Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[aminorex]

with any luck 3am will bring a shooting war, i'll be flush with fiat from short SPUs in the morning, and can buy more btc.

Hate to do it, cause the guy has brains, but war profiteering is not honorable.

1...2...3....4....5....6

Confirmed - Aminorex now in the ingnorechain (and anyone who quotes him - that's what the ignorechain does).

Happy to be ignored.  I'm not here to impose my ideas on anyone, but I can't let that "war profiteering" comment slide.
 
My bet is that war is bad for business.  My task is to estimate price trajectory distributions.  If a war is likely and likely to move prices, I'm going to adjust positions accordingly.  Anything else is just doing the task badly.  If I thought doing the task well would cause anyone more material harm than being forced to trade down to a lower grade of cognac, I'd be doing something else.

Being offended by my "with any luck" language is entirely understandable.  I often use a certain kind of offensive language because I find the incongruities  and dissonances amusing, entertaining.  When using offensive language, the risk of offending is high.  I should probably do it less, at least.  It helps me to be skeptical of my own motivations, which I find useful, when I put my own behaviours in the most cynical light.

I am happily gratified that my luck appears to be bad in this case, and Russia looks likely to stand down, and assume a more constructive posture in Ukraine.  I would prefer to make more money, ceteris paribus, but if ever a loss was happily taken, any loss on SPUs due to a more congenial outcome in Ukraine is one. And ceteris is almost never paribus, although we must perforce assume it is, most of the time.  I'm still shorting SPUs through August, though:  That's a war for justice and truth, and I think I can win it without collateral damage.

[kkaspar]

When I started, somebody else had all the bitcoins, including the unmined, which I didn't plan to find myself.

It is no lottery, you are uninformed.

If everybody else are stupid, I loose. I bet they are not.

If everything play out as I expect, there are only winners, including the non-users.

You are free to make your own choice, but when you want to blame others for that, don't expect me to listen to you.

For an digital currency that is used for drug trade to get into the field of legal finance is a lottery. Most of the people here have absolutely no idea about finance and maybe that's the reason why it doesn't seem like a lottery to them.
I'm not blaming anyone here, I was just making fun of the absurdity of bitcoins coin supply and you seemed to take offense. Don't be so touchy if you want to look confident about this subject.

You're are pretty butthurt, hm? Anything else than drugs, childporn, launder, etc to offer? For sure not

Edit: Are you the guy from the NY hearings? "It has to walk and talk like banksters!!"

I must say that it's a little hard to combine thoughts from the words that you wrote... are you drunk or something?

[seleme]

BTC-e is really starting to go on my tits with these deposit delays.

[seljo]

BTC-e is really starting to go on my tits with these deposit delays.

Even 1 LTC transfer takes 4 hours now lol....

[DougTanner]

The walls at $700 are looking to be under siege soon. 

[CryptoFuture]

People depositing to BTC-E. When will you learn.

[Vigil]

Has Bloomberg made its announcement yet?

[Ivanhoe]

Has Bloomberg made its announcement yet?

Just less then an hour left, you can see it here then. http://www.bloomberg.com/tv/

[knarzo]

When I started, somebody else had all the bitcoins, including the unmined, which I didn't plan to find myself.

It is no lottery, you are uninformed.

If everybody else are stupid, I loose. I bet they are not.

If everything play out as I expect, there are only winners, including the non-users.

You are free to make your own choice, but when you want to blame others for that, don't expect me to listen to you.

For an digital currency that is used for drug trade to get into the field of legal finance is a lottery. Most of the people here have absolutely no idea about finance and maybe that's the reason why it doesn't seem like a lottery to them.
I'm not blaming anyone here, I was just making fun of the absurdity of bitcoins coin supply and you seemed to take offense. Don't be so touchy if you want to look confident about this subject.

You're are pretty butthurt, hm? Anything else than drugs, childporn, launder, etc to offer? For sure not

Edit: Are you the guy from the NY hearings? "It has to walk and talk like banksters!!"

I must say that it's a little hard to combine thoughts from the words that you wrote... are you drunk or something?

Seldom since i don't like the disruptive effects ethanol brings. And sorry I was just making fun of the absurdity that you bring the same BS again and again. Believe whatever you got told to believe and have fun

[rpietila]

Rpietila, I am keen to hear what your predictions are for the next week or so ?

I cannot predict such short timespans.

The biggest market mover is the people who thought they had bitcoins in Mt.Gox. When they replace (which I believe is going on), the price can rise a lot. We are talking about 100,000s of coins of extra demand.

[aminorex]

BTC-e is really starting to go on my tits with these deposit delays.

Is that an Australian colloquialism?  I find it puzzling.  It worries me to think that without an explanation, I will be trying to construct scenarios to explain this turn of speech all day long, while I am supposed to be using those brain cells to extract signals.  If your tits show up in the analytics feed, there will be hell to pay.

I hope they are songbirds, by the way.

[dreamspark]

700 wall is growing. The rest of the markets are pushing stamp right up against it but it doesnt look like we're going to break through in the immediate future.

[Hodlor]

Hodlor

[7thKingdom]

700 wall is growing. The rest of the markets are pushing stamp right up against it but it doesnt look like we're going to break through in the immediate future.

until it disappears out of the blue

[kkaspar]

When I started, somebody else had all the bitcoins, including the unmined, which I didn't plan to find myself.

It is no lottery, you are uninformed.

If everybody else are stupid, I loose. I bet they are not.

If everything play out as I expect, there are only winners, including the non-users.

You are free to make your own choice, but when you want to blame others for that, don't expect me to listen to you.

For an digital currency that is used for drug trade to get into the field of legal finance is a lottery. Most of the people here have absolutely no idea about finance and maybe that's the reason why it doesn't seem like a lottery to them.
I'm not blaming anyone here, I was just making fun of the absurdity of bitcoins coin supply and you seemed to take offense. Don't be so touchy if you want to look confident about this subject.

You're are pretty butthurt, hm? Anything else than drugs, childporn, launder, etc to offer? For sure not

Edit: Are you the guy from the NY hearings? "It has to walk and talk like banksters!!"

I must say that it's a little hard to combine thoughts from the words that you wrote... are you drunk or something?

Seldom since i don't like the disruptive effects ethanol brings. And sorry I was just making fun of the absurdity that you bring the same  BS again and again. Believe whatever you got told to believe and have fun

Yes, it's such a BS. It isn't absurd at all that half of the coins will come out in 5 years and the rest in the next 120 years or so. It genius! Divine even! If all the monetary systems in the world would work like this, then we would have freedom and liberty from these damn evil banksters! There wouldn't be problems with unfair wealth distribution and incompetent leadership if bitcoin ruled!!

[kkaspar]

If it won't turn out that BTC-E goxed my coins, then it seems that they actually did me a favor for stopping me from buying LTC

[seleme]

[Vigil]

If it won't turn out that BTC-E goxed my coins, then it seems that they actually did me a favor for stopping me from buying in

And Gox may still have many of the coins - rumor is that the gooberment confiscated them.

[ChrisML]

Curious what shit does when Bloomberg news comes out.

[ShroomsKit_Disgrace]

If it won't turn out that BTC-E goxed my coins, then it seems that they actually did me a favor for stopping me from buying in

And Gox may still have many of the coins - rumor is that the gooberment confiscated them.

LOL, how do you state such a BIG FACT (or rumor) in such a "small" way??