Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

Sold a gpu so I grabbed more btc.

Stack be growing.

You about to sell everything to get the Dip

no. he wont sell his cat.

The cat is not for sale.

Here is what is selling now


https://www.ebay.com/str/philipma1957computergearandmore


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5528290.0


I WILL keep listing more.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[WatChe]

did i miss sunday??
like wow that weed was super!
gonna get me more

#almostasundayhaiku

Learn from the past mistakes, make sure you won't miss any upcoming Saturday or Sunday.

[Paashaas]

$400k Bitcoin baby, let's go!


X.

[vapourminer]

did i miss sunday??
like wow that weed was super!
gonna get me more

#almostasundayhaiku

Learn from the past mistakes, make sure you won't miss any upcoming Saturday or Sunday.

well in my defense with being retired and all there are no days of the week.. its just all, well, daytime.

so if i see haikus on here i figure its sunday and head to church.

WO is my calander

[cygan]

hello wo-gents!!!
new free raffle has started: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5535808.0

still some free spots available!
if you want to be in possession of a nice and shiny Icarus card, you should take part there

[hypebrother]

hello wo-gents!!!
new free raffle has started: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5535808.0

still some free spots available!
if you want to be in possession of a nice and shiny Icarus card, you should take part there

i tried twice
better than no mice

[philipma1957]

hello wo-gents!!!
new free raffle has started: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5535808.0

still some free spots available!
if you want to be in possession of a nice and shiny Icarus card, you should take part there

thank you maybe I will get lucky with it.

[LFC_Bitcoin]

I have been following the relationship between Global M2 Money Supply vs Bitcoin for a while now. Various analysts have a thesis that Bitcoin follows the liquidity injection trail of Global M2 Money Supply with a lag. The Power Law, devised by Giovanni also supports this.

If this relationship continues, we will see the next and possibly last, violent leg up of this bull run very soon. Fingers crossed it plays out. Rocket launch in 1-2
2 months.


@ColinTCrypto
Global M2 Money Supply vs Bitcoin

The predictive correlation forecasts a BTC blast off around May 1st, lasting for 2 months.

As we have observed, the offset appears to slowly and gradually shift as time moves on. As such, I have taken a fresh look.

Currently, it looks to me like a 108 day M2 offset has the best mathematical and visual correlation for recent time frames (the past 180 days).

For those who say "you keep changing the date", read this: https://x.com/ColinTCrypto/status/1902460391055098128

-- Some observations and comments --

🔹 It's amazing how the BTC price chart's valleys and peaks continues to trace the M2 line, even with the smaller movements inside this "MINI RALLY THAT FAILS?" box.

🔹 On the far right side of the chart, the M2 line appears to have taken a fairly steep correction. I think it's too early to jump to conclusions for that being the top, but it may be a future local top for BTC. Let's see what it does next. By the time we get there we will have a lot more data. That is the advantage of this correlation. We have 108 days (currently) of advance notice. That's a lot of time for new data.

If the M2 line does continue to head down (on the right side of the chart), then that may mark the top of the Bitcoin bull run.

🔹 Keep in mind the M2 vs BTC correlation is just one method of analyzing where we are in the bull run. I will continue to use things like cbbi.info and other metrics when we get closer to a top, to make a more thorough analysis. But as I see it, the M2 offers a great macro look into liquidity and I think it's a great tool to have in the analysis toolbox.

🔹 Let's see if this "MINI RALLY THAT FAILS?" area on the chart plays out or not. If it does, then it validates the 108 day offset. If BTC decides to blast off immediately instead, then it would validate a 70 day offset.

🔹 I am observing this fascinating correlation with you guys. Remember: it's just one metric of many we can be looking at, and no metric is 100%. But it's certainly fun to watch and seems to have some value.

🔹 LEARN MORE. If this subject of Global M2 correlation to BTC price movements is new to you, please watch this video with a full explainer. You will be fully educated by the end: https://x.com/ColinTCrypto/status/1900169986057879628


https://x.com/colintcrypto/status/1905285924054847987

[kellrobinson]

This oscillator uses trig functions and moving averages of 210,000 blocks, which makes it top once and bottom once per halving.  The next top may be five months away or so unless bitcoin misbehaves, which it usually seems to do sooner or later (just look at 2021).  I scaled the oscillator arbitrarily and superimposed it on the price chart.

[AlcoHoDL]

Units? Legends? What are we looking at?

This post carries no information whatsoever.

Edit: I see you've added some info now...

[kellrobinson]

If the image looks confusing at first glance, it simply shows bitcoin's price history in green with USD on the vertical axis.  Then an oscillator is superimposed, at arbitrary scale and position so as to show its correspondence with the price to best effect, in blue.  The oscillator uses trig functions and moving means of 210,000 blocks, which makes it top once and bottom once per halving.  Oscillator input comprises btc daily closes and block timestamps.  
The oscillator has not reached the top of the current cycle.  Maybe I'll get lucky and the oscillator will track the price movement like in 2017, but maybe we'll get some crazy stuff like in 2021.

[Biodom]

Units? Legends? What are we looking at?

This post carries no information whatsoever.

Edit: I see you've added some info now...

Cool, but what is the black/blue graph is measured in?
It has got to have something on the right size of the graph, perhaps? The numerical value probably should be there, even if it an arbitrary number.
Conclusion: we are still under "up-wiggling" on the blue/black chart, right?

Patiently waiting for that final ooompf..some say 216K (me ), some say 444K (that X-poet...forgot his actual last name), some (A Hayes) say "some distinct number" [which could be 500k or 1 mil, I suppose].

[hypebrother]

This oscillator uses trig functions and moving averages of 210,000 blocks, which makes it top once and bottom once per halving.  The next top may be five months away or so unless bitcoin misbehaves, which it usually seems to do sooner or later (just look at 2021).  I scaled the oscillator arbitrarily and superimposed it on the price chart.

OG MEME

I was a freelance artist but unforunately, i put my gpu (to fix) in an oven. I am a fool who didn't have time to see what kindof oven.

edit: my laptop got hot also, so i kept a table fan to cool it.

[xhomerx10]

If the image looks confusing at first glance, it simply shows bitcoin's price history in green with USD on the vertical axis.  Then an oscillator is superimposed, at arbitrary scale and position so as to show its correspondence with the price to best effect, in blue.  The oscillator uses trig functions and moving means of 210,000 blocks, which makes it top once and bottom once per halving.  Oscillator input comprises btc daily closes and block timestamps.  
The oscillator has not reached the top of the current cycle.  Maybe I'll get lucky and the oscillator will track the price movement like in 2017, but maybe we'll get some crazy stuff like in 2021.

 I painted a thousand words for the WO:

 

[Biodom]

If the image looks confusing at first glance, it simply shows bitcoin's price history in green with USD on the vertical axis.  Then an oscillator is superimposed, at arbitrary scale and position so as to show its correspondence with the price to best effect, in blue.  The oscillator uses trig functions and moving means of 210,000 blocks, which makes it top once and bottom once per halving.  Oscillator input comprises btc daily closes and block timestamps.  
The oscillator has not reached the top of the current cycle.  Maybe I'll get lucky and the oscillator will track the price movement like in 2017, but maybe we'll get some crazy stuff like in 2021.

 I painted a thousand words for the WO:

 

That is some dedication to WO wants and needs  

[xhomerx10]

If the image looks confusing at first glance, it simply shows bitcoin's price history in green with USD on the vertical axis.  Then an oscillator is superimposed, at arbitrary scale and position so as to show its correspondence with the price to best effect, in blue.  The oscillator uses trig functions and moving means of 210,000 blocks, which makes it top once and bottom once per halving.  Oscillator input comprises btc daily closes and block timestamps.  
The oscillator has not reached the top of the current cycle.  Maybe I'll get lucky and the oscillator will track the price movement like in 2017, but maybe we'll get some crazy stuff like in 2021.

 I painted a thousand words for the WO:

 

That is some dedication to WO wants and needs  

  Thanks I try.

[Dark.Look]

Units? Legends? What are we looking at?

This post carries no information whatsoever.

Edit: I see you've added some info now...

To be honest, we all know how we can be sure about the price of Bitcoin. No way!! There is simply no way for it.
But I think the current price of bitcoin needs a price correction, and we should wait to see if bitcoin price saves some more potential to have a higher all-time high in the future.

[adam.sandler]

Friends, if the news of the United States preparing for a possible attack on the nuclear facilities of the Islamic Republic regime in Iran becomes a reality and this attack is carried out, what do you think will happen to the price trend of Bitcoin?

https://www.newsweek.com/us-iran-nuclear-list-conflict-2050825
https://news-pravda.com/world/2025/03/22/1169617.html
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/03/27/trump-iran-nuclear-israel-saudi-arabia-khamenei-mbs-military-strike/?tpcc=recirc_latest062921