Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[cAPSLOCK]

ok! i will be honest with you, I know nothing of BTC, I was a newbie who hyped my way to 19 merits. Anyways, If you are wondering what I'd do for a living?

Most of us likely knew what you were after sir...  Here have another merit.

As to your work... looks like you are most likely a Sherpa.

[BTCETFInvestor]

@cAPSLOCK - The crowd really missed Big Al, and the new bassist just couldn't match the passion they had for the previous one; dontcha know.  

You may need to remind me who big Al is, does this have to do with the garage venue or something? Are you done with the trip?

Yep, all done with the trip. Thanks for asking! I flew into Asheville and checked out my condo in Weaverville and drove all around Asheville, including the Emma and Woodfin area; then went on to The Villages to visit some elderly relatives and to attend Rocky Fest in The Villages last night. It was nice being back in the mountains, but the time spent in Florida and the music was also really enjoyable...

[hypebrother]

ok! i will be honest with you, I know nothing of BTC, I was a newbie who hyped my way to 19 merits. Anyways, If you are wondering what I'd do for a living?

Most of us likely knew what you were after sir...  Here have another merit.

As to your work... looks like you are most likely a Sherpa.

Almost..please don't ask more, i have revealed some important information in an attempt to promote my sweat wallet.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[WatChe]

So 4 liters for 6 usd .

actually not terrible price.

in California it is :

These are results for los angeles gas price today
Search instead for los angles gas price today
Los Angeles-Long Beach
                       Regular     Mid
Current Avg.   $5.971   $6.192
Yesterday Avg.   $5.960   $6.185
Week Ago Avg.   $5.798   $6.002
Month Ago Avg.   $4.694   $4.929

In my state of NJ about $3.80 a gallon

a US gallon is around 3.785 liters

so $6.192x1.057=$6.545 for 4 liters mid/high

so it cost more  in  los angles than in your country for 4 liters of gas.

We can't compare USD in Pakistan to USD in USA. They have different meanings in both countries.

If we do little research on google then we can figure out that average income per month in Pakistan is $292 per month or 82,100 Pak Rupee (1 USD = 282 Pak rupee). While average income in USA is $6,228 per month and that equals 1,756,296 Pak Rupee.
 
If you are earning Pak Rupee 82,100 per month in Pakistan then 410 pak rupee/litre (high octane) is too much for you and only few can afford that luxury.
 

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[hypebrother]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

FLAWLESS VICTORY

[AlcoHoDL]

Brent up, Bitcoin down.
Vlad and Jinping thank Donald,
For a job well done!

Steer clear of Lambos.
A gesture of compassion,
To the elderly.

Phil questioning things.
An existential crisis.
It happens with age.

Bitcoin is worthless?
Go hide inside a Lambo.
Good luck getting out!

Six months in the red.
History repeats itself.
Follow the rabbit!

Is a true half-truth,
The same as a half-true truth?
She looks sad, so sad.

Stochastic process.
Deterministic outcome.
If you HODL, you know!

#7wodigestsundayhaikus

[cAPSLOCK]

@cASPSLOCK - She looks perplexed to say the least - maybe a little bit concerned.

She is suffering because she loves humanity and since humans are being lead by ognasty insisting that the four year coin cycle is in

command of and still linked to price.

Despite her great magic humans are sad creatures of habit looking into the dark magic of oggggg and following it instead of following

her to the moon.

As the Donald says sad so sad.

She is not terribly smart. But she makes up for it with a combination of diligence and magic.

She wants to understand "cycle Theory" which she keeps hearing about, wondering if she should adjust any of her wands to harmonize with it.

Problem is she can't read a lick.  So she's mostly looking at diagrams.

[OgNasty]

She is suffering because she loves humanity and since humans are being lead by ognasty insisting that the four year coin cycle is in

command of and still linked to price.

Despite her great magic humans are sad creatures of habit looking into the dark magic of oggggg and following it instead of following

her to the moon.

As the Donald says sad so sad.

I’m not trying to lead anyone. I don’t care if people get rich or not. I just told folks what was going to happen. Makes no difference to my stack whatsoever what other people do.

[hypebrother]

@cASPSLOCK - She looks perplexed to say the least - maybe a little bit concerned.

She is suffering because she loves humanity and since humans are being lead by ognasty insisting that the four year coin cycle is in

command of and still linked to price.

Despite her great magic humans are sad creatures of habit looking into the dark magic of oggggg and following it instead of following

her to the moon.

As the Donald says sad so sad.

She is not terribly smart. But she makes up for it with a combination of diligence and magic.

She wants to understand "cycle Theory" which she keeps hearing about, wondering if she should adjust any of her wands to harmonize with it.

Problem is she can't read a lick.  So she's mostly looking at diagrams.

click it bitch

[Biodom]

She is suffering because she loves humanity and since humans are being lead by ognasty insisting that the four year coin cycle is in

command of and still linked to price.

Despite her great magic humans are sad creatures of habit looking into the dark magic of oggggg and following it instead of following

her to the moon.

As the Donald says sad so sad.

I’m not trying to lead anyone. I don’t care if people get rich or not. I just told folks what was going to happen. Makes no difference to my stack whatsoever what other people do.

2x is not rich, unless you are already rich and if you are already rich, 1/2 would not make you "not rich".

I have developed my 2026-2028 plans..with not much happening in 2026 and most action scheduled for 2028.

IMHO, 2029 would NOT be the year of the market peak, this one is getting more or less clear.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[hypebrother]

I was just playing along 

[Hueristic]

I was just playing along 

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[LFC_Bitcoin]

I have developed my 2026-2028 plans..with not much happening in 2026 and most action scheduled for 2028.

IMHO, 2029 would NOT be the year of the market peak, this one is getting more or less clear.

I think 2026 will be the year we bottom, we haven’t bottomed yet.

2027 sideways chop, slight price increase.

2028 bull run with 2029 peak & then beginning of next bear market.

[hypebrother]

I have developed my 2026-2028 plans..with not much happening in 2026 and most action scheduled for 2028.

IMHO, 2029 would NOT be the year of the market peak, this one is getting more or less clear.

I think 2026 will be the year we bottom, we haven’t bottomed yet.

2027 sideways chop, slight price increase.

2028 bull run with 2029 peak & then beginning of next bear market.

This is how I roll! ♠️




Edit: unknown time UTC

Gimme Shelter

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Biodom]

I have developed my 2026-2028 plans..with not much happening in 2026 and most action scheduled for 2028.

IMHO, 2029 would NOT be the year of the market peak, this one is getting more or less clear.

I think 2026 will be the year we bottom, we haven’t bottomed yet.

2027 sideways chop, slight price increase.

2028 bull run with 2029 peak & then beginning of next bear market.

That would be way too conservative and kind of boring..same as before.
Here are my contrarian arguments:

1. We had an ATH before the halving in 2024- Mar 25 vs halving on April 19, 2024.
2. This trend should accelerate, imho, as people would have an earlier pricing in.
3. According to cyclists next peak would not exceed 189K (taking into consideration all of the prior trends and expecting them to continue-like halving of the % rise from the low in each cycle, etc.).
4. 130-140K in 2028 vs bird in the sky $189K in 2029 would make no difference to me considering 75-80% probability of #5-my guesstimate (59% on Poly, currently, and rising fast).
5. A party change likely occurs in 2028 in US (with the official change in Jan 2029). Everything points out to this as a likely outcome.
6. The new anti-bitcoin admin might start treating btc gains as a regular income (at the minimum; with up to 50% taxation in some states).
Something worse might happen too (congressional committees investigations, etc) and this will drastically reduce the chance of even getting to 189K in 2029 (albeit, we might get there in 2028).
7. Taxation overall would go through the roof as they would try to pay for the social programs that would be necessitated by the AI impact.

I conclude that selling around the halving (or at least before Nov 2028 elections) would be the right move...and because it would be the right move, people would start doing it earlier like that Summer 2025 a-hole who sold $9bil of btc because, well, he needed every penny of it and didn't want to wait until the eventual slightly higher October top that was predicted by the cyclists. Billion here, billion there, not a big deal  .