dooglus (OP)
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April 26, 2015, 07:46:25 PM Last edit: April 27, 2015, 07:21:21 PM by dooglus |
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maybe you want to draw a new graph now doog Way ahead of you: Here's scabby's chart - he got up 6000 from a deposit of 600: Here's how he got started, hitting a <1% chance on his 10th attempt: And marilyn was playing at the same time: Only one of them paid a camgirl to post with a sign advertising their win however
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Just-Dice | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | Play or Invest | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | 1% House Edge |
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marilyn4325
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April 26, 2015, 07:59:36 PM |
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Only one of them paid a camgirl to post with a sign advertising their win however I could take a selfie
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wry
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April 26, 2015, 09:53:52 PM |
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Here's scabby's chart - he got up 6000 from a deposit of 600: Only one of them paid a camgirl to post with a sign advertising their win however Thanks for that scabby chart! I was on the site during his run and it was really impressive until it blew up. Thanks also for posting the picture of the cam girl. In chat, everyone was accusing her of not knowing how to spell, I think scabby even changed his name to scabby-winnere but looking closely now I see the misspelling with the extra e is really an @ and the chat was being a bit unfair to the cam girl.
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dooglus (OP)
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April 26, 2015, 10:32:06 PM |
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Thanks for that scabby chart! I was on the site during his run and it was really impressive until it blew up. Thanks also for posting the picture of the cam girl. In chat, everyone was accusing her of not knowing how to spell, I think scabby even changed his name to scabby-winnere but looking closely now I see the misspelling with the extra e is really an @ and the chat was being a bit unfair to the cam girl. It seems the '@' was part of the requested text. Also, it seems that each time anyone tips her the site rolls dice to see what they get for their tip. How fitting!
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Just-Dice | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | Play or Invest | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | 1% House Edge |
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kolloh
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April 27, 2015, 04:40:54 AM |
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Haha at getting the camgirl to write a sign. Too bad he ended up busting all.
Thanks for all the graphs, enjoy looking at those.
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dooglus (OP)
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April 27, 2015, 04:45:50 AM |
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I'm not sure it's worth the effort to go back and try to work out "what would have happened" - because you'll never get it right. My investment would have diluted others' investments, meaning they earned less, and so would have had less to gamble with, etc.
I've set up a new account with a 100x multiplier and will just leave it alone. I won't repeat the "/offsite max" at all, I'll just let it ride.
Remind me in a few weeks to post the results if I didn't do it already.
I didn't see anyone reminding me, but I just remembered on my own... The stats on the left are the old 1x account, and on the right is the 100x account: Dec 12 2014 0.00% 100.00% Dec 15 2014 3.64% 103.64% Dec 22 2014 5.02% 108.85% Dec 29 2014 2.09% 111.13% Jan 5 2015 8.16% 120.20% Jan 12 2015 5.28% 126.55% Jan 19 2015 3.55% 131.04% Jan 26 2015 2.10% 133.79% Feb 2 2015 2.10% 136.60% Feb 9 2015 1.94% 139.24% Feb 16 2015 1.93% 141.93% Feb 23 2015 1.95% 144.70% Mar 2 2015 1.81% 147.32% Mar 7 2015 0.00% 100.00% Mar 9 2015 1.77% 149.93% Mar 9 2015 0.64% 100.64% Mar 16 2015 1.73% 152.53% Mar 16 2015 2.53% 103.18% Mar 23 2015 1.74% 155.18% Mar 23 2015 4.01% 107.32% Mar 30 2015 1.67% 157.78% Mar 30 2015 2.06% 109.53% Mar 31 2015 0.24% 158.15% Mar 31 2015 0.47% 110.04% Note that I haven't changed the /offsite setting for the 100x account at all; I've just let it ride. Its offsite amount is now only 90.97x. That's to be expected - the offsite amount hasn't changed while the onsite amount has grown, and so the total (offsite+onsite) is now only 91 times the onsite amount, where it used to be 100 times. I'll update these stats again. I still didn't change the /offsite amount for the 100x account, and now it's at 82.72x. Dec 12 2014 0.00% 100.00% Dec 15 2014 3.64% 103.64% Dec 22 2014 5.02% 108.85% Dec 29 2014 2.09% 111.13% Jan 5 2015 8.16% 120.20% Jan 12 2015 5.28% 126.55% Jan 19 2015 3.55% 131.04% Jan 26 2015 2.10% 133.79% Feb 2 2015 2.10% 136.60% Feb 9 2015 1.94% 139.24% Feb 16 2015 1.93% 141.93% Feb 23 2015 1.95% 144.70% Mar 2 2015 1.81% 147.32% Mar 7 2015 0.00% 100.00% Mar 9 2015 1.77% 149.93% Mar 9 2015 0.64% 100.64% Mar 16 2015 1.73% 152.53% Mar 16 2015 2.53% 103.18% Mar 23 2015 1.74% 155.18% Mar 23 2015 4.01% 107.32% Mar 30 2015 1.67% 157.78% Mar 30 2015 2.06% 109.53% Apr 6 2015 1.65% 160.38% Apr 6 2015 2.51% 112.27% Apr 13 2015 1.63% 162.99% Apr 13 2015 2.48% 115.05% Apr 20 2015 1.58% 165.57% Apr 20 2015 1.42% 116.69% <-- the only time the 1x account did better than the 100x account so far Apr 27 2015 1.64% 168.28% Apr 27 2015 3.43% 120.69% Apr 27 2015 0.05% 168.36% Apr 27 2015 0.37% 121.14%
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Just-Dice | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | Play or Invest | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | 1% House Edge |
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dooglus (OP)
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April 28, 2015, 04:25:52 PM |
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Another increase in site profits: Mostly it came from a new player, georgette: And most of her losses came from these two identical very ambitious Martingale streaks:
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Just-Dice | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | Play or Invest | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | 1% House Edge |
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louisp8731
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April 29, 2015, 11:20:28 AM |
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Very helpful graphs really!
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chriswen
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April 29, 2015, 05:43:05 PM |
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2 million bet coming up.
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dooglus (OP)
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April 29, 2015, 06:07:28 PM |
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We had another big player last night. Not long after the site hit 80k profit for the first time Dzeros showed up and turned a 376 CLAM deposit into a 3125 CLAM withdrawal and multiple tips for the spectators: He was able to trade his winnings for BTC without dropping the price by using poloniex as a kind of escrow: (719789) <dreama> You ready to sell dzeros? (967466) <Dzeros> why, so you suckers can go make a profit off the rebound (719789) <dreama> Put up a sell wall, I'll buy into it (967466) <Dzeros> If anyone wants to buy clams now, I AM YOUR MAN... 0.0056BTC FLAT RATE per clam (967466) <Dzeros> ok will do dreama (719789) <dreama> Stick it up on poloniex (967466) <Dzeros> gimme a moment to cashout (719789) <dreama> I will buy straight away I'm sure they could have found a 0-fee way of achieving the same result off the market, but whatever... Here's an updated recent site profit chart:
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Just-Dice | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | Play or Invest | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | 1% House Edge |
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wayshegoes
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I lost the liqour money boys...
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April 29, 2015, 07:44:34 PM |
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They really should have got a moderator to escrow the deal. Silly to pay the exchange for no reason, but I guess it gives people more comfort seeing no slippage on big orders?
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BayAreaCoins
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Owner at AltQuick.com
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April 29, 2015, 07:53:48 PM |
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They really should have got a moderator to escrow the deal. Silly to pay the exchange for no reason, but I guess it gives people more comfort seeing no slippage on big orders? It's kind of good it's on a public exchange because new services looking to add alts pretty much only judge a coin on how high up the volume list it is... Dip shits I know, but those are the dip shits with the services.
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dooglus (OP)
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April 29, 2015, 09:10:00 PM |
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They really should have got a moderator to escrow the deal. Silly to pay the exchange for no reason, but I guess it gives people more comfort seeing no slippage on big orders? It put CLAM back on the top ten 'biggest volume' list at poloniex again, so that's good I guess. Volume had been low the last day or two. Does anyone know of anywhere that tracks trading volume over a longer time period? It seems that CLAM is often in the top 3 at Poloniex, which the other alts come and go. I figure it would be doing pretty well in a "top ten this month" or "this quarter" chart, but I can't find anything like that.
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Just-Dice | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | Play or Invest | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | 1% House Edge |
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omahapoker
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April 29, 2015, 09:29:40 PM |
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should let all clam hit exchanges. only way new investors will see interest in coin
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wayshegoes
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I lost the liqour money boys...
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April 29, 2015, 09:32:44 PM |
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If you look under candlesticks and change the view to 1 day you can get historical volume that way. It's not perfect but maybe you could pull the data and average the volume/price over the entire day.
Is there no way you guys could set up a defacto brokerage for trade? You own all the volume anyway; exchanges would have to follow your spreads rather than the other way around. People will always try and make a little by arbitrage but if you offer a way to trade without any slippage nobody will bother using exchanges to buy and sell clam. The market wouldn't exactly be "free" but trying to set a floor on poloniex is no different. At least you'd could control the spreads instead of poloniex
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louisp8731
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April 30, 2015, 06:54:47 AM |
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If you look under candlesticks and change the view to 1 day you can get historical volume that way. It's not perfect but maybe you could pull the data and average the volume/price over the entire day.
Is there no way you guys could set up a defacto brokerage for trade? You own all the volume anyway; exchanges would have to follow your spreads rather than the other way around. People will always try and make a little by arbitrage but if you offer a way to trade without any slippage nobody will bother using exchanges to buy and sell clam. The market wouldn't exactly be "free" but trying to set a floor on poloniex is no different. At least you'd could control the spreads instead of poloniex
Yeah a de facto brokerage for trade sounds awesome!
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andulolika
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April 30, 2015, 01:51:56 PM |
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They really should have got a moderator to escrow the deal. Silly to pay the exchange for no reason, but I guess it gives people more comfort seeing no slippage on big orders? There is bac as escrow on jd or doog himself , if neither of them is on i can do it also, over 600 clams collateral held by doog (locked investment) im usually on.
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dooglus (OP)
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April 30, 2015, 06:06:38 PM |
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The site bankroll took another hit last night as marilyn continued her winning streak. She's been playing since the start of the year, on and off, and amassed a profit of 5577 CLAM so far: Here's a close up of the biggest part of last night's win: Here's how it affected the recent site profit chart: and the all-time site profit chart:
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Just-Dice | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | Play or Invest | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | 1% House Edge |
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itod
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^ Will code for Bitcoins
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April 30, 2015, 09:08:14 PM |
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The site bankroll took another hit last night as marilyn continued her winning streak. She's been playing since the start of the year, on and off, and amassed a profit of 5577 CLAM so far:
Does she have any particular betting style?
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dooglus (OP)
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April 30, 2015, 09:34:55 PM |
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The site bankroll took another hit last night as marilyn continued her winning streak. She's been playing since the start of the year, on and off, and amassed a profit of 5577 CLAM so far:
Does she have any particular betting style? I didn't really look at it. https://just-dice.com/1011247.txt.bz2 is a dump of the raw bet data. I guess it's a kind of martingale: betid bet/1e8 chance/1e4 date profit/1e8 192356292 12.5 40 2015-04-30 10:04:15 -12.5 192356311 12.5 40 2015-04-30 10:04:16 18.4375 192356351 50 40 2015-04-30 10:04:20 -50 192356382 100 40 2015-04-30 10:04:23 -100 192356415 200 40 2015-04-30 10:04:26 295
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Just-Dice | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | Play or Invest | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | 1% House Edge |
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