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October 14, 2025, 02:47:32 PM *
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Poll
Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26858210 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Franklyn-wood
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Today at 06:37:46 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1), Ivystar5 (1)


You have to remember that LFC has more than 10 years in bitcoin, and he likely did most of his BTC accumulation in the first cycle and perhaps bleeding a bit into his second cycle that also involved his spoiling himself by selling and then buying back cheaper..
The idea of selling his Bitcoin too early is not good enough and I don't see that as true hodler if the goal is to be buying an selling when the price of Bitcoin goes down. Those that are true holders do not panic when price go down and when price up up since the goal is to hold for a certain period of time which being bothered on what next happens in the market.

So he does not really consider himself an accumulator anymore except buying on dips, even though maybe it would do him some good to go back to his roots, and buy some on the dip, rather than whining about them.. but at the same time, he may have lost his way, too.
 When a holder considered buying the dip has a way to make money from the market, they should always have another though about that because people are doing so many things to help themselves but the idea is not good enough. Buying the dip is cool but taking that as a habit is frankly seen as too weak approach to the holding sense.

For sure, with beginners, anyone in their first whole bitcoin cycle, they should not get distracted by what longer term bitcoiners are doing, since they likely need to just concentrate on buying for at least a whole cycle, and perhaps even a couple of cycles before they might start get to the point of having enough or more than enough bitcoin, which is quite likely LFC's current status.. (or at least how he thinks about his current status related to bitcoin, even though he is proclaiming disappointment, which many of us longer term bitcoins are likely somewhat bothered by his saying those kinds of things - even though sure, he has a right to say what he likes and feel what he feels.
The concentration should be on buying and accumulate and the idea of the old Bitcoiners selling part of their holdings should not be a distraction. It only takes those that understand the market to stay firm and turn a deaf hear to all the noises in the market by whales and big portfolios talking about taking profits.
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Today at 07:01:13 AM


Explanation
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Explanation
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LFC_Bitcoin
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Today at 08:20:11 AM

Degenerate gambler or this guy knows something?

Powell speaks later today, could give us a clue about if the Fed is going to cut rates later this month. Feels like we are close to knowing if this bull run is over.


@crypto_chatter1
🚨 JUST IN: SOMETHING IS HAPPENING

The insider whale now upped his $BTC short to $498M.

This is the same guy who shorted just before Trump's speech.

Is there something he knows that we don't?

https://x.com/crypto_chatter1/status/1977999815737839921


Please God let Powell be dovish later. We need something to save this bull run.
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Today at 09:01:16 AM


Explanation
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Today at 09:49:21 AM
Last edit: Today at 10:24:36 AM by d_eddie
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Degenerate gambler or this guy knows something?

Powell speaks later today, could give us a clue about if the Fed is going to cut rates later this month. Feels like we are close to knowing if this bull run is over.


@crypto_chatter1
🚨 JUST IN: SOMETHING IS HAPPENING

The insider whale now upped his $BTC short to $498M.

This is the same guy who shorted just before Trump's speech.

Is there something he knows that we don't?

https://x.com/crypto_chatter1/status/1977999815737839921

Please God let Powell be dovish later. We need something to save this bull run.

I hope the insider shorter is just hoping to capitalize on the up/down whiplash that always happens in these circumstances. I don't know anything though: this is just hope and hunches, not even rigorous SOMA.

EDIT When the mysterious insider closes the position, there should be a significant bounce up anyway.
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Today at 10:01:15 AM


Explanation
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LoyceV
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Today at 10:13:59 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1)

@crypto_chatter1
🚨 JUST IN: SOMETHING IS HAPPENING
The insider whale now upped his $BTC short to $498M.
This is the same guy who shorted just before Trump's speech.
Is there something he knows that we don't?
The fact that this is posted on social media can make it a self-fulfilling prophecy.
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Today at 10:35:23 AM

@crypto_chatter1
🚨 JUST IN: SOMETHING IS HAPPENING
The insider whale now upped his $BTC short to $498M.
This is the same guy who shorted just before Trump's speech.
Is there something he knows that we don't?
The fact that this is posted on social media can make it a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Well we’re about to go under 110k so this is not going as planned into a Q4 ‘bull market’

See you in another 4 years I guess.
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Today at 10:35:33 AM
Last edit: Today at 11:01:11 AM by somac.
Merited by vapourminer (1)

It is starting to look like we won't really be included on the debasement trade, everything is going to gold. Apparently, if the price goes below 95k that will mean 60% of Bitcoin will be in loss (Ah, I confirmed, 60% of the dollars invested, not number of Bitcoin)), in which case my bet is that the bear will start. Bitcoin used to be very retail driven (probably because retail is tapped out), now it is not, nation and corporate money will be chasing gold and Mag 7, until it doesn't. At which point Bitcoin will probably shine again.

I'm not saying that we won't be going up still, it's just that the bear will be severe under performance compared to gold and Mag 7. Hopefully I'm wrong, because we've been under performing for a while now.
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Today at 10:36:16 AM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (7)

Tariffs fear is back + bearish Powel is game over.

Going back in hibernation.

Take care, see you all in 2029.
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Today at 10:37:25 AM

Tariffs fear is back + bearish Powel is game over.

Going back to a 4 year hibernation.

Take care, see you all in 2029.

I don't think 4 years.
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Today at 10:48:46 AM
Merited by Paashaas (1)

Tariffs fear is back + bearish Powel is game over.

Going back in hibernation.

Take care, see you all in 2029.

Yeah this crab/bull market is over.

$150,000 in 2029 if we’re lucky.

Not selling anything else but throwing in the towel on any hopes of another ATH for the foreseeable future, market is just so weak, no buying pressure.
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Today at 10:49:30 AM




x

This is the best example of decentralization. No bank account, no paperwork, just a smart phone, their freedom has been revealed. It is not limited to just one and a half investors, but has become open to everyone and is being used freely.
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Today at 10:59:44 AM
Merited by Hueristic (1)

We need a new poll. Is the bull over? yes/no
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Today at 11:01:14 AM


Explanation
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Today at 11:12:07 AM

from on chain analyst CheckonChain

Quote
So that brings us to the final chart, where we can summarise my current thinking about the key lines in the sand. These levels align both from an onchain perspective, but also from a technical analysis perspective using the volume profile:

    So far, we’re still above the STH cost basis at $114k, and this is the bulls first line of defence. To our credit, the bears **still** have not taken this level out, which is a good thing, and arguably shows meaningful strength for now.

    If the price gets down as far as $105k or even $100k, we really do need the bulls to step in. This is the mid-point of the range, and the last major volume node before $95k. The 200DMA is there, and we have bottomed out at this equivalent level in both 2024 and 2025.

    The bulls last stand is at $95k in my opinion, and I think we should all be very cognisant that things probably deteriorate rapidly as we approach it. It is the bulls last stand, so it can hold…but one has to ask how the bulls allowed the price to get this far down in the first place.

However…it’s not all bad news.

These levels obviously map out a bear case scenario, and we must be very conscious that this is only one potential outcome.

By the same note, a break above $118k would put us above the top-most volume point of control, and if cleared, would be the second time we have survived a failed ATH break below it.

If we break above $118k, I believe we’re off to the races, and I stand by my previous post noting that we have earned a serious shot at $150k.
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Today at 11:18:28 AM
Merited by somac. (2), vapourminer (1), JayJuanGee (1), psycodad (1)

We need a new poll. Is the bull over? yes/no
Over? I just found a nice house in Montana to retire when Bitcoin hits $100M. It has all the basics, like indoor and outdoor swimming pool, movie theater, bowling alley, gun range.... The basics Tongue
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Today at 11:26:30 AM

Elon Musk said this about Bitcoin a few hours ago on X.

“That is why Bitcoin is based on energy: you can issue fake fiat currency, and every government in history has done so, but it is impossible to fake energy.”

Historically it has been bad when Elon mentions a cryptocurrency. Maybe this time will be different.
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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Today at 11:49:22 AM
Merited by Hueristic (1), JayJuanGee (1)

We need a new poll. Is the bull over? yes/no

can we have something more cheerful as a poll? like "will the sun go supernova tomorrow" or something?
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