🌍⚽Sportsbet.io AFCON 2024 prediction pool discussion thread

[Harkorede]

I expected way too much from the Ayew brothers and Ghana together, I mean Morocco are in a terrific form, yes, but then my expectation was at least a draw.

Gabon's win was an expected one and a won bet for me today, although I wasn't able to grab the exact score from the pool.

[Igebotz]

BTW, If someone struggling to find where to watch AFCON games, it's available on CAF Youtube channel for free and with English commentary.

Well I have perfect coverage trough my sports package, I can watch all the games in HD. Only problem, games are not worth watching so far This is very boring and safe football and I really hope it will get better in late stages. Must say I preferred African football while it was less organized, it seems that teams have taken in other direction now and best bets for this AFCON will be under goals.

The atmosphere is poor, making the game look less interesting. I've watched all of the games so far, and the least entertaining so far is the Senegal - Zimbabwe game, which was too slow for my liking.

Today, all of my HT under 1.5 goal were green, thus that appears to be the safer bet in this round.

I didn't miss any point today!  1 exact score, 3 close score!

[casperBGD]

~snip

I didn't miss any point today!  1 exact score, 3 close score!

yeah, it is going as expected so far
I have missed only Morocco, had 0:0 in the pool, as a hedge, since I have bet Morocco to win tournament and needed good performance from Mmaee in Sorare team (shit, it would be great if he had assisted for Morocco goal, but what a heck, it was a solid display from him)

Algeria is at 14, put your picks on time, this should be an easy win, although I do not expect much goals

[icopress]

Surprisingly, in the first round I scored a lot of points, but what is even stranger is that only one goal was scored in 5 out of 6 matches (this is unusual considering which continent the tournament is held on). In addition, I do not at all understand the intricacies of African football in order to give preference to one or another team, according to this I made my choice guided by the Sportsbet coefficients.

But whatever it is, Egypt is likely to remain a favorite for me because of the wonderful shape of Salah, I would probably be rooting for Gabon, but I see that Aubameyang (Arsenal) was not even included in the application for the last match. 

[Igebotz]

~snip
I didn't miss any point today!  1 exact score, 3 close score!

yeah, it is going as expected so far
I have missed only Morocco, had 0:0 in the pool, as a hedge, since I have bet Morocco to win tournament and needed good performance from Mmaee in Sorare team (shit, it would be great if he had assisted for Morocco goal, but what a heck, it was a solid display from him)

Algeria is at 14, put your picks on time, this should be an easy win, although I do not expect much goals

Yeah, your 0-0 right score was close, but I knew it would never happen - The Ghanaians were lucky since I heard around 5 Moroccan team players contacting covid19 before kickoff.

Algeria's winning odds are too low to make a living, therefore I'm taking the risk and betting on Under 1.5 goals HT @1.55 odds, which is a fair bet.

~snip~
But whatever it is, Egypt is likely to remain a favorite for me because of the wonderful shape of Salah, I would probably be rooting for Gabon, but I see that Aubameyang (Arsenal) was not even included in the application for the last match.  

I heard Aubameyang is in Isolation. I'm not sure if this is true, his the Captain of the team. If miraculously they makes it through the group stage, they will not advance from the quarter-finals. I am certain of this.

Salah was not a member of Egypt's great Pharaohs, who won the trophy five times in a row and were unbeatable for decades. Egypt's Salah generation has nothing special, but there are improvements!

We all saw how Mane suffered yesterday, but this is Africa, and home-based players tend to do better than foreign players in the scorching sun. Egypt's best chance in this game is a DRAW!!

[slaman29]

Well guys what can I say Matchday 1 games almost done and I'm rock bottom of this pool. Can't even do well with just 12 people, this is truly not my strong fort, whether I know about the teams or not, I just ca't figure out results. Not even a draw was going through!

Egypt only a draw really? Can I afford another points drop today? The odds are totally for a draw so the sportsbooks also believe this is the case.

[buwaytress]

I posted earlier that under 2.5s were usually good value in Afcon, and this was true even in the qualifiers (unless it was a huge favourite). Can you imagine I actually marked down Algeria from 5-0 to 4-0? HAHA.

Looks like we all caught a boo boo on Algeria... Draw was way above 10/1 on this one, double chance was even 5/1 IIRC. But I didn't fancy taking the bet, and lost out.

Some select games on BBC so I can watch for free, but as you said Trofo, they're all playing really disciplined football... sending offs are about 5/1 if you like that igehhh

[Igebotz]

Algeria's winning odds are too low to make a living, therefore I'm taking the risk and betting on Under 1.5 goals HT @1.55 odds, which is a fair bet.

Algeria's game was ruined today by Islamini and Brahamini, who both had good chances to end the game in the first half but failed to do so. Mahrez was the only positive player on the pitch, and he did his best but the attacking possibilities were limited.

Serria Leone was really impressive today , they controlled the tempo of their game very well, i think the point is well deserved.

Some select games on BBC so I can watch for free, but as you said Trofo, they're all playing really disciplined football... sending offs are about 5/1 if you like that igehhh

I will not bet on cards and bookings till the quarter-final when the game gets more intense.

[Trofo]

Algeria's winning odds are too low to make a living, therefore I'm taking the risk and betting on Under 1.5 goals HT @1.55 odds, which is a fair bet.

Algeria's game was ruined today by Islamini and Brahamini, who both had good chances to end the game in the first half but failed to do so. Mahrez was the only positive player on the pitch, and he did his best but the attacking possibilities were limited.

I watched just parts of the game and again I am feeling like I am not missing anything. It is more exciting to watch literary any other sport at the moment. Now I am watching DOTA 2, and having one eye on Nigeria-Egypt. If this one ends boring as the rest I am giving up on AFCON until knockout stages.

Where are the days of crazy fans with Vuvuzelas (proper plural?) and teams playing for the goal more. Yes there was some silly situations and bad choices but it was entertaining to watch.

[Igebotz]

I watched just parts of the game and again I am feeling like I am not missing anything. It is more exciting to watch literary any other sport at the moment. Now I am watching DOTA 2, and having one eye on Nigeria-Egypt. If this one ends boring as the rest I am giving up on AFCON until knockout stages.

AFCON gets better from the from the quarter final except some Nigeria matches - they always pull a lot of Crown in stadium and play exciting game.

Where are the days of crazy fans with Vuvuzelas (proper plural?) and teams playing for the goal more. Yes there was some silly situations and bad choices but it was entertaining to watch.

Vuvuzela was banned after the 2010 South Africa World cup, they were mostly used by the South African fans.

[Harkorede]

What a performance front the Super Eagles so far, they've had Egypt defending very deep and their biggest threat Salah being kept at bay, Moses Simon have been the best Nigerian player so far in the game, he's been superb in attack causing at lot of problems for Egypt on the left flank.

[Rruchi man]

What a performance front the Super Eagles so far, they've had Egypt defending very deep and their biggest threat Salah being kept at bay, Moses Simon have been the best Nigerian player so far in the game, he's been superb in attack causing at lot of problems for Egypt on the left flank.

If Nigeria can get another second goal in this second 45mins, i think it will be the end of the game, in terms of attack, the Nigerian team is showing quick pace, in terms of defense, the Nigerian team so far is holding down Salah which was something people never expected since Salah at the moment is on top form for Liverpool. Egypt look to be playing to get a draw at the moment, i sincerely hope Nigeria can hold o. to this slender 1-0 lead. Looking forward to the full time score.

[tomahawk9]

What a performance front the Super Eagles so far, they've had Egypt defending very deep and their biggest threat Salah being kept at bay

well-deserved win for Nigeria, but Egypt were so poor today, very disappointing...also, another 1-0 

anyway, those stats from Algeria earlier today, 19 shots, 8 on target! 👀 superb performance form the Sierra Leone GK,, he's only 22yo, here he is getting a bit emotional after receiving MOTM award https://twitter.com/SaddickAdams/status/1480937531898306561

[LTU_btc]

Well guys what can I say Matchday 1 games almost done and I'm rock bottom of this pool. Can't even do well with just 12 people, this is truly not my strong fort, whether I know about the teams or not, I just ca't figure out results. Not even a draw was going through!

Mate, you save me from being last in the pool . Your story pretty much applies to me. I don't have good knowledge about African football, it's probably first time when I exotic countries like Comoros or Sierra Leone playing, but I'm struggling in games where favorites play too.

Vuvuzela was banned after the 2010 South Africa World cup, they were mostly used by the South African fans.

Even after 11.5 years I still can hear sounds of this beehive in my head. I think fans in South Africa still use. I turned in South African PSL when going through TV channels and I heard that sound.

[Trofo]

Well guys what can I say Matchday 1 games almost done and I'm rock bottom of this pool. Can't even do well with just 12 people, this is truly not my strong fort, whether I know about the teams or not, I just ca't figure out results. Not even a draw was going through!

Mate, you save me from being last in the pool . Your story pretty much applies to me. I don't have good knowledge about African football, it's probably first time when I exotic countries like Comoros or Sierra Leone playing, but I'm struggling in games where favorites play too.

I found the wining formula for AFCON, here are 2 basic rules:
*never predict more than one goal in the game, which means only scores available are 0:0, 0:1, 1:0
*if there is a big favorite go for safe 0:0

I feel like we had almost the same amount of penalties as the goals so far.

I watched good part of Nigeria game and I am must confess they impressed me. They were the only team willing to attack so far in this tournament. Egypt was horrible though, I have never seen Salah so non existent in a game.

[slaman29]

Well guys what can I say Matchday 1 games almost done and I'm rock bottom of this pool. Can't even do well with just 12 people, this is truly not my strong fort, whether I know about the teams or not, I just ca't figure out results. Not even a draw was going through!

Mate, you save me from being last in the pool . Your story pretty much applies to me. I don't have good knowledge about African football, it's probably first time when I exotic countries like Comoros or Sierra Leone playing, but I'm struggling in games where favorites play too.

Did I say 12 people? I must have counted wrong because I'm looking now and there are 16 people in this pool. And I am last. I totally got saved by one exact score. icopress is a big boss there 3 exacts, he has learned all about 1-0.

Now if anyone wants to pick draws, just go for 0-0 like suggested above.

Oh and vuvuzela yes. I thought it was so stupid to have it banned. I get it tho it annoys foreign players but can you imagine asking Thai people to stop using the clappers, or Italian/Spanish football to stop using megaphone and drums because it gives foreign players headaches?

[casperBGD]

~snip
I feel like we had almost the same amount of penalties as the goals so far.

the whole tournament is a shit show so far, remind me why I stopped watching Serbian domestic league
players are not fit, running 90 minutes is probably on players bucket list, but not achieved

TBH, I watched few matches, and could not stand to watch whole match so far (missed Nigeria - Egypt, maybe it was a bit better)

[Igebotz]

Even after 11.5 years I still can hear sounds of this beehive in my head. I think fans in South Africa still use. I turned in South African PSL when going through TV channels and I heard that sound.

It was only banned in international competitions.

~snip~
I watched good part of Nigeria game and I am must confess they impressed me. They were the only team willing to attack so far in this tournament. Egypt was horrible though, I have never seen Salah so non existent in a game.

In the Nigerian game, I went against my instincts, I  went for a 2-0 win scoreline at first, but after some stupid rumors at the Super Eagles camp, I went back and changed it to a 1-1 draw. I wish I had locked it before reading those rumors on the site. I only got 1.3 points on pool yesterday, which is the worst I've ever done. The super eagles have the most experienced players in the competition and will most likely win assuming no crucial players are injured. They are football lovers, as evidenced by the large crowds in the stadium.

Under 1.5 goal HT is the most profitable bet, as it has good odds.

Oh and vuvuzela yes. I thought it was so stupid to have it banned. I get it tho it annoys foreign players but can you imagine asking Thai people to stop using the clappers, or Italian/Spanish football to stop using megaphone and drums because it gives foreign players headaches?

I'm aware that the vuvuzela has been banned from international games due to the noise it makes during games, since there have been multiple instances where referee whistles have been rendered ineffective due to vuvuzela noise.

[cryptofrka]

But whatever it is, Egypt is likely to remain a favorite for me because of the wonderful shape of Salah, I would probably be rooting for Gabon, but I see that Aubameyang (Arsenal) was not even included in the application for the last match. 

I think that Egypt is among the teams that will disappoint the most. Their team is weak in almost all areas, the only good player is Salah and they will find it hard to give him enough chances to score.
It showed in their first game, he barely gets on the ball - which his expected, he simply cannot get enough space because the quality to isolate him is not there in the rest of the team.

Overall we are watching really boring, low quality football and I will not watch it anymore - maybe I switch back on in the semifinals/finals stage.

[Trofo]

Under 1.5 goal HT is the most profitable bet, as it has good odds.

Where are you playing that and under witch odds? I checked games today and most I can get is @1.2 and often it is even 1.15 for under 1.5 goals in first half.

I am much rather playing under 1.5 for the whole game, or 0:0 first half, those are what I consider good odds, over 2 and usually even close to 2.2. Just need to get half of them correct to be in the profit.