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Author Topic: 🌍⚽Sportsbet.io AFCON 2024 prediction pool discussion thread  (Read 5038 times)
Trofo (OP)
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January 23, 2022, 10:21:57 AM
 #161

My team is Nigeria, and the road to the final is a little bumpy, but given the present form of the other teams in our chain, we have a fair chance of making it there; the only significant obstacles I see are Tunisia and Mali. Senegal, Cape Verde, Malawi, Gabon, and Equatorial Guinea are among the other teams that can be easily fucked.
I am rooting for Nigeria now as well. Only they and Cameroon showed that they are ready to play attacking football so they bought my loyalty. Maybe Ivory Coast can go in that sentence as well. I expect all three of them to progress to next round. But I also placed outright on Algeria so what do I know?

AFCON is continuing today, don't forget to put in your picks. 5 players still without picks.

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January 23, 2022, 02:52:40 PM
 #162

My team is Nigeria, and the road to the final is a little bumpy, but given the present form of the other teams in our chain, we have a fair chance of making it there; the only significant obstacles I see are Tunisia and Mali. Senegal, Cape Verde, Malawi, Gabon, and Equatorial Guinea are among the other teams that can be easily fucked.
I am rooting for Nigeria now as well. Only they and Cameroon showed that they are ready to play attacking football so they bought my loyalty. Maybe Ivory Coast can go in that sentence as well. I expect all three of them to progress to next round. But I also placed outright on Algeria so what do I know?

AFCON is continuing today, don't forget to put in your picks. 5 players still without picks.

In the midfield and attack, the Ivory Coast team is more compact and organized; they play beautiful football, and they are one of my favorite teams. But the biggest surprise of the tournament is Algeria's elimination and Senegal's qualification to the round of 16 with only one goal ( a 90th minute penalty goal in their first game.). If the Super Eagles maintain their focus, they will win the trophy as promised.

Who can confirm that 12 Tunisian players tested positive for Covid19 before the game against Nigeria? I took Nigeria @1.70, and the odds are rapidly decreasing.

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January 23, 2022, 03:08:16 PM
 #163

AFCON is continuing today, don't forget to put in your picks. 5 players still without picks.
picks submitted! Burkina faso and Nigeria to win
i'm still not super confident about placing a ticket here, but Burkina faso moneyline x2.3 looks juicy

btw, bit of news for the fixture tomorrow: "Comoros to field outfield player in goal for Afcon last-16 tie vs Cameroon". Source

so yeah, Cameroon to win should be free points for everyone in the pool  Smiley

Who can confirm that 12 Tunisian players tested positive for Covid19 before the game against Nigeria? I took Nigeria @1.70, and the odds are rapidly decreasing.
i checked twitter real quick and didn't find anything

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Harkorede
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January 23, 2022, 04:00:38 PM
 #164

AFCON is continuing today, don't forget to put in your picks. 5 players still without picks.
picks submitted! Burkina faso and Nigeria to win
i'm still not super confident about placing a ticket here, but Burkina faso moneyline x2.3 looks juicy

I went with Burkina Faso in the first game as well, but I'm tempted with an Under 1.5 goals bet which will be really tricky and as such also contradictory to my pick in the pool.

btw, bit of news for the fixture tomorrow: "Comoros to field outfield player in goal for Afcon last-16 tie vs Cameroon". Source

so yeah, Cameroon to win should be free points for everyone in the pool  Smiley

How better can things actually get for Cameroon, huh ?

Who can confirm that 12 Tunisian players tested positive for Covid19 before the game against Nigeria? I took Nigeria @1.70, and the odds are rapidly decreasing.
i checked twitter real quick and didn't find anything

Tunisia will indeed be missing a couple of players due Covid-19 but I'm not sure about the specific number of players expected to be missing, Wahbi Khazri their captain is amongst the players expected to miss the game. Regardless of the absentees, I believe Nigeria will have to continue their terrific performance to see them through.

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Trofo (OP)
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January 23, 2022, 04:14:26 PM
 #165

Who can confirm that 12 Tunisian players tested positive for Covid19 before the game against Nigeria? I took Nigeria @1.70, and the odds are rapidly decreasing.
Sorry igehhh for jinxing Nigeria, I decided to bet big on Nigeria after reading this so I expect them to progress only trough extra time/penalties or loose in regular time. I am in the red for the tournament and this is the game to put me firmly in the green so I can close the tournament with the profit and forget it ever happened Smiley

Don't know what you saying about dropping odds? I have them @1.83 on Sportsbet which comes to even better 1.89 with boost.

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January 23, 2022, 05:05:37 PM
 #166

Who can confirm that 12 Tunisian players tested positive for Covid19 before the game against Nigeria? I took Nigeria @1.70, and the odds are rapidly decreasing.
i checked twitter real quick and didn't find anything
Tunisia will indeed be missing a couple of players due Covid-19 but I'm not sure about the specific number of players expected to be missing, Wahbi Khazri their captain is amongst the players expected to miss the game..
Tunisia coach and 10 others to miss Nigeria game

Who can confirm that 12 Tunisian players tested positive for Covid19 before the game against Nigeria? I took Nigeria @1.70, and the odds are rapidly decreasing.
~snip~
Don't know what you saying about dropping odds? I have them @1.83 on Sportsbet which comes to even better 1.89 with boost.
On our local bookmaker, I had it at 1.70. I believe the odds difference is significant; I needed to play scoredraw on some EPL games, which is not available on Sportbets, so I moved. Having saying that, you made the proper choice in choosing Nigeria.

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January 23, 2022, 06:16:35 PM
 #167

Who can confirm that 12 Tunisian players tested positive for Covid19 before the game against Nigeria? I took Nigeria @1.70, and the odds are rapidly decreasing.
i checked twitter real quick and didn't find anything
Tunisia will indeed be missing a couple of players due Covid-19 but I'm not sure about the specific number of players expected to be missing, Wahbi Khazri their captain is amongst the players expected to miss the game..
Tunisia coach and 10 others to miss Nigeria game
hmm, Nigeria @1.82 at the time of writing... it seems like people are not too concerned about this covid outbreak in the team

but i'm not touching it, anything can happen... i dodged a bullet earlier in Burkina faso v Gabon,, the latter with the late goal while being one man down for the last 20 min of regular time... just AFCON things  Grin i keep drifting away from the top spots of the leaderboard 😧

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January 23, 2022, 07:59:16 PM
 #168

Who can confirm that 12 Tunisian players tested positive for Covid19 before the game against Nigeria? I took Nigeria @1.70, and the odds are rapidly decreasing.
i checked twitter real quick and didn't find anything
Tunisia will indeed be missing a couple of players due Covid-19 but I'm not sure about the specific number of players expected to be missing, Wahbi Khazri their captain is amongst the players expected to miss the game..
Tunisia coach and 10 others to miss Nigeria game
hmm, Nigeria @1.82 at the time of writing... it seems like people are not too concerned about this covid outbreak in the team

but i'm not touching it, anything can happen... i dodged a bullet earlier in Burkina faso v Gabon,, the latter with the late goal while being one man down for the last 20 min of regular time... just AFCON things  Grin i keep drifting away from the top spots of the leaderboard 😧

It's halftime and it's still goalless between Nigeria and Tunisia, nothing spectacular about the game yet, but Nigeria are clearly the better side so far with several attempts on goal being made, Tunisia have been well organized defensively as well. Still anyone's game to be honest, I'm taking Nigeria to win @2.28 odds rn.

I also missed getting any point from Burkina Faso vs Gabon, it's hard to go with a draw especially with those additional 30 minutes been counted on SuperBRU.

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January 23, 2022, 08:59:51 PM
 #169

~snip
It's halftime and it's still goalless between Nigeria and Tunisia, nothing spectacular about the game yet, but Nigeria are clearly the better side so far with several attempts on goal being made, Tunisia have been well organized defensively as well. Still anyone's game to be honest, I'm taking Nigeria to win @2.28 odds rn.


Tunisia without most players, and getting into next round, typical AFCON 2022
with Eagles out, Morocco is a step closer to get a title

Burkina Faso and Tunisia in next round, will be a beautiful match to watch (yeah, there is a ton or irony in this one)
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January 23, 2022, 09:28:00 PM
 #170

Tunisia without most players, and getting into next round, typical AFCON 2022
with Eagles out, Morocco is a step closer to get a title
I gave you all fair warning that I have money riding on this one so it had to finish like this. Superb performance from Iwobi, he needed just 5 minutes to get red card and leave the team struggling. Really expected much more in this one from Nigeria. They never looked ready to risk everything and try to score the goal. I'll never understand that mentality, if I am the coach of loosing team I would have 9 players in opponents half for the last 5 minutes no matter what.

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January 24, 2022, 08:32:41 AM
 #171

~snip
I'll never understand that mentality, if I am the coach of loosing team I would have 9 players in opponents half for the last 5 minutes no matter what.

agree on this, what is a difference is losing 0:1 or 0:3 in knock-out match, for me, there is no difference, you are out with both results, and did not even try to change anything (hockey power-play without keeper would be my tactics for last few minutes)

why the heck is Cameroon to win @1.04 on bookies? yeah, I get it that they are favorites against Comoros, but @1.04 is really humiliating in this AFCON full of surprises? or host has to be in semi-final according to rules?
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January 24, 2022, 08:35:54 AM
 #172

why the heck is Cameroon to win @1.04 on bookies? yeah, I get it that they are favorites against Comoros, but @1.04 is really humiliating in this AFCON full of surprises? or host has to be in semi-final according to rules?
Comoros first keeper is injured and their other 2 keepers got covid positive tests the other day and they can't call new players. Meaning Comoros will not have a goal keeper in this match and I guess bookies do not trust outfield players on the goal very much Smiley

Should be interesting to see. I will probably root for Comoros just for the kick of supporting the underdog. Checked them out on google, maybe even a holiday location one day.

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January 24, 2022, 08:59:51 AM
 #173

I didn't expect Nigeria to be eliminated from Tunisia as Tunisia was not playing at their best during group stage while Nigeria shined at group stage.Most probably it was because of the red card that completely removed Nigeria hopes to at least draw and to make the game to go to additional time.I think this was a surprise result but in this stage of the tournament nothing is to be considered a surprise as it is just one match in which anything can happen.

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January 24, 2022, 01:04:52 PM
 #174

'^'
The best losers from the group round have just eliminated the finest winners. This is what you get when you bench your first choice keeper and replace him with a Model of a goalie since all the girls like him and even my granny could save the ball. The most vexing aspect is that Tunisia was without ten players.

Comoros first keeper is injured and their other 2 keepers got covid positive tests the other day and they can't call new players. Meaning Comoros will not have a goal keeper in this match and I guess bookies do not trust outfield players on the goal very much Smiley
Unfortunately for them, the goalkeeper position is the most difficult to fill. It is not possible to simply convert someone into a goalkeeper, which is why it is always a good idea to teach defenders basic goalkeeping rules. John Terry was that guy at Chelsea, and he played that role several times when the squad was in such situation. Why are the players in this round obtaining positive cases?

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January 24, 2022, 01:20:35 PM
 #175

So tell me, even after all the crap Comoros has had to go through, after now knowing they have no keeper to put between the posts, their odds are STILL so shitty to bet on? 12/1 against Camebloodyroon... I'm so disgusted with the odds haha.

Anyway, sorry about Nigeria igehhh. I put them in my picks AND in 4-3-free but at least avoided adding them to my footie accas. Not that it matters, I haven't been winning anything special this week or last.

And yes, Trofo haha African holiday islands that aren't on the mainland are... pretty unique if you can actually get yourself a cheap ticket to go. I spent a couple of weeks in Seychelles and it was seriously pretty close to Asia in terms of lifestyle. But totally different types of waters and food.

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January 24, 2022, 01:50:55 PM
 #176

Tunisia without most players, and getting into next round, typical AFCON 2022
just AFCON things
i've been avoiding Afcon bets lately, but i might go for some small stake bets in the remaining underdogs 🤔

So tell me, even after all the crap Comoros has had to go through, after now knowing they have no keeper to put between the posts, their odds are STILL so shitty to bet on? 12/1 against Camebloodyroon... I'm so disgusted with the odds haha.
i saw @34 yesterday, wth happened? what do the bookies know that we don't

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January 24, 2022, 02:19:25 PM
 #177

Tunisia without most players, and getting into next round, typical AFCON 2022
just AFCON things
i've been avoiding Afcon bets lately, but i might go for some small stake bets in the remaining underdogs 🤔

So tell me, even after all the crap Comoros has had to go through, after now knowing they have no keeper to put between the posts, their odds are STILL so shitty to bet on? 12/1 against Camebloodyroon... I'm so disgusted with the odds haha.
i saw @34 yesterday, wth happened? what do the bookies know that we don't
Where are you checking those odds buwaytress? I just checked on Sportsbet and they have it @25, with boost almost 27. Double from what you have seen. I can get @35 in my local bookie but only if I play 6x multi. So I am considering playing something like 1EUR for 1M EUR Smiley

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January 24, 2022, 02:54:18 PM
 #178

Sorry guys, you're right. I don't know what I seen earlier but now I'm looking it is indeed 24 to 26/1. I was pretty damn sure I was looking at the right market though, cause I drafted a ticket (and I generally check on Fairlay or Betfair just to get a good idea of "fair" odds. BF is now 35/1. Funny your local bookies are always way better than crypto @Trofo, here there is only one legal bookie and their odds are Pinnacle-ish or worse. Wonder if they'd let me play? Haha. The one we have here is the worst ever. Never give promos, or if they do, it's maybe for 2 euros or something.

Sky was 66/1 I saw but it's a promo boost... only one guy I know in forum who uses them.

I still think those are odds too respectful of Comoros =p

But still, soon as it gets Super Boost on SB I'll try see if they give 30/1. And then do an acca with Liverpool v Chelski on it, why not?

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January 24, 2022, 03:09:54 PM
 #179

why the heck is Cameroon to win @1.04 on bookies? yeah, I get it that they are favorites against Comoros, but @1.04 is really humiliating in this AFCON full of surprises? or host has to be in semi-final according to rules?
Comoros first keeper is injured and their other 2 keepers got covid positive tests the other day and they can't call new players. Meaning Comoros will not have a goal keeper in this match and I guess bookies do not trust outfield players on the goal very much Smiley

Should be interesting to see. I will probably root for Comoros just for the kick of supporting the underdog. Checked them out on google, maybe even a holiday location one day.
Comoros have good players, so deemed it fit, goal keeper can not really make them to lose match today except that the players refused to guide the goal keeper since the superior Keep is not there, Cameroon football team can not be use to compare to Comoros because their players is strong like Senegal team, let us watch. But am not assuring Comoros goal

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January 24, 2022, 03:21:36 PM
 #180

Funny your local bookies are always way better than crypto @Trofo, here there is only one legal bookie and their odds are Pinnacle-ish or worse. Wonder if they'd let me play? Haha. The one we have here is the worst ever. Never give promos, or if they do, it's maybe for 2 euros or something.
That is actually not so true since we have some connected costs. You don't want to play there
* 5% manipulative costs, this gets deducted from every stake instead incorporated in bookie margin. This is the reason why I always have "better odds" there
* 10% tax on every winning ticket. And this is the reason why I am usually not betting there, not possible to be in profit in long run

That is why I am always using sportsbet odds when writing my tips and I explicitly mention it is local fiat bookie when checking something like this. When I have the time and will I actually calculate proper fiat odds.

But they have the best UI interface I ever used and I am always using them to find my games and markets. Maybe I just got so used to it.

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