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Author Topic: Prediction Markets on Fairlay  (Read 21370 times)
FairlayBTCPredictions
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January 06, 2016, 05:22:11 PM
 #41

Guns N' Roses to play at Reading / Leeds 2016 Festival – YES OR NO?

First big music news in 2016 is the confirmation of the Guns N’ Roses Reunion as Axl Rose, Slash and Duff McKagan will play together at the Coachella Music & Arts Festival in April. We still lack more details about this reunion between Axl Rose, and Slash and McKagan who exited the band in 1993 but it surely a great news.

With this, there is a lot of speculation what will happen after Coachella and will they perform as well on some other Festivals. For now, the biggest chance for their Europe Reunion to happen is at Reading / Leeds Festival in August and thus you can now place your bets at Fairlay if you think they will actually perform there:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/guns-n-roses-to-play-at-reading-leeds-2016-festival/.


Guns N' Roses to play at Wembley before end of 2017 – YES OR NO?

There are also speculations that Axl and Slash could even go to the studio to record some new tracks and thus is would be a complete reunion. Still, we don’t now if they even talked with each other yet or this reunion was arranged by an army of lawyers and managers.

Anyway, if this reunion is a real thing and not a one-time gig (like Led Zeppelin did in 2007 and never after), they could easily follow with some studio work, more festivals and even a huge concert at Wembley. So, if you think that Guns N' Roses will play at Wembley before end of 2017 you can find great odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/guns-n-roses-to-play-at-wembley-before-end-of-2017/.
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FairlayBTCPredictions
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January 08, 2016, 06:17:04 PM
 #42

To win the 2016 Nobel Prize in Literature – Murakami or someone else?

For the last few year, Japanese writer Haruki Murakami was the biggest favorite to win the Nobel Prize in Literature but he never won in. This October we will get new Nobel literature laureate and popular Murami is once again the biggest favorite.

But once again he could be skipped and for the time being second favorite is a Kenyan writer Ngugi Wa Thiong'o, while good chances are also given to an America writer Joyce Carol Oates. And if you don’t trust in any of them, odds on authors like Philip Roth, Adunis, Ismail Kadare, Jon Fosse, or any other you can find at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/to-win-the-2016-nobel-prize-in-literature/


To win the 2016 Nobel Peace Prize – is it time for Angela Merkel?

Barack Obama won the Nobel Peace Prize in 2009, whole European Union in 2012, Tunisian National Dialogue Quartet last year but now we have the question who will win it this year? At the moment most people think that it should be Angela Merkel and there is no need to say why would she need to win it.

But if you don’t think that Merkel will become Nobel laureate, then the second favorite is a global civil society coalition International Campaign To Abolish Nuclear Weapons. It is followed by Pope Francis and if you have some other favorites, then you can find all the odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/to-win-the-2016-nobel-peace-prize/
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January 11, 2016, 03:57:49 PM
 #43

Dilma Rousseff to remain president of Brazil through 2016 – YES OR NO?

In 2011 Dilma Rousseff became Brazil’s first female president but less than five years later she is becoming the most hated president in Brazil's history. In the last few months thousands of protesters took to the streets across Brazil as at the same time Dilma's government struggles to lift the economy from its most severe crisis in decades.

Last week economists forcasted that Brazil heads for the worst recession since 1901, as Latin America’s largest economy could shrink 2.95 percent this year. So Brazil’s policy makers are struggling to control the fastest inflation in 12 years without further hamstringing a weak economy, and New Finance Minister didn't change much since December.

With all of this there is no doubt that protesters will continue to demand the ouster of President Dilma Rousseff. She already faces impeachment proceedings but they could drag for months so at the moment she is still slightly favored to survive (the next presidential election is in 2018) so if you are against her (or for her) you can find good odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/dilma-rousseff-to-remain-president-of-brazil-through-2016/.
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January 12, 2016, 06:59:35 PM
 #44

House Of Cards – To be the Next President

Two days ago, we got the TRAILER for the last season of the “House of Cards” TV series and with it we cannot wait anymore for the new season to be released on the Netflix. Actually, we have to wait, as we will get our new 13 episodes on March 4, 2016. But at least, we will get them all at once and as soon as possible we will know who will be the Next President.

“They say we get the leaders we deserve, I think America deserves Frank Underwood. And in your heart, you know I'm right,“ says Frank Underwood (played by Kevin Spacey) at the end of that last trailer and he is really the main favorite for the Next President. But this great series gave us some exciting twists so could someone else as the Next President be the new one?

Could Clare Underwood make her revenge in the best way possible, or could the Next President be Hector Mendoza who is potential Republican candidate and thus second favorite at the moment. Democratic candidate is Heather Dunbar and you also have great odds for other options if you think huge surprise is possible. It is fiction but superb fiction so bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/house-of-cards-to-be-the-next-president-1/.
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January 13, 2016, 07:30:08 PM
 #45

Donald Trump to win the first four states – Is it really possible?

Few weeks ago, we were discussing will Donald Trump win any Republican Party presidential primaries and caucuses, and now people are already talking how many will he win. Even before there was opinion that everything is possible if Donald Trump opens with the win in Iowa, or even follows it with another one in New Hampshire.

Thus, you now have new Donald Trump market and you have great odds if you believe in him. It is about Trump winning the presidential primaries and caucuses in the first four states: Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada. Can he really do it, or is everyone exaggerating his chances? We will find out in February, and until then bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/donald-trump-to-win-first-four-states/.
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January 15, 2016, 02:19:28 PM
 #46

Razzies – Who are the biggest movie losers of the year?

The 88th Academy Awards ceremony will on February 28, 2016 honor the best films of 2015 and with the recent nominations Oscars are trending topic but right now we are interested February 27 – Oscar eve. That is the date when the 36th Golden Raspberry Awards will be held, awards that nobody wants to win as they honor the worst the film industry had to offer in the previous year.

Two days ago we got this year’s nominations revealed and all five films up for Worst Picture at this year's Awards are big budget productions that have no excuse for being among the year's "berry" worst. Still, they are there and you have an open market which movie will get Award for Worst Picture. Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2, Fifty Shades of Grey, Fantastic Four, Pixels, or Jupiter Ascending? Bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/razzies-worst-picture/.

Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2 is so horrible that is not only the first favorite for the Worst Picture but its Kevin James is also the main favorite for the Worst Actor Award. But it won't be an easy job for him to win it as some other popular actors are nominated as well: Adam Sandler for two movies (The Cobbler and Pixels), Johnny Depp for Mortdecai, and Jamie Dornan for Fifty Shades of Grey, and Channing Tatum for Jupiter Ascending. Who do you prefer? Bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/razzies-worst-actor/.

Yes, you are right. Fifty Shades of Grey was so awful that it also got nomination for the Worst Actress Award but Dakota Johnson is a second favorite at the moment, as Katherine Heigl for Home Sweet Hell has the biggest chances. Other nominations are popular and beautiful Jennifer Lopez for The Boy Next Door, Mila Kunis for Jupiter Ascending, and Gwyneth Paltrow for Mortdecai. They were all beautiful but who do you think was the worst? Bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/razzies-worst-actress/.
FairlayBTCPredictions
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January 18, 2016, 06:17:43 PM
 #47

2016 Summer Olympics – Who will win most gold medals?

Today we are left with 200 Days more till the start of the 2016 Summer Olympics in Rio de Janeiro, so it is time to create first market for the main sporting event of this year. As usually, you are free to suggest any markets you would like to see when it comes to the winners of specific sports and disciplines.

For the start, you have the most general market about who will win most gold medals in Rio. After they won 46 gold medals in London 2012, most people think that hardly anyone can compete with the USA Olympic Team, so it is not surprise that the United States are the first favorite to win most gold medals.



Still, with 38 gold medals won in London, China Olympic Team is the one who could make a surprise winning most gold. They already did that at domestic Olympics in Beijing 2008 when they won 51 gold medals. They are second favorite, while there is almost no chances that any other country, even Russia or United Kingdom, could threaten USA and China.

All in all, with the respect to all the other countries, in the end it could be close battle between USA and China, and if you have your opinion who will be the winning nation at 2016 Olympics, you can already find your odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/country-to-win-most-gold-medals/.
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January 19, 2016, 06:30:58 PM
 #48

BAFTAs 2016 – Will ‘The Revenant’ be the big winner?

Two weeks before Oscars we will have another movie awards introduction with the 69th British Academy Film Awards, more commonly known as the BAFTAs. The nominees were announced ten days ago, with ‘Bridge of Spies’ and ‘Carol’ both having the most nominations at nine each. But there is only one question, will ‘The Revenant’ be the big winner?



BAFTAs 2016 - Best Film
 
But though it could win it, ‘The Revenant’ is not the first favorite for the Best Film of the year, as the biggest chances are given to the ‘Spotlight’. Still, it means that you have better odds if you bet on ‘The Revenant’, while also great ones if you believe that ‘The Big Short’, ‘Bridge of Spies’, or even ‘Carol’. You have your favorite so bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/baftas-2016-best-film/


BAFTAs 2016 - Best Director

As for the Best Director award, the first favorite is Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu with ‘The Revenant’, while the second one is Ridley Scott with ‘The Martian’. Adam McKay for ‘The Big Short’ has solid chances, while you have superb odds if you think Steven Spielberg for ‘Bridge of Spies’, or Todd Haynes for ‘Carol’ could win it. So bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/baftas-2016-best-director/



BAFTAs 2016 - Best Actor

You have also great odds, if you think that the award for the Best Actor could go for anyone who is not Leonardo DiCaprio (‘The Revenant’). Other nominations are Eddie Redmayne (‘The Danish Girl’), Michael Fassbender ( ‘Steve Jobs’), Matt Damon (‘The Martian’), and Bryan Cranston (‘Trumbo’), all with the huge odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/baftas-2016-best-actor/


BAFTAs 2016 - Best Actress

A bit more interesting are nominations for the Best Actress, though Brie Larson is rather favorite for her role in the ‘Room’, while she is followed with the young Saoirse Ronan for the lead role in ‘Brooklyn’. And if you trust Cate Blanchett (‘Carol’), Alicia Vikander (‘The Danish Girl’), or Maggie Smith (‘The Lady in the Van’) find your odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/baftas-2016-best-actress/


All in all, when it comes to the movies awards, February is all but boring, and you also have enough time to watch the movies and give your opinions on these or similar markets that could be created. So which one would you like to see?
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January 19, 2016, 10:51:57 PM
 #49

Assuming that bitcoin remains the most popular token to run the blockchain and transaction volumes continue to rise, the next few years should be spectacular for the price of bitcoin.

While 2015 was a relatively calm year for the price, it seems likely that 2016 will be much more action-packed with the block halving next summer, where the amount of bitcoins awarded to miners roughly every 10 minutes will be cut in half.

We’ve laid down the tracks so to speak, allowing for there to be more confidence than ever before that bitcoin is, and can continue to be, a credible store of value.

With this in mind, I’ve decided to offer another price prediction for next year since I had some luck for this year. I believe bitcoin will surpass $500 by the middle of the year and average out to a $650 price range in the second half of the year.

Of course, there are too many unknown factors when predicting price to know with any certainty, but the maturing infrastructure has lead me to believe that next year will be an exciting one for investors.

Still, many of bitcoin’s best days come in reaction to world crises in places like Greece, China, and Argentina, meaning at the end of the day, there's no predicting where the price could go.

As we continue to patch up leaks in the global economy’s sinking ship, I have to wonder will 2016 also be the year we are reminded of why Satoshi created bitcoin in the first place.
FairlayBTCPredictions
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January 20, 2016, 07:11:53 PM
 #50

As we continue to patch up leaks in the global economy’s sinking ship, I have to wonder will 2016 also be the year we are reminded of why Satoshi created bitcoin in the first place.

Yes, you are so right. With all of this and few more interesting Bitcoin projects, this is surely gonna be an important year. Thus, through the time, you will have different markets in connection with the trending topic in the Bitcoin community.


And, as for the time being, with the nominations, you also have once again all the main six Oscars markets so you can now find even better odds. No matter if you trust in DiCaprio or Spotlight, or even movies like Room or Brooklyn, you can find something you would like to bet on at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/event/category-decimal/news/oscars/all/

But to be honest, after watching all the movies, Leonardo DiCaprio and Brie Larson are the main favorites for reason, Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu as director as well, though the Best Picture category is far from sure. So, what are you opinions on Oscars, and would you like to see some other Oscars markets as well?
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January 25, 2016, 02:02:11 PM
 #51

Iowa caucuses - 7 days to go, Who will win them?

We are seven days away from the start of the long season of the US Presidential Election primaries and caucuses, both for the Republicans and Democrats. And it all starts in Iowa next Monday with the caucuses for both parties, that will be followed by the primaries in New Hampshire. But who will win them and thus make a great start, considering the influence of the opening results?

Few months ago it was a huge question who has chances among Republicans but how time easily changes a lot of that, shows the fact that today Donald Trump is by far the first favorite with only Ted Cruz having chances to defeat him in Iowa. Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Ben Carson are almost without any chances so the only question at the moment is do you or do you not trust Trump. And then bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-iowa-republican-caucus/.

And for all of you who trust (or do not) Donald Trump you still have an open market if he will win the first four states that you can find here: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-iowa-republican-caucus/.

When it comes to the results of Democrats in Iowa, things didn't change as much in the previous months, so it is still a tight race between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, with others being just formal candidates. Though Sanders' chances are raising a bit, Clinton is still the first favorite but no matter which one of them you support, you have rather strong odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-iowa-democratic-caucus/.

Anyway, we are heading towards some interesting weeks so you can also propose other markets that you would like to see.
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January 26, 2016, 06:38:46 PM
 #52

Price of Crude Oil – Which trend will it follow?

One of the recent trending topics is that about the price of the crude oil that has been going down for the last year and a half, but even more in the last few weeks. From 37.28 USD/bbl. at the end of the year down to the 27.88 USD/bbl. on January 20. After going up to 32.18, it is currently at 30.50 so it is interesting to see which trend will it follow.

Currently, there is a talk about the six factors that will determine price of oil in 2016, from US production rates to OPEC’s inscrutable strategy. Also production and consumption of Saudi Arabia, Iran, China, and Russian should influence a lot. So it is still a big question will the price be able to stay in the $20 range that is considered to be inexpensive.

Price of Crude Oil to be Under $30.50 on April 1 – Bet at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/price-of-crude-oil-to-be-under-30-50-on-april-1/.

So, now you have an open market to predict will the price of crude oil be under or over $30.50 on April 1. So considering which trend and factors you believe in, you have good odds if you place your bets right now.

End of the year price of Crude Oil, in which range will it be – Bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/end-of-the-year-price-of-crude-oil/.

So, at the moment it looks like the price at the end of the year should stay in the range of $25 - 49.99, but for you who think that it could go even lower you have great odds for the end of the year price of under $25, or for any above $50, especially those over $75, though it is hard to believe that price of oil could go back so easily. But, with oil you never know. Or, do you?
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January 27, 2016, 03:31:00 PM
 #53

Michael Bloomberg to run for a president – Could this really happen?

Few months ago there were talks that Donald Trump would run as a third party candidate if he doesn't get Republican nominations and thus would (taking away his votes from the Republicans) help Democrats win the Presidential election. But, with Trump getting more popular, things have changed and now we could get a similar situation on the other side.

In the recent weeks talks started that Michael Bloomberg (business magnate, politician, and philanthropist) could run for a president and thus take the votes away from the Democratic candidate. It is possibly true that with this talks he wants to make Democrats to choose Hilary Clinton instead of Bernie Sanders in the following primaries.

So, if Trump starts to win Republican primaries and Sanders makes a surprise against Hilary, there are rather good chances that Michael Bloomberg could run for a president and maybe even decide the following elections in Trump's favor. With those unknowns, chances that he would run are still rather small but those who believe in that have great odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/michael-bloomberg-to-run-for-a-president/

Anyway, recent reports connected with his friends say that he will decide on presidential run in the first week of March so you have few weeks more to analyze this and place a bet. Till then, you can also suggest what kinds of markets you would like to see in the future, or give your opinion on the Presidential Election markets already created HERE.
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February 01, 2016, 03:50:00 PM
 #54

Will Puerto Rico go bankrupt in 2016?

As Puerto Rico faces more than $400 million in debt service due in May and another $1.9 billion due in July, Senate Democrats sent two days ago a united message to Majority Leader Mitch McConnell: Allow Puerto Rico to declare bankruptcy on its massive $72 billion debt.

“We urge you to commit to working with us to swiftly enact legislation to give Puerto Rico access to appropriate restructuring tools,” said a letter to McConnell that was signed by all 44 Senate Democrats and two independents -- Maine’s Angus King and presidential hopeful Bernie Sanders. This is the only way Puerto Rico can avert a “growing financial and social catastrophe,” the group’s letter warned.

So, once again we have an open discussion about bankruptcy of Puerto Rico, though on the Senate side, McConnell has been silent, thus ignoring the near total economic collapse of a territory with 3.5 million U.S. citizens. Still, chances for Puerto Rico to bankrupt in 2016 are getting bigger and now you have an open market on Fairlay as well:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/puerto-rico-to-bankrupt-in-2016/.
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February 02, 2016, 02:45:18 PM
 #55

New Hampshire primaries – Trump and Sanders or another surprise?

Okay, Trump lost Iowa but what now? A lot of people think that losing to Ted Cruz could even favor Trump in the long run as having strong Cruz will help him deal more easily with Marco Rubio later on. But what about Rubio? He was strong third in Iowa, stronger than anyone thought, and even earlier he was given solid chances in New Hampshire.

So, New Hampshire should once again confirm Rubio as a strong candidate for the Republican nomination but is he able to win it? His chances are much bigger than Cruz’s but Trump is still a strong first favorite. But Trump was also strong favorite in Iowa and he lost it so… What are your opinions on New Hampshire primaries? Find current odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-new-hampshire-republican-primary/
 
When it comes to Democrats, it is almost sure that Bernie Sanders will win New Hampshire as it is one of his home turfs, as he is only stronger in his own Vermont. But Iowa is also considered one of his home turfs and he was still even with Hillary, so could Hillary make a huge surprise and defeat him in New Hampshire? You have great odds for that at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-new-hampshire-democratic-primary/

All in all, it is getting more and more interesting and February 9 and New Hampshire primaries couldn’t be more closer.
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February 05, 2016, 12:41:57 PM
 #56

First of Joey's friends to appear on Top Gear – Who will it be?

It was announced yesterday that Matt LeBlanc is confirmed as another presenter on 'New' Top Gear. 'New' as nothing will be same after Jeremy Clarkson so for the most this change showed that this show will never be as popular as it was.

Still, we all know Matt LeBlanc as Joey Tribbiani from 'Friends' and thus we love him as well. And it will be interesting to see will LeBlanc have any of Joey's friends as the guest in Top Gear this year. Or maybe all of them, or still none of them?

It wouldn't be a surprise to see him and Chandler (Matthew Perry) driving in the same car, neither would it be strange to see Ross (David Schwimmer) with them, thus male friends have best odds to be guest at market you can bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/event/category-decimal/news/top-gear/all/

But Rachel (Jennifer Aniston) would be such a great guest, Monica as well (Courteney Cox), while Phoebe (Lisa Kudrow) is offered least chances to be his first 'Friends' guest, so thus you have great odds if you bet on her. Don't miss them.
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February 08, 2016, 05:32:58 PM
 #57

Can either Republicans or Democrats control both Congress and the White House after the elections?

As we think about short-term markets that are popular these days with all the primaries, here are two markets that could be interesting in the long run. It is about either Party gaining the undivided government, by taking control of both Congress and the White House after the 2016 elections. Could this really happen?

At the moment there are bigger chances that Republicans could have the undivided government as they currently hold the Senate majority with 54 seats, while more and more people see Trump as the next President. Still, even if he wins, they could lose the Senate, but it if you believe that Republicans will gain all the control you have great odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/republicans-to-control-both-congress-and-the-white-house-after-the-elections/.

At the same time, odds are even bigger for Democrats to control both Congress and the White House after the elections, even with Hillary Clinton still having the biggest chances to become the next President, but at the same time Democrats should also have to regain Senate majority. If you think that this is possible, then bet at Fairlay right this moment:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/democrats-to-control-both-congress-and-the-white-house-after-the-elections/.
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February 09, 2016, 05:42:17 PM
 #58

The Jump – Who will win it, or will everyone get injured?

Third series of the British television winter sports show ‘The Jump’ started at the last day of January but it is gaining more and more attention from day to day, for not so popular reasons. In fact, today was announced that Made In Chelsea's Mark-Francis Vandelli has become fourth celebrity to leave Channel 4’s ‘The Jump’ after fracturing his ankle.

He joins a long list of injured celebrities forced to pull out the winter sports show. Competitor Beth Tweddle remains in hospital following neck surgery, while Fellow Olympian Rebecca Adlington and Holby City actress Tina Hobley have also withdrawn because of injury, with athlete Linford Christie has been forced to take time out due to a hamstring injury but hopes to return to the show.

Anyway, even with Channel 4 confirming that they will review safety procedures on the show, this series that follows celebrities as they try to master various winter sports including skeleton, bobsleigh, speed skating, ski cross and giant slalom will air weekly until 6 March 2016 and now you can bet on its winner at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/the-jump-winner/.

At the moment, the first favorite is Tom Parker, The Wanted singer, while good chances are also given to Dean Cain, Lois & Clark actor. Tamara Beckwith is the first favorite among the ladies and she is followed by Sid Owen, EastEnders actor and singer. Anyway, with more potential injuries, anyone could win it so be quick to place your bets as you still have the great odds on your favorites.
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February 10, 2016, 05:59:41 PM
 #59

South Carolina Republican primary – Trump or Cruz?

Donald Trump easily won New Hampshire, without the strong runner-up, so we already have the question whether any alternative candidate can gain enough support to threaten Trump’s drive to the nomination.

Ten days before the new primaries, it is already clear that John Kasich, the second-place finisher in New Hampshire, arrives in more conservative South Caroline with both little staff or support, so he is without chances to attack Trump.

In fact, the only person who could defeat Trump in South Carolina is Iowa winner Ted Cruz who will be resuming an effort to enlist the Christian right, the key to his victory in Iowa. Still it is a big question will that help him enough.

So, Trump is once again big favorite so you might want to catch good odds on him early on, while you have strong odds if you think that Ted Cruz could defeat him once again, also you have great odds on all the other candidates together.

Bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-south-carolina-republican-primary/.


South Carolina Democratic primary – An easy win for Hillary?

As it was expected, Bernie Sanders won the New Hampshire with 60% of votes but it will be much harder for him to do the same thing in South Carolina. In these primaries it is Hillary Clinton with big chances that should boost her up.

It is because of the fact that Sanders’s idealistic message, which inspired a decisive victory in New Hampshire, faces a sharp test in South Carolina, where Democrats are more moderate and demographically diverse, so it will help Hillary.

But if you think that Sanders could make a surprise you can go for great odds at Fairlay, or just pick-up an easy money on Hillary. Anyway, even odds on that easy money are about to change so place your markets right now at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-south-carolina-democratic-primary/.

What are your opinions on the current primaries and what do you think who has the biggest chances in the long run?
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February 12, 2016, 03:05:26 PM
 #60

Nevada Republican Caucus – Another in a row for Trump?

Before coming to Nevada on February 23, Republicans will first square off to South Carolina on February 20, and in a way those results could influence Nevada votes, so you can first see at South Carolina market who is favorite to win it:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-south-carolina-republican-primary/

Of course, Donald Trump is a huge favorite to win South Carolina, while some chances are given to Ted Cruz as well. And it is not much different for the Nevada markets, though bigger chances are give to Cruz, and also some for Marco Rubio.

But Nevada could be a country with big surprises and the main reason is the limited number of polls in this state. Unlike Iowa and New Hampshire, where there were 70 to 100 polls, there were only six polls last year and none this in Nevada.

That last pool did favor Trump but either Cruz or Rubio could make a surprise win in Nevada so if you want to risk, this is market for you. If you want to bet on Trump once again, then hurry up as odds will surely go down once again.

Nevada Republican Caucus – Bet at Fairlay: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-2016-nevada-republican-caucus/


Nevada Democratic Caucus – Hillary to confirm her control?

So, without too many pools, Nevada Caucus could bring a surprise among Democrats as well. Though, chances for this are a bit less than it is with Republicans, as the the last poll showed Hillary Clinton ahead of Bernie Sanders by 23 points.

Unlike Republicans, Nevada Caucus comes for Democrats on February 20, seven days before South Carolina primaries, so they are in a way more important, as they could confirm that Hillary is much bigger favorite than it was shown at first.

As for Sanders, he is yet to demonstrate strength in a state whose electorate isn’t more than 90 percent white. Only 65 percent of voters were white in the 2008 Democratic caucus in Nevada, so with this Hillary could be a rather good bet.

Nevada Democratic Caucus – Bet at Fairlay: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-2016-nevada-democratic-caucus/
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