I'm about 92% bitcoin and 8% hedge (give or take 1% because sometimes it becomes a bit difficult to recalculate with the price moving around so much and also real life issues also "getting in the way"), and fuck at these 65%+ gains in two weeks on top of previous gains in recent times, even 8%, adds up to a lot of fiat sitting on the sidelines. but that is o.k... I don't really feel an urge to cash out more or to buy for that matter - however, if the price were to shoot up to $9k within about a few weeks, I might consider taking some drastic selling measures (emphasizing "might")
I like your method of selling small amounts at set price intervals. And paying very little attention to that voice that inevitably will say: damn, I shoulda bought more here, sold some there. We all know it's going up long term but short term predictions just cannot be relied upon.
These days, I try to be like a bot, mostly because it seems that whenever I attempt to deviate from my plan I end up over-doing it in one direction or another, and then I am kicking myself trying to make up for the lost territory.
My only deviation would be if it is clearly going parabolic, then maybe sell a little more than planned.
I still do that from time to time with a small percentage of my holdings on one end or another - so far, such deviation does not happen too often... because if I try to do it too much, my ratios tend to get mixed up... then I start to get stressed out.. which I would rather not need to think about the matter too much.
By the way, I am actually really glad because in the sub $1500s I was trading in $20 increments, and then I graduated to $50 increments, and I just graduated to $100 increments - and actually if I am in the new bigger category for long enough, then I make it retroactive, so I go back and reset all my buy orders, all the way down to $2k, for example, in $100 increments (rather than their prior $50 increments). I am looking forward to $200 increments, which is probably going to go into effect around $6k (that is if we get there? hopefully, right?).
Especially if masterluc is calling the top. But even then, I wouldn't deviate much from the plan. Even the master can be wrong.
You are correct that sometimes there is a kind of confluence of events that make it pretty likely for one direction or another, and I tend to only tweak rather than to make major overhauls and part of it has to do with my comfort of my own holdings, so for example, if I am feeling especially bullish, and like I already have plenty of cash, I might decide to sell .18btc every $100 rather than .2BTC - or some other variation, but those tweaks are only on the margins, and they tend to be pretty profitable in the longer term, so when I project ahead through my excel charts, I can see that my holdings of both fiat and BTC are increasing, even without investing more.
And, almost no leverage at all - except for using a little bit of float from 0% credit cards.. but I do not gamble with my cc float because the money continues to be there to be able to pay it back, and I don't break certain cashflow boundaries including living expenses and the expected unexpected expenses that are part of any strong cashflow cushioning strategy that should project at least 6 months into the future (projecting worse case scenarios of drying up cashflow), though these days, my cashflow projections tend to project at least 18 months into the future.
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