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1661  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 8 months low, no better time than now. on: June 26, 2022, 03:51:52 PM
So much have been in the fore play in Bitcoin and to that a lot of issues have forced Bitcoin to behave in the current behavior, from sec calling Bitcoin an anti-environment and eco friendly even though we know all this are campaign of fallacy championed by anti Bitcoin crusader.  
Bitcoin haters are fond of doing these fake news every time the crypto market is down, and this is not new to everyone here. While they always anticipate for the collapse of bitcoin and its crypto market, not even knowing that this will even gain us more interest in the market as the more prices are dipping, the bigger the opportunity to re invest again. So let them believe in their own lies, as they can't do nothing if they see us making great profits when the bullish season is here again.
Precisely, if you know how things work, then you will not be bothered by anything.

People who have that kind of mindsets are the one that being affected most when the market start to pump high.
There are good traders and experienced traders who treat this as opportunities to buy and hold more, long or short
they've got profitable strategy that will allow them to continue to enjoy whatever the market behaves.
It's funny that such people always bash on Bitcoin no matter the situation, if it's crashing they're shouting that it's finally dying and the bubble is bursting. On the other hand, if it's rapidly gaining in value, they'll still shout it's a ponzi and a scam, even after 10 years of its initial debut.

Bitcoin haters aren't going to change, despite the market situation, they'll always bash at it.
1662  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What Type of Gambler Am I? on: June 26, 2022, 12:33:18 PM
I'm fairly certain that I'm a conservative gambler. Strict and small budget (my account's balance is worth approximately 1 mBTC at most) generally small bets and avoiding excessive risks. Mostly in for the experience and the thrill of playing a game of chance, hoping that eventually, I might get a little lucky and earn a few bucks.

Also, I'm mostly playing casual games, such as Dice or crash, avoiding anything that has to do with sport betting or casino styled games, such as roulette.
1663  Economy / Economics / Re: UK inflation hits new high of 9.1% as food and energy price surge persists on: June 26, 2022, 08:29:02 AM
I'm not sure what all the fuss is about. Inflation is only up 9.1%, and that's just in line with expectations. Sure, housing and household services, primarily electricity, gas, and other fuels are causing the largest upward contributions to the inflation rate, but that's to be expected(thanks to corona and Russia :p).

After all, we need to keep our economy moving, and that costs money. The survey about "four in five people" is a little misleading. It's not like anyone is actually going to go without food or energy. They may have to tighten their belts a bit, but in the end, they'll just have to pay up. This is the price of living in a developed country.
There's no possible way that such inflation is normal, if you see such increases normal, then you must be pretty well-off to not be bothered by it. A small percentage of inflation (1%-2%) is considered healthy for the economy, the current situation isn't, it's putting a huge burden on households and the economy itself. The higher prices are unlikely to ever return to previous levels, reducing our available income, while our salary has hardly increased since the whole situation started.

How is that considered normal or healthy?
It's normal because it's within the expectations. Don't forget what Corona did to the supply chain, it's more screwed than a 10 pound whore behind MaccyD. Then Russia happened  Cheesy Goods and serices will be infalted for a while.

Other aspects of UK economy are doing pretty well, the GDP is growing, unemployment is low and the stock market is performing fairly well(check FTSE 100).

How is the average citizen benefit from it, though? While I get your point of view, I'm only seeing an increased living cost for citizens, some of which are not able to afford and adapt to the higher costs. Inflation in Greece is currently at 11.3%, is that also considered within the expectations, when we're forced to pay over 10-15% over what we used to, without having an substantial increase in our salary to back it up?
1664  Economy / Economics / Re: UK inflation hits new high of 9.1% as food and energy price surge persists on: June 25, 2022, 09:57:11 PM
I'm not sure what all the fuss is about. Inflation is only up 9.1%, and that's just in line with expectations. Sure, housing and household services, primarily electricity, gas, and other fuels are causing the largest upward contributions to the inflation rate, but that's to be expected(thanks to corona and Russia :p).

After all, we need to keep our economy moving, and that costs money. The survey about "four in five people" is a little misleading. It's not like anyone is actually going to go without food or energy. They may have to tighten their belts a bit, but in the end, they'll just have to pay up. This is the price of living in a developed country.
There's no possible way that such inflation is normal, if you see such increases normal, then you must be pretty well-off to not be bothered by it. A small percentage of inflation (1%-2%) is considered healthy for the economy, the current situation isn't, it's putting a huge burden on households and the economy itself. The higher prices are unlikely to ever return to previous levels, reducing our available income, while our salary has hardly increased since the whole situation started.

How is that considered normal or healthy?
1665  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: China warns Bitcoin is heading to zero on: June 25, 2022, 07:24:06 PM
After more than 10 years of crypto and BTC, anyone claiming they for certain know what will happen is just lying to themselves and the rest of the world. Could it drop to 0? Yeah, it could. Could it stagnate? Yes. Could it go up? Yes, everything is possible because we can't tell what economic fluctuations in the world will happen in the future. This is a coin toss prediction without any evidence.
Not much has changed honestly, China is known to be against cryptocurrencies for some reason I'm not aware of, if I'm not mistaken, the People's Bank of China banned all cryptocurrency related transactions in late 2021, while mining was also banned in May 2021. Certain people have always been against their usage, calling them names, it's certainly not the first and won't be the last FUD coming from China.
1666  Other / Politics & Society / USA Bans the right to abortion on: June 25, 2022, 01:43:51 PM
It's official, USA is banning the right for women to have an abortion, revoking Roe v. Wade (1973), a landmark decision of the U.S. Supreme Court in which the Court ruled that the Constitution of the United States generally protects a pregnant woman's liberty to choose to have an abortion. We're practically running 50 years behind, something that was fought for in the past is now banned, a right that many developing countries are fighting for (In India for instance, it's only allowed for very specific cases and is often overlooked).

Honestly, I'd never expect the USA to revoke such a right, we're not in the 19th century anymore, but yet, the U.S. Supreme Court is revoking such rights, with over 13 states quickly adopting the ban.

Today it's abortion, tomorrow it could be something else, like LGBT rights or who knows what else.

What's your take on this matter?

Source: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/06/24/global-reaction-roe-abortion-supreme-court/
https://news.trust.org/item/20201231112641-qfynt/
1667  Economy / Economics / Re: From Sideways to Downhill on: June 24, 2022, 08:21:07 PM

An hour later after my post, it was already heading towards $21.000. The past few weeks have been extremely volatile, my best guess is that such volatility will continue for quite some time. At one point, I was certain that we were going to reach $15.000, however, it quickly recovered from $17.500. Although, it's way too quick to judge, because it could suddenly crash again, just like it happened a few days ago.

Despite the small recovery attempt today, one thing is for sure, it'll be a long and depressing winter. I hope I'm wrong.
You ain't wrong. We think it has recovered but zoom out the charts, this is just another sideway from the extremely volatile crypto market when everyone is in fear of the bearish market. Sideway -> down then sideway -> down again, rinse and repeat.
The current recovery is a drop in the ocean. In my opinion, it's simply a way of "misleading" us before it crashes again. The two most probably scenarios are that it'll stay relatively stable within the range of $18.000 - $20.000, or it'll go downhill, possibly below $15.000 before we see anything major in terms of recovery on the market. I'm opting for the second, crashes are not over yet, I find it hard to believe that $17.500 was the bottom of the barrel.
1668  Economy / Economics / Re: UK inflation hits new high of 9.1% as food and energy price surge persists on: June 24, 2022, 02:23:57 PM
It's honestly depressing and keeps worsening month by month. I'm from Greece, and inflation reached 11.3% in May, the highest in 29 years. It's even worse than the UK and most European countries, to be precise. The average cost of Unleaded 95 petrol is even higher than UK's, ranging from €2.40-€2.50 and even reaching €2.70 in a few islands.

The war isn't coming to an end anytime soon, while it has also been used as a way of speculation to increase prices and never lower them ever again. At the same time, the average wage hardly exceeds €700 - €900 after taxes.
1669  Economy / Economics / Re: From Sideways to Downhill on: June 24, 2022, 12:30:41 PM
the solution in the current market situation is to keep an eye on and look for opportunities to enter carefully. using the DCA technique. we can pay in installments and also sell gradually when we make a profit. However, sometimes in a bear market, more people panic to sell and are afraid to buy.

The opportunity did come along right? peg at $17,500 for me that is the lowest low that we might see in this bear market as I don't predict that we can go lower than that (I might be wrong). But the point is, even if we are in a bear market and volatility is high, we can still make some adjustments on our investment. You can DCA or buy when the price goes down. No need to panic if you have been in this already because experience tells us that we will recover and bounce back again in the next bull run.
Surprisingly, it didn't stay at $17.500 for long and quickly bumped back to $19.000 - $20.000 within a couple of hours, something which I wasn't expecting. It's currently sitting at $20.160 and looks like it's crashing again (- 3.10% 24h). My bet is that it'll move towards $18.000 in the upcoming hours and probably stay in the range of $18.000 - $20.000 for quite some time.

Edit: And yup, 10 minutes later, and we're already well below $20.000 (- 5.10%).

And now we are above, but with so much volatility, I wouldn't be surprised if we are just going around this price and more of a sideway patterns in the next coming weeks.

As for the bottom price, yes, it's too early at $17k maybe next year it will go down hard again.

Perhaps this down turn we've seen is because of testimony of Fed chairman Powell as he didn't confirmed or deny and didn't give anything regarding the rampant inflation that the US is experiencing in the last decade.
An hour later after my post, it was already heading towards $21.000. The past few weeks have been extremely volatile, my best guess is that such volatility will continue for quite some time. At one point, I was certain that we were going to reach $15.000, however, it quickly recovered from $17.500. Although, it's way too quick to judge, because it could suddenly crash again, just like it happened a few days ago.

Despite the small recovery attempt today, one thing is for sure, it'll be a long and depressing winter. I hope I'm wrong.
1670  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 8 months low, no better time than now. on: June 23, 2022, 09:02:36 PM
Bitcoin is already low for 8 whole months. What a scary name of a topic. To bad people dont remember that after reaching a price of $20k in 2018, Bitcoin has been down for 2 years. 8 months, compared to this is still nothing. Everything depends on when you have bough your Bitcoins. Those who have bought it in 2017, dont understand what "low" are everyone talking about.
This might be scary for those who have bought at high prices but it is a golden opportunity who always wanted to buy bitcoin at lower prices.

Some people are still not buying at under 20,000$ as they are anticipating 15k or less.  It's better to buy now because when bitcoin will reach new highs over 70k, it will not matter much if you bought at 20k or 12-15k.
I think it is not "that" bad for the people who bought at a high price neither. I mean think about it, even if you bought at 68k, then if you could find some more money then you can buy at around 20k and drop your average to 40k, which we were at for so many months, and know that it is not that far off right now.

You can drop it even further if you buy more now than what you bought back in the peak times. Hence, the lower price is not ideal, it's bad, but it's not that bad for the people who did this as well. I believe that the best thing we could do right now would be to buy as much as we possibly can and without worrying about the situation and just hodl.
It's not the end of the world if you've purchased that high, we've been presented with quite a few opportunities the past few days (below $19.000) while it has pretty much stabilized at $19.000 - $21.000. Still though, someone who bought that high will have a hard time recovering his losses and acquiring profit, providing that Bitcoin returns to its former glory. Chances are, that the next two years will be quite depressing for cryptocurrencies.
1671  Economy / Economics / Re: Inflation will not fall to 2% target for two years, Fed's Mester says on: June 23, 2022, 07:25:49 PM
It is normal to not fall to those levels that quickly. In fact, it could even hurt you if it hurts that quickly, meaning if the prices stay that way and do not go up, the growth would be stopped and that would hurt the economy as well, nobody would make a profit.

Definitely 2% is great, but it is great when it is there forever, if you could lock it for the next 100 years that would be insanely great. But if you go to 7%+ and your gas prices increase to a whole new record levels, then making the inflation 2% again could hurt more than it helps. This is why it needs to be dropping small by small, lower and lower, which will make sure that eventually it will be there but since it has been a while, everyone will be ready.
That is correct, rapid deflation isn't healthy for the economy either. I highly doubt that it'll happen in 2 years as OP mentioned, a couple could possibly mean more than 3-4, which is a more realistic approach. As long as the war continues, we're going to have a huge burden on the economy, which is also susceptible to worsen in the future if action isn't taken with oil, wheat and electricity.
1672  Economy / Economics / Re: From Sideways to Downhill on: June 22, 2022, 08:40:02 PM
the solution in the current market situation is to keep an eye on and look for opportunities to enter carefully. using the DCA technique. we can pay in installments and also sell gradually when we make a profit. However, sometimes in a bear market, more people panic to sell and are afraid to buy.

The opportunity did come along right? peg at $17,500 for me that is the lowest low that we might see in this bear market as I don't predict that we can go lower than that (I might be wrong). But the point is, even if we are in a bear market and volatility is high, we can still make some adjustments on our investment. You can DCA or buy when the price goes down. No need to panic if you have been in this already because experience tells us that we will recover and bounce back again in the next bull run.
Surprisingly, it didn't stay at $17.500 for long and quickly bumped back to $19.000 - $20.000 within a couple of hours, something which I wasn't expecting. It's currently sitting at $20.160 and looks like it's crashing again (- 3.10% 24h). My bet is that it'll move towards $18.000 in the upcoming hours and probably stay in the range of $18.000 - $20.000 for quite some time.

Edit: And yup, 10 minutes later, and we're already well below $20.000 (- 5.10%).
1673  Economy / Economics / Re: LMAO: India resells Russian oil to the European Union. on: June 21, 2022, 08:51:29 PM
India should be the least of our concerns, to be honest. The United States and EU have created this situation by imposing stupid sanctions and bans creating huge revenue for Russia, while inflation is soaring in US and EU, with gas prices, electricity and groceries skyrocketing. The energy crisis had started since September, but the whole ordeal with the war and the imposed sanctions made it 50 times worse than it already was.

And the worst thing is that all this has just started. I won't be surprised if the prices go up much higher than the current levels. I expect crude oil trading at above $200 per barrel before the end of this year (both OPEC and the US shale oil producers have refused to increase their output). And I expect natural has to trade at higher than $2,000 per thousand cubic meters. The Russians will be happy, but they won't be able to make as much money as they would have liked due to the sanctions. The big gainers here are OPEC nations, such as Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates.
That's actually a prediction which has been rumored since the beginning of the war. Honestly, at this point I wouldn't be surprised, one thing is for sure, the condition is only going to get worse as the time passes by. Crude oil has been extremely volatile and little has been done to control the excessive prices. The following winter will be worse than the other two we had with Covid-19...
1674  Economy / Economics / Re: LMAO: India resells Russian oil to the European Union. on: June 20, 2022, 08:51:08 PM

What it is crazy about this situation is the fact energy prices are this high during summer in the north: Europe, USA, Canada...

I can't imagine how expensive energy will get once people won't have other option but pay to warm their houses up this year during the winter. Do you believe there is a chance USA/EU would withdraw some sanctions against Russian gas by winter? Or is it more likely USA/Germany would backpedal their plans to push green energy in favor of fossil during the winter? 
My heart skips a beat when thinking about the upcoming winter. I was reading an article earlier on The Guardian regarding the war, it mentioned that it could even last years, which means that the situation will only worsen in the future, to the point that it's stressing me out. Fuel prices are expected to rise even further with crude oil being extremely volatile, while the exchange rate of EUR/USD has severely shifted, having a huge impact on imports. Already working two jobs to be able to maintain myself and have some kind of purchasing power, but it's still not enough.
1675  Economy / Economics / Re: LMAO: India resells Russian oil to the European Union. on: June 20, 2022, 07:03:04 PM
^^^ Where did I lied?

I said that Russia is profiting out right now, because the oil-gas prices went up. And why did the oil and gas prices went up? When Trump was in power, crude oil was trading at $40 per barrel, and natural gas was trading at $60 per thousand cubic meters. Russian government was receiving around $10 billion per year at this point from the oil and gas sales.

When Biden became president, he implemented a series of policy changes and the oil prices went up to $120 per barrel and gas prices went up to $1,200 per thousand cubic meters. Russia is expected to make $200 to $300 billion this year from their exports, thanks to higher prices.

The reason why the Russian revenue went up is due to the fact that Biden regime helped to increase the gas and oil prices. India is an insignificant player in the global market to have any significant impact. Out of the 10.5 million barrels of crude oil that Russia produce every day, even now (at the peak), less than 10% goes to India. Out of the 540 billion cubic meters of gas they produce every year, less than 1% end up in India.

I have provided all the facts. You are just blaming India, because we are just an easy punching bag for you. Biden and EU are responsible for increased revenue inflow in to Russia, not India.  

And one more thing. Indian government has made this clear. We are ready to stop imports from Russia, in case alternate supplies are made available at the same cost.
India should be the least of our concerns, to be honest. The United States and EU have created this situation by imposing stupid sanctions and bans creating huge revenue for Russia, while inflation is soaring in US and EU, with gas prices, electricity and groceries skyrocketing. The energy crisis had started since September, but the whole ordeal with the war and the imposed sanctions made it 50 times worse than it already was.
1676  Economy / Economics / Re: Is there a place in the world you could live like a king via sig campaigns? on: June 19, 2022, 07:37:31 PM
Especially if you refer to the example you gave with $1500/week, that is already very extraordinary for those who live in Indonesia.
Right, but remember that the $1500/week is for 5 individuals who aren't a family and presumably wouldn't be pooling their money together for anything aside from house expenses.  But your point about the cost of living in Indonesia is well-taken, and I appreciate you relaying your experience with what sounds like living off the proceeds of a sig campaign.  I know there have to be quite a few members here who do just that, but I'll be damned if I know who they are.

The guy claimed to have stayed in a hotel-like accommodation with good and healthy food and all that cost him $5 a day. That leaves plenty of money for good wine, Cuban cigars, and other types of pleasures.
Somehow I doubt that--but then again I know absolutely nothing about Nepal.  I'd like to, though.  Do we have anybody here who either lives there or who's been there who could attest to what it's like?  And man, I wouldn't even be able to locate Nepal on a map without Googling it first (lol).
I suppose that we're talking per month not week as it's mentioned by the previous poster too. If yes, I'd be perfectly happy with $1.500/month and would live comfortably in Greece without even needing to work a day, it's at least enough for an individual or a couple. If I were to be placed on unemployment benefits, along with the signature earnings I'm receiving, I'd probably be able to live enough to survive but not have any purchasing power. I'm currently working two jobs + the signature campaign, and that money altogether is less than Chipmixer's maximum payment.
1677  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: THIS CRASH IS DIFFERENT than previous crashes... The FEDERAL RESERVE is why.... on: June 19, 2022, 03:39:00 PM
Banks offer a stable or floating rate for your investment/deposit every 3/6/12 months.
Yes, but it's not enough. Offering me ~3% in returns when there's a nearly 10% inflation in my country does only make me poorer.

Bitcoin on the other hand, doesn't guarantee you a certain percentage of performance, but the possibility to rise in the future.
And nobody guarantees you that the value of the dollar, the euro, the pound will continue as is. It might rise, it might fall. But, nobody knows for sure. Same goes for bitcoin. However, during the last 10 years, bitcoin has risen by more than 180% in every year, on average, while the fiat currency I use has a cumulative inflation of 18.58%, from 2012 to present.
3%? That's a lot, in the best case scenario the best you'd get is 0.50%-1%. No one can guarantee you anything, 10€ in 2012 isn't worth 10€ in 2022. Our purchasing power has been severely affected the past few months due to the rising inflation. Bitcoin on the other hand, despite the crash, is still worth more than it was worth in 2019-2020.

Staking in such cases can provide more guaranteed results in terms of investment, usually surpassing 10-15% APY. And could possibly balance inflation in a way.
1678  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: THIS CRASH IS DIFFERENT than previous crashes... The FEDERAL RESERVE is why.... on: June 19, 2022, 12:42:55 PM
Bitcoin has NEVER seen an era of rising interest rates and tight money before.  This time IS DIFFERENT !!!!!  Ignore this fact at your own risk
Higher interest rates favor the savers and disfavor the borrowers. It reduces, first, productivity and, later, consumption. However, I'm not sure there's a strict correlation between those two and bitcoin. Aren't many use bitcoin as savings and/or store of value?
It’s not correlated, because Bitcoin still outperforms any interest rate a bank could offer.

The people that would put their money into the bank for interest(for a loss because it still won’t outperform inflation), will be the people who buy Bitcoin last anyways. So i dont think it influences the demand side that much.

The only effect it would have, is that speculators can’t easily ape into Bitcoin or any other investments with borrowed money. Which would probably favor Bitcoin, because the market would be more hesitant to get into braindead projects or empty hypes. So higher interest rates could actually favor Bitcoin, and for sure won’t hurt it.

And as we saw now, it’s better for Bitcoin if people don’t leverage too much into it. We don’t need actors like celsius bringing down the whole market, because they gamble too much.
There's no reason to compare bank interests with Bitcoin's performance. Banks offer a stable or floating rate for your investment/deposit every 3/6/12 months. Bitcoin on the other hand, doesn't guarantee you a certain percentage of performance, but the possibility to rise in the future. It can't guarantee you that it'll earn its money. History has shown that the probabilities of recovery are decent, however, you're not earning an X amount per Y days/months. It's an asset similar to how stocks perform.

Don't get me wrong, bank's interest is close to zero and can't outperform the yearly inflation rate.
1679  Economy / Economics / Re: if you think 18k btc is low wait until autumn ... on: June 19, 2022, 07:47:49 AM
You might want to move this to the Speculation section, as it's more appropriate there.

As far as your prediction goes....people always start calling doomsday when prices sink and moonshot when they're going up.  Sometimes they're right, sometimes not.  Things are looking pretty dire at the moment, so who knows?  I certainly didn't think we'd be seeing bitcoin dip below $20k this year, but c'mon--this is bitcoin we're talking about.  Crazy-ass price swings have always been a part of the game.

Stay optimistic, all of you who are panicking. 
While I understand OP's concern, I also find his prediction a little over exaggerated. On the one hand, it's certainly going to drop even further in the upcoming weeks, no need to wait till Autumn, it's happening now. On the other hand, I also never expected it to drop that much, especially in such a small time period, but my expectation is that it won't drop below $10.000-$12.000. If it does, I'll be extremely disappointed, honestly.

History repeats itself, the exact same thing occurred in 2018 and I was devastated. I quitted the forum and abandoned Bitcoin altogether, I'm hoping that this time it's different.
1680  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 8 months low, no better time than now. on: June 18, 2022, 09:43:02 PM
Those who think that it's stupid time to buy despite the fact that bitcoin keeps dropping are wrong, no one can accurately predict the bottom, the best thing to do is to DCA, dollar cost average, no one can actually predict that bitcoin will reach the price it is today, as at few minutes ago it was trading at $17900, the price is totally unimaginable at this point in time
You can't actually know or predict where the bottom is, however, I believe that Bitcoin will crash even further the following days. I don't have the budget to purchase now, nor the patience to wait for a potential recovery in the distant future. Don't be surprised if it hits $15.000 in the upcoming 48 hours, don't rush too much to make purchases now, there's a high possibility that you can achieve a way lower price.
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