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Author Topic: Prediction Markets on Fairlay  (Read 21370 times)
FairlayBTCPredictions
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August 11, 2016, 06:18:09 PM
 #181

Well, here is the newest example for you, with the link to Fairlay market:


One of Bitfinex big questions: Will its token reach 1 USD?

After the August 2 hack, Bitfinex resumed its trading and withdrawals yesterday, so now most of the talk regarding this exchange market is about their previously issued Bitfinex tokens (BFX). These tokens are debt-based blockchain convertible to USD equity at Bitfinex exchange.

So, after every Bitfinex depositor took a 36% loss, he was credited with an equivalent number of BFX tokens representing the dollar value of the loss. Thus, $1 loss grants 1 BFX in return. Long term idea is that Bitfinex attempts to buy back those tokens as close to face value as possible.

Will 1 BFX reach 1 USD? Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/will-1-bfx-reach-1-usd/.


And after BFX opened at at $0.10 it rose to as much as $0.40. Currently it is traded around $0.30 and there is already a lot of talk is it the right time to sell as no one knows what will happen with BFX. Some are still scared that Bifinex could face bankruptcy, while others think it is smarter to wait.

Those deciding to wait think that Bitfinex will buy a lot of tokens through time and then redeem those left on the market. But what about the price? Will it go up to $1 in the future, or could even Bitfinex redeem remaining tokens after recovery (or regaining back lost funds) at price of $1?

Well, predict at Fairlay.
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August 12, 2016, 07:03:41 PM
 #182

Everyone is crazy about Rio, but who will host 2024 Olympic Games?

Whole world is watching Rio Olympics, as every hour we get another national but also world heroes. New records, new medals, and new sports for us to learn about. But it is also the right time to predict the 2024 Olympics host city that will be announced in September next year. We are now left with four options: Paris, Los Angeles, Rome, and Budapest.

Despite the recent terrorist attacks, Paris is still determined to push ahead with its bid to host the 2024 Olympics. The Paris bid, which is believed to have an infrastructure budget of $4.5 billion and operational costs of $4.8 billion, already has over 70 percent of its venues in place. And French also proved they can put on a show and cope with heightened security for athletes and spectators with the European Football Championships that took place in June and July.

And as the Paris is the first favorite, least chances are given to Budapest, though Budapest has announced a $2.7 billion budget to build their entire infrastructure, which would be on both sides of the Danube River and utilize existing iconic locations. It is also claiming support from many south and central European countries so could Budapest still prevail?

2024 Summer Olympics - Host City, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/2024-summer-olympics-host-city/.


On the other side of the ocean, Los Angeles mayor Eric Garcetti touted on Tuesday his city as the safest bet for organizers of the 2024 Olympic Games to make in choosing a location, with many of the sports venues needed for hosting the event already built in the city. He also noted that Los Angeles’ ties to the entertainment industry ought to help the IOC better reach out to a younger audience, a group that’s needed to carry on the Olympics tradition.

Things like that are not great in Rome where its bid for the 2024 Olympics is in serious trouble with the city's new mayor maintaining her opposition to the candidacy. “My position isn't changing. Right now it's really not a priority for Romans,” Virginia Raggi told Euronews at the end of June in her first interview since being elected for the Major of this city.

So, it looks like Rome could be first one out, but there is still more than a year until the host city is announced, so could things change in its favor? In fact, they already turned into Paris favor after Los Angeles was the hot favorite early on but some infrastructure problems reduced its chances. Anyway, we are still enjoying Rio Olympics, next one will be held in Tokyo and then where in 2024? Back in Europe or once again America, this time North? Predict now at Fairlay.
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August 15, 2016, 01:04:39 PM
 #183

Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton: How huge will their September debate be?

Things between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump couldn’t be more interesting, but they will surely get on top at their three presidential debates scheduled for September 26, October 9, and October 19 this year. On the other side, vice presidential debate is set for October 4.

Many are sure that the presidential debates will almost surely decide the election. History tells us that as well. A month ago it was confirmed that the first debate is moved to New York, home state of both candidates, so things got even
more interesting with this fact.

Will the first 2016 presidential debate be the most watched debate ever? Predict at:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/will-the-first-2016-presidential-debate-be-the-most-watched-debate-ever/.


And will this mean that it could be the most watched debate as well? The 1980 debates drew 80 million viewers out of a 226 million. Recent debates have drawn decidedly smaller audiences, ranging from 46 million for the first 2000 debate to a high of over 67 million for the first debate in 2012.

But, with Trump and Clinton in New York, the first debate this year will be the most interesting in recent years. So, it will surely go over 67 million for the one in 2012, but could be the most watched first debate in history of both television and debate? Predict right now at Fairlay.
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August 18, 2016, 04:36:28 PM
 #184

Aidan Turner, James Norton, Jack Huston, or someone else? Who will be the next James Bond?

In the last couple of years, since we found out that Daniel Craig will be replaced as James Bond, we got different favorites for this role every couple of months. From Tom Hardy to Idris Elba, and then Tom Hiddleston who won’t be picked by Barbara Broccoli to play James Bond, at least that was said by a spy thriller writer Frederick Forsyth.

So, who then? Well, the first favorite at the moment is still Aidan Turner, the 33-year old Irish actor who won legions of admirers for his role in BBC drama Poldark, who few days ago said: “I’d rather not say anything. It seems like it’s the Judas kiss – once you comment on it, it disappears. It’s hugely coveted. Let’s see how it goes.”

And Turner is probably right as his chances started to go down recently, and Poldark's star is now in close race with American Hustle's Jack Huston and Granchester's James Norton. But, no one is sure, thus you will get great odds if you guess right the next James Bond actor. And after that we can move our focus to the next Bond Girl.

Next James Bond, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/next-james-bond/.
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August 23, 2016, 12:49:32 PM
 #185

Emmy Awards: Will Game of Thrones and Veep dominate again, or The People v. O.J. Simpson and Fargo?

Evening of September 18 will bring us the 68th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards that will once again honor the best in U.S. prime time television programming in the year before. So, who will take the most awards this year?

Last year’s biggest winners are in prime position yet again, as Game of Thrones and Veep lead their respective fields in nominations. HBO’s drama snagged the most of any program with 23 nods, while the premium cable giant’s defending comedy champ led the half-hour series with 17.

Outstanding Drama Series, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/outstanding-drama-series/.


But it was FX who took control of the limited series categories, as The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story with 22 nominations and Fargo with 18 had the second and third most nominations overall. But, will they become awards?

Outstanding Comedy Series, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/outstanding-comedy-series/.


And as Game of Thrones and Veep are huge favorites to win the awards for the best Drama Series and Comedy Series, it is The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story with more chances to win the best Limited Series, with Fargo being the second favorite in this category.

Outstanding Limited Series, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/outstanding-limited-series/.


None of this four series have a nomination for a Lead Actor, either for Drama or Comedy. First favorite for Lead Actor in a Drama is Kevin Spacey as President Frank Underwood on House of Cards, while Jeffrey Tambor as Maura Pfefferman on Transparent is the big favorite to win the Lead Actor in a Comedy.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series/.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-comedy-series-1/.


Robin Wright as First Lady Claire Underwood could bring House of Cards another award as the Lead Actress in Drama Series, while Julia Louis-Dreyfus as President Selina Meyer on Veep should win the Lead Actress award for Comedy.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/outstanding-lead-actress-in-a-drama-series/.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/outstanding-lead-actress-in-a-comedy-series/.


Still, all of these are only the first favorites at the moment, while predicting some other nominees you can easily change that. What was your favorite television programming in the last year, and who are your favorites to take these awards?
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August 30, 2016, 07:02:53 PM
 #186

Who will be 2016 TIME Person of the Year? Harambe, Sanders, Trump, Bolt, Trudeau?

How our world changes can easily be seen if we go through the winners of TIME Person of the Year, which is an annual issue of the United States news magazine TIME that features and profiles a person, group, idea or object that "for better or for worse...has done the most to influence the events of the year".

In 1930 it was Mahatma Gandhi, eight years later Adolf Hitler, then U.S. Scientists in 1960, and The Computer in 1982, all way round to The Protester five years ago and Angela Merkel last year. But now, thanks to the prediction markets like this one Fairlay offers, we can see how the world changes within one year.

TIME Person of the Year, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/time-person-of-the-year/.


So, in April we were all almost sure that Hillary Clinton will be Person of the Year, and though she will probably be the next US President, she had so many problems since April that she is now given almost no chances. In fact, it is Bernie Sanders who is the second favorite, and he is followed by Donald Trump.

And how much only one event changes things shows the fact that the first favorite to be one the cover of TIME at the end of the year is Harambe, a gorilla shot and killed by staff at the Cincinnati Zoo after it grabbed and dragged the boy who fell into the moat, after climbing into Harambe’s enclosure.

But if you think that Harambe is not likely to win this award, or either Trump or Sanders, good chances are also given to Usain Bolt and Justin Trudeau who are loved by almost anyone. Or, you can go for anyone else, as we could get new heroes in the following months. So, who is your favorite for this TIME cover?
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August 31, 2016, 11:37:28 AM
 #187

it would be nice if you added bitcoin prediction and also some major forex pairs as the layout of your looks good. if you add some major forex pairs that would be nicer of you.

Thank you, for you suggestions, here is a brand new 'Bitcoin price on October 1' market for you, and you can always find few like this in Fairlay's Bitcoin section, and we'll look into adding some forex pairs markets as well. Also, you can always create your own markets via 'New market' field.


Bitcoin’s price is still in range between $565 and $585, but where will it go after that?

After few calm weeks, we are now heading towards a seasonal period that is more conducive to volatility in all financial markets, so could that affect big changes in Bitcoin price as well? Its price has been steady as a rock over the past couple of weeks as a consolidation range between $565 and $585 remained intact.

Currently, some analysists are saying that if the market can keep price above the $550 support zone we may be looking at the formation of a base pattern prior to an advance toward $680. They are also saying that the smart strategy in the current chart is to wait for price to advance above $600, since that will open the way to $680.

Bitcoin price on October 1, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/bitcoin-price-on-october-1/.


But, as always, there are plenty of other opinions of price going in difference directions. Though many think that it will not go lower as it didn’t after Bitfinex hack, while there are always those who think that it can go few hundreds up in the following weeks. And, are you among those who can use the knowledge in these predictions?

At ‘Bitcoin price on October 1’ Fairlay market you have five options and those least likely to happen are that it will go under $500, or over $650. With current price at $572, biggest chances are that it will stay in the range of $550 - $600, though it wouldn’t be big surprise to go a bit under or over that range. So, what do you predict?
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September 02, 2016, 11:52:06 AM
 #188

Hillary email archive is still a top story, but when will Julian Assange leave the Ecuadorian embassy?

Two years ago, Julian Assange’s press conference, at which he told an expectant world that he would be leaving the Ecuadorian embassy “soon”, induced yawns from the assembled hacks. And indeed, nothing happened. Weeks, months, years passed by and the founder of WikiLeaks is still staying in the embassy of Ecuador in London.

Julian Assange again got into the center of world attention as U.S. intelligence agencies are still sorting out how emails and documents from the Democratic National Committee made their way to WikiLeaks. With all of this, he even had a long video interview with The New York Times, but it still not sure when will he leave the UK.

Will Assange escape the UK before 2020? Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/will-assange-escape-the-uk-before-2020/.


As you probably know, Ecuador granted him asylum in August 2012, but as soon as he sets foot outside the building Britain will deport him to Sweden as the UK courts have ruled he must be sent to Sweden. And in Sweden, the most serious of the allegations he faced there, that of rape, will not expire until 2020.

And as the Ecuadorian authorities have stated that he can remain in the embassy as long as he wishes, Julian Assange still thinks that there is a real risk he will be extradited from Sweden to the US. But, it still wouldn’t be a surprise if he found ways to leave the UK before 2020, but will that really happen? Predict at Fairlay.
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September 05, 2016, 01:11:47 PM
 #189

Oscars 2017: Who will be the host and which movie will win the Best Picture?

For some it is only the start of September, but for others it is just the time to talk about Oscars contenders. This year 89th Academy Awards is scheduled to take place on February 26 and most favorites are still to be released but being one of Fairlay's most popular market it is never too early to predict which movie will win the Best Picture for this year.

The Oscars 2017 - Best Picture, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/the-oscars-2017-best-picture/.


At the moment, early favorite is the ‘La La Land’, Hollywood-set musical about the romance between a jazz pianist and an aspiring actress, with Ryan Gosling and Emma Stone in lead roles. It is directed by Damien Chazelle whose ‘Whiplash’ won three Oscars two years ago. But it is common that early favorite wins nothing later. But, this movie looks beautiful.

Second favorite is drama ‘Manchester by the Sea’ which involves Casey Affleck and was big Sundance success. Another Sundance sensation, and Grand Jury Prize winner, ‘The Birth of a Nation’ is also amongst the favorites, as well as ‘Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk’, story about a group of soldiers set during a salute to the soldiers at the football game.

Three movies with short titles ‘Fences’, ‘Loving’, and ‘Lion’, but with beautiful stories, are amongst those top seven on the first edition of Fairlay’s Best Picture market. Of course, you have option ‘Other’ if your favorite for the Best Picture is not amongst these seven movies. Anyway, choose wisely as all odds are great and right prediction brings the high value.

The Oscars 2017 - Host, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/the-oscars-2017-host/.


Another interesting early Oscars markets is who will be announced as a host of the following ceremony. At the moment, the first favorite is Kevin Hart, the star of many hit comedies who openly and repeatedly has begged for the job. And he is closely followed by Louis CK who last year impressed with his hilarious presentation of the best documentary short.

Still, Louis CK fan base is rather small, and because of this the comedy team of Keegan-Michael Key and Jordan Peele is the third favorite at the moment. Some other popular names like Amy Schumer, Justin Timberlake, Ricky Gervais, Chris Pratt, and Anna Kendrick are ranked high and you can get great odds if you guess right that any of them will be the host.
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September 07, 2016, 01:49:31 PM
 #190

Will the US Federal Reserve lift the rate in 2016?

As Financial Times explains, slower jobs growth and overseas hazards prompted the Federal Reserve in its recent statements to keep rates unchanged and trim back its longer-term interest rate forecasts, in a sign of greater caution.

The US central bank held the target range for the federal funds rate at 0.25 per cent to 0.5 per cent, where it has been since the Fed lifted rates by a quarter point from near-zero levels in December, as it assesses a mixed set of economic indicators.

US Federal Reserve to lift the rate in 2016? Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/us-federal-reserve-to-lift-the-rate-in-2016/.


The median of Fed forecasts suggested that policymakers were still expecting two interest rate increases this year, but not one happened till now, and traders are split on whether the Fed will raise rates even once this year.

"An increase is on the table" at the Fed's next meeting, on Sept 20-21, San Francisco Fed President John Williams told reporters recently. So, we will have to wait and see will this increase happen, and by then you can predict the outcome at Fairlay’s market.
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September 12, 2016, 03:15:03 PM
 #191

Oscars 2017: Who will be Best Director, and who will win the awards for Best Actor and Best Actress?

Last Monday, Fairlay put you on offer markets for the Best Picture and Announced Host of the 89th Academy Awards ceremony but this Monday it is time to add three other main categories: Best Director, Best Actor and Best Actress.

As for the Best Picture, ‘La La Land’ is still the first favorite but its director Damien Chazelle is the third favorite to win the award for directing. Ahead of him are Ang Lee for ‘Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk’ and Kenneth Lonergan for directing ‘Manchester by the Sea’. At the moment, they are both given the same chances to get Best Director award.

The Oscars 2017 - Best Director, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/the-oscars-2017-best-picture/.


Though its chances for Best Picture are not huge, drama ‘Manchester by the Sea’ could win few of the main awards as its lead actor Casey Affleck is the first favorite to win the Best Actor award. Given by the trailer, he did a great job.

But, Denzel Washington wants few awards as well. At the moment he is among six directors that are the main favorites for Best Director, but Denzel Washington is also the second favorite for the Best Actor awards as it looks like that he did great job on the movie ‘Fences’, both as a director and the main actor. Still, we have plenty of other options as well.

The Oscars 2016 - Best Actor, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/the-oscars-2017-best-actor/.


And how big ‘Manchester by the Sea’ could become shows the fact that its Michelle Williams is the first favorite for the Best Actress. Thus, with this she is confirming this drama as one of the biggest contenders to take the main awards.

Still, let’s not hurry as there are plenty of other great movies. ‘Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk’ is one of them and Kristen Stewart is amongst the favorites to win the Best Actress awards, as well as the likes of Naomie Harris (‘Moonlight’) Aja Naomi King (‘The Birth of a Nation’) Nicole Kidman (‘Lion’), and Dakota Fanning (‘American Pastoral’).

The Oscars 2017 - Best Actress, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/the-oscars-2017-best-actress/.


Oscars are not so far anymore, season of great movies is ahead of us so don’t miss the chance to use the great odds. And if you are more of a TV person, don’t miss the chance to place the predictions on the Sunday’s Emmy Awards.
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September 13, 2016, 03:36:45 PM
 #192

Man Booker Prize: Who will win it this year?

A shortlist for the Man Booker prize for Fiction, a literary prize awarded each year for the best original novel written in the English language and published in the UK, was announced today. It includes six titles, with few big names including JM Coetzee, AL Kennedy and Pulitzer winner Elizabeth Strout out after judges’ agonizing and exhilarating rereading.

If you are not similar with it, the winner of the Man Booker Prize is generally assured of international renown and success; therefore, the prize is of great significance for the book trade. Thus it is greeted with great anticipation and fanfare, and it is also a mark of distinction for authors who are selected for inclusion in the shortlist.

Man Booker Prize 2016 - Winner, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/man-booker-prize-2016-winner/.


After shortlist was announced this morning, British author Deborah Levy, who was shortlisted for the Booker in 2012 for Swimming Home, became the first favorite for the win with her novel ‘Hot Milk’, an examination of female rage, sexuality and the bond between mother and daughter. Still, it is not a huge favorite and any other writer could prevail.

American author Paul Beatty is a second favorite for his satire about a man who tries to reintroduce slavery and segregate the local high school, ‘The Sellout’. He is followed by Canadian-born writer David Szalay’s ‘All That Man Is’, and Scottish writer Graeme Macrae Burnet’s story of murder in a 19th-century named ‘His Bloody Project’.

Last two shortlisted are Canadian Madeleine Thien’s ‘Do Not Say We Have Nothing’, and a debut novel from the American writer Ottessa Moshfegh, who at 35 is the youngest author on the shortlist for her psychological thriller ‘Eileen’. So, who is your favorite? You have until October 25 to choose wisely and predict the winner at Fairlay.
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September 14, 2016, 12:35:23 PM
 #193

Days of Hillary Clinton: Can she become the President, does she really has pneumonia, will she be indicted?

Few weeks ago, after defeating Bernie Sanders and taking big lead in the polls over Donald Trump, everything looked great for Hillary Clinton. But everything soon changed. So, can she turn around that negative change in her favor, or will all the different problems surrounding Hillary help Donald Trump to become the next President after all?

Next President, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/next-president-11/.


This morning the news came that Trump has 5-point lead in Bloomberg poll of battleground Ohio, and at RealClearPolitics polls Hillary’s lead is now at +2.1, which lowest since August 1. This came as a result as Hillary Clinton’s health became a real issue in the presidential campaign, after she felt ill during 9/11 memorial service in New York.

Is Clinton diagnosed with Parkinson? Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/is-clinton-diagnosed-with-parkinson/.


Soon after that Clinton’s campaign issued a statement from her doctor revealing that she had been diagnosed with pneumonia two days earlier. Still, plenty of people, even some doctors, speculated that it is not just pneumonia, but that Hillary has Parkinson's Disease. Of course, also came speculations that she will resign even if she becomes President.

Will Hillary Clinton resign when she is president? Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/will-hillary-clinton-resign-when-she-is-president/.

Health problems put a bit of shadow on her emails problems. Could Hillary Clinton really be indicted over her emails, has been one of the burning questions for months and though both she and plenty expert opinion from the start said it’s not going to happen, huge amount of voters disagreed with the FBI’s decision not to indict Hillary at the time.

Hillary Clinton will be indicted in 2016, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/hillary-clinton-will-be-indicted-in-2016-1/.

All in all, with presidential election being less than two months away, Hillary is not at the great position right now. But, Donald Trump wasn’t either few weeks ago and he found ways to calm the situation and use Hillary’s bad period. So, what will follow next? Is it really just a pneumonia, is FBI done with Hillary, and can she become the next President?
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September 15, 2016, 01:54:39 PM
 #194

Who will be next U.N. Secretary-General? Antonio Guterres leads for now but who else can prevail?

United Nations headquarters in New York is abuzz with rumors about the organization’s future leadership. The race to replace Ban Ki-moon as secretary-general next year is entering its final straightaway, but it looks like there will be some serious twists before it is complete. So, who will it be in the end?

Next U.N. Secretary-General, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/next-u-n-secretary-general-1/.


Member states have from the start of this race been open about preferring a female candidate and with Eastern Europe being the only region not yet to produce a U.N. Secretary-General, the expectation at the start of the race was that we might see a female U.N. Secretary-General from the region.

However, Irina Bokova, the Bulgarian Director-General of UNESCO and the only candidate to meet both criterias, is now trailing in the polls while the hope of having a new female leader (from any UN member state) is starting to become a long shot. Even Helen Clark, early favorite, is trailing in the polls.

Woman to be the next U.N. Secretary-General, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/woman-to-be-the-next-u-n-secretary-general-1/.


About the election itself, it is important to know that the Security Council will hold secret ballots until a consensus is reached on a candidate to replace Ban Ki-moon. We have recently received the results of the fourth straw poll and there are 10 hopefuls left vying to replace Ban Ki-moon. You can see the results of the voting HERE.

So, at the moment, the first favorite is Antonio Guterres, former Portuguese Prime Minister, and he is followed by Slovak Foreign Minister Miroslav Lajcak. Irina Bokova and Vuk Jeremic, former Serbian Foreign Minister, are also ranked high but the following vote could change a lot. And before that happens place bet on your favorite at Fairlay.
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September 16, 2016, 03:47:48 PM
 #195

BBC SPOTY 2016 Winner: Will it be Andy Murray, Mo Farah, Laura Trott, or someone else?

The BBC Sports Personality of the Year Award is one of the main sports awards in the United Kingdom, and it is given each December. The winner is the sportsperson, judged by a public vote, to have achieved the most that year. The recipient must either be British or reside and play a significant amount of their sport in the United Kingdom.

Four people have won the award more than once: boxer Henry Cooper, Formula One drivers Nigel Mansell and Damon Hill and tennis player Andy Murray have each won twice. But can 2016 change that as Andy Murray is once again the first favorite, after winning it last year, and this year could become the only person who won the SPOTY three times.

BBC SPOTY 2016 Winner, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/bbc-spoty-2016-winner/.


But, it wouldn’t be a surprise if Andy Murray on December 18 gets less votes (the shortlist is announced a few weeks before the award ceremony, and the winner is determined on the night by a public telephone and on-line vote) than the currently second favorite Mo Farah who is the 2016 Olympic gold medalist in both the 5000 m and 10,000 m.

It is similar with Laura Trott who won both the team pursuit and the omnium at 2016 Games. And the fourth favorite is currently Nick Skelton who, at the age of 58, won the Individual Olympic gold medal at his seventh Olympic Games. All others, like Jamie Vardy and Lewis Hamilton, are given much less chance. So, who do you predict as a SPOTY winner?
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September 19, 2016, 01:23:12 PM
 #196

Oil investors are cutting wagers on both falling and rising crude prices, but where will it be at the end of the year?

A barrel of Brent Crude Oil is up to $46, though clashes in Libya delayed the first crude shipment from the country's Ras Lanuf export terminal since 2014. On the other side, Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro said that OPEC and non-OPEC countries are close to an agreement to stabilize markets ahead of an informal meeting in Algiers next week.

The uncertainty ahead of that meeting has seen oil investors head for the sidelines, cutting wagers on both falling and rising crude prices. The meeting comes after the International Energy Agency said that the global oversupply will last longer than previously thought as demand growth slows and output proves resilient. What will this meeting bring?

End of the year price of Crude Oil, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/end-of-the-year-price-of-crude-oil-1/.


So, there’s more uncertainty than usual in the market because of the upcoming meeting. People are waiting for the outcome and a number think this is a good time to stand on the sidelines. But, on the other side, it could be the good time to predict what will this meeting bring and use the first good odds on the range of the end of the year Oil price.

In the meantime, OPEC production rose last month as Middle East producers opened the taps, the IEA said. Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates pumped at or near record levels and Iraq pushed output higher, according to the agency. Does this mean rise in Crude Oil price over $50 by the end of the year? Well, use bitcoins to predict it at Fairlay.
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September 21, 2016, 12:03:30 PM
 #197

Bitcoin is again under $600, but where will it be on November 1?

Bitcoin had rather fall today around midnight (UTC) as its price dropped from $607 to $592. Still, it is not as near as scary as that drop from $655 from July 30 to $552 three days later.

So, in those few days prices fell close to 20% to start the month, a steep decline that coincided with the hack of Hong Kong-based bitcoin exchange Bitfinex, one of the most heavily traded on the network globally.

But as the news of the improvement as Bitfinex came, price started to go up and Bitcoin was still at around $600 since the start of September. Now many ask what will happen next and where will price go from here?

Bitcoin price on November 1, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/bitcoin-price-on-november-1/.


Few days ago, Chris Burniske, blockchain products lead for investment manager ARK Invest, emphasized for CoinDesk that the bitcoin's blockchain retained its security and functionality in spite of the Bitfinex hack.

Thus it was once again confirmed that in spite of recent Bitfinex hack and many other difficulties in Bitcoin community, market participants should keep in mind that bitcoin has survived many challenges before. And will in future.

But where will Bitcoin price go from here? As always there are those who are sure it will go over $1000 in a couple of months, those who think it will keep $600, and those pessimistic ones. What is your opinion? Predict it at Fairlay.
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September 26, 2016, 02:26:30 PM
 #198

Will tonight’s debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump be the most watched debate ever?

It's debate night in America as the first debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump takes place tonight in New York, beginning at 9 p.m. Easter Time. The sheer stakes and spectacle of it all mean a lot of people are predicting record viewership. And record in this case means that at least 80.7 million viewers should watch tonight’s debate.

The viewership record could be set as the 90-minute debate could draw up to 100 million viewers. Thus, stakes are high for news organizations, which have an opportunity to set the record straight and to budge the presidential discussion ono the level ground of established facts. But, will this debate indeed go in history as the most watched debate ever?

Will the first 2016 presidential debate be the most watched debate ever? Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/will-the-first-2016-presidential-debate-be-the-most-watched-debate-ever/.


Surely, millions of Americans will be glued to their TVs tonight, 54 years after Senator John F. Kennedy and Vice President Richard Nixon squared off in the first televised presidential debate. Though, you should have in mind that online streaming sources are not included in Nielsen report that is source for resolving this viewership record.

In recent years, the public has tuned into the presidential debates in record numbers. According to Nielsen, six of the top 10 most-watched debates in history occurred within the last three election cycles. Five occurred in just the last two. But, in 1980 Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan set a still-standing presidential debate record with 80.6 million viewers.

And many think that, based on how much TV viewing has changed, that record’s unlikely to ever fall — even with the unusual anticipation building for this Trump vs. Clinton debate. But again, with entertainment value of Donald Trump others are sure that TV history will be made tonight. So, on which side are you? And, of course, predict it at Fairlay.
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September 29, 2016, 05:39:02 PM
 #199

WWE Royal Rumble 2017 Match: Who will win it this time? Seth Rollins, Brock Lesnar, John Cena, someone else?

One of the most exciting events annually, held every January, in WWE is without question the WWE Royal Rumble. Not only is it arguably the most unique and storied match type in the company and maybe even in all of pro wrestling, but there is also the chance to see 30 superstars duke it out and to see the many other surprises and also some returns.

Those returns are now even more possible by holding the WWE Royal Rumble in Los Angeles for 2017, as that opens the door for both big celebrities to make appearances and also for the former superstars that have now taken residence in the big city to return as well. But could some of them even make a surprise win in the 30-man Royal Rumble match?

WWE Royal Rumble 2017 Match, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/wwe-royal-rumble-2017-match/.


After Triple H won it in Florida last year, first favorite to win it this year in California is Seth Rollins who is still without the win at Royal Rumble. But his chances are not huge, and the close second favorite is Brock Lesnar who lost last year after being the first favorite, though he was the youngest Royal Rumble winner when winning it in Boston in 2003.

John Cena is one of those legend that is always amongst the favorites, though after 2008 he won again in 2013, so is it too soon for him to win it again this year? But it could be the first time win for Irish Finn Balor, who is currently in front of the names like Roman Reigns, Kevin Owens, or AJ Styles. So, who is your favorite to become the hero on January 22?
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October 06, 2016, 12:28:20 PM
 #200

Nobel Peace Prize is announced tomorrow. Who will win it? White Helmets, Greek Islanders, Angela Merkel?

A record number of people and organizations have been nominated for the 2016 Nobel peace prize, which will be announced on Friday, 11 a.m. CET time. This year 376 candidates – 228 individuals and 148 organizations – are in contention for the award. A day before the winner is announced, many give the biggest chances to two different group of people that influenced conflict in Syria the most in the previous year: White Helmets and Greek Islanders.

During the past five years of war in Syria, the White Helmets, a group of volunteer rescue workers, have run towards bombs in opposition-held areas to rescue tens of thousands – by some estimates, as Guardian writes, up to 60,000 people – from the ruins and battlefields. There has been no more dangerous place in the world to be a first responder for most of that time. At the same time, group made up of pre-war Syria’s middle classes, have lost 160 of their own.

2016 Nobel Peace Prize Winner. Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/2016-nobel-peace-prize-winner/.


On the other side, if the islanders of Greece win this year’s Nobel peace prize it will not be because any of them wanted to. On the frontline of the biggest movement of humanity in modern times, the residents of Lesbos – to name but one of the isles – were nominated for opening their homes to Syrian refugees despite the economic hardship they have been forced to endure with Greece’s economic near-collapse. Because of this, many see them at the Nobel Prize winner.

Behind these two groups are two persons, though with much less chances: Congolese doctor Denis Mukwege - also nominated last year - for his work with thousands of rape victims, and Nadia Murad, a Yazidi who was abducted by IS fighters and held for months as a sex slave. Though, with a Russian human rights activist Svetlana Gannushkina, Angela Merkel, Pope Francis also seen by some as winners, option ‘Other’ at Fairlay is a smart choice. So, who is your favorite?
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