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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26851679 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
savetherainforest
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April 11, 2022, 02:58:37 PM

So looks like the whales are gunning for Bitcoin sub $40k and Eth sub $3k. It's mostly the Eth shitcoin they play these days.

Trying to spook the n00bs to panic sell again. Typical.


There is a FULL MOON IN LIBRA in a few days. That means until that it might crash a bit more, and after that IT WILL F^CK ALL RECORDS OF ALL TIME HIGHS !!  Shocked  Shocked


Because Libra rules: Law, Inherited Wealth, Balancing, Rules, Calibrating, Re-Calibrating, China. (Yes.. China is in the sign of Libra, & it is getting f^cked well around this time, and probably after the Full Moon it will remove all quarantines & lockdowns.. because reasons.)  Roll Eyes  Roll Eyes
JayJuanGee
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April 11, 2022, 02:59:05 PM

~ Cryptotourist is a hodler and a Bitcoin maximalist ~

Thanks Jay.
Juan also agrees with ya, but Gee wants you to insert this line again:

Code:
#Cryptotourist



I doubt that I was defending you to that extent, but I do question whether some members might be arriving at the wrong conclusion (that you are bitter for having had sold too many coin too soon) merely based on your being a dweeb in other regards.

Ultimately, they could be correct, but there are no real facts to support such assertions... and the logical conclusions are speculations that seem to contain way too many assumptions - even though it seems that most "normal" coiners (if there is such a thing) would not find it to be a very good use of their time to be engaged in attacking actual bitcoiners and even diverting us in this thread. 

We do likely have a pretty high level of coiners regularly participating in this thread - as compared to other random public bitcoin threads out there.

Doji candle Haha..

Hold your seats the journey ia going to began

Doji is an indecesive candle, not a trend reversal candle.

Also, the timeframe you are posting here is 4H.
Quote
The pattern can be found across any time frame but has greater significance on longer-term charts as more participants contribute to its formation.
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/long-legged-doji.asp

Quote
Alone, doji are neutral patterns that are also featured in a number of important patterns.
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/doji.asp

In the above example, we can see a Long-legged Doji.
Quote
The pattern is not always significant, and won't always mark the end of a trend—it could mark the start of a consolidation period, or it may just end up being an insignificant blip in the current trend.
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/long-legged-doji.asp

Glad to know here are people worse than me in TA.

Hahaha Considering last line as compliment always B+ ..

I have checked your Explanation as well but still its 4H so it is worth watching i know as the Larger the Time span we take the better results, for now, i am considering it as a hope.

By the My theory as i always mention it in my posts for the whole of 2022 is That a Side ways market within the range of 40k to 55k there are 80% chances for this probability still its market consider 20% New ATH or close to ATH.

Your numbers do not account for all of the possible BTC price directions.  You say80% odds for sideways within $40k and $55k for the remaining of 2022 and 20% odds for breaking out to the upside.  So, by deduction, you are asserting that there are 0% odds that we go below $40k?  Sure I like your optimism, but you are way too pie in the sky to be assigning such low odds to down (and probably your odds for staying in the range is too high.. so you probably would have been better off with 20/60/20.. so that your odds for breaking down or breaking up are equal.. even though I personally would give higher odds to UP too, but I surely would not assign up as 20% and down as 0%.. that is just too fantasylandia and failure/refusal to actually account for all of the possibilities (even if you might end up being wrong in terms of how much to assign to each, but it is a much better practice to attempt to account for all possibilities, even if you give a very low probability to some of the options - hint: it's gonna be nonzero even for some outrageous possibilities).
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April 11, 2022, 03:03:34 PM


Explanation
ImThour
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Bitcoin Bottom was at $15.4k


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April 11, 2022, 03:23:45 PM

For some reason, this person decided to make his first forum post in WO.  Roll Eyes


Is that your account?!?  Tongue  Cheesy  Roll Eyes  Roll Eyes

If it was mine, why would I point it out? Tongue
Maybe it's yours and I made it bad for you huh?

Oh, and he believes in HODL more than TA so absolutely not me.
EDIT: What's the point of creating another account, I don't join signature campaigns.

Basically why I accused you of that is because if you are a ignorant whore like me.
You don't see the posts of other people unless you do the print screen from your own account on the default settings.  Roll Eyes  Roll Eyes

You had to change the default settings to be able to do thatCheesy  Cheesy

Ah, I have these settings since 2020.



Maybe you ignored this post then
I can surely reach 700 merit if this person below can. LMAO.

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April 11, 2022, 03:25:37 PM

~~~~

Congratulations on 25,000 posts JJG.
I will make a tool to count the number of words you have posted in total 25k posts on a weekend.
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April 11, 2022, 03:30:46 PM
Merited by Toxic2040 (1)

~~~~

Congratulations on 25,000 posts JJG.
I will make a tool to count the number of words you have posted in total 25k posts on a weekend.

Can guestimate... its usually around million words per post kinda ball park.  Wink Grin Cheesy
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April 11, 2022, 03:33:15 PM

$1 million BTC bought every day, regardless of price

https://twitter.com/Capital15C/status/1512593429422919680/photo/1
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April 11, 2022, 03:41:54 PM

$1 million BTC bought every day, regardless of price

https://twitter.com/Capital15C/status/1512593429422919680/photo/1

You are welcome https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg59809876#msg59809876
JayJuanGee
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April 11, 2022, 03:51:26 PM

It is an Idea.
I think you should check it with these points.

All parabola with >50% linear corrections are cycles.
All tops found as log 1.618 extensions of cycle lows.
Cycle top ~$180k BTC.
Sub 50k potentially never seen again.
$1 million bitcoin projection at end of decade.

But please keep in my it is an Idea. Idea of Alternate Macro.
I'm still waiting for Bitcoin below $30k to buy. Do you think it's in vain?

You might have anywhere between 10% and 30% odds of achieving less than $30k at some point in bitcoin's future. I would not hold my breath.. and for sure, if you are adequately prepared for UP, then it may well not hurt to have some amount of low ball buy orders.  I think that quite a few longer time bitcoiners will save some fiat for those kinds of lower price scenarios, even if they believe them to be less likely.

Some of the problems with either no coiners or those folks who have not adequately/sufficiently prepared for the possibility of UP would come when they are holding too much value and waiting for a low entry BTC price point that might not end up materializing.. then they are just stuck without any coins.. so in that regard there should be some level of balance to at least have some value already invested so that you are adequately and sufficiently prepared for UP, too. 

The amount that you have prepared for each BTC price direction is surely a matter of discretion that should be largely tailored to all of your own personal circumstances; therefore, there are probably not any two people who structure their balances in terms of how much to prepare for UP, DOWN or sideways in the same exact way.

Disgusting. Now they have problem with dogs and cats.
Feeling so sad. Sad ☹️☹️☹️

https://mobile.twitter.com/Cynthia32496545/status/1513202563084165128

If they have problem with them.(which I think not a problem). So they can separate them. Why they are killing.?
So sad.😔


Not cool man...... not fucking cool at all.



 Well, well, well... look what the cat dragged in!



 Nice of you to drop in.   Hope things are going well Smiley


All good here ser Smiley and likewise hope life is treating you well too....

Well , you know, I had to pop in for the DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM

Wink

There is going to be some variation, but any of us who have been into bitcoin for several years (even a whole cycle) are not going to be feeling too much "doom" and gloom these days so long as our portfolios were largely already established prior to September 2020..

On the other hand, if you were still establishing after September 2020 or just getting started at some point after September 2020, then there could be various levels of nervousness in regards to how you might have played your buys/sells/HODLs or whatever.

I am not going to completely ignore the folks who might have thought that they  had been mostly prepared for UP prior to September 2020, and then figured out that they were not as "prepared" as they had thought that they had been... so in those respects, some of those folks might have ended up feeling way more doom and gloom than they should have felt in the event that they had gone through with a more adequate/meaningful preparations prior to September 2020.
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April 11, 2022, 03:57:08 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Talking of censorship crazy narrative control asshats...

The EU is continuing its attempt to strangle decentralised wallets..... never let a catastrophe go by without trying to capitalise on it huh?  they just cannot help themselves can they ? the commie stench coming from the EU is really really stinking now days, and they will only get worse and worse and worse as they circle the drain.  (and my guess is they will not stop until they strangle everything they can, and the net result will be death and starvation and basically decay and hopelessness, the European experiment is destined for shit)  

Also I bet Elizabeth Warren just squirted in her pants a little or maybe even a lot on this news.
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April 11, 2022, 03:59:03 PM
Merited by BobLawblaw (2)

It is an Idea.
I think you should check it with these points.

All parabola with >50% linear corrections are cycles.
All tops found as log 1.618 extensions of cycle lows.
Cycle top ~$180k BTC.
Sub 50k potentially never seen again.
$1 million bitcoin projection at end of decade.

But please keep in my it is an Idea. Idea of Alternate Macro.
I'm still waiting for Bitcoin below $30k to buy. Do you think it's in vain?

You might have anywhere between 10% and 30% odds of achieving less than $30k at some point in bitcoin's future. I would not hold my breath.. and for sure, if you are adequately prepared for UP, then it may well not hurt to have some amount of low ball buy orders.  I think that quite a few longer time bitcoiners will save some fiat for those kinds of lower price scenarios, even if they believe them to be less likely.

Some of the problems with either no coiners or those folks who have not adequately/sufficiently prepared for the possibility of UP would come when they are holding too much value and waiting for a low entry BTC price point that might not end up materializing.. then they are just stuck without any coins.. so in that regard there should be some level of balance to at least have some value already invested so that you are adequately and sufficiently prepared for UP, too.  

The amount that you have prepared for each BTC price direction is surely a matter of discretion that should be largely tailored to all of your own personal circumstances; therefore, there are probably not any two people who structure their balances in terms of how much to prepare for UP, DOWN or sideways in the same exact way.

Disgusting. Now they have problem with dogs and cats.
Feeling so sad. Sad ☹️☹️☹️

https://mobile.twitter.com/Cynthia32496545/status/1513202563084165128

If they have problem with them.(which I think not a problem). So they can separate them. Why they are killing.?
So sad.😔


Not cool man...... not fucking cool at all.



 Well, well, well... look what the cat dragged in!



 Nice of you to drop in.   Hope things are going well Smiley


All good here ser Smiley and likewise hope life is treating you well too....

Well , you know, I had to pop in for the DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM

Wink

There is going to be some variation, but any of us who have been into bitcoin for several years (even a whole cycle) are not going to be feeling too much "doom" and gloom these days so long as our portfolios were largely already established prior to September 2020..

On the other hand, if you were still establishing after September 2020 or just getting started at some point after September 2020, then there could be various levels of nervousness in regards to how you might have played your buys/sells/HODLs or whatever.

I am not going to completely ignore the folks who might have thought that they  had been mostly prepared for UP prior to September 2020, and then figured out that they were not as "prepared" as they had thought that they had been... so in those respects, some of those folks might have ended up feeling way more doom and gloom than they should have felt in the event that they had gone through with a more adequate/meaningful preparations prior to September 2020.


DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM does not care about your portfolio, nor your feels, not you, not anyone. DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM only cares for DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM...

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April 11, 2022, 03:59:25 PM

Ah, didn't saw you posted earlier. Good Job Wink
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April 11, 2022, 04:00:30 PM

Bitcoin on Daily Timeframe

Let's see how it plays from here. RSI already broke the support trendline and I think BTC will do the same otherwise it will be considered a bearish RSI divergence.
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April 11, 2022, 04:01:00 PM
Merited by BobLawblaw (2), JayJuanGee (1)

i want to be very clear here

i am and have never recommended buying or selling

i am a stacker and dca'er....seems to work best for me along with hodl

so what i post is either supposed to be humorous or speculation

understood?  everyone needs to make their own informed decisions

that is all



---------------------



its all in the price....people are scared...shit in the EU is not improving...its getting worse....shock effects still havent reached most of the USA except in fuel costs

price will do what price will do...

just disappointed...for something that aspires to be the world reserve currency, the last years performance...and more importantly...the last few weeks...when everyones eyes have been on it..has been horrible

i dont know if its by design or just typical April(bowel)movements

time to batten down the hatches and ride it out







dyor


downward tenken sen kijun sen crossing presenting...not usually good for price...typical 10% to 30% drops are common following confirmation  
D


D

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April 11, 2022, 04:03:39 PM

i want to be very clear here

i am and have never recommended buying or selling

i am a stacker and dca'er....seems to work best for me along with hodl

so what i post is either supposed to be humorous or speculation

understood?  everyone needs to make their own informed decisions

that is all



---------------------






As my financial advisor, I appreciate your straightforwardness , thank you ser  Grin
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April 11, 2022, 04:03:57 PM

OT: https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/11/tech/elon-musk-twitter-board/index.html

So now Elon Musk isn't going to be on Twitter's board? Is this guy ever serious about anything, or just a tiring blowhard?  Roll Eyes

So much for enacting any change at Twitter. If he's not at least a board member, he'll have exactly zero influence over their business model.

Unless he does a hostile takeover.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/index.html

Quote
Had he taken a board seat, the SpaceX CEO would have been limited in how much of the company's shares he could own, with a 14.9 percent cap. 

Musk could now remain a passive investor or plan a hostile takeover of the company.

Hope so.... Twitter as it is , is a dirty echo chamber narrative control censorship crazy virtue signalling shit hole, absolute dirt.

Maybe Musk didn't like the conditions of taking a seat on the board. The Chief Executive said he would have "to act in the best interests of the company and all our shareholders". Best interests is an umbrella term that could mean anything the company wants it to.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10706401/Elon-Musk-NOT-join-board-Twitter-CEO-says-believe-best.html

Quote
We also believed that having Elon as a fiduciary of the company where he, like all board members, has to act in the best interests of the company and all our shareholders, was the best path forward.

Fiduciary duties have various requirements under the law, and it is not merely what the "company" might say that it wants.. so fuck that nonsense definition regarding what a fiduciary is.  In essence a fiduciary can still have a lot of discretion, but a fiduciary is also going to be subject to law suits from the company, shareholders or the government if it seems that the fiduciary is acting against the interests of the shareholders, for example.  I guess my point is that even if the fiduciary has obligations, a fiduciary also has a wide-range of reasonableness in carrying out its fiduciary duties, so I would imagine that Musk is way the fuck too childish in both what he wants to do than to be restricted by fiduciary duties, even if those fiduciary duties would still leave him with a lot of discretion.. but it would not allow him to be his typical self of being all the fuck over the place and making base-less requests regarding what he would like or not like and then flip-flopping all over the place unless he could establish some kind of reasonable basis (even if others might not agree with his reasonableness, but if he were to continue with his historical practices of all over the place nonsense, then he likely would end up putting himself in legal jeopardy sooner or later - probably sooner).
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April 11, 2022, 04:04:54 PM


Explanation
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April 11, 2022, 04:20:05 PM
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3:35: "But, there was also a concern about climate change". Yea, tell that to the bankers.
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April 11, 2022, 04:30:34 PM

As my financial advisor, I appreciate your straightforwardness , thank you ser  Grin

+1 WOsMerit




and hello you old salty dog

nice to see you around  Smiley
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April 11, 2022, 04:34:12 PM
Merited by BobLawblaw (2)

OT: https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/11/tech/elon-musk-twitter-board/index.html

So now Elon Musk isn't going to be on Twitter's board? Is this guy ever serious about anything, or just a tiring blowhard?  Roll Eyes

So much for enacting any change at Twitter. If he's not at least a board member, he'll have exactly zero influence over their business model.

What about this....  What about the guy at Apple high up... the one that he talks to regularly...  Called him. 

"Heya Elon".  Nice move there with the TWTR purchase.  Don't know what you are planning to do, but I can tell you something buddy.  The big guys are talking about pulling The Twitter from the App store.  You don't want that, I'm sure"

"Oh yeah?  Google beat us to the punch??  saying the same thing?"

"Odd that."

"Anyway... nice talking to you as always".

Click.
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