end and no machines. They need time to recover properly between the matches. And since all games will be without supporters anyway, there is not really a home-field advantage anymore.

The only thing that could become a problem is that TV stations already paid for 2 matches each round? So the teams would probably lose quite a lot of that TV money?
538  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: US Presidential Election 2020 on: May 21, 2020, 09:51:53 AM

biden was their best attempt at a purely centrist candidate capable of retaining the moderates. IMO they were hoping to stimulate nostalgia for the obama years and also may have underestimated his cognitive dysfunction.


I totally agree with you here.  But, as I said, if Biden really is the best that they can offer after four years of Trump, that's a serious indictment and only plays into the hands of Trump. I must admit I didn't follow the primaries of the Democrats that closely but do they really don't have someone younger and healthier, someone without (the usual) scandals, someone charismatic? Just look at Finnland or New Zealand! Sad that someone like Buttigieg never had (and never will have) a real chance.

The problem is that the Democrats were resting on the success of Obama. In his second term they should've already started to promote and strengthen his successor. But what were they doing since then?!
539  Other / Meta / Re: Imagine bitcointalk.org in 2140 on: May 20, 2020, 06:42:24 PM
2140 is a very big way from now. we all (current members) will die according to our Life expectancy. So better to write in our diary about there is a bitcoin forum during 2020 for the next generation instead of thinking how will the forum in 2140.  Smiley

Dead in 2140?! Weren't you browsing Bitcointalk regulary?! For the active forum user there were a lot of possibilities for a longer life. Just look at this gem: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2336293.0 Probably shouldn't have put all your money in BTC, ETH, uh? See you in 2140!
540  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: US Presidential Election 2020 on: May 20, 2020, 06:15:25 PM
The polical system of the United States is a damn joke. After almost four years of Donald Trump, saying and doing whatever the f*** comes to his mind, snubing with most of their allies and partners and leaving the country with the biggest recession since the great depression, all the Democrats have to offer is Joe Biden as their candidate?! Seriously?! Biden, who is so sick he maybe can't even remember his own name in four years should lead the United States in such though times?! The Democrats had 4 years to build up a stong, charismatic candidate but they failed! They are not part of the solution, they are part of the problem!

The Americans should really start waking up. It seems like in the minds of a lot of them they see themself as the best nation on earth but in reality they have the healtcare system of a third world country, their political (and military) interventions around the globe cause a lot of suffering, racism is a huge problem, especially when you pair it with the their gun fanatismn.
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