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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26406472 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
JayJuanGee
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August 12, 2014, 08:43:34 PM



Nothing to do with school, I am just surprised we are back here again.


ok ... so do you have a wife or children?  I usually do this with hand drawn pictures as the example but today I think fingers suit better...

So say you have a wife and children ? How valuable to you (and them) are their fingers?  to me they are WORTH nothing...  and the PRICE I give you for them
on the open market is $0

Lets switch this around- do your wife and childrens fingers have any VALUE to you? if so how much are they WORTH to you? and what PRICE will you pay to keep them all in one place with fingers attached to loved ones? more than my PRICE of $0? I bet and why is that? it is because they have more VALUE to you then they do to me, for me the PRICE  for your loved ones fingers is $0 for you I imagine and hope a very large figure lets say $100,000 or more


something something <snip>



look above, I did read to the end of that line and there you lost me.... a value of thing is not determined by my self only, it is determined by a whole community, if we think that the value (call it price if you want) of 1 Liter of milk is worth 1$ but then one farmer based on the miracle of grass and water going into the cow and turning out as milk (and shit and pee) think that that liter of milk is worth at least $1000, that farmer is going to have some bad time selling his shit. but if 20% of farmers think so then there is 20% of greedy motherfuckers, because 80% disagree.

we can go on and on trying to define this (I am wrong with the possibility of being right), but I personally am not buying that theory, wherever I go I pay €€ as a value of a thing. the value translate to that €€ and I didn't see yet in my life a community agrees on something having more value but lower price!!! in fact that just doesn't make any sense to me.


Edit: did read to the end and I just realized where your confusion is, you are defining the filthy capitalism.

  

Further evidence of refusal to learn.. or even to try to learn... or to understand basic concepts:    so sad..  Sad  much cry..  Cry   Almost to the point of being hilarious...  Cheesy
mmitech
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August 12, 2014, 08:44:31 PM


That is part of the reason that some people in this thread deem you as "retarded" b/c you cannot seem to differentiate concepts, and what makes it worse is that you fail to recognize your inability to differentiate concepts and then to insist upon your own inadequate view of the way that things work in the world.

sold some at $1060, $980 and $630 and the rest yesterday at $585  and I was right from February till today, I got one wrong call that Risto had right, but sure you can cry about me being a moron.... at least I try to analyze thing, you are just emotionally attached to your investments.

I do not know what emotions are
http://media1.giphy.com/media/8aTqdbj4UBnTW/giphy.gif

that guy is obsessed with me, he cant handle it... just for the record, I am a faithful married guy with two kids ( if you are a woman, and I am not gay if you are a guy) so stop trying  Cheesy

what ?

by that guy I meant JayJuanGee, and I quoted you by mistake, otherwise I didn't understand the meaning of that gif.
mmitech
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August 12, 2014, 08:46:34 PM

@mmitech Haven´t you wrote 2-3 days ago that your sentiment changed bullish when we were around 595$, However it seem that you have deleted that post now, lol.
Are you possibly the personification of ShroomsKits fictional trader alter ego?

I didn't delete that post, and yes a week ago I said that it is looking bullish, I've changed my mind and lost $5K for not selling at the time.
JayJuanGee
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August 12, 2014, 08:47:21 PM

Even the most ardent long term investors are growing tired of the slow bleed down and want to drop this under performing investment. So that's what we're seeing now... it's not manipulation.

You can't blame them; asking people to hold a stake in relatively new technology that has been in a bear market for 9 months is a pretty tall order, and at this stage in the technology life cycle, is a pretty good indicator that interest has simply dried up and moved elsewhere. We all know the "honey badger" and all that, but continuing to hold in this kind of market is basically a leap of faith.

O><K.... sell... Good bye!!!!    Tongue
empowering
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August 12, 2014, 08:47:43 PM

Think the smartest guy I know is pretty skint , but does have a bungalow with sea views and lives on a tropical island a literal stones throw from a beach, oh and he has a boat.....  spends his life with his family, and  spending his days fishing and laughing with tourists, then in the evening a few beers,  getting stoned and BBQ and dancing.. man.. that guy really could not give a fuck about Bitcoin..  when I am wealthy wise enough... I want his life  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
oda.krell
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August 12, 2014, 08:52:23 PM

With Metcalfe's law, bitcoin is indeed quite promising, as the users have been increasing and are expected to increase further.
This means the value of bitcoin is increasing. Could this argument be valid?
We do not know whether the number of "bitcoin users" is increasing.

The sources that I know (such as blockchan.info) do not give that information.  They give some quantities (such as wallet software downloads, transactions per day, total BTC volume per day) from which some people claim to be able to derive the number of users.  However, those quantities include an unknown amount of operations that do not imply real additional use.  Some of them (like total BTC volume) have been relatively constant for the last 6 months.  Moreover, there is no information at all about people who stopped "using" bitcoin, e.g. after buying a bit just for curiosity.


Yes, we actually do.

blockchain.info stats aren't the only source saying so. Online wallet stats, number of vendors accepting Bitcoin... there's plenty of evidence of growth well above linear increase (cue: "doesn't mean it's long-term exponential").

Your argument runs down to: but all those stats could be faked/manipulated by entities high enough in the decision chain of exchanges or websites. While theoretically possible, you have to ask yourself it is the most likely explanation of the data.

There's plenty of fraud and deception in the Bitcoin ecosystem, but what you seem to have in mind is a level of organized deception that you cannot simply "claim" to be the reason for the data. If you have solid proof for it, let us know. Otherwise, I could dismiss anthropogenic global warming by claiming that measuring stations world wide were manipulated by Jewish space lizards -- it's a possibility, y'know.

tl;dr The most likely reason to generate data indicating exponential growth in usage is actual usage. Claiming otherwise requires evidence, which I have yet to see.

It doesn't have to be manipulation. Say you're laundering coins on a regular basis. Say you're using Blockchain.info to do this. How many throwaway wallets a month would an automated system built for this purpose generate? What about several of them?

Valid point. But as I pointed out: similar growth is visible across different key metrics.

Also, to stay with your "coin laundering" example, why would there need to be *more* wallets as time progresses (unless adoption by criminals also increases)?

Note, by the way, that this doesn't necessarily mean that we don't have an inflated price. Just that network growth seems a) natural and b) quite clearly exponential (perhaps in "bursts" of growth, though)
empowering
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August 12, 2014, 08:58:44 PM

@mmitech Haven´t you wrote 2-3 days ago that your sentiment changed bullish when we were around 595$, However it seem that you have deleted that post now, lol.
Are you possibly the personification of ShroomsKits fictional trader alter ego?

I didn't delete that post, and yes a week ago I said that it is looking bullish, I've changed my mind and lost $5K for not selling at the time.

When you say you have lost $5K how exactly did you lose it?
ChartBuddy
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


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August 12, 2014, 08:59:42 PM


Explanation
dropt
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August 12, 2014, 09:00:15 PM

tells allot about you.

Is that so?
dropt
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August 12, 2014, 09:03:24 PM

“Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy and Greedy When Others Are Fearful”

+1

Although I have the luxury of such actions and I'm aware others are not. 
mmitech
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August 12, 2014, 09:04:30 PM

@mmitech Haven´t you wrote 2-3 days ago that your sentiment changed bullish when we were around 595$, However it seem that you have deleted that post now, lol.
Are you possibly the personification of ShroomsKits fictional trader alter ego?

I didn't delete that post, and yes a week ago I said that it is looking bullish, I've changed my mind and lost $5K for not selling at the time.

When you say you have lost $5K how exactly did you lose it?

for not taking action at the right moment when my sentiment changed, in other words lost the chance to make a $5K more...
kireinaha
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August 12, 2014, 09:04:36 PM

“Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy and Greedy When Others Are Fearful”

+1

Although I have the luxury of such actions and I'm aware others are not. 

Don't go bringing Jimmy Buffet quotes in here. He said himself to stay away from commodities.
hdbuck
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August 12, 2014, 09:07:12 PM

@mmitech Haven´t you wrote 2-3 days ago that your sentiment changed bullish when we were around 595$, However it seem that you have deleted that post now, lol.
Are you possibly the personification of ShroomsKits fictional trader alter ego?

I didn't delete that post, and yes a week ago I said that it is looking bullish, I've changed my mind and lost $5K for not selling at the time.

When you say you have lost $5K how exactly did you lose it?

means he has around 125 BTC ?!  Shocked  Grin
dropt
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August 12, 2014, 09:07:38 PM

Don't go bringing Jimmy Buffet quotes in here. He said himself to stay away from commodities.

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy  Jimmy Buffet eh?
empowering
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August 12, 2014, 09:10:22 PM

@mmitech Haven´t you wrote 2-3 days ago that your sentiment changed bullish when we were around 595$, However it seem that you have deleted that post now, lol.
Are you possibly the personification of ShroomsKits fictional trader alter ego?

I didn't delete that post, and yes a week ago I said that it is looking bullish, I've changed my mind and lost $5K for not selling at the time.

When you say you have lost $5K how exactly did you lose it?

for not taking action at the right moment when my sentiment changed, in other words lost the chance to make a $5K more...

Ohhh I see so you lost out on making $5K not lost $5k - there is a difference... you cannot lose something you never had... you missed an opportunity..
the old 20/20 hindsight psychology... that my friend is a bad road to go down....  you have got to admit... losing a hypothetical $5k is not much to cry about and also far far far better imo than having sold and have the market jump against you upwards by $200 then you really would have actually made a loss.. and the market will do it to you make no doubts about that, if you play that game long enough....it will bite you... far better to cry over the hyptohetical loss of gains you could have had than to take the hit imo... far better..



empowering
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August 12, 2014, 09:11:19 PM

@mmitech Haven´t you wrote 2-3 days ago that your sentiment changed bullish when we were around 595$, However it seem that you have deleted that post now, lol.
Are you possibly the personification of ShroomsKits fictional trader alter ego?

I didn't delete that post, and yes a week ago I said that it is looking bullish, I've changed my mind and lost $5K for not selling at the time.

When you say you have lost $5K how exactly did you lose it?

means he has around 125 BTC ?!  Shocked  Grin

or leverage
kireinaha
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August 12, 2014, 09:14:44 PM

Don't go bringing Jimmy Buffet quotes in here. He said himself to stay away from commodities.

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy  Jimmy Buffet eh?


yeah this guy ....   Cheesy
[img]http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1d/Jimmy_Buffett_1.jpg[img]

Yes, that gentleman is a billionaire investor and he specifically said in an interview earlier this year to stay away from bitcoin.  Grin
empowering
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August 12, 2014, 09:16:33 PM

Don't go bringing Jimmy Buffet quotes in here. He said himself to stay away from commodities.

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy  Jimmy Buffet eh?


yeah this guy ....   Cheesy
[img]http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1d/Jimmy_Buffett_1.jpg[img]

Yes, that gentleman is a billionaire investor and he specifically said in an interview earlier this year to stay away from bitcoin.  Grin

That would be Warren?  Grin  what is it with you and names? first "sagon" and now "jimmy" where do you get this from ?  Grin

Also that ol dude is as slippery as an eel - talkin' his book
mmitech
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August 12, 2014, 09:16:44 PM

@mmitech Haven´t you wrote 2-3 days ago that your sentiment changed bullish when we were around 595$, However it seem that you have deleted that post now, lol.
Are you possibly the personification of ShroomsKits fictional trader alter ego?

I didn't delete that post, and yes a week ago I said that it is looking bullish, I've changed my mind and lost $5K for not selling at the time.

When you say you have lost $5K how exactly did you lose it?

for not taking action at the right moment when my sentiment changed, in other words lost the chance to make a $5K more...

Ohhh I see so you lost out on making $5K not lost $5k - there is a difference... you cannot lose something you never had... you missed an opportunity..
the old 20/20 hindsight psychology... that my friend is a bad road to go down....  you have got to admit... losing a hypothetical $5k is not much to cry about and also far far far better imo than having sold and have the market jump against you upwards by $200 then you really would have actually made a loss.. and the market will do it to you ake no doubts about that, if you play that game long enough....it will bite you... far better to cry over the hyptohetical loss of gains you could have had than to take the hit imo... far better..



never cried about it, if I would start crying, I would cry about not going all out at $1060 instead of selling only 10-15%, BTW I didn't have that much of BTC , I had less than 100 BTC, and I've never used leverage, I tried trading on Finex only once and it was fraustrating so I stopped using it.
dropt
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August 12, 2014, 09:17:19 PM

That would be Warren?  Grin  what is it with you and names? first "sagon" and now "jimmy" where do you get this from ?  Grin

And that quote doesn't even originate from Buffett, Warren or Jimmy.  Cheesy
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