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Question: Bitcoin Forecast: What do you expect BTC/USD prices to do in the next 4 weeks?
Up
Down
Same as now
I don't know

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Author Topic: Bitcoin Forecast, Bitcoin Speculation & Bitcoin Technical Analysis. Up or DOWN?  (Read 508978 times)
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June 03, 2016, 11:16:18 AM
 #3121

Been a long time (in BTC time). Any updates? You call this move and to where?

Thx in advance,
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BTC = Black Swan.
BTC = Antifragile - "Some things benefit from shocks; they thrive and grow when exposed to volatility, randomness, disorder, and stressors and love adventure, risk, and uncertainty. Robust is not the opposite of fragile.
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June 21, 2016, 11:31:34 AM
 #3122

Been a long time (in BTC time). Any updates? You call this move and to where?

Thx in advance,
Its about sharing

Sorry for the late response here, but we have frequent public updates here https://www.bullbearanalytics.com/free-reportsand also we have special new subscriber discounts for subscriptions as well. https://www.bullbearanalytics.com/subscriptions.html
It has indeed as predicted been a wild rally. More than 60% gains since our bullish call 1 month ago!

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June 21, 2016, 11:51:32 AM
 #3123

Well I think for the next four weeks it price will be unstable. I think it will go up, then down, then up and down. It will repeat again and again.

Wink That is one way to look at it.

We at bullbearanalytics.com look at it with clear trade entries, exits and this is why we are outperforming a bitcoin buy and hold strategy by more than 2,100%

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June 21, 2016, 01:53:09 PM
 #3124

bitfinex is back up again. People can cancel orders first and then trading resumes soon

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June 21, 2016, 01:54:07 PM
 #3125

The Poll in this thread is open again. Let's see what the sentiment is for you bitcoin traders, investors and speculators!!!

>15years analysis experience

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August 09, 2016, 02:26:34 PM
 #3126

Bitcoin BullBear Price Update for August 9, 2016 

Market Commentary (BTC): 

As price continues to struggle in this 580 - 600 $ resistance area, the fact that there hasn't been a breakdown out of this range yet is somewhat encouraging.  That said, the technicals remain mixed on most timeframes and the fundamentals are still uncertain regarding Bitfinex, so at this time we think the market stays in a rather tight range.  If price can break above 600 $ then the key 630 $ resistance level will likely come into play, and if not then we think we will revisit the bottom of the pivot area around 560 $.  Either way, there remain a lack of favorable setups on either the long or the short side at current levels so we will wait for the market to give us a hint as to directionality over the next few days.

Today we zoom in slightly via the 6-hour chart below to try to glean some clues as to where we might be headed over the course of this week.  We can see that price is still trapped up in this OTE short zone, pivot area, and volume profile mini-PoC, while SCMR continues to paint neutral candles.  Also notice that the medium term uptrend line remains intact and is rising up to meet the top of the demand area at the key 520 $ level.  We also still have an OTE long zone down in the 500 $ region so if price can manage to get back down there then we will be buyers of that dip.

Moving on to momentum and volume we can see that Willy is now officially overbought, RSI is struggling to get over the centerline, and MACD has correct back to zero despite no big price moves. Additionally, the 9/18 EMA cross is flatlining once again, the 200-period SMA is now firmly in a downtrend, and the A/D line is still creeping higher but is hitting resistance.  Lastly, sell volumes still seem to be outweighing buy volumes even though there has been a noticeable decrease in overall trading volume, and volume profile could use some filling in at both higher and lower levels.

At this time the market is in gridlock between 580 - 600 $ so until this range is broken one way or the other we will remain in a holding pattern within this area.  As we have been saying for many weeks now this remains a "buy the dips, sell the rips" market until further notice, so we will continue to watch the 500 - 550 $ region for long setups and the 600 - 630 $ area to take profit or get short.  Having said that, buys in the low 500's $ are longer term plays for a potential resolution out of this consolidation, and any shorts put on are very near term in nature and should be considered high risk.  Even still, there could be some good opportunities in the not too distant future.

GLGT!

See more here: https://www.bullbearanalytics.com/

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Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

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August 10, 2016, 04:06:46 PM
 #3127

Bitcoin BullBear Price Update for August 10, 2016 

Market Commentary (BTC): 

The market continues to settle into this 580 - 600 $ range as positioning for the next breakout move intensifies.  Given that Bitfinex will reopen operations within the next 48 hours, we are expecting volatility to pick up at least a little bit which very well could drive us out of this trading zone.  A move out of this area will likely lead to a 30 $ move in either direction (550 $ if we break down, 630 $ if we break up), but is unlikely to go beyond that in our opinion. 

Moving on to the technicals, we can see on the daily chart below that price is rolling over right around a historical resistance line, the bottom of the pivot area, and at the 9 EMA.  Additionally, there is a volume profile notch just overhead and market structure is coming in bearish, while trading volumes continue to confirm the move to the downside last week.  Lastly, notice that SCMR is painting red candles again while also showing multiple reversal cancellations over the past few days.  This is not a great sign for the bulls, but is also not a death knell.

Despite these bearish indications, it is not all bad news for the bulls at this time.  Notice that Willy is now testing the centerline while in a slight uptrend, RSI remains pinned in the lower half which means that there is room to run to the upside, and PPO is still painting bright green bars (a bullish signal).  Also, MACD is still showing a substantial bullish divergence from the washout last week and is now challenging the zeroline, while the A/D line continues to press to the upside.  Finally, it now appears that we could be in yet another triangle consolidation with a midpoint right around current levels.  This might help explain the stagnation we have seen over the past week as players resign themselves to the fact that we may be at fair value for the time being.

All things considered, we do not want to alter our forecast in any significant way at this time.  Near term caution, medium term neutrality, and longer term bullish bias are how we continue to view the market at this time.  Until we get a breakout from this 580 - 600 $ range we will remain patient in letting the market come to us, however if price does make a move then the key levels to watch are 550 $ to the downside and 630 $ to the upside.  To reiterate, we would continue to employ a "buy the dips, sell the rips" mentality for shorter term scalp trading while we continue to wait for lower prices to add to the longer term positions. 

More charts, reports, and our slack channel here: https://www.bullbearanalytics.com/

GLGT!

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

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August 10, 2016, 11:00:48 PM
 #3128

well that was a long-winded display of uselessness.

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