Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[d_eddie]

If the price don't touch this trendline, I will never post any TA ever on bitcointalk.

Until the touching
Our balls will be left alone
Or what are you sayin'?




#haiku
#ballsslowlycrumbling

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[ImThour]

Which means we get to have our balls left alone until that line is touched. Right?

See you on the other side.

[d_eddie]

Which means we get to have our balls left alone until that line is touched. Right?

See you on the other side.

All right. But no more ball busting on THIS side, okay?

[Richy_T]

Happy birthday, sirazimuth!! All the best wishes to you!


Also,

is anyone else a bit freaked out by the new chartbuddy profile avatar?

I was just feeling lazy. Only had to do half the work on this one.

[bitcoinPsycho]

Bitcoin stops for no-one.  Every day/second is a buying opportunity

[Richy_T]

Can we not politicize ChartBuddy?

How is it political? I even resisted the urge to add "Let's go, Brandon" to the background. By the way, let's go, Brandon.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[serveria.com]

If the price don't touch this trendline, I will never post any TA ever on bitcointalk.

Bye bye...  

P.S. And yes, this is not TA. It's just a chart with a randomly placed arrow.  

[cAPSLOCK]

There will be some of you that understand what I am talking about here, and others who will write me off as a "qanon" type.  IDGAF.

He's a controlled op.

Absolute bad actor.

I am still mixed on this.  I am not sure.  But it could be.

I am not mixed on whether or not he is an asset.  Just what side he is on.

Why do you guys think he's an "anything" other than just another Bitcoin enthusiast that likes to wax on prolifically about POW? From what I've read on his twitter stream, his posts are no more inciteful or knowledgeable than any other.

IDGI

He is in Space Force ROTC or something. He has gotten the attention of an awful lot of folks, first via linked in, then via twitter.  He may just be a kid who knows how to do engagement.  

But if he did not start out as a psyop asset, then he has positioned himself to BE one and I expect eventually he will probably be used that way along with Rogan, and Robert Malone and all the other mouthpieces being used to move the sheeple around the narratives.  Simply because he has a big audience.

The question is which side is he on?  Same question for all of them really.  

My theory is the US government is split in half (much like Canada's).  There is a large portion of it that is aligned with the whole WEF movement.  And, I believe, there is a portion of the government that knows what is going on. Understands exactly what is happening in Canada, NZ, etc and is aware of the plans for here.  Including the current plans.

We have shifted from the virus to other things now.  This is narrative part two:



And lockdowns because of climate are coming soon.

At this moment the water all us frogs are swimming in has heated up to the point where a SIGNIFICANT PORTION of the west really believes that little screenshot.  Is busy watching the magicians hand over in Ukraine while they perform a coup one country away from us.  And the plan has that same action happening here.  Mark my words.

Robert Malone may have been used to start the shift... or perhaps he was a countermeasure by the good guys.  I do not know.  My hope is there even IS a good guys out there, and that they are actually DOING something.  

If there are I think it could be possible that little guy is working with them... OR against them.  But that is why I asked.  When you play poker it can help to get information out of your opponent.  It can help to see which version of the story they are trying to tell is the real one.

I am hopeful.  I think Bitcoin is going to play a huge role in where the world goes next.  And I think the narratives are going to get even thicker than they are now.

I plan to keep an eye on this guy.  Because if he is not being used to cast narratives now?  He will be poised to do so in the future.

Then again maybe he's just a random twitter doofus.

[hisslyness]

If the price don't touch this trendline, I will never post any TA ever on bitcointalk.

Please return your hat on the way out!

[JayJuanGee]

Don't forget to make a wish at 22:22 tonight...obviously many regions had passed it already.
Apparently, making a wish at exactly this time means something.
Wish well  

I wish for a $22,222,222.22 BTC price.

   That's a given.  You shoud have wished for something unrealistic like world peace.

It's pretty given that even $222,222,222.22 will be reached way earlier than world peace...

I'm fed up a little with the bear moves lately, at least it's a very easy #HODL situation.
The van and solar power installation will have to wait, maybe even a few years, to be paid with the help of Satoshi.
I'm feeling like "whatever" about this, as well as about many other topics crossing my way at the time, totally concentrating on Covid rehab.
My body is right, my mind and feelings, both appear "flattened" somehow. I hope meditation will solve this quickly, at least bring up the underlying conflict, if there is one.

EDIT: Oh yeah, having read back only some pages before i realized that it's Sirazimuth's birthday, i wanted join the congratulators. HAPPY BIRTHDAY, old bard! no, it's not a typo. Please Excuse the "old"

For those of us who have been in bitcoin for a while it becomes difficult to shave off bitcoin during these dipping times, even if the BTCs might well be in considerable profits....

Getting older can make it more difficult to recover from anything, and I remember sometimes in my 20s that I would go for a run when I was extremely sick.. and I am not really sure if that was good for me, but the energy was there to be able to do it.

Oh also if you become bed-laden and you are in your 20s or 30s, frequently, you can build back muscle, but as you get older it becomes quite a bit more difficult to build back muscle.. some guys do take testosterone... but then that could interfere with your body's natural abilities to produce testosterone.. I have not tried anything like that so I am not speaking from personal experiences.. but I can see how it could become quite tempting to supplement in order to build and maintain muscle.. because sometimes you can ONLY exercise so much when you get older. believe it or not.. I am speaking from personal experience in that regard.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[Krubster]

#LNMETA

If I closed a channel to you, lmk in PM and I’ll open a WUMBO channel back. Already got a few of you.

Thank you so much, I really appreciate it. I've had a problem with inbound liquidity, this really helps.

[JayJuanGee]

[edited out]

"Bitcoin will either continue to work, and be successful, or it will fail, or be replaced. So it's still a binary bet.  If it DOES succeed it will do at least another 10x, and probably much more.  So it's crazy to not put at least a small percentage of your savings in it in case it DOES keep working."

That's pretty much the whole pitch.  And they glaze over every time... Alright crazy Bitcoin man, whatever you say.

For sure, each of us are going to develop our own ways of phrasing matters, and maybe we are going to adjust our pitch from time to time based on some of our recent experiences and maybe based on some ways that we end up prioritizing some concepts/framework over others.

Even though the all or nothing does create a certain framework, I don't tend to like to say frame bitcoin in that kind of ways to newbies.. even though I agree that it could end up working in certain kinds of circumstances.

My overall framework tends to be that "bitcoin is already successful as fuck, and there is a whole hell of a lot more room for continued improvement because overall there is such low levels of current adoption."

Accordingly, it is true that bitcoin could end up failing down the road, but it is already way more successful than so many of us could have even reasonably expected.. so in that sense, we already seem to be living within a miracle long shot scenario.. but our living in such miracle long shot scenario does not mean that bitcoin has peaked.  Part of the erroneous framework continues to be that since bitcoin has been so successful, therefore it must be in a bubble, and surely many of us long timers (in bitcoin) know that is not the case.

I don't really like to give too much weight to the going to zero possibility - because that surely seems to be a long shot - even compared to how likely going to zero was in 2014/2015/2016... so in that regard, 2017 seemed to help to show that the "going to zero" scenario was becoming less and less likely and then our recovery from the 2018 dip (and not even going below $3k) really brought a lot more concreteness that the Lindy Effect is really working in bitcoin.. tick tock, another block... holy shit.. gotta be amazed with that... I am.. a block ever 10 minutes is really powerful... and gosh.. it happens the same whether the BTC price is suck in the mid-$200s in 2015, whether the blocks are being disputed and the BTC chain is being attacked in various ways in 2017/2018 and even during the great China mining withdrawal in 2021.. tick tock.. another block.

Yeah.. we are not done with attacks on bitcoin, so sure there could be a spiraling bitcoin DOWNity.. sure it could happen.. it could happen... but I doubt that it is very safe to be putting too much value on such a long shot DOWNity bet.. and even if you (of course, not talking about uie-pooie, cAPSLOCK hahahahaha  - I couldn't resist) are lacking confidence in the certainty of bitcoin's UPpity scenarios.. it remains way better to be putting something into such a possible upside scenario even if you are so whimpy as ONLY doing 1%.. and even though up to 25% might be a better bet.. it is better to be doing at least 1% rather than less than 1% or even zero... good luck with zero.. because you are going to need it... and that is part of the reason that there is a need to emphasize the need to emphasize UP rather than DOWN... because there is hardly even any kind of tangible comparison.. even though both exist, the UP is way more lopsided than peeps give credit.. and they do not even closely need to be investing very much value (talking about 1% to 25%) in order to profit stupendously.. and if they are so damned wimpy and lacking in confidence in bitcoin than do at least 1%.. otherwise I have very little sympathy.. even though there are still 95% or more people who still fail/refuse to act when they are given such a pitch to get the fuck off zero and anything less than 1% is too wimpy... have fun staying poor.

[serveria.com]

For those of us who have been in bitcoin for a while it becomes difficult to shave off bitcoin during these dipping times, even if the BTCs might well be in considerable profits....

Getting older can make it more difficult to recover from anything, and I remember sometimes in my 20s that I would go for a run when I was extremely sick.. and I am not really sure if that was good for me, but the energy was there to be able to do it.

Oh also if you become bed-laden and you are in your 20s or 30s, frequently, you can build back muscle, but as you get older it becomes quite a bit more difficult to build back muscle.. some guys do take testosterone... but then that could interfere with your body's natural abilities to produce testosterone.. I have not tried anything like that so I am not speaking from personal experiences.. but I can see how it could become quite tempting to supplement in order to build and maintain muscle.. because sometimes you can ONLY exercise so much when you get older. believe it or not.. I am speaking from personal experience in that regard.

True. I was attending a gym for like 10 years and some guys were taking testosterone... well after some time your balls stop functioning and you only depend on your testosterone shots... it's a bit like chemical castration actually...

There were several 70+ guys visiting the gym I trained at and they were really beefy and fit and stuff but I have to say all of them usually disappeared after a really short time... my guess is a heart attack...  

[serveria.com]

For those of us who have been in bitcoin for a while it becomes difficult to shave off bitcoin during these dipping times, even if the BTCs might well be in considerable profits....

Tough situation for those of us who haven't reached the FU status yet. If your stash is not FU level yet, you have to limit hooker/blow consumption and postpone the Lambo part.   

[Krubster]

#LNMETA

charge-lnd appears to be the script I need to learn how to master, and set as a cron job to adjust the state of my node fees dynamically, based on activity.

It's not clear to me how to configure it within the lnshell Umbrel docker instance, but will be tinkering with that next, as I've recognized it's the next thing big bois are gonna need to do.

I have been playing around with charge-lnd during the weekend. This is how my very simple config file looks like (so far)

Code:

# Default settings - Proportionally set the fees from 10 to 120 ppm.
[default]
strategy = proportional

min_htlc_msat = 100
max_htlc_msat_ratio = 0.99
base_fee_msat = 0
min_fee_ppm = 10
max_fee_ppm = 120
min_fee_ppm_delta = 5
time_lock_delta = 40

# Friends - zero fees
[friends]
node.id = 02a0bcc2b99673587d4a92028a2b2ce709b72c904962e2f783fd480c2c41e3dc7d,
        03746b93e0b94463624bb28eafa38f3d71b4c80df61a0f10c6340b54f56675487c
strategy = static

max_htlc_msat_ratio = 0.99
base_fee_msat = 0
fee_ppm = 0

# Liquidity sink channels - Proportionally set the fees from 100 to 500 ppm if it
# has more than 6% or more liquidity.
[liquidity_sink_channels]
node.id = 037659a0ac8eb3b8d0a720114efc861d3a940382dcfa1403746b4f8f6b2e8810ba,
        033d8656219478701227199cbd6f670335c8d408a92ae88b962c49d4dc0e83e025
chan.min_ratio = 0.06
strategy = proportional

min_htlc_msat = 100
max_htlc_msat_ratio = 0.99
base_fee_msat = 0
min_fee_ppm = 100
max_fee_ppm = 500
min_fee_ppm_delta = 5
time_lock_delta = 40

# Low balance - Set fees to 2000ppm when a channel has 5% or less
# liquidity and limit HTLC to 10k sats
[low_balance_channels]
chan.max_ratio = 0.05
strategy = static

base_fee_msat = 0
max_htlc_msat = 10000
fee_ppm = 2000

The config file is evaluated sequentially, so after a match, the next channel will be re-evaluated from the top again.

For more examples how to edit your config file, see https://github.com/accumulator/charge-lnd/tree/master/examples. I found the complex-ruleset.config example particularity helpful.

I haven't managed to set up a cron job within the lnshell app, but here is a guide how to do it from the umbrel server https://community.getumbrel.com/t/guide-installing-charge-lnd-in-a-docker-to-automate-your-fee-policies/2187
 

Great to have you back to the lightning network again btw!

[cAPSLOCK]

Russia's new Bitcoin bill has some hard restrictions.

I expect the WEF based "crypto" push to work along these same lines really, as they try to shift us to their environmentally compatible social justice equity coin.

But they will have to deal with Bitcoin, so the first clumsy attempts to cut the balls off it will look like this.

[cAPSLOCK]

#LNMETA

charge-lnd appears to be the script I need to learn how to master, and set as a cron job to adjust the state of my node fees dynamically, based on activity.

It's not clear to me how to configure it within the lnshell Umbrel docker instance, but will be tinkering with that next, as I've recognized it's the next thing big bois are gonna need to do.

I have been playing around with charge-lnd during the weekend. This is how my very simple config file looks like (so far)

Code:

# Default settings - Proportionally set the fees from 10 to 120 ppm.
[default]
strategy = proportional

min_htlc_msat = 100
max_htlc_msat_ratio = 0.99
base_fee_msat = 0
min_fee_ppm = 10
max_fee_ppm = 120
min_fee_ppm_delta = 5
time_lock_delta = 40

# Friends - zero fees
[friends]
node.id = 02a0bcc2b99673587d4a92028a2b2ce709b72c904962e2f783fd480c2c41e3dc7d,
        03746b93e0b94463624bb28eafa38f3d71b4c80df61a0f10c6340b54f56675487c
strategy = static

max_htlc_msat_ratio = 0.99
base_fee_msat = 0
fee_ppm = 0

# Liquidity sink channels - Proportionally set the fees from 100 to 500 ppm if it
# has more than 6% or more liquidity.
[liquidity_sink_channels]
node.id = 037659a0ac8eb3b8d0a720114efc861d3a940382dcfa1403746b4f8f6b2e8810ba,
        033d8656219478701227199cbd6f670335c8d408a92ae88b962c49d4dc0e83e025
chan.min_ratio = 0.06
strategy = proportional

min_htlc_msat = 100
max_htlc_msat_ratio = 0.99
base_fee_msat = 0
min_fee_ppm = 100
max_fee_ppm = 500
min_fee_ppm_delta = 5
time_lock_delta = 40

# Low balance - Set fees to 2000ppm when a channel has 5% or less
# liquidity and limit HTLC to 10k sats
[low_balance_channels]
chan.max_ratio = 0.05
strategy = static

base_fee_msat = 0
max_htlc_msat = 10000
fee_ppm = 2000

The config file is evaluated sequentially, so after a match, the next channel will be re-evaluated from the top again.

For more examples how to edit your config file, see https://github.com/accumulator/charge-lnd/tree/master/examples. I found the complex-ruleset.config example particularity helpful.

I haven't managed to set up a cron job within the lnshell app, but here is a guide how to do it from the umbrel server https://community.getumbrel.com/t/guide-installing-charge-lnd-in-a-docker-to-automate-your-fee-policies/2187
 

Great to have you back to the lightning network again btw!

I seriously look forward to hearing updates on how this thing performs.  i *LOVE* this approach, and have been trying to do it myself, but with even a fairly small 45 channels it's a real pain.

I *DO* think the solution to the channel balance "problem" lies in this strategy as well as pathfinding as that starts to get better.

But I figure this system might not work super well until the logic behind it gets quite a bit more fleshed out.  Hopefully that is wrong!

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation