Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[JayJuanGee]

at JJG still seems a lot like sideways to me.

106k in dec 2024
115k in sept 2025

Are folks ready 10 more months of sideways?

I am going to proclaim that you are biased in your wannabe assertion, and failing/refusing to sufficiently zoom out to recognize and appreciate that grinding up still has an appearance of flat even though it is grinding up (until it isn't).

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[Paashaas]

Longs getting liquidated.

Relax.  

Time to hit the gym.

[El duderino_]

Longs getting liquidated.

Relax.  

Time to hit the gym.

10 o’clock hitting the gym

Cheers

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[Findingnemo]

~
One of those above is not like the others.... Sometimes there are anti-nutrients added to foods, and our bodies can process quite a bit of inferior foods, but sometimes that anti-nutrients combined with other toxins in our environment (perhaps plastics in our water?) can end up taking tolls on our bodies and our abilities to stay healthy.

Overall, it's modern instant food items are causing this along with that we are consuming more calories than our body needs which leads to complications related to heart and once heart starts failing then everything else will be, so trying to stay active as much as we can and consume as much as we need its good enough to live longer life.

[Searing]

at JJG still seems a lot like sideways to me.

106k in dec 2024
115k in sept 2025

Are folks ready 10 more months of sideways?

....

I am going to proclaim that you are biased in your wannabe assertion, and failing/refusing to sufficiently zoom out to recognize and appreciate that grinding up still has an appearance of flat even though it is grinding up (until it isn't).

My view is that IF the stock market was to have a correction of 30%, at least initially btc/crypto in such a panic would go down 70%.

This is my view that if 70% of the economy is consumer spending...in a recession everyone suddenly gets their finances in a row..like the cc is maxed out..or

the house has equity maxed out..or you are rich and should not have gotten that 2nd lake cabin....indeed...everyone is suddenly cash poor at the same time

takes a couple years for folks to get their ducks in a row corporate or otherwise....

thus btc/crypto will be the first to be spent in a panic 24/7 access...your edward jones type traditional consultants...it takes a few days to talk to them on what to do

btc 3 min panic sell to pay cc bill on job layoff...as cc is maxed out have to eat

so at least initially it will be a blood bath though i think btc/crypto would bounce back more than stock market or at least equiv and better then bonds along the way

but hey, house is borrowed against, cc is maxed out...most people work more then one job in a 2 job family...can't put the kids to work (except AK)....so

that kinda sorta point of layoffs and $50k of btc/crypto that dropped 70% on a panic that you can cash out in 3 min is very tempting

also even if you have $$$ ie a CEO you are over extended.....everyone 'says' they want to buy gold/stocks/btc and crypto when a recession hits...but few

have the liquidity to do so...me? I sure can't sell btc/crypto at the high and buy at the low..I have NO talent for that

such is recessions....especially if your biz or job has cutbacks in revenue....

this is my view on btc price...i tell people now (newbs) who want to buy btc 'do you really think it won't long term do better then bonds at what 4%?....and to just

get btc dust on paypal or coinbase as you can and don't sell till 2035 when 99% of all btc has been mined as a lofty goal

so no clue on price and always get blindsided on the above mentioned....my 4th recession...so IMHO..if above happens HODL and buy

but price no clue....blindsided by btc dumps and recessions...always...almost a universal law in my life

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[cAPSLOCK]

Rapture or rally?

Which first? 🤔😁🫎

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[Theupdude]

A sunny Sunday.
I'll go make some Vit-D soon,
But not before this.

What's totally yours,
Even when six feet under?
Your skin and your corn!

You copy and paste,
Failing to put text in quotes,
Then whine when called out!

You are in the wrong.
Just accept it and shut up,
Or stay a dickhead!

Washington was wise.
People, then things, then ideas.
From bottom to top.

Crabs may walk sideways,
But Honey Badger walks straight,
And alpacas sing!

Still one week to go.
Save your seeds (and passphrases).
ATH this month!

#7wodigestsundayhaikus

A quiet Monday.
I’ll grab my coffee first,
Then check my portfolio.

What slips through your hands,
Even when you try so hard?
Your keys and your coins.

You HODL too long,
Watching charts without a plan,
Then panic at dips.

Mistakes are learning.
Own them, adjust, move forward,
Or repeat the same.

Markets may swing wild,
But patience and discipline
Walk steady, like BTC.

One month to the peak.
Backup your wallets and phrases.
New ATH incoming.

just tried..........

[d_eddie]

just tried..........

Good. Next, try writing one nail-hitting haiku when inspiration strikes.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[d_eddie]

A sharp smell of blood
Vultures circling the sky
Shake it baby, shake








#haiku

[OutOfMemory]

A lot of new names
Haiku attempts on the WO
Merit seekers though.

As long as they try
not easy, but hard enough
I think it's deserved

#probablymysecondworsthaikuever

A quiet Monday.
I’ll grab my coffee first,
Then check my portfolio.

What slips through your hands,
Even when you try so hard?
Your keys and your coins.

You HODL too long,
Watching charts without a plan,
Then panic at dips.

Mistakes are learning.
Own them, adjust, move forward,
Or repeat the same.

Markets may swing wild,
But patience and discipline
Walk steady, like BTC.

One month to the peak.
Backup your wallets and phrases.
New ATH incoming.

just tried..........

You must try again.
5-7-5 syllables
please try googling it

A sharp smell of blood
Vultures circling the sky
Shake it baby, shake








#haiku

Those fucking bastards
Hunting for Liquidity
Then we will go up

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[BTCETFInvestor]

The cryptocurrency market saw roughly $1.7 billion in total liquidations in the past 24 hours, according to public data aggregated on Coinglass.

Coinglass data showed that of the $1.7 billion in liquidations, about $1.62 billion came from long positions. Within the past four hours alone, roughly $1.09 billion was liquidated, including about $1.06 billion in longs.

In the past 24 hours, over 404,000 traders were liquidated, with the total liquidations reaching $1.7 billion. The largest single liquidation order was a $12.74 million BTC-USDT swap on OKX, according to the data.

Liquidations occur when a trader’s positions in a particular market are forcibly closed due to significant losses or insufficient margin to meet the maintenance requirements. The liquidation figures are typically based on publicly available data, which may significantly understate the true extent of market liquidations. In many cases, API limits and incomplete reporting practices result in only a fraction of actual liquidation activity being captured by data aggregators. This incomplete data can lead to an underestimation of market risk and volatility, ultimately distorting the overall picture.

► https://www.theblock.co/post/371560/crypto-liquidations-surpass-1-billion

[BTCETFInvestor]

Bitcoin ETFs continue to absorb the supply from short term liquidators.

Empirical analysis of immediate price reactions reveals distinct patterns between whale transactions and ETF-related market activities, with measurable differences in volatility generation and market absorption.

Whale Transaction Impact Studies: Real-time analysis of large cryptocurrency transactions demonstrates consistent short-term market effects. The academic study using Synthesizer Transformer models analyzed CryptoQuant data and Whale Alert notifications from 2018-2021, finding 47% correlation between whale transaction volumes and Bitcoin volatility with predictive power extending 24-48 hours.

Specific quantification emerges from orderbook impact analysis. Large transactions exceeding 1,000 BTC typically consume $50-100 million in orderbook depth at 2% market levels across major exchanges. Binance, representing 30.7% of global market depth, experiences bid-ask spread widening of 2-5x during major whale transactions, with recovery periods ranging 5-30 minutes depending on underlying liquidity conditions.

Case study evidence reinforces these patterns. The August 25, 2025 flash crash demonstrated acute whale impact when a single entity sold 24,000 BTC ($300+ million) to Hyperunite, triggering Bitcoin's drop below $111,000 and generating $550 million in forced liquidations across the ecosystem. The weekend timing amplified impact due to reduced market maker activity and thinner orderbooks.

ETF-Related Volatility Analysis: ETF activities generate different volatility signatures than whale transactions. The January 11, 2024 Bitcoin ETF launch created sustained price momentum rather than sharp spikes, with Bitcoin rising 6.7% to $49,021 on first-day volumes of $4.6 billion across all approved funds. Subsequent price action showed reduced intraday volatility compared to pre-ETF periods.

Statistical evidence from impulse response functions shows ETF flows create gradual price adjustments. Rather than immediate 2% jumps from whale transactions, ETF flows generate persistent 1.2% impacts over 3-4 day periods. This difference reflects the institutional flow timing and authorized participant intermediation processes that smooth market impact.

► https://yellow.com/research/etfs-vs-crypto-whales-who-controls-bitcoin-markets-in-2025