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Question: Bitcoin Forecast: What do you expect BTC/USD prices to do in the next 4 weeks?
Up
Down
Same as now
I don't know

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Author Topic: Bitcoin Forecast, Bitcoin Speculation & Bitcoin Technical Analysis. Up or DOWN?  (Read 504417 times)
S3052
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June 21, 2013, 02:59:17 PM
 #2721

Wait, you mean that some bitcoiners panicked over nothing?

NooooOOOooo.
Impossibru!

Yeah, certainly a pattern  Wink

We'll just have to see how the MtGox story develops. Their press release just didn't ring true though. They have to suspend all USD withdrawals because of increased activity? Hire some more staff dumbasses, not tell people currently working to stop working. Doh!

i agree the mtgox story sounds very fishy

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June 21, 2013, 03:11:05 PM
 #2722

Wait, you mean that some bitcoiners panicked over nothing?

NooooOOOooo.
Impossibru!

Yeah, certainly a pattern  Wink

We'll just have to see how the MtGox story develops. Their press release just didn't ring true though. They have to suspend all USD withdrawals because of increased activity? Hire some more staff dumbasses, not tell people currently working to stop working. Doh!

i agree the mtgox story sounds very fishy

One way to increase confidence here is for MTGox to give priority for large wires from trusted users. It takes close to the same amount of effort to process a wire for 90000 USD than one for 900 USD. The extra AML requirements do not come close to account for 100x the workload of withdrawing 90000 USD in the form of 100 wires rather than one. Set a minimum and process wires over the minimum within say 24-48 hours.

Concerned that blockchain bloat will lead to centralization? Storing less than 4 GB of data once required the budget of a superpower and a warehouse full of punched cards. https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/87/IBM_card_storage.NARA.jpg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Punched_card
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June 21, 2013, 03:41:29 PM
 #2723

Wait, you mean that some bitcoiners panicked over nothing?

NooooOOOooo.
Impossibru!

Yeah, certainly a pattern  Wink

We'll just have to see how the MtGox story develops. Their press release just didn't ring true though. They have to suspend all USD withdrawals because of increased activity? Hire some more staff dumbasses, not tell people currently working to stop working. Doh!

i agree the mtgox story sounds very fishy

One way to increase confidence here is for MTGox to give priority for large wires from trusted users. It takes close to the same amount of effort to process a wire for 90000 USD than one for 900 USD. The extra AML requirements do not come close to account for 100x the workload of withdrawing 90000 USD in the form of 100 wires rather than one. Set a minimum and process wires over the minimum within say 24-48 hours.

I was thinking along the same lines, but more that it will be done behind the scenes anyway to keep the big fish happy
A public statement, though it may piss off little fishies would restore confidence

"Before you embark on a journey of revenge, dig two graves"  - Confucius (China 551BC-479 BC)
molecular
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June 21, 2013, 09:59:02 PM
 #2724

So my question is whether your recommendations over the next week or two will take this into account? If people really are panic selling at MTGOX, the price could stay high (or go higher) for a few days then collapse .......

lol: the law of unintended consequences: "let's pressure the biggest exchange, that'll tell 'em!", "ok, boss, consider it done" -> [price shoots up on gox due to capital flight and rising rate has dragging effect on general market] -> "uuurhrhrmmm, boss, there's a problem"

priceless


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June 21, 2013, 10:00:28 PM
 #2725

Well, rising volume due to uncertainty certainly doesn't hurt their business model.  Why bother with good PR?

PR is "in the tape": rising price on high volume.

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June 21, 2013, 10:04:49 PM
 #2726

So my question is whether your recommendations over the next week or two will take this into account? If people really are panic selling at MTGOX, the price could stay high (or go higher) for a few days then collapse .......

lol: the law of unintended consequences: "let's pressure the biggest exchange, that'll tell 'em!", "ok, boss, consider it done" -> [price shoots up on gox due to capital flight and rising rate has dragging effect on general market] -> "uuurhrhrmmm, boss, there's a problem"

priceless



lol

"Before you embark on a journey of revenge, dig two graves"  - Confucius (China 551BC-479 BC)
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June 22, 2013, 02:20:05 PM
 #2727

Litecoin prices and Litecoin charts alert:

http://bit.ly/qJDsYw


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Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

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June 23, 2013, 12:01:58 PM
 #2728

The bitcoin poll is reset. it will be interesting how the bitcoin sentiment looks like now

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

http://twitter.com/BitcoinAnalyst

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June 27, 2013, 06:42:45 PM
 #2729

New digital currencies and financial markets report just issued to subscribers.

we have some slots left for new subscribers before the summer period, so feel free to subscribe: http://bit.ly/11Lzaxy

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

http://twitter.com/BitcoinAnalyst

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June 27, 2013, 06:57:34 PM
 #2730

It will hurt them in the longer run as Bitstamp snags more market share, which is happening. I noticed a record amount of Bitcoins on Bitstamp. MtGox will be losing out on more than they gained briefly. Once the USD valves are open, USD will probably follow out.

If they wish to remain significant, better PR has to be done, ie one that doesn't leave people wondering whether or not they are solvent.

As for effects on Bitcoin prices. Once the market normalizes again, I'd expect a surplus of Bitcoin on Bitstamp and a lack of USD on MtGox, creating a possible environment for much lower prices.

I agree. A bitcoin-wide price drop looks pretty inevitable. I'm in cash at the moment.

We're in a downtrend.  It's hard to know what the bottom is for BTC, i don't see any good reason to buy at this point.
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June 27, 2013, 07:16:39 PM
 #2731

S3052 - You stated on your twitter account that BTC is probably heading down and many agree. You also stated that LTC might be breaking out (actually already started I guess). But what happens to LTC if BTC breaks down? I say the ratio stays the same and LTC goes down with it. Isn't it a big chance getting in LTC now (should BTC go down)? I mean to get out you have to probably sell your LTC for BTC and then (maybe) send your BTC to another exchange to get back into FIAT (depending on the exchanges you use). That takes time and if BTC is falling hard, I don't know that we'd have the time and automated sells and transfers are not yet an option...

Also, the LTC breakout coincides with the GOX problem. I wonder if there is a connection. (e.g. - some bought BTC and then rolled them into LTC's elsewhere)...

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June 30, 2013, 07:36:14 PM
 #2732

The poll merely reflects wishful thinking in most cases, except if BTC really has proven to go down/up. It is therefore a bad indicator for sentiment.

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June 30, 2013, 11:38:15 PM
 #2733

S3052 - You stated on your twitter account that BTC is probably heading down and many agree. You also stated that LTC might be breaking out (actually already started I guess). But what happens to LTC if BTC breaks down? I say the ratio stays the same and LTC goes down with it. Isn't it a big chance getting in LTC now (should BTC go down)? I mean to get out you have to probably sell your LTC for BTC and then (maybe) send your BTC to another exchange to get back into FIAT (depending on the exchanges you use). That takes time and if BTC is falling hard, I don't know that we'd have the time and automated sells and transfers are not yet an option...

Also, the LTC breakout coincides with the GOX problem. I wonder if there is a connection. (e.g. - some bought BTC and then rolled them into LTC's elsewhere)...

I think you will see LTC/BTC ratio go up. The gap will close some.

Wouldn't be surprised to see LTC/BTC rate at 0.1.

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           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
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     ²▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓╩    
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. ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM        My PGP fingerprint is A764D833.        SMOOTHIE'S HEALTH AND FITNESS JOURNAL          History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ .
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July 02, 2013, 03:34:30 AM
 #2734

S3052 - You stated on your twitter account that BTC is probably heading down and many agree. You also stated that LTC might be breaking out (actually already started I guess). But what happens to LTC if BTC breaks down? I say the ratio stays the same and LTC goes down with it. Isn't it a big chance getting in LTC now (should BTC go down)? I mean to get out you have to probably sell your LTC for BTC and then (maybe) send your BTC to another exchange to get back into FIAT (depending on the exchanges you use). That takes time and if BTC is falling hard, I don't know that we'd have the time and automated sells and transfers are not yet an option...

Also, the LTC breakout coincides with the GOX problem. I wonder if there is a connection. (e.g. - some bought BTC and then rolled them into LTC's elsewhere)...

I think you will see LTC/BTC ratio go up. The gap will close some.

Wouldn't be surprised to see LTC/BTC rate at 0.1.

that's the problem with adding LTC to the bitcoinbullbear.com subscription. The LTC pump-and-dump brigade will turn up. Sigh.
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July 02, 2013, 03:35:35 AM
 #2735

The poll merely reflects wishful thinking in most cases, except if BTC really has proven to go down/up. It is therefore a bad indicator for sentiment.

Indeed, and shows why people need guidance, as most are living on dreams not reality.
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July 07, 2013, 09:34:03 AM
 #2736

Anyone know when the next weekly report is coming out?
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July 08, 2013, 12:31:27 PM
 #2737

Anyone know when the next weekly report is coming out?

same here, didn't received 1, too. hope you're good to go, S3052.
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July 08, 2013, 01:16:58 PM
 #2738

S3052 - You stated on your twitter account that BTC is probably heading down and many agree. You also stated that LTC might be breaking out (actually already started I guess). But what happens to LTC if BTC breaks down? I say the ratio stays the same and LTC goes down with it. Isn't it a big chance getting in LTC now (should BTC go down)? I mean to get out you have to probably sell your LTC for BTC and then (maybe) send your BTC to another exchange to get back into FIAT (depending on the exchanges you use). That takes time and if BTC is falling hard, I don't know that we'd have the time and automated sells and transfers are not yet an option...

Also, the LTC breakout coincides with the GOX problem. I wonder if there is a connection. (e.g. - some bought BTC and then rolled them into LTC's elsewhere)...

I think you will see LTC/BTC ratio go up. The gap will close some.

Wouldn't be surprised to see LTC/BTC rate at 0.1.

that's the problem with adding LTC to the bitcoinbullbear.com subscription. The LTC pump-and-dump brigade will turn up. Sigh.

How is that a problem?

███████████████████████████████████████

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     ²▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓╩    
        ▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀       
           ²▀▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀▀`          
                   ²²²                 
███████████████████████████████████████

. ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM        My PGP fingerprint is A764D833.        SMOOTHIE'S HEALTH AND FITNESS JOURNAL          History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ .
LEALANA  PHYSICAL MONERO COINS 999 FINE SILVER.
 
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July 08, 2013, 10:45:59 PM
 #2739

Anyone know when the next weekly report is coming out?

same here, didn't received 1, too. hope you're good to go, S3052.

July 14, 2013 as per the last weekly report.

Concerned that blockchain bloat will lead to centralization? Storing less than 4 GB of data once required the budget of a superpower and a warehouse full of punched cards. https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/87/IBM_card_storage.NARA.jpg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Punched_card
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July 09, 2013, 12:02:16 AM
 #2740

Anyone know when the next weekly report is coming out?

same here, didn't received 1, too. hope you're good to go, S3052.

July 14, 2013 as per the last weekly report.

The last weekly report I got was for June 27. Is this true for everyone else?
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