🌍⚽Sportsbet.io AFCON 2024 prediction pool discussion thread

[Harkorede]

why the heck is Cameroon to win @1.04 on bookies? yeah, I get it that they are favorites against Comoros, but @1.04 is really humiliating in this AFCON full of surprises? or host has to be in semi-final according to rules?

It's not because they're the favourite it's because the Comoros team is said to be depleted and they'd even be having an outfield player in goal for the game. It doesn't matter to me anyway we've seen a lot of surprises here already so I already took Comoros to win @ 67 Odds last night, I'm not anticipating a win for them, but I'd like to be against the bookies should something dramatic want to happen.

[casperBGD]

~snip

It doesn't matter to me anyway we've seen a lot of surprises here already so I already took Comoros to win @ 67 Odds last night, I'm not anticipating a win for them, but I'd like to be against the bookies should something dramatic want to happen.

it would be a winner, if Comoros would held to half-time, anyway
maybe I will put something as well

regarding first match, according to stats, it was a bit better than the rest, and Gambia is going to next round, had exact score in the pool

[tomahawk9]

Sorry guys, you're right. I don't know what I seen earlier but now I'm looking it is indeed 24 to 26/1. I was pretty damn sure I was looking at the right market though

i saw it too, it was @12 earlier today, and not just on sportsbet, i checked pinnacle and bet365 and they had around the same odds... weird

anyway, i put a fiver on comoros to win (cos why not) and 5 minutes in and they got a red card LOL

and Gambia with yet another upset... Malawi and/or Cape Verde to qualify worth a tenner or what? how about red cards? 4 out of 4 games in this round had a red card... Sending off @4.5 odds in both games tomorrow

[Harkorede]

~snip

It doesn't matter to me anyway we've seen a lot of surprises here already so I already took Comoros to win @ 67 Odds last night, I'm not anticipating a win for them, but I'd like to be against the bookies should something dramatic want to happen.

it would be a winner, if Comoros would held to half-time, anyway
maybe I will put something as well

regarding first match, according to stats, it was a bit better than the rest, and Gambia is going to next round, had exact score in the pool

Nice one there with the Gambia pick, I went with Guinea though.

The red card early into the game dashed all hopes of a possible upset I'd say but for Comoros to have stayed in the game for that long and remain disciplined while also make some threats on goal, you've really got to commend them. They could have as well equalized but thanks to Onana's brilliance in goal.

There's no way back for the Comoros from here, I'd say. All things just keeps working in the favor of Cameroon.

[Igebotz]

Comoros have good players, so deemed it fit, goal keeper can not really make them to lose match today except that the players refused to guide the goal keeper since the superior Keep is not there, Cameroon football team can not be use to compare to Comoros because their players is strong like Senegal team, let us watch. But am not assuring Comoros goal

How can you contradict yourself in one post, how do you win a game without a proper GK in the goal post? Not impossible but yo need a miracle.

The red card early into the game dashed all hopes of a possible upset I'd say but for Comoros to have stayed in the game for that long and remain disciplined while also make some threats on goal, you've really got to commend them. They could have as well equalized but thanks to Onana's brilliance in goal.

Today, Onana was excellent, which is why having a good goalkeeper in a team is so crucial; it gives the squad confidence, and when the team isn't performing well, a good goalkeeper always comes to the rescue.

Even though they were reduced to ten men in the first half, the Comoros still showed more attacking threats than Cameroon in the second part of the game. From what I saw, I believe the game would have been different if Comoros had a full team. Cameroon has conceded more goals than any other team in the tournament, and I believe their defense is weak.

Three red cards in four games is becoming very irritating; this is a knockout stage, and the referees need to pay closer attention to details before issuing cards.

[Harkorede]

Three red cards in four games is becoming very irritating; this is a knockout stage, and the referees need to pay closer attention to details before issuing cards.

It's as though the referees aren't using their own initiatives whatsoever, they just follow the textbook guidelines of FIFA relating to fouls and make really absurd decisions that tends to ruin games even from the very get go, as a referee your call is the final say whether or not you're being signaled to make a review by the VAR. Today's red card for Comoros and that of Nigeria's yesterday were extremely absurd to say the least neither of them are worthy of an outright red card (at most a yellow), these aren't intended tackles, with both players in pursuit of the ball and without raising the legs above normal, but you really can't determine how fast an opponent would stretch his leg. It really just shows the lack of understanding of the game by them because these decision are usually the determining factors of the outcome of the game more often than not.

I'd say Comoros really should be proud of themselves and go home with their heads held high, it was a great performance from them, despite their unfortunate circumstances.

[Trofo]

I'd say Comoros really should be proud of themselves and go home with their heads held high, it was a great performance from them, despite their unfortunate circumstances.

Did not watch the game but I can't believe they were that close with 10 man and without a goal keeper. Obviously the guy that took the position was at least somewhat competent as goal keeper. Any comments if somebody actually watched the game?

How can you contradict yourself in one post, how do you win a game without a proper GK in the goal post? Not impossible but yo need a miracle.

How do you know he is contradicting himself? I tried to read that post several times and got nothing except a headache If I remembered to make this topic as self edited I would have nuked the post and spared the rest of you from the pain of reading it.

[cryptofrka]

Did you see the Comoros goal for 2-1? If you didn't, go check it - it's a 40-yard freekick screamer. Kinda seemed like Cameroon had a player in goal

Comoros was really good throughout the tournament, they can be proud of their yesterday's performance too - no matter the loss.

[casperBGD]

Did you see the Comoros goal for 2-1? If you didn't, go check it - it's a 40-yard freekick screamer. Kinda seemed like Cameroon had a player in goal

Comoros was really good throughout the tournament, they can be proud of their yesterday's performance too - no matter the loss.

agree, Comoros was more than a good rival to Cameroon, with 10 men squad, they did not parked the bus in front of their goal
well, they earned my vacation attention

Senegal and Morocco today, will we see surprises? Malawi would be really a shocker, but Cape Verde have a chance with Senegal

[cryptofrka]

Did you see the stampede during the Cameroon - Comoros game?
Apparently 8 dead so far, with additional 7 in critical condition.

I laugh when they get the anthems wrong, when their referees signal the end of the game 10 min in advance and when all these organizational mistakes occur but things like these should never happen. If they are not ready to host these competitions, they should simply not be held at all.

[buwaytress]

Comoros earned me some good coin in qualifications, too bad I wrote them off this tourney or would have scored on their upset. Just too random for me to bet on, but I do hope to see Senegal take a win today. Egypt value bet at over 3/1 you think?

Did you see the stampede during the Cameroon - Comoros game?
Apparently 8 dead so far, with additional 7 in critical condition.

I laugh when they get the anthems wrong, when their referees signal the end of the game 10 min in advance and when all these organizational mistakes occur but things like these should never happen. If they are not ready to host these competitions, they should simply not be held at all.

Didn't even know this happened, no, and it's always senseless to me when it happens. I'm reading more now about other incidents too, it's no laughing matter for sure, am at a loss at how to punish organisers when this happens.

That is actually not so true since we have some connected costs. You don't want to play there
* 5% manipulative costs, this gets deducted from every stake instead incorporated in bookie margin. This is the reason why I always have "better odds" there
* 10% tax on every winning ticket. And this is the reason why I am usually not betting there, not possible to be in profit in long run

That is why I am always using sportsbet odds when writing my tips and I explicitly mention it is local fiat bookie when checking something like this. When I have the time and will I actually calculate proper fiat odds.

But they have the best UI interface I ever used and I am always using them to find my games and markets. Maybe I just got so used to it.

I actually never checked out the tax on sportsbetting here where I am, I do know that all the lotteries and other games of chance and casinos are all tax free winnings. But first time I ever heard of manipulative costs... back home it's a simple entertainment tax which you pay on top of your wager, and that's 10%, with winnings not taxable themselves (which is a better deal for the government I guess).

Like you, the only reason I still use regular books is they're much faster and better than crypto books atm for interface. I remember using William Hill almost 20 years ago (they actually sent a CD to my house good old days of no KYC and no country block haha and I remember even on dialup connection, smooth, but that's probably because you were only downloading data as the software was fully installed)... and then Betfair later on, and I still think they had the smoothest experience. SB comes pretty close I would say, except their search or filter function doesn't seem to be as good as anything else contemporary.

[Igebotz]

Three red cards in four games is becoming very irritating; this is a knockout stage, and the referees need to pay closer attention to details before issuing cards.

It's as though the referees aren't using their own initiatives whatsoever, they just follow the textbook guidelines of FIFA relating to fouls and make really absurd decisions that tends to ruin games even from the very get go, as a referee your call is the final say whether or not you're being signaled to make a review by the VAR.
~snip~

Officials from the VAR are a part of the problem. I believe they are being manipulated since both players were initially given yellow cards, after which they began rolling on the pitch, and the refs were summoned by VAR to evaluate the occurrences on a slow motion camera, which I believe was a terrible idea. I didn't see why the cards were awarded based on the players' reactions because VAR is meant to stick to the ref's initial judgement.

As you stated, both players merely went for the ball, but their opponent's legs were already on it. The game was marred by the officiating.

I'd say Comoros really should be proud of themselves and go home with their heads held high, it was a great performance from them, despite their unfortunate circumstances.

They did themselves proud because no one anticipated them to get this far; they have a fantastic team, and if they keep playing like this, they will be among Africa's top teams in the next five years.

Did not watch the game but I can't believe they were that close with 10 man and without a goal keeper. Obviously the guy that took the position was at least somewhat competent as goal keeper. Any comments if somebody actually watched the game?

Despite the Comoros' early red card, they kept pushing; the scoreline would have been different if Cameroon's GK Onana had not been on top of his game; the game's funniest moment came when the Comoros Player-GK thought he was playing as a defender and had to hide his hand to prevent the ball from touching his hand; he forgot he was the GK. ( the second goal)

The goalkeeper made some outstanding saves. His performance left me speechless; he did his country proud.

[slaman29]

Sorry that I sort of lost interest once Algeria went out, but I should watch if possible some of the games as they start around the end of my shift and I have a free day tomorrow so I can sleep late and destroy the rest of my week lol

Anyway, who picked Cameroon in the promo? They have won every game now so you are already in money back zone!

[Trofo]

This is getting ridiculous. Senegal with 2 players more and 0 shots on target. Come on, grow a pair, and play to score a goal.

Maybe if these other guys get 2 more reds it will be enough for victory in extra time  

[buwaytress]

^ Agreed man. Of course happy to get another win and a progress on my team plus some freebets back, but ridiculousness is already a word not apt enough to describe this tournament.

I still want Senegal to lift the trophy but they better play to deserve it over the next couple of games...

Think I said about sending off being good in afcon way back on Matchday 1, and someone else was saying the odds are still great in KO stages. You guys think that's it dried up though? They should be putting the 4/1 odds on no sending off the way things are going. Refs do seem to be really siding the favourites...

[Igebotz]

Sorry that I sort of lost interest once Algeria went out, but I should watch if possible some of the games as they start around the end of my shift and I have a free day tomorrow so I can sleep late and destroy the rest of my week lol

I'm still watching for the sake of love for the AFCON, but my interest has waned since Nigeria was eliminated! I currently only watch a few games at a time.

This is getting ridiculous. Senegal with 2 players more and 0 shots on target. Come on, grow a pair, and play to score a goal.

Maybe if these other guys get 2 nore reds it will be enough for victory in extra time 

The fact that all of the round 16 match have had 1-2 red cards per match appears to be a script to me. The level of corruption at this year's AFCON is insane; they're killing the game with unwarranted red cards.

Senegal remains the competition's worst team. I'm still baffled as to how they got to the quarter-finals, they needed two red cards to finally score open play goal.

[Harkorede]

Sorry that I sort of lost interest once Algeria went out, but I should watch if possible some of the games as they start around the end of my shift and I have a free day tomorrow so I can sleep late and destroy the rest of my week lol

I'm still watching for the sake of love for the AFCON, but my interest has waned since Nigeria was eliminated! I currently only watch a few games at a time.

This is getting ridiculous. Senegal with 2 players more and 0 shots on target. Come on, grow a pair, and play to score a goal.

Maybe if these other guys get 2 nore reds it will be enough for victory in extra time 

The fact that all of the round 16 match have had 1-2 red cards per match appears to be a script to me. The level of corruption at this year's AFCON is insane; they're killing the game with unwarranted red cards.

Senegal remains the competition's worst team. I'm still baffled as to how they got to the quarter-finals, they needed two red cards to finally score open play goal.

It's literally crazy, and funny enough they're still yet to concede a goal in this tournament, weird. It's just funny that they might advance way further into the tournament.

Morocco have finally restored parity just before the break after going behind just after 6 minutes into the game, the pressure would be much more on Malawi from here on. It's been coming all along, isn't it ?

[LTU_btc]

Comoros got many gloryhunter fans during game . When I saw news about their squad problems, I was sure that they will be simply destroyed. But they managed to give good fight, even despite early red card.

Did you see the stampede during the Cameroon - Comoros game?
Apparently 8 dead so far, with additional 7 in critical condition.

I laugh when they get the anthems wrong, when their referees signal the end of the game 10 min in advance and when all these organizational mistakes occur but things like these should never happen. If they are not ready to host these competitions, they should simply not be held at all.

It's sad to read about. All these things that you mentioned shows poor level of organization. Accidents which costs lifes of people can't be justified.

Senegal remains the competition's worst team. I'm still baffled as to how they got to the quarter-finals, they needed two red cards to finally score open play goal.

It's something unbeleavable that they finished 1st in group with just 1 goal scored. I barely can remember something similar. If not these 2 Cape Verde red cards I'm not really sure that we would see confident Senegal win.

[Igebotz]

The fact that all of the round 16 match have had 1-2 red cards per match appears to be a script to me. The level of corruption at this year's AFCON is insane; they're killing the game with unwarranted red cards.

Senegal remains the competition's worst team. I'm still baffled as to how they got to the quarter-finals, they needed two red cards to finally score open play goal.

It's literally crazy, and funny enough they're still yet to concede a goal in this tournament, weird. It's just funny that they might advance way further into the tournament.

They are the luckiest team in the competition since, first and foremost, their group was the weakest, and they had to qualify by winning only one game and scoring only one penalty goal. They've been good defensively, with world-class defenders and a FIFA best GK in goal, the maestro of clean sheets, but they're not living up to expectations.

Morocco have finally restored parity just before the break after going behind just after 6 minutes into the game, the pressure would be much more on Malawi from here on. It's been coming all along, isn't it ?

Malawi has been overshadowed, and Morocco now leads 2-1. I'm not surprised because I expected Morocco to win, but they had to fight their way out, and Malawi put up a good fight. The game is still going on, so we'll see what happens after 90 minutes.

[casperBGD]

Senegal remains the competition's worst team. I'm still baffled as to how they got to the quarter-finals, they needed two red cards to finally score open play goal.

Malawi has been overshadowed, and Morocco now leads 2-1. I'm not surprised because I expected Morocco to win, but they had to fight their way out, and Malawi put up a good fight. The game is still going on, so we'll see what happens after 90 minutes.

will be interesting to see Morocco and Senegal, looking at form for all the rest, this could be a final

Egypt is playing today, does Superbru counting draw just for penalties, forgot from last Euro, this one seems to get to penalties, IMO
Mali was good at group stage, and should pass-through today