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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 62

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26371585 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Cconvert2G36
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December 19, 2015, 12:40:38 AM

So his machines would contribute hash to the pool that solves blocks? And get a cut of the reward based on how much hash he provided?

Right, they delegate those decisions to the pool operator.
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jbreher
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December 19, 2015, 12:41:21 AM

People that want a bigger block are just socialists that want their free transactions.

Bull. Fucking. Shit.

Do not ascribe to me characteristics which I do not possess. You seem to be so blinded by your ideology that you cannot even allow for your opposition to possess humanity within.

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Fees is what pays for the security of the network. The block subsidy is temporary. The total value of the fees correlates directly into a level of security.

We don't need to rehash this truism. We all know this.

Quote
Fees will be lower overall with a larger block size (more supply) so security will be lower.

Another bald unsupported assertion. Show the analysis please.

An alternate hypothesis (one I deem more rational) is that per-transaction fees do not need to rise to untenable levels, should more transactions be allowed within each block. Well, that's not a hypothesis, that is a provable fact by appeal to simple arithmetic. The hypothesis is that total fees will be larger in this case than they will be in a smallblock world.

Here is another hypothesis, one many deem plausible: that faced with a Bitcoin with little utility because it does not support enough tps to allow a person to use it directly, and the option of XCoin (I hope there is not real coin named XCoin - this is just a variable) with all the characteristics of Bitcoin save its blocksize limitation, enough will adopt XCoin because it provides them real utility, such that XCoin will overtake Bitcoin in transaction volume, monetary volume, and mining concentration.
JayJuanGee
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December 19, 2015, 12:49:44 AM

[more crazily formatted, incoherent anger]
What are you talking about? What conspiracy? What $450? What's wrong with you?

Edit: OK, remember you now.
...
[4] Don't argue with JayJuanGee. I think he has Assburgers.

To recap:
1. Never said that I sold at 450.
2. Never suggested a conspiracy.
3. You're unpleasant and also fucking insane. Enough. Welcome to my ignore list Angry


Yes, you can deny 1 and 2, but the substance of your posts speak for themselves.. in that you are either incapable of explaining yourself at best or full of shit under worse interpretation.

Yes, from time to time, it can be unpleasant and maybe even a bit uncomfortable to engage in an actual substantive and meaningful discussion with another person on a quasi-anonymous forum rather than employing personal attacks... and then running away.

hopefully, somehow your failure/refusal to engage with me regarding your prior assertions will either find you some solace or improve your abilities in the future to present your opinions, facts and/or arguments with a bit more coherence, but I must admit, I have a few doubts about your emotional stability, especially since you seem a bit less than capable in accepting a bit of a challenge to your presentation of information... you may be a bit too used to mommie pampering you?
jbreher
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December 19, 2015, 12:51:23 AM

People that want a bigger block are just socialists that want their free transactions.

So who's a member of the Free Shit Army now?

I send a zero fee transaction yesterday. It was included in the first block.

I never pay a fee if I don't have to...
billyjoeallen
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December 19, 2015, 12:55:20 AM

Fees don't compensate for shit if the price is only $200/BTC. 

Good luck getting anymore VC money, much less wall street money for a network that doesn't scale. Good luck with the feds if the only people using it are drug dealers, tax cheats and terrorists. 
MinermanNC
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December 19, 2015, 12:55:38 AM

People that want a bigger block are just socialists that want their free transactions.

Bull. Fucking. Shit.

Do not ascribe to me characteristics which I do not possess. You seem to be so blinded by your ideology that you cannot even allow for your opposition to possess humanity within.

Quote
Fees is what pays for the security of the network. The block subsidy is temporary. The total value of the fees correlates directly into a level of security.

We don't need to rehash this truism. We all know this.

Quote
Fees will be lower overall with a larger block size (more supply) so security will be lower.

Another bald unsupported assertion. Show the analysis please.

An alternate hypothesis (one I deem more rational) is that per-transaction fees do not need to rise to untenable levels, should more transactions be allowed within each block. Well, that's not a hypothesis, that is a provable fact by appeal to simple arithmetic. The hypothesis is that total fees will be larger in this case than they will be in a smallblock world.

Here is another hypothesis, one many deem plausible: that faced with a Bitcoin with little utility because it does not support enough tps to allow a person to use it directly, and the option of XCoin (I hope there is not real coin named XCoin - this is just a variable) with all the characteristics of Bitcoin save its blocksize limitation, enough will adopt XCoin because it provides them real utility, such that XCoin will overtake Bitcoin in transaction volume, monetary volume, and mining concentration.

Would be an uphill battle for another coin to muscle out BTC. All that makes good sense, but x-coin would probably have to be a new or very different algorithm, because many existing sha coins cannot duplicate and are mostly a clone of BTC to begin with. So for another coin it would have to have, new mining gear/softwares and all that development involved with Asics etc. to mine x-coin ... huge hurtles starting right there. So I'd say bitcoin just has to make the necessary changes for improving block size transactions. I think BTC isn't going away anytime soon?  Smiley  
Richy_T
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December 19, 2015, 12:57:19 AM


Massive new data centres using new generations of highly efficient mining chips. This is mining now:



That is ridiculous Cheesy
Richy_T
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December 19, 2015, 12:58:28 AM

i quit mining because it is pointless to mine in the usa. you buy hardware to mine with and write that off along with ur electricity and whatever else. then you have to mine for months just to break even. then mine several more months to make profit. then you pay the irs income tax on everything you mined. then u have to wait a year to sell to get lower tax rate on the profit you sold your coins at. i mined mostly because i am a hardware geek who tinkered with mining hardware. you are better off just straight buying coins and HODL them. you do not get taxed (at least not yet <roll eyes>) for buying and holding bitcoins. HODL for at least one year and you wont pay as high of taxes (if you consider the 15% TAX RATE THAT OBAMA RAISED TO 20% AS NOT ABUSIVE HIGH TAXES). all my cold storage coins will be one year or older at new years. no point in me selling them though.

i believe the usa govy taxes are to high in an extreme way. we are talking abusively high taxes.


There's no better way to get clean coins though.
MinermanNC
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December 19, 2015, 01:00:36 AM


Massive new data centres using new generations of highly efficient mining chips. This is mining now:



That is ridiculous Cheesy
That looks more like a data center for cloud storage than a BTC farm?  Cheesy

Edit: But hard to see in that pic Smiley
ChartBuddy
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December 19, 2015, 01:00:38 AM

Coin



Explanation
2015Bubble
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December 19, 2015, 01:03:41 AM

So it has begun  Cool
ImI
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December 19, 2015, 01:04:33 AM


chart looks strong as fuck
Cconvert2G36
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December 19, 2015, 01:07:19 AM

We in for another exciting friday night?
peonminer
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December 19, 2015, 01:09:27 AM


chart looks strong as fuck

lottery248
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December 19, 2015, 01:09:35 AM

omg why.
no ponzi factor to rise bitcoins pls.
if that is, then we are out.
let's seek for 500.
jbreher
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December 19, 2015, 01:10:13 AM

Would be an uphill battle for another coin to muscle out BTC.

I agree. It would take a pretty significant advantage for some other coin to capture Bitcoin's market share. I believe the fact that such an XCoin competitor would be usable by people directly due to tps capability, rather than requiring all users to line up behind centralized aggregated access providers required by a 4 tps Bitcoin, may be such an advantage.

Further, once everyone is using these centralized aggregated access providers anyhow, what is the motivation of these centralized actors to continue to use the relatively expensive Bitcoin, rather than the more capable, cheaper XCoin?
koryu
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December 19, 2015, 01:10:29 AM

That's a sweet dragonfly doji on the 3d. Pressure is up.

Lot of margin will be squeezed either way.
Fatman3001
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December 19, 2015, 01:11:40 AM

Fatman, you mine. I wouldn't consider you a threat to decentralization. What size blocks do you figure would keep fees low and keep you running smoothly? If prices are higher, is there more competition for txn's? Or will small mines have a harder time solving blocks?

*sorry for all the n00b questions. I've just been informed I'm on the verge of hero status. I still know nothing. Undecided

Block size isn't a huge problem for regular miners. As CConvert2G36 points out, I only send my hashes and receive work from the pool. We're talking about tiny amounts of data. The pools can afford to pay for decent internet and/or a hosting service.

The "real" problem is the non-mining nodes who don't get paid to transmit transactions. But I think you and I pretty much agree here. There's enough decent internet in the world to keep the network running with far bigger block sizes. Storage is getting cheaper and cheaper. HW in general is getting cheaper and cheaper. If you live in an area with shitty internet you might want to avoid running a node. But those areas are getting fewer and farther between.

Some "anecdotal evidence" might suggest that people are running their nodes over wifi, which I would strongly recommend against if you want to use you internet for anything else.

In any event, when Bitcoin becomes more mainstream we will see regular computer nerds start firing up nodes. We're talking about a sizable group of individuals who'll spend as much as BJA spent on his "swampnode" on a keyboard.... with fancy buttons with programmable led's (Fingers crossed. Bring it to me Santa!!!).
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December 19, 2015, 01:16:46 AM

Are we still talking about blocksize? they increased the limit already... its set in the code to change in 3 months once 90% is working with this version, of course miners will keep their soft 1MB limit ( whiles still expecting block <2MB ) until they feel its right to bump their soft limit to 1,256KB  Grin
brg444
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December 19, 2015, 01:17:33 AM

In any event, when Bitcoin becomes more mainstream we will see regular computer nerds start firing up nodes. We're talking about a sizable group of individuals who'll spend as much as BJA spent on his "swampnode" on a keyboard.... with fancy buttons with programmable led's (Fingers crossed. Bring it to me Santa!!!).

I'd love if that were true but we've reached a considerable percentage of the nerd market in the last few years and yet for the amount of nodes count as never been lower.
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