Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[Hueristic]

An eight-year Bitcoin holder resumed selling after a two-week pause, depositing 1,176 BTC worth $136.2 million to the Hyperliquid trading platform as Bitcoin tested $116,000 resistance levels.

The whale previously executed one of the largest Bitcoin-to-Ethereum rotations in crypto history, trading 35,991 BTC valued at $4.04 billion for 886,371 ETH worth $4.07 billion.

The renewed selling activity comes as BTC Inc CEO David Bailey claimed earlier this month that two massive whales prevented the cryptocurrency from reaching $150,000, with one whale eliminated and another halfway through liquidations.

Multiple dormant Bitcoin addresses from 2011-2012 have awakened recently, creating selling pressure that contributed to Bitcoin’s struggle to maintain momentum above previous highs.

Previous whale activity has shown sophisticated market timing, with one holder selling 24,000 BTC worth $2.7 billion in coordinated transactions that drove Bitcoin from $115,000 to $111,000 within hours.

The sudden liquidation occurred during weekend trading, when thinner volumes amplify the price impacts of large transactions.

Another early adopter rotated 400 BTC in August, worth approximately $45.5 million, into leveraged Ethereum positions using 3x and 10x leverage across four wallets.

The whale opened combined long positions totaling 68,130 ETH worth $295 million, bridging funds back to the Ethereum mainnet after executing spot market swaps.

Dormant wallet activations accelerated throughout September, with addresses inactive since 2011-2013 transferring Bitcoin to exchanges, including Kraken.

One wallet holding 445 BTC made its first transaction in nearly 13 years, while another containing 480 BTC moved funds for the first time since 2012.

► https://cryptonews.com/news/8-year-bitcoin-holder-offloads-another-136m-following-massive-4b-eth-trade-whales-dumping-again/

Put all of this that is not your words in a Quote!

Why Bitcoin is Surging Today ( 15/09/2025)? Technical Analysis and BTC Price Predictions Point to $160K Target

MACD golden cross signals $160K target on the Bitcoin chart as Federal Reserve rate cut expectations drive institutional demand.

Bitcoin price analysis shows consolidation at $115K resistance with technical patterns supporting Bitcoin price predictions of $150K-$200K.

Bitcoin technical analysis reveals whale accumulation above $114K support, positioning for rally toward historical highs by year-end 2025.

► https://www.financemagnates.com/trending/why-bitcoin-is-surging-today-technical-analysis-and-btc-price-predictions-point-to-160k-target/

SAME.

chart buddy and honey badger setting up some discounts.

Weds is fed rate.  so

-0.25% holy shit we get fucked very very unlikely
0.00%  a lot of displeasure unlikely

+0.25% some happiness and corn rises most likely      I think this and I think 125k by Friday .

+0.50% more happiness and corn rise bigly less likely
+0.75% this would cause fear very unlikely .

I really want to open the Elijah Craig which mean we needs to pass 130


I also decided to buy a bit of corn today

Investors are betting on a rate cut this month, with CME's FedWatch tool suggesting a roughly 92% chance for a 25 basis point cut ‒ or 0.25 percentage point ‒ and 8% chance for a 0.5 percentage point cut as of last week.

September Cut:
The market strongly favors a 25 basis point cut at the September meeting, with high probabilities reflected in the CME FedWatch data.

Future Cuts:
The number of subsequent cuts is less certain, but Fed funds futures are pricing in multiple cuts by the end of the year, with some sources expecting two or three total reductions in 2025.


For Fed Interest Rate Decision Sep 17, 2025:

Target Rate   Current Probability%      
3.75 - 4.00    2.1%   3.6%   
4.00 - 4.25    97.9%   96.4%   


► https://www.investing.com/central-banks/fed-rate-monitor

THE SAME!!!


DO YOU NOT SEE that this can be construed as your reply and not you providing a referenced reply?

It's not that complicated for someone who is supposed to be educated.

@Hueristic  - So, only in 'Wall Observer BTC/USD' is this message in a Quote Box with a link underneath it  necessary - but it's not necessary in 'Buy the DIP, and HODL!' with both threads in 'Speculation'!!! I find that more than strange!  

You really do want to get yourself banned don't you?

Is it because then you can tell yourself that that place is full of assholes instead of admitting to yourself that your just a Dickhead?

Geniality on full display...  

Maybe check you short term memory?

I am the only one that stood up for you when you were losing your mind and getting dogpiled.

I recommend taking a good long look in the mirror.

[IceLincoln]

@Hueristic  - So, only in 'Wall Observer BTC/USD' is this message in a Quote Box with a link underneath it  necessary - but it's not necessary in 'Buy the DIP, and HODL!' with both threads in 'Speculation'!!! I find that more than strange!   

This guy is always acting like he knows too much or is better than everyone else, first you came in and started making bold your whole comments not even talking about bitcoin or good update. If you’re an old investor of bitcoin  but you’re new to forum and don’t fully understand how things work, you should stay calm and learn but you’re feeling too arrogant most times.
You don’t even know what the Wall observer thread is for, just go back to beginners and help thread and stay there till you know more. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?board=39.0

[Biodom]

Not that I count on this, but Oracle's example made me thinking; what is the probability of a 40% one day spike in btc upon, for example, an announcement that US already bought, say 200K additional bitcoins?

Imho, not zero, so maybe a small amount invested in out of the money MSTR (or even IBIT) calls dated, say, January, or even a bit later make sense.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Gachapin]

Today is the day that I've been saying would be the top for Bitcoin for quite some time.  I've actually been eyeballing today for basically the last 4 years.  Now that it is here I don't want to sell any Bitcoin, but I may sell a tiny bit just to stick to the plan...  There's a ton of bullish news out there and with December looking like it will be the MSTR inclusion period, I have mentally begun making excuses that my sell date should be moved to December 16th.  We will see how that plays out for me, but I've definitely started watching the exits.  

you thinking that such a prediction could be accurate amazes me actually...

[ESG]

-----X-----

.
Doctor,
please! try to understand, some are being arrogant with you and others are not,
but I'm sure all of them are wanting to help you, because if they didn't want to help you, they wouldn't be, telling you, where you are wrong and wrong and keep missing...
YOU, has two ears and one mouth.
two ears to listen more, and one mouth to talk less.
yet, listen more...

[philipma1957]

Today is the day that I've been saying would be the top for Bitcoin for quite some time.  I've actually been eyeballing today for basically the last 4 years.  Now that it is here I don't want to sell any Bitcoin, but I may sell a tiny bit just to stick to the plan...  There's a ton of bullish news out there and with December looking like it will be the MSTR inclusion period, I have mentally begun making excuses that my sell date should be moved to December 16th.  We will see how that plays out for me, but I've definitely started watching the exits.  

hoping to sell some in january.

i will photo some non prepped wires

[Joeboy]

Today is the day that I've been saying would be the top for Bitcoin for quite some time.  I've actually been eyeballing today for basically the last 4 years.  Now that it is here I don't want to sell any Bitcoin, but I may sell a tiny bit just to stick to the plan...  There's a ton of bullish news out there and with December looking like it will be the MSTR inclusion period, I have mentally begun making excuses that my sell date should be moved to December 16th.  We will see how that plays out for me, but I've definitely started watching the exits.  

I respect your ddiscipline and enthusiasm.......Whether it is today or in December you decide to sell, what matters is that you have prepared yourself ahead of time. In the end, Bitcoin as we know always has the habit of rewarding patience and a good strategy over unnecessary impulse

[OutOfMemory]

-----X-----

.
Doctor,
please! try to understand, some are being arrogant with you and others are not,
but I'm sure all of them are wanting to help you, because if they didn't want to help you, they wouldn't be, telling you, where you are wrong and wrong and keep missing...
YOU, has two ears and one mouth.
two ears to listen more, and one mouth to talk less.
yet, listen more...

He is just another troll.
One of those that makes you want to leave a party when he is arriving.

It's not a secret. All Bitcoin, opinions or just something of value for the participants in here.
The quoting/citing is just good old Netiquette. Some being rude just don't care.
Or just too much Adrenaline, what do i know?  

Today is the day that I've been saying would be the top for Bitcoin for quite some time.  I've actually been eyeballing today for basically the last 4 years.  Now that it is here I don't want to sell any Bitcoin, but I may sell a tiny bit just to stick to the plan...  There's a ton of bullish news out there and with December looking like it will be the MSTR inclusion period, I have mentally begun making excuses that my sell date should be moved to December 16th.  We will see how that plays out for me, but I've definitely started watching the exits.  

Yeah, hmm, you know...
I don't have the balls to sell this early.

And you literally were eyeballing this exact date since 4 years now?

EDIT: May i as well ask how?

[d_eddie]

I've read an interesting piece about a possible "up before down" gesture. Time horizon: up to the 1st or 2week of October. It makes sense to me.

https://www.newsbtc.com/bitcoin-news/bitcoin-short-squeeze-long-trap-october/

If she follows liquidity (as she does more often than not), the juiciest path is to eat the high shorts first (up, right now), and go for the late longs as a dessert after that. I emphasize "late longs", straying into gambling: heavy and high. It's not like the whales, whoever that might be, can necessarily push the number below 0.080 - but if 0.095 means annihilation, even on a wick, that's too much leverage at too high a price. Keep it safe.

(Numbers are in M$ because reasons. Basically, it's quite cool IMO.)

[d_eddie]

This sure looks shady
Please sir, get out of the car
Keep your hands in sight





#haiku

[vapourminer]

whats with the two Ghostbusters antimatter proton cyclotrons mounted behind the headrests?

[LOCKACO]

At the end of the day
Sadness shall disappear;
Aches dwelled in the heart
Shall fade for us

Let's start all over again,
Let's do it, don't delay;
We will be proud to have
Worked hard and smart
At the end of the day

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

whats with the two Ghostbusters antimatter proton cyclotrons mounted behind the headrests?

iqair filters for my asthma



here is 1/4 of a car load all prepped and ready to go in the black bags to bring to scrapper.

note the new retail bags. they will be dumped.

in black bags pulled from warehouse






ready to remove retail bags



retail bags removed ready to go into black bags and back into my trunk





each carload is around 6 hours work which includes the car ride to the scrapper.

I am doing 3 a week so $1700 a week gross income.

not counting my labor the cost for that is about $400


tariffs raised the scrap price so I have to thank orange man bigly.

[OgNasty]

Today is the day that I've been saying would be the top for Bitcoin for quite some time.  I've actually been eyeballing today for basically the last 4 years.  Now that it is here I don't want to sell any Bitcoin, but I may sell a tiny bit just to stick to the plan...  There's a ton of bullish news out there and with December looking like it will be the MSTR inclusion period, I have mentally begun making excuses that my sell date should be moved to December 16th.  We will see how that plays out for me, but I've definitely started watching the exits.  

you thinking that such a prediction could be accurate amazes me actually...

What’s amazing to me is that this will be the fourth time it’s happened.

Don’t listen to me though. Watch this instead.

https://youtu.be/eCXaCSVhivI?si=M62NPB5I8NIX6tIt

We are in bubble territory already and “the Titanic has hit the iceberg.”

I think we go higher, but looking back there will be a lot of people who wish they had started taking profits here instead of trying to time the top, which we will definitely hit in the next 100 days if we haven’t already.

EDIT: May i as well ask how?

Men lie. Women lie. The four year cycle doesn’t.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[BTCETFInvestor]

Maybe check you short term memory?

I am the only one that stood up for you when you were losing your mind and getting dogpiled.

I recommend taking a good long look in the mirror.

@Hueristic - Yes, I do recall now that you stood up for me when others were piling on... I'm appreciative for that and thank you for trying to help me once again.  

I'll do my best to abide by the standards set for the Wall Observer...and make it a point to put information obtained from a website in a Quote Box and provide the reference link for it below. Hope I don't forget!

Please accept my apology for my impoliteness.  

 

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[cAPSLOCK]

I want to laugh at this.  But you know when the scams reach the point that they promise you 20 million dollars we have entered a new level of inflation.

YOU'RE WELCOME TO JPMORGAN CHASE BANK OF UNITED STATES
270 Park Avenue, New York, NY.

TO YOUR ATTENTION

This is to officially inform you that (ATM Card number 4750 5561 1529 5953) has been credited in your name and favor. Your Personal
Identification Number is 5199.The ATM Card Value is US$20,000,000.00 ( Twenty Million United States Dollars)
so Kindly reconfirm the below information properly to enable a successful delivery to your home address.

1.) Your full name....................
2.) Your home address...................
3.) Your phone number...................
4.) Your valid identification................
5.) Your age and sex...................
6.) Your occupation.....................

I expect to receive the necessary information for the urgent delivery of your original ATM card within 48 hours.
Please your urgent attention and swift response is needed right away
Thank You.
Mr..Jamie Dimon
Chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase & Co.
jamiedimonxxxyyx@gmail.com
jamiedimonxxxyyx@gmail.com

(email changed to protect the truly stupid)