I was considering that "sure" means something very close to 100%?
If I click on "buy" now, depending on when I click,
surely I am getting
12% - 13% return in two (or perhaps 3) weeks.
tm aka soon
tmThat's relatively reasonable. Wooooo whooooooo!!!!!!
You're doing it wrong, your score card is inverted. More BTC is the goal, not more fiat.
For the most part, I attempt to account for both fiat and BTC, so yeah, even if I am attempting to accumulate more BTC or to maintain my BTC, I am also measuring the value in fiat, too, especially since so many things are measured in fiat (mostly dollars in my use case).
In current times, I am not cashing out my BTC in great quantities, but I have found a lot of value in measuring the value of my BTC in fiat, and also projecting what to do or how to treat the matter of my BTC holdings in terms of the fiat value and considering the passage of time, too.. so for example, if BTC price were to go up to $80k or $100k in a short period of time (let's say within the next 3 to 6 months), then that might cause me to consider the matter of my BTC holdings differently than if the BTC price were to go to those prices in the next 2 years.
So, in any event, I still have to consider, for myself, what am I going to do? and how am I going to prepare for various kinds of eventualities and how much time might pass, as well.
The treatment of the BTC holding matter is going to be different for many of us, so in that regard, we should be attempting to tailor our comfort levels so that we don't either create unrealistic expectations on what bitcoin is likely to do that might put us in a position to end up panicking. We have seen this happen with some members. Need I mention any names?
Of course, some guys (and gal) here might be young wipper snappers, and therefore these members might be thinking 10-20 years or even longer time horizons into the future to build their nest eggs. Nothing wrong with that, but seems a bit unrealistic to me for even those members to ignore reality and to NOT consider the value of their holdings in both bitcoin and fiat.
Other forum members might have already built a vast portion of their nest egg (even before getting into BTC), so they are not so inclined to just HODL their bitcoin forever, and of course, there are quite a few variations in-between, such as myself, who were decently established in their investments before getting into BTC, but still have already been through at least one exponential upward BTC price period... For me, I have only really been through one, and based on your forum registration date, maybe you are in a similar situation too... or even that you have had the upwards movement of at least two BTC price periods.
Anyhow, some of us may have already built a lot of value in BTC, then it remains quite practical for us to attempt to figure out where we are at, and yes mistakes may have been made, along the way, too but we can still consider whether are we accumulating, maintaining, liquidating BTC or some combination. So, in that regard, there tends to be a lot of practicality in accounting (score-carding) in both BTC and fiat valuations... rather than getting into some kind of pie in the sky valuation that is totally based on BTC, but might not be practical for our own situation of trying to figure out how our BTC investment works for our own circumstances.
By the way, my own personal plan does not involve accumulating BTC in order to pass very many of them on to others. I prefer that my plan is to attempt to personally benefit, at least somewhat, from the value that I have accumulated in my BTC over the years. On the other hand, I recognize that there may be some folks who have passing on their BTC as part of their goal, and I am not going to totally poo poo such purported benefit to others plan, even though I believe that a more complete plan should also involve some self-indulgent aspirations to personally benefit from BTC value that any of us might have worked hard to accumulate, and of course, there are some people who have more money than they are able to spend, yet I doubt that scenario really applies to most people if they really attempt to seriously consider their situation in terms attempting to reasonably account for all of their assets and the various categories of assets.
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