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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 921547 times)
dmwardjr
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November 29, 2017, 06:43:22 PM
Last edit: November 29, 2017, 07:11:52 PM by dmwardjr
 #5421

After looking back to 2015, I'm convinced DURING a Wyckoff Spring, we have re-traces down to the .5% FIB RT instead of .618% FIB RT.

The .618 FIB RT does not come into play [During a Wyckoff Spring] until THE END of a Wyckoff Spring.  Which I'm saying will end near year end.  Probably after Jan. 1st more than likely.  So, I'm expecting this drop to go down to approximately $8,475 instead of $7,786.




Closer look in the 240m TF:


Follow me on Trading View for excellent signals in Bitcoin/US dollar - Bitstamp - https://www.tradingview.com/u/ProwdClown/.  Will be on a paid subscription website soon with trading signals and technical education using Wyckoff Method in conjunction with Godmode and Stochastic RSI indicators for many more crypto currency pairs besides BTCUSD.
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November 30, 2017, 03:36:13 PM
 #5422

Do you want to ask if this is the end? Spirits tell me that the end is far away.

Test 10k. Pokolbasitsya Пoкoлбacитcя - it's mean high volatility, UP & DOWN near this round mark IMHO.




https://vk.com/bitcoin_vanga?w=wall-130254204_4388


dmwardjr, man, please start another topic with your graphs.

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DeepVault
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Wekkel
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November 30, 2017, 05:19:28 PM
 #5423

The master is sticking to his game. $25k on very short term would align with a spike in the BETI indicator. Historically a good moment to consider a temporary sale  Roll Eyes

This ain’t over yet.

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DeepOnion
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November 30, 2017, 05:19:32 PM
 #5424

Do you want to ask if this is the end? Spirits tell me that the end is far away.

Test 10k. Pokolbasitsya Пoкoлбacитcя - it's mean high volatility, UP & DOWN near this round mark IMHO.




https://vk.com/bitcoin_vanga?w=wall-130254204_4388

Is the time scale in this type of graphics correct? because if so, would we be seeing prices higher than 40k by mid 2018?

Quote
dmwardjr, man, please start another topic with your graphs.

I agree.

Millionero
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November 30, 2017, 05:46:02 PM
 #5425

If I may, with respect, be allowed to contradict the master...
You can see in his chart that PentarhUdi forecasts massive gains because he thinks we'll have a repeat of the 2013 rocket ride.
But the 2013 peak was artificial, caused by the Mt. Gox willy-bot, not organic market forces.
As such I don't see as much substantial predictive value in that pattern as Bitcoin Vanga / PentarhUdi does.
mymenace
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November 30, 2017, 08:36:40 PM
 #5426

If I may, with respect, be allowed to contradict the master...
You can see in his chart that PentarhUdi forecasts massive gains because he thinks we'll have a repeat of the 2013 rocket ride.
But the 2013 peak was artificial, caused by the Mt. Gox willy-bot, not organic market forces.
As such I don't see as much substantial predictive value in that pattern as Bitcoin Vanga / PentarhUdi does.

willy-bot

are you sure, your basing your prediction on a conspiracy theory.

what if mt gox was an organic rise. the buyers were still there...hence the correction next november


Grin
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November 30, 2017, 08:48:11 PM
 #5427

You can see in his chart that PentarhUdi forecasts massive gains because he thinks we'll have a repeat of the 2013 rocket ride.

until mark karpeles throws up some code it's conjecture, but still likely of course.

but the real peak was under china's control. and real money was exchanged in large quantities. the aftermath is a good indicator that it was hollow but all bubbles are anyway.
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November 30, 2017, 09:02:11 PM
 #5428

If I may, with respect, be allowed to contradict the master...
You can see in his chart that PentarhUdi forecasts massive gains because he thinks we'll have a repeat of the 2013 rocket ride.
But the 2013 peak was artificial, caused by the Mt. Gox willy-bot, not organic market forces.
As such I don't see as much substantial predictive value in that pattern as Bitcoin Vanga / PentarhUdi does.


He is NOT basing this prediction on 2013. These log lines MasterLuc uses start at the beginning of trading back in 2010 and they have multiple points of contact since then.
illinest
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November 30, 2017, 09:13:46 PM
 #5429

The master is sticking to his game. $25k on very short term would align with a spike in the BETI indicator. Historically a good moment to consider a temporary sale  Roll Eyes

This ain’t over yet.

A vertical blow off top on the weekly logarithmic chart lines up very well with this as well. My target is anywhere in the $20k-$25k range. There's no telling where the top will occur exactly in this low liquidity / high hype environment. But I'm glad that my thinking lines up with Lucif. That's historically been a good bet. Short term plan: sell above $20k, buy back below $10k.

Time it just right and you could triple your coins. But if we're wrong and this thing goes straight to $100k? I might start feeling pretty butthurt. Tongue
JayJuanGee
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How much alt coin diversification is needed? 0%?


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November 30, 2017, 10:23:19 PM
 #5430

The master is sticking to his game. $25k on very short term would align with a spike in the BETI indicator. Historically a good moment to consider a temporary sale  Roll Eyes

This ain’t over yet.

A vertical blow off top on the weekly logarithmic chart lines up very well with this as well. My target is anywhere in the $20k-$25k range. There's no telling where the top will occur exactly in this low liquidity / high hype environment. But I'm glad that my thinking lines up with Lucif. That's historically been a good bet. Short term plan: sell above $20k, buy back below $10k.

Time it just right and you could triple your coins. But if we're wrong and this thing goes straight to $100k? I might start feeling pretty butthurt. Tongue


It is not prudent to sell your whole amount anyhow, even if you have strong feelings (and "indicators")

Put BTC here: 35EVP8EePt8dyvKHaB7bXaRmKLm22YgRCA

How much alt coin diversification is necessary? if you are investing in Bitcoin, then perhaps 0%?
marcus_of_augustus
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November 30, 2017, 11:30:03 PM
 #5431

masterluc delivers yet again.

ragnar0k
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December 02, 2017, 09:46:40 PM
Last edit: December 03, 2017, 12:21:55 AM by ragnar0k
 #5432

Holy crap he changed the chart...
Wekkel
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December 02, 2017, 10:50:14 PM
 #5433

Hoily crap he changed the chart...


So its a run up to about $70k, a pause and then back to higher grounds beginning of 2019. Seems plausible.

See below an alternative from me with the double 2013 tops copy/pasted:


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DeepOnion
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illinest
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December 02, 2017, 10:55:46 PM
 #5434

Hoily crap he changed the chart...

Has he, though? It looks to me like it is just zoomed out to show the larger historical wave count. In his previous charts, he predicted Wave 3 would approach $40,000-110,000. It looks to me like his pitchfork is targeting ~ $100k, which makes sense once we account for time.

So its a run up to about $70k, a pause and then back to higher grounds beginning of 2019. Seems plausible.

It could be $70k, which is right in the middle of his previous target range. But at that log scale, the difference between $70k and $100k is miniscule. That could be a matter of one week's price movement by that point. It's crazy how fast price moves once it enters a parabolic uptrend!
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December 02, 2017, 11:27:59 PM
 #5435


Buy & Hold
ragnar0k
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December 03, 2017, 12:24:01 AM
 #5436

Hoily crap he changed the chart...

Has he, though? It looks to me like it is just zoomed out to show the larger historical wave count. In his previous charts, he predicted Wave 3 would approach $40,000-110,000. It looks to me like his pitchfork is targeting ~ $100k, which makes sense once we account for time.

So its a run up to about $70k, a pause and then back to higher grounds beginning of 2019. Seems plausible.

It could be $70k, which is right in the middle of his previous target range. But at that log scale, the difference between $70k and $100k is miniscule. That could be a matter of one week's price movement by that point. It's crazy how fast price moves once it enters a parabolic uptrend!

What I am finding scary is that after the 70k from my understanding we will enter in a fairly long bear period... I hope we can get out soon enough or its bad news. I sure will be happy if we reach 70k tho
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December 03, 2017, 12:44:15 AM
 #5437

Could some native speaker help translate the following part, please?

original:
....
Пpeдвapитeльнo (!!!), я cчитaю, чтo пик ~20к этo иcтopичecкaя 3. Пocлeдyющaя кoppeкция 4ки - этo oдин ypoвeнь c 2кoй, тaк чтo тянeт oн нa пapy лeт. И пoтoм дa, 5кa в paйoн 100+к.
...

google translate:
...
Thank you for asking. Preliminary (!!!), I believe that the peak ~ 20k is historical 3. The subsequent correction of 4ki is one level with 2k, so it pulls for a couple of years. And then yes, 5k to the district 100 + k.
...
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December 03, 2017, 02:36:54 AM
 #5438

Could some native speaker help translate the following part, please?

original:
....
Пpeдвapитeльнo (!!!), я cчитaю, чтo пик ~20к этo иcтopичecкaя 3. Пocлeдyющaя кoppeкция 4ки - этo oдин ypoвeнь c 2кoй, тaк чтo тянeт oн нa пapy лeт. И пoтoм дa, 5кa в paйoн 100+к.
...

google translate:
...
Thank you for asking. Preliminary (!!!), I believe that the peak ~ 20k is historical 3. The subsequent correction of 4ki is one level with 2k, so it pulls for a couple of years. And then yes, 5k to the district 100 + k.
...


"I believe the peak is gonna be ~ $20k -- the historical 3rd. The subsequent corrective 4th is the same as 2nd, so it will take approx 2 years. And then, the 5th gets us to ~$100k."
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December 03, 2017, 03:21:38 AM
 #5439

Could some native speaker help translate the following part, please?

original:
....
Пpeдвapитeльнo (!!!), я cчитaю, чтo пик ~20к этo иcтopичecкaя 3. Пocлeдyющaя кoppeкция 4ки - этo oдин ypoвeнь c 2кoй, тaк чтo тянeт oн нa пapy лeт. И пoтoм дa, 5кa в paйoн 100+к.
...

google translate:
...
Thank you for asking. Preliminary (!!!), I believe that the peak ~ 20k is historical 3. The subsequent correction of 4ki is one level with 2k, so it pulls for a couple of years. And then yes, 5k to the district 100 + k.
...


"I believe the peak is gonna be ~ $20k -- the historical 3rd. The subsequent corrective 4th is the same as 2nd, so it will take approx 2 years. And then, the 5th gets us to ~$100k."


He now thinks a 2 year bear market occurs before $100,000?
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December 03, 2017, 04:20:30 AM
 #5440

Could some native speaker help translate the following part, please?

original:
....
Пpeдвapитeльнo (!!!), я cчитaю, чтo пик ~20к этo иcтopичecкaя 3. Пocлeдyющaя кoppeкция 4ки - этo oдин ypoвeнь c 2кoй, тaк чтo тянeт oн нa пapy лeт. И пoтoм дa, 5кa в paйoн 100+к.
...

google translate:
...
Thank you for asking. Preliminary (!!!), I believe that the peak ~ 20k is historical 3. The subsequent correction of 4ki is one level with 2k, so it pulls for a couple of years. And then yes, 5k to the district 100 + k.
...


"I believe the peak is gonna be ~ $20k -- the historical 3rd. The subsequent corrective 4th is the same as 2nd, so it will take approx 2 years. And then, the 5th gets us to ~$100k."

Thx!
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